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Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Primacy of Place andEconomic Resiliency
David TerrellDirector, Indiana Communities Institute
Director of RUPRI Center for State Policy, Rural Policy Research Institute
Ball State University
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
This Talk• Legacy economic development policy in a
modern context• Re-thinking ED policy in the 21st century• What this means for local officials• The value-added discussion
– operating in a conservative policy environment
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
The Value-Added DiscussionWe need to answer these questions:
So what?Why?
What’s stopping us?
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
What Is Primacy of Place?• A community’s strategic decision to
dedicate resources to improving life experiences for residents, businesses and visitors.
• Purposeful policies that focus on building infrastructure and provide services that lead to better quality of place and higher levels of human capital.
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Talent• Attraction• Retention• Development
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
20th Century Economic Development Policy
• Luring investment and jobs• Locally based• Incentives, infrastructure & job training• Assumes people move to jobs• Transactional/commodity mindset
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Birth of Manufacturing Firms with 500+ Employees, USA
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Figure 1, Share of US Consumption in Goods and Services 1929-2013
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, National Income and Product Accounts, Author’s Calculations
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
1929
-01-
01
1934
-01-
01
1939
-01-
01
1944
-01-
01
1949
-01-
01
1954
-01-
01
1959
-01-
01
1964
-01-
01
1969
-01-
01
1974
-01-
01
1979
-01-
01
1984
-01-
01
1989
-01-
01
1994
-01-
01
1999
-01-
01
2004
-01-
01
2009
-01-
01
Durable
Non-Durable
Services
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Capital to Labor Ratio in US Manufacturing
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Indiana’s Manufacturing Paradox
• 88% of U.S. manufacturing job loss in 2000-2010 is due to productivity gains, not to offshoring
• For Indiana in the coming decade: – 125,000 new manufacturing job openings per
year due to turnover and retirements– 70,000 new entrants into the labor force– Skills gaps
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Cumulative Job Growth in Footloose/Non-Footloose Firms,
USA
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Why did you move here and select your home?
Source: American Housing Survey
1989 1995 2001 2007 20130.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
job
Polynomial (job )
schools & public services
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
New Paradigms – Job Creation
• Job creation does not necessarily lead to
population growth.
• Capital investment in equipment does not
necessarily tie to greater job creation.
• Most new jobs are not in footloose
industries.
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
New Paradigms – Footloose?• Most new jobs are not in footloose industries.
• Households have a lot more choices about where to live.
• Most current (traditional) economic development
efforts and resources target footloose jobs (20 th
Century Model).
• The benefits of this model are declining and costs are
increasing.
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
We should consider…
► Shifting policies towards those that attract households,
which are very footloose.
► These are… school quality, safe & livable communities, and
recreational amenities
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
21st Century Economic Development Policy
• Luring people (talent attraction, retention,
and development)
• Locally based (traditional ED becomes regional)
• Quality of services, amenity based
• Assumes jobs move to people
• Value-added mindset – “The value proposition”
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Key Components of Primacy of Place
– Arts, culture, and tourism
– Community design
– Community collaboration for educational
excellence
– Community well-being
– Municipal governance
– Community readiness for change
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Operational Parameters– Collaboration – Non-traditional partners
– Strategic mindset and action
– Regional value-added
– Policies to match stated priorities
– Resiliency mindset
– Meaningful community conversations
(priorities and requirements)
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Priorities and TimingFully Integrated Talent
Attraction (Programs &
Capital
Investment)
Amenities Development
(Quality of Place Development)
Education, Social Service ‘Safety Net’
Infrastructure, Safety, & Health
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
What does this mean? i.e….• Tax policies and local revenues have
changed in the last 30 years – but local tax incentives fundamentally have not.– What is the real impact?
• When the electorate wants jobs…. What do they really mean?– Can we train an electorate?– How do we lead our constituents?
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
More Questions…• If amenity development is critical, where do
we find the resources?– How do we lead the discussion?– Is there a value discussion that is more
important?• What is the right fit for traditional business
attraction at the local level?• What activity should be regional?• Where does local fit in the regional mix?
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Conclusions• Jobs move to where the people want to
live• People want good schools and amenities• Primacy of Place matters• We need to answer the “Whys”• We need to demonstrate value-added
– To our citizens– To our region
Indiana Communities Institute • Ball State University • www.bsu.edu/ici
Questions?
David TerrellDirector
Indiana Communities InstituteBall State [email protected]
812-599-2201