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ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 1 Kostagiolas , Lectures Dr. Petros A. Kostagiolas Assistant Professor of Information Services Management Department of Archives, Library Science and Museology School of Information Sciences and Informatics Ionian University, Email. [email protected] ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12 th -13 th April - Room 5.B.14 – Edinburgh Napier University Sighthill campus Information services performance/quality/value/impact/benefit: (a) concepts and implications; (b) projecting library performance/quality in “time” Ionian University

Information services performance/quality/value/impact/benefit: (a) concepts and implications; (b) projecting library performance/quality in “time”

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ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 1 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Dr. Petros A. Kostagiolas Assistant Professor of Information Services Management Department of Archives, Library Science and Museology

School of Information Sciences and Informatics Ionian University, Email. [email protected]

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016

12th-13th April - Room 5.B.14 – Edinburgh Napier University Sighthill campus

Information services performance/quality/value/impact/benefit: (a)

concepts and implications; (b) projecting library performance/quality in “time”

Ionian University

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 2 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Lecture Overview – Prepare for some technical material

• Concepts & Implications

• Research ideas

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 3 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Lecture Overview

• Concepts & Implications

• Research

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 4 Kostagiolas , Lectures

WG 2: International library statistics

ISO 2789 International library statistics,4th edition WG 4: Performance indicators for libraries

ISO 11620 Library performance indicators WG 7: Quality measures for national libraries

ISO TR 28118 (2009) Performance indicators for national libraries

ISO TC 46: Information and documentation Subcommittee 8: Quality, statistics and performance evaluation

WG 8: Statistical data for library buildings ISO TR 11219 Qualitative conditions and basic statistics for library buildings

ISO TR 14783 Statistics and quality issues for web archiving WG 9: Statistics and quality issues for web archiving

WG 10: Methods and procedures for assessing the impact of libraries

ISO 16439 Methods and procedures for assessing the impact of libraries

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 5 Kostagiolas , Lectures

The statistics and metrics “follow” the advances …and they reviewed

faster than ever!

ISO 2789 International Library Statistics ISO 11620 Library Performance Indicators

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 6 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Examples of Performance indicators

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 7 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Impact through ISO 16439

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 8 Kostagiolas , Lectures

The ISO 16439 approach

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 9 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Connecting the standards (Renard, 2007)

Impact: ISO 16439

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 10 Kostagiolas , Lectures

What is performance/ quality /value /impact /benefit evaluation?

…relate to the value created / underlying values… … relate to the impact created / stakeholder benefits …

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 11 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Some more related concepts …

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 12 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Library as system: Putting all concepts together

(ISO 11620)

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 13 Kostagiolas , Lectures

REMEMBER … the socioeconomic environment and indeed the Global Economic Crisis put

pressure to Libraries to prove their Worth!!!

Three core constructs... PERFORMANCE = QUALITY & VALUE & IMPACT

Summarizing the concepts (Orr, 1973; Town, 2009)

How “good” is the library? How good it

does?

Chances it creates?

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 14 Kostagiolas , Lectures

We need to further demonstrate the impact of Library Services

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 15 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Beyond the Library Value Calculators

Efforts focused on demonstrating economic value of library service activity (outcome)...include various “library value calculators”

Need to assign economic value and to measure social capital oriented outcomes or aspects of a

library activity

http://www.ala.org/advocacy/advleg/advocacyuniversity/toolkit/makingthecase/li

brary_calculator

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 16 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Information services value

• Impact on Information Collaborations – The boundaries of information

organizations are NOT SOLID • Impact on Information

Transparency – Has to do with openness,

communication and information… • Impact on Information Sharing

– Intellectual Capital Management – Long tail industries…

• Impact on peoples’ empowerment through Information

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 17 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Can we build an information time machine?

http://www.ted.com/talks/frederic_kaplan_how_i_built_an_information_time_machine

Frederic Kaplan: How to build an information time machine

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 18 Kostagiolas , Lectures

The implications of performance /quality /value /impact of Information Services on the Worlds of Production

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 19 Kostagiolas , Lectures 19

What is missing in our quest for Value and Impact?

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 20 Kostagiolas , Lectures

The persistence of memory (http://www.dalipaintings.net/persistence-of-memory.jsp)

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 21 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Lecture Overview

• Concepts & Implications

• Research

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 22 Kostagiolas , Lectures

The Concept of “Reliable Performance”

Quality Service Dimensions: Interpersonal & Technical

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 23 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Why Reliability…

“Quality” “Reliability” Although quality is a snapshot of library

operation, reliability provides a representation of its day-by-day operation.

Unreliable information services lower the

performance, damage the library’s reputation and lead to quality inferiority, user displeasure, inconvenience and lasting user dissatisfaction.

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 24 Kostagiolas , Lectures

This presentation is based on a first previous attempt

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 25 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Theoretical background and problem definition

The variable of interest is the lifetimes of successful operations or the unchanged

state of an individual or the unchanged state of a performance characteristic, and an

investigator wishes to estimate the reliability function either from the data (non-parametric

methods) or through fitting distributional models (parametric methods).

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 26 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Basic distribution functions for reliability analysis

The five probability functions are mathematically equivalent and if one of them is known all five can be derived.

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 27 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Notation Employed

Assume that a multiply censored data set has been made available:

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 28 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Non-parametric Reliability Estimators

Kaplan – Meier Reliability Estimator

Cumulative Hazard Reliability Estimator

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 29 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Parametric methods: Library applications of Weibull Analysis

Maximum Likelihood Estimation method of the Weibull Parameters

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 30 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Les us assume that a subscription based information service has been introduced by a library: Reliability analysis may be employed to study the duration of time that a user stay subscribed to this particular subscription service. The rate of the users remaining subscribed to the service on a long term basis is an important issue for the library’s management. Such a result however should be based on the prediction of the rate at which the users renew or cancel their subscriptions, i.e. the users’ subscription failure rate.

An example…

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 31 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Non-parametric & Parametric Estimation

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 32 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Graphical GOF tests

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 33 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Extrapolation beyond the data

Conditional Probability of the estimated Weibull distribution:

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 34 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Reliable Library and Information Services Performance

• Reliability analysis should be integrated in the library management practices, indicatively for the following:

• Modelling library user behaviour over time. • Modelling library services performance over time, i.e. loans or

interlibrary loan activity. • Modelling digital library services, based on an analysis of the

time marks of error data logs automatically produced. • Modelling of certain type of information technology software and

equipment.

Reliability analysis aim on modelling the performance over time of operations, systems and services

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 35 Kostagiolas , Lectures

An exercise … based on three questions

CAN WE THINK TOGETHER OF OTHER Reliability Performance CCPs?

which performance dimensions we would model in terms of reliability?

which failure modes and indicators we would model for each reliability dimension?

A. Collection B. Performing services as promised

C. Library opens at exact time / information systems’ availability

A. accuracy of bibliography / cataloguing / OPAC … B. Loans / interlibrary loans

C. Opening hours / repositories etc

ESRC SCOTTISH DOCTORAL TRAINING CENTRE INFORMATION SCIENCE PATHWAY TRAINING 2016 12th-13th April 20156- SLIDE 36 Kostagiolas , Lectures

Thank you for your attention

[email protected]