Ipsos MORI Issues Index - December 2016

End of Year 2016ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX

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020 7347 3000

2

Issues Facing Britain

Base: 1,028 British adults 18+, 2nd December 2016 – 15th January 2017

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

40%

36%

36%

25%

20%

19%

18%

13%

13%

12%

NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare

European Union/Europe/Brexit

Immigration/immigrants

Economy

Poverty/Inequality

Housing

Education/Schools

Unemployment

Crime/law and order/ASB

Defence/foreignaffairs/terrorism

+8

-3

-1

+1

+6

+1

+1

-1

-1

+2

%

Change since Nov:

Position

Top mentions %

+2

-1

+3

-1

+1

-1

-1

-1

-1

3

Issues Facing BritainWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


40%

36%

36%

25%

20%

19%

18%

13%

13%

12%

10%

24%

19%

8%

5%

3%

2%

3%

2%

3%


European Union/EU/Brexit


Economy

Poverty/Inequality

Housing

Education/Schools

Unemployment

Crime/Law and Order/ASB

Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism

Top mentions %

MOST/OTHER

IMPORTANT ISSUES

MOST IMPORTANT

ISSUE


4

Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home



0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

NHS UNEMPLOYMENTCRIME/LAW &

ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION EU/BREXIT

5

Vote for Brexit;

Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM

Issues Facing Britain:

Immigration / Immigrants


NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU

Countries (Poland, etc.)


Border controls

relaxed for

Romanians and

Bulgarians

Highest concern

ever recorded (56%)

6

Vote for Brexit;

Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM


NHS / Hospitals / HealthcareWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Report says waiting lists have

doubled under Labour

Lowest score since

December 1985 (12%)

Highest score since April 2006

(47%)

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

7

Vote for Brexit;



Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU / BrexitWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Treaty of Accession: 10 new

EU Member States

France and Holland reject

ratification of EU constitution

Lowest score

recorded (1%)


Brexit; highest score since

April 1997 (40%)

8

Vote for Brexit;



Economy / Economic situationWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Global recession

and Russian

Financial crisis

Highest score since 1992;

Most important issue for

the first time

Sub-prime mortgage

crisis in the US

End of

recession

announced


Lowest score

since March 2008

(22%)

Northern Rock

nationalised

9

Vote for Brexit;



Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industryWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years

Minimum wage

introduced

Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5%

Lowest ever score(5%)

Youth unemployment reaches 1 million

Lowest score since October 2008

(14%)

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

10

Vote for Brexit;



Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB




0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May day riots

Riots across

England

9/11Lowest score since

March 1991 (8%)

11

Vote for Brexit;



Education / SchoolsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Introduction of means-tested tuition

fees. Education most important issue.

First City Academies

introduced

Lowest score since

Dec 1985 (9%)

Labour’s second term - pledge to

improve failing secondary schools

April 2011 – Pupil

Premium introduced


12

Vote for Brexit;



Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorismWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

9/11 London

Bombs

Invasion of Iraq –

protests across Europe

Failed terror

attacks in London

and Glasgow

UK withdraws

from Iraq

War in

Kosovo

Parliamentary vote

against action in Syria

NATO bombing

in Libya

Rise

of IS


Paris attacks and

Parliamentary vote for

action against IS in Syria

13

Vote for Brexit;



Poverty/inequalityWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Sept 1999:

Alastair Darling – “one child in

three” living in poverty

December 2016:

highest score

recorded (20%)

January 2005:

Make Poverty History campaign

launched on New Year’s Day


14

Vote for Brexit;



Inflation/PricesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%)

Inflation rate hits 16 year peak

Inflation rises to 3.4%


15

Vote for Brexit;



HousingWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

“A8” Countries

join the EU

Highest score since

October 1974 (22%)


16

Vote for Brexit;



Pensions/Social Security/BenefitsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Equitable Life sells

its non-profit

pension annuities

Blair and Harriet Harman propose

‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-

off from state benefits

Gordon Brown unveils

pension credits Pensions commission report –

“more than 12 million working

people are not saving enough for

their retirement”

Lowest ever

score (3%)


17

Vote for Brexit;



Pollution / EnvironmentWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

Wettest Autumn since

records began –

widespread flooding

across the UK

EC proposes carbon emission

cuts of 20% by 2020

Winