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Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame
• Dedicated to James Naismith
• Established in 1959 in Springfield, MA
• Eligibility: 5 years retired
• Recognizes all players, amateurs, coaches, broadcasters
• Direct-elect committees
Member of Hall of Fame
Honors Committee18/24 Votes Needed
Screening Committee5/7 or 7/9 Votes Needed
Ultimate Question
What are the determinants of a player’s time until Basketball Hall of Fame enshrinement?
Survival Analysis
• Analyze: Length of survival of an event
• Event: Waiting to be enshrined
• Begins at retirement
• “Failure”: Being enshrined into HOF
Previous Literature
• Staw & Hoang (1995): sunk costs time on team
• Fynn & Sonnenschein (2012): career longevity
• Height, Awards
• Lakin (2012): College players using Bayesian approach
• Rebounds, assists, FG %
Data• Basketball-reference.com
• All NBA players with at least 1 All-Star Game appearance (377 players)
• Variables• Time based: Decade
• Position: C, G, F
• Individual Performance Statistics (IPS): PPG, APG, RPG
• Award based: MVP, All Star
• Team based: Playoff Apps., Championships