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1 The Rise of Express Courier in E-commerce Business Prepared for : Indonesia Supply Chain & Logistics Summit Jakarta, 19 May 2015

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Page 1: 150519_The Rise of Express Courier in E-commerce Business

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The Rise of Express Courier in E-commerce Business

Prepared for :

Indonesia Supply Chain & Logistics SummitJakarta, 19 May 2015

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Topic

1 Indonesia’s Logistics Market & Growth Prospects

2 Why E-commerce? Why Express Courier?

3 E-commerce Supply Chain Best Practices

4 Challenge & Opportunities

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Indonesia’s Logistics Market & Growth Prospects

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Indonesia Logistic Market & GrowthOverall Indonesia Logistic Market Situation

Industry size¹ of outsourced/contract logistics

service in Indonesia is IDR 298.4 Trillion (~USD 29.0

Billion)with more than 2,500 players².

1 The industry refers to Indonesia’s transportation, storage, and courier market2 Only 920 companies are registered in INFA (Indonesian Forwarder and Logistic Service Provider Association)

Source: Spire’s Primary interview and analysis

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Indonesia Logistic Market & GrowthOverall Indonesia Logistic Market Situation

Industry growth¹ is promoted by GDP growth and domestic

consumption as well as ASEAN Economic Community by the

end of 2015.

1 Industry refers to Indonesia’s transportation, storage, and courier market

Source: Spire’s Primary interview and analysis

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Indonesia Logistic Market & GrowthOverall Indonesia Logistic Market Situation

The industry¹ is inhibited by lack of infrastructure and

industrial development plan as well as lack of skilled

labors.

1 The industry refers to Indonesia’s transportation, storage, and courier market

Source: Spire’s Primary interview and analysis

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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016F0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

4.6%6.2% 6.5% 6.3% 5.8% 5.3% 5.5% 5.8%

6.5%

15.8%

19.2%

15.3%17.2% 16.8% 17.5% 18.0%

Economic Growth & Logistics Market, 2014

Real GDP Growth Transportation, Storage & Courier

Growth of transportation, storage, and courier services in 2015 will be aided by the growth of trading sector, especially the domestic ones. Rise of middle class will result in profound changes as well as create opportunities in transportation & logistics industry.

Source: Biro Pusat Statistik (BPS), Spire Data & Analysis

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8Source: Biro Pusat Statistik (BPS), Spire Data & Analysis

Railroad Transportation1%

Sea Transportation6%

River Transportation3%

Air Transportation26%

Other Supporting Transportation (Incl.

Storage)12%

Indonesia’s Transportation, Courier & Storage Segment Distribution, 2014

Road Trans-portation

52%

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Why E-commerce ?Why Express Courier ?

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Indonesia’s E-commerce Market Development

Source: MENKOMINFO, Tech in Asia 2014, idEA, eMarketer 2014, Statista 2014, Spire Data & Analysis

+255MILLION

4th Largest Population in the world

POPULATION

3rd RankFacebook Users

5th RankTwitter Users

+90 MILLION INTERNET USERS

Online Retail Sales Figures

20132014

2015

2016

$ 1.8

BILLION

$ 2.6

BILLION

$ 3.5BILLION

$ 4.4

BILLION

2013

2014

2015

2016

Number of Online Shoppers4.6

MILLION

5.9MILLION

7.4MILLION

8.7MILLION

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Indonesia’s Best Selling e-Commerce Products in 2013

Source: velaasia.com, Euromonitor, Payvision, Spire Data & Analysis

FASHION

37%

TRAVEL20%

MUSIC & GAMES

20%ELECTRONICS

12%BOOKS

7%

OTHERS18%

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Types of e-Commerce in Indonesia (1)

Source: Tech in Asia 2014, Spire Data & Analysis

CLASSIFIEDS/LISTING C2C MARKETPLACE SHOPPING MALL

Example:

Characteristics: The sites do not facilitate

online transaction. Individual seller can use the

service for free.

How they gain profit: Premium ads

Example:

Characteristics: Every transaction must gone

through the website. Can be used by individual

seller.

How they gain profit: Premium ads Premium seller Commission

Example:

Characteristics: Similar characterization with

marketplace, with stricter verification process for the seller.

How they gain profit: Commission

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Types of e-Commerce in Indonesia (2)

Source: Tech in Asia 2014, Spire Data & Analysis

B2C ONLINE STORE SOCIAL MEDIA STORE

Example:

Characteristics: Selling their own products.

How they gain profit: Profit from sales.

Example:

Characteristics: Selling their own products

through social media platform.

How they gain profit: Profit from sales.

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Indonesia’s E-commerce & Logistic Providers

Source: KOMINFO, Tech in Asia 2014, idEA, eMarketer 2014, Statista 2014, Spire Data & Analysis

Famous Indonesia e-Commerce Platform

e-Commerce Logistic Provider

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Market Development Express Courier Service in Indonesia’s E-commerce business

Key Success Factors

Key Business Logistics Services Used*

On-time and consistent performance are crucial in e-commerce industry as these are the keys to customers satisfaction.

