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By using statistical analysis of Kevin Durant's season I was able to determine which day he plays his best and which day he plays his worst.
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Kevin Durant When Could I Beat Kevin Durant
One-‐on-‐One?
Kevin Durant • Leading Scorer in NBA for past 2 seasons • Has been called “unstoppable”
• 6’11’’ with a 7’3’’ wingspan—and he’s a shooLng guard
– In NBA history only 10% of shooLng guards have been this size and few have been successful.
– Michael Jordan was 6’6”
Kevin Durant
• QuesLons to be answered.
– When is the best day that Kevin Durant performs?
• When should the OKC Thunder do a Kevin Durant bobblehead night?
– When is the worst day he performs? • When is the best chance I have of beaLng KD one-‐on-‐one?
Overall Scoring
• 27.9 PPG
• 0 Day Rest-‐27.2 PPG • 1 Day Rest-‐ 27.3 PPG • 2 Day Rest-‐31.0 PPG • 3+ Day Rest-‐ 27.7 • Home: 27.3 PPG
• Away: 25.3
• If you dig a li^le deeper….
Scoring by Month
• October-‐29.3 PPG • November-‐26.8 PPG • December-‐29.4 PPG • January-‐ 30.5 PPG • February-‐26.8 PPG • March-‐24.9 PPG
• If you dig a li^le deeper….
Scoring by Day
• Sunday-‐24.9 PPG • Monday-‐26.9 PPG • Tuesday-‐25.8 PPG • Wednesday-‐29.6 PPG • Thursday-‐30.7 PPG • Friday-‐28 PPG • Saturday-‐31 PPG
• So, based on this data…
Kevin Durant
• Kevin Durant bobblehead giveaway should occur on
– 2 Days rest in January on a Saturday.
• My best chance of beaLng KD is
– 0 Days Rest in November on a Sunday
• But…if you dig a li^le deeper
Kevin Durant-‐Bobblehead Night • 75% win percentage on 3 Days Rest • 82 % win percentage in March • 83% win percentage on even numbered days • 65% win percentage in games played in Central Standard
Time Zone • 54% win percentage when outside temperature is over 70
degrees • 93 % win percentage on Fridays
– 100 % win percentage in home games on Fridays – 31.2 PPG at home on Friday
So, based on this data…
Kevin Durant-‐Bobblehead Night
• Next season—the OKC Thunder should do a Kevin Durant bobble night on – Friday March 23rd 2012 at 7pm in Oklahoma City. With at least 3 days off.
– When the weather is projected to be 72 degrees.
When I Could Beat Kevin Durant • 45% win percentage on 0 Days Rest • 54% win percentage in January • 59% win percentage on odd numbered days • 19% win percentage in games played in
Eastern Standard Time Zone • 46% win percentage when outside
temperature is below 70 degrees • 30 % win percentage on Fridays
– 33 % win percentage in away games on Sundays
– 18.8 PPG away on Sunday
• So, based on this data…
When I Could Beat Kevin Durant
• My best possible chance of beaLng Kevin Durant would be on… – Sunday January 22nd 2012 at 6pm in New
Jersey with 0 days off.
– Where the weather is projected to be 34 degrees.
• I be^er start training…
