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Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

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Page 1: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention
Page 2: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Overcoming roadblocks to recovery: local strategies

Tom Feltner | Vice President, Policy and Communications

Woodstock Institute | 29 E Madison Suite 1710 | Chicago, Illinois

[email protected] | www.woodstockinst.org

@tfeltner | @woodstockinst | #justeconomy

Page 3: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Regional Quarterly Trends in Foreclosure Filings, 2005 to 2011

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

24,000

28,000

4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11

1,000

3,000

5,000

7,000

9,000

11,000

4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11

New Foreclosure Filings

Completed Foreclosure Auctions

Page 4: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Regional Foreclosure Filings

2006

2007

2008

2009

Page 5: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Regional Foreclosure Filings

2006

2007

2008

2009

Page 6: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Regional Foreclosure Filings

2006

2007

2008

2009

Page 7: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Regional Foreclosure Filings

2006

2007

2008

2009

Page 8: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Accumulation of Foreclosure Activity in Communities of Color, 2006 to 2010

8.7% 9.7%

7.0%

27.0%

24.4% 23.2%

19.0%

15.1%

10.9%

26.3%

15.9%

12.8%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

80% or greater African American

50% or greater mixed Minority

50% or greater Latino 20-49.9% minority 10-19.9% minority Less than 10% minority

Share of Properties Share of Properties with Foreclosure Filings

Page 9: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Effect of foreclosure accumulation in Englewood and West Englewood, 2007

Page 10: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Effect of foreclosure accumulation in Englewood and West Englewood, 2008

Page 11: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Effect of foreclosure accumulation in Englewood and West Englewood, 2009

Page 12: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Effect of foreclosure accumulation in Englewood and West Englewood, 2010

Page 13: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Chicago region foreclosure process times increasing, at record highs since 2008

Page 14: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Strategy #1 – Foreclosure prevention

for homeowners staying in their homes

Page 15: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Local strategies need to address unemployment-driven foreclosures,

underwater homeowners

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2008 2009 2010 2011

Figure. Foreclosure Filings for Single-family Units in the Six County Chicago Region, by Type of Mortgage, 2008-2011

Other

Balloon

ARM

FHA/VA

Conventional

Page 16: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Local strategies need to address unemployment-driven foreclosures,

underwater homeowners

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2008 2009 2010 2011

Figure. Single-family Mortgages Entering Foreclosure in the Six County Chicago Region, by Period of Origination, 2008-2011

2010

2009

2008

2005-2007

Before 2005

Page 17: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Local strategies need to address unemployment-driven foreclosures,

underwater homeowners

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

10 Percent or less Minority

10-19.9 Percent Minority

20-49.9 Percent Minority

50-79.9 Percent Minority

80 Percent or more African

American

50 Percent or more Latino

Loan-to-value ratios of properties with mortgages in Chicago six county region, fourth quarter of 2011

LTV < 75

LTV 75-94

LTV 95-99

LTV 100-109

LTV 110-124

LTV > 125

Source:

Proprietary data

on negative

equity; 2010

Decennial

Census

Page 18: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Local strategies need to address unemployment-driven foreclosures,

underwater homeowners

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

10 Percent or less Minority

10-19.9 Percent Minority

20-49.9 Percent Minority

50-79.9 Percent Minority

80 Percent or more African

American

50 Percent or more Latino

Figure. Average home equity and outstanding mortgage debt per property in the Chicago six county region, fourth quarter 2011

Mortgage

Equity

Page 19: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Local strategies need to address unemployment-driven foreclosures,

underwater homeowners

Page 20: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Strategy #2 – Reducing the impact of

vacant properties

Page 21: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Concentration of Unsold Properties in Communities of Color

Disparate Impact of Lender-Owned Properties

Unsold REO Properties

64 percent are concentrated in highly African American communities

Absorption Rate

It will take 25 percent longer for REO properties in highly African American communities to be absorbed into the market.

Value Declines

Highly African American communities saw declines of 35 percent, while primarily white communities saw declines of 17 percent.

Page 22: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Communities of Color Hardest Hit by Vacant Properties

Vacant Properties Associated with Foreclosure

Vacant Properties

18,320 properties identified as vacant or potentially vacant by the City of Chicago

Nearly 70 percent of all vacant properties on the Chicago Vacant Buildings Index are associated with a foreclosure

Red Flag Properties

1,896 properties on the Index are “red flag” properties, many of which may be lender walkaways

71 percent of red flag properties are located in highly African American communities, compared to only 7 percent in predominantly white communities

Impact

Shifts approximately $36 million in maintenance costs to City of Chicago

Page 23: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Reducing the impact of vacant properties: City of Chicago vacant property ordinance

Ordinance Requirements

Mortgagees of vacant buildings to register

within the later of 30 days of becoming

vacant or 60 days after a default.

Mortgagees must appoint an agent located

in Cook County to handle communications

concerning the ordinance.

Mortgagees must maintain and secure

vacant buildings to the standards set by the

City. If not, the mortgagee will be fined

between $500 and $1,000 for each day the

building is in violation of the ordinance.

Status

In effect since November 2011

Supported by majority servicers

Subject to outstanding lawsuit by FHFA

Page 24: Tom Feltner | Foreclosure Impact and Prevention

Overcoming roadblocks to recovery: local strategies

Tom Feltner | Vice President, Policy and Communications

Woodstock Institute | 29 E Madison Suite 1710 | Chicago, Illinois

[email protected] | www.woodstockinst.org

@tfeltner | #justeconomy