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Analysis of the Dimensional Metrology Market in Emerging Economies Need for Low-cost Equipment will Fuel Growth NBAC-30 March 2013

Analysis of Dimensional Metrology Market in Emerging Economies

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Page 1: Analysis of Dimensional Metrology Market in Emerging Economies

Analysis of the Dimensional Metrology Market

in Emerging Economies Need for Low-cost Equipment will Fuel Growth

NBAC-30

March 2013

Page 2: Analysis of Dimensional Metrology Market in Emerging Economies

2 NBAC-30

Research Team

Aravind Govindan Senior Research Analyst

Measurement & Instrumentation

(91) 44-66814174

[email protected]

Lead Analyst

Research Manager

Vijay Mathew Program Manager

Measurement & Instrumentation

(91) 44-66814183

[email protected]

Strategic Review Committee Leader

Sujan Sami Industry Manager

Measurement & Instrumentation

(91) 80-67028015

[email protected]

Page 3: Analysis of Dimensional Metrology Market in Emerging Economies

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Contents

Section Slide Number

Executive Summary 5

CMM Market Overview 12

CMM Market

• External Challenges: Drivers and Restraints 17

• Forecasts and Trends 25

• Market Share and Competitive Analysis 43

Brazil Breakdown 50

Russia Breakdown 58

India Breakdown 67

China Breakdown 75

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Contents (continued)

Section Slide Number

ODS Market Overview 83

ODS Market

• External Challenges: Drivers and Restraints 88

• Forecasts and Trends 96

• Market Share and Competitive Analysis 116

Brazil Breakdown 121

Russia Breakdown 129

India Breakdown 138

China Breakdown 147

The Last Word 155

Appendix 158

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Executive Summary

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Executive Summary

• This research study covers the dimensional metrology market, which is comprised of both the

coordinate measuring machines (CMM) and the optical digitizer and scanner (ODS) markets in Brazil,

Russia, India, and China (BRIC).

• In 2011, the mature BRIC CMM market generated $132.5 million in revenue, and a relatively stable

compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.7 percent is expected to 2016. Bridge-type machines

captured 79.6 percent of the total market in 2011.

• The BRIC ODS market is in a nascent stage and generated $71.5 million in revenue in 2011; overall,

this market is expected to have a 3.1 percent CAGR to 2016.

• Technology presents high entry barriers; however, companies with a strong research and development

(R&D) background and focus have the potential to enter the CMM market.

• China is predicted to remain the biggest market in the BRIC cluster, and a combined total of $160.5

million in revenue is expected for the CMM and ODS markets in China by 2016.

• Research indicates that leading market participants are Hexagon Metrology, Carl Zeiss, and Faro

Technology.

• Low-cost CMMs and ODS applications are expected to create more demand for dimensional metrology

and attract new clients.

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

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Compound

Annual Growth

Rate

6.7%

(CAGR, 2011–2016)

Market

Concentration

60.5%

(% of market share held by

top two companies)

Executive Summary—CMM Market Engineering

Measurements

Market Stage

Mature

Market Revenue

$132.5 M

(2011)

Market

Units/Volume

1,927

(2011)

Average Price

Per Unit

$100,000

Base Year

Market Growth

Rate

7.9%

Customer Price

Sensitivity

8

(scale:1 [Low] to 10 [High])

Degree of

Technical

Change

6

(scale:1 [Low] to 10 [High])

CMM Market: BRIC, 2011

Market Overview

For a tabular version, click here. Stable Increasing Decreasing

Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2011. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

Market Size for

Last Year of

Study Period

$187.5 M

(2016)

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Executive Summary—CMM Market Engineering

Measurements (continued)

Stable Increasing Decreasing *Companies with revenue greater than $10.0 M. Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2011.