Land Freight

Air Freight

Sea Freight

1

2

3

1

2

3

Strong IT capabilities and integrated systems are needed to enable status tracking of shipped goods.

Broad network/geographical coverage is important to ship products to customers outside of Jakarta.

Breakdown of E-commerce Logistics Market Share (2014)

*Note: Based on limited sample size of respondents in the market

35%

20%

15%

5%

10%

5%

10%

TIKI 

RPX

JNE

DHL

First Logistic Others

FedEx

Source: Spire Primary Interview with Players, Spire Data & Analysis

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Criteria of Express Courier Service in Indonesia

Close Custodial Control

Track & Trace

Technology

Door-to-Door

Service

High Level of

Reliability &

Coverage

Speed of Delivery

This delivery includes the seamless transfer across multiple mode of transport. This services also known as Pick-Up & Delivery Services

Using sophisticated information system will enhance package security to reduce risk of loss or damage

Shippers & consignee may track the precise movement of the package using track & trace technology

ECS company promises that the package will arrive at the required destination and on time. This is particularly important to create customer awareness

Most importantly, overnight and second-day express services reduce overall inventory and create effective supply chains. The average express delivery in Indonesia is about 1-2 working days.

Source: Spire Primary Interview with ECS Players, Spire Data & Analysis

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E-commerce Supply Chain Model in Indonesia

E-commerce Marketplace Supply Chain Model

Full e-commerce Supply Chain Model

Order Origin from Web Portal/ e-

Sales

MARKETPLACE

Vendors/Distributor

Retailer

Order Received to Customer

ECS Provider

take place to Deliver

Order

The Marketplace supply chain model usually has no warehouse since the e-companies are more dependent on vendors or retailer regarding the product availability. The vendors or retailer will directly send the product ordered by the customer.

Full e-commerce supply chain using warehouse and also delivery hub owned by the e-commerce company. In this case, E-commerce company will stock their own product and directly send them to the customer.

Order Origin from Web Portal/ e-

Sales ITEM PRESENT IN WAREHOUSE

Vendors/Distributor

Order Received to Customer

ECS Provider take place to

Deliver Order

YESWAREHOUS

E

Retailer

Delivery Hub

NO

Source: Spire Primary Interview with ECS Players, Spire Data & Analysis

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Marketplace gives better shopping experience and lower costs for both merchants and customers

Customer buys 3 products from 3 different merchants in a multi-brand site on one portal, or MARKETPLACE

Picks up “unpacked” items from 3 merchants

consolidates the individual items and assembles the order at the fulfillment center, all processed and fulfilled at the same day

Customer receives the order in one branded package next day via express delivery

Source: Spire Primary Interview with ECS Players, Spire Data & Analysis

On some sites, customer may choose a logistics partner from several options available.Marketplace may also have their own logistics service. Several prerequisites are essential to use the service. (e.g. distance, product weight, and so forth.)

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Challenges & Opportunities Express Courier Services in E-commerce

Source: Spire Primary Interview, Spire Data & Analysis

Challenges E-commerce Supply Chain

OpportunitiesE-commerce Supply Chain

Lack of infrastructure, resulting in high logistics cost and longer delivery & shipping time. Geographic location, with ± 20,000 islands.Slow development in logistics industry due to lack of support from the council of “Sistem Logistik Nasional”. Limited trained/skilled logistics workers

Rapid growth of internet users.Double growth of smartphone users since 2013, providing accessibility and connectivity.Growth of e-commerce players.Growth of customers’ trust in using online payment system. Growth of urban lifestyle, leading to the convenience of online shopping.

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Case Study: JNE – Largest Nationwide Network in Indonesia (1)

Branch: ± 55 with ± 50 warehousesAgent: ± 3,000,

Total service points 2014: ± 1,500 location

Average number of Delivery in 2014:

± 400,000 / month

Average number of scheduled flights in 2014:

From Jakarta ± 298 flights / dayTo Jakarta ± 100 flights / day

Average number of scheduled truck departure 2014:

From Jakarta ± 100 trips / dayTo Jakarta ± 80 trips / day

60% of the overall sales turnover comes from e-Commerce retail

sales.

±15% e-Commerce sales turnover growth y-o-y

Employee 2014: ± 5,000Car Courier: ± 250 Vans

Motorcycle Courier: ± 800 MotorcycleAlready Adopted Online system

Source: Interview with JNE person, (Sales Division), Spire Data & Analysis

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21Source: Interview with JNE person, (Sales Division), Spire Data & Analysis

Trace & Tracking

Comprehensive JNE Web Portal

One of JNE Transit Warehouse

One of JNE Sales Office

JNE Truck JNE Motorcycle

Case Study: JNE – Largest Nationwide Network in Indonesia (2)

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Tel: (62) 5794 5800 Fax: (62) 5794 5808

Wisma 46, Kota BNI 25th Floor, Unit #07-09

Jakarta [email protected]

www.spireresearch.com