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

Replacement

Rate

15 to 20

Years (average period of unit

replacement)

Average

Product

Development

Time

4

Years

Number of

Companies that

Exited*

0

(2011)

Number of

Companies that

Entered*

10

(2011)

Number of

Competitors

15

(active market competitors in

base year)

Attachment

Rate

3

(current number of units per

user–2011)

Competitor Overview Total Addressable Market

Industry Advancement

Average R&D

Spend as

Percent of

Market Revenue

8.0% to

9.0%

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Compound

Annual Growth

Rate

3.1%

(CAGR, 2011–2016)

Market

Concentration

59.5%

(% of market share held by

top three companies)

Executive Summary—ODS Market Engineering

Measurements

Market Stage

Nascent

Market Revenue

$71.5 M

(2011)

Market Units

900 to

1,000 (2011)

Average Price

Per Unit

$60,000

Base Year

Market Growth

Rate

2.0%

Customer Price

Sensitivity

8

(scale:1 [Low] to 10 [High])

Degree of

Technical

Change

7

(scale:1 [Low] to 10 [High])

ODS Market: BRIC, 2011

Market Overview

For a tabular version, click here. Stable Increasing Decreasing

Market Size for

Last Year of

Study Period

$88.1 M

(2016)

Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2011. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

Page 10: Analysis of Dimensional Metrology Market in Emerging Economies

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Executive Summary—ODS Market Engineering

Measurements (continued)

Stable Increasing Decreasing *Companies with revenue greater than $10.0 M. Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2011.

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

Replacement

Rate

6 to 10

Years (average period of unit

replacement)

Average

Product

Development

Time

8 to 12

Months

Number of

Companies that

Exited*

0

(2011)

Number of

Companies that

Entered*

10

(2011)

Number of

Competitors

20

(active market competitors in

base year)

Attachment

Rate

3

Competitor Overview Total Addressable Market

Industry Advancement

Marketing

Spend as a

Percent of

Market Revenue

2.0%

Average R&D

Spend as a

Percent of

Market Revenue

10.0%

(current number of units per

user–2011)

Page 11: Analysis of Dimensional Metrology Market in Emerging Economies

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Executive Summary—CEO’s Perspective

3 Creating awareness about dimensional

metrology at all levels will increase market

opportunities.

4 Heavy investment in research is required to

make low-cost CMMs and scanner

applications.

5 Dimensional metrology manufacturers must

partner with governments to generate business

opportunities, especially in Brazil and India.

1 Low-cost CMMs and ODS applications have

significant growth prospects.

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

2 A direct presence in BRIC is the key approach

for market visibility.

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CMM Market Overview

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CMM Market Overview—Definitions

The product segments included in the CMM market include:

Bridge-type machine—This has a horizontal frame supported by two vertical columns. The machine arm is

vertically suspended to measure the work piece.

Gantry-type machine—This has housing that covers the entire structure, which must measured, inspected,

or scanned. This machine is well suited for inspection applications in the automotive, aerospace, and heavy

transportation industries.

Horizontal arm machine—This has flexible, vertical support and a horizontal arm that supports the probe.

Articulated arm machine—This is a portable device with articulated or multi-axis arms. The probes can be

placed in different directions, which increases flexibility.

End-user industries are divided into the following segments:

• Automotive—Includes the various industries involved in the automotive supply chain, such as

component manufacturers and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs)

• Aerospace and Defense—Includes aerospace, defense, and military applications, such as commercial

and private aviation spacecraft, military, and defense labs

• Heavy engineering and machine shops—Includes all energy, industrial manufacturing applications, and

machine shop and metal fabrication work

• Others—Includes electronics and medical devices

Geographic Regions Covered

The geographic focus of this research is restricted to Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRIC).

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.

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CMM Market Overview—Key Questions This Study Will

Answer

Which country is most preferred for current profits and future growth?

How are companies meeting the needs of end-user industries?

What does the competitive landscape look like?

Which country appeals to all participants?

Which end-user segment presents the most growth opportunities?

Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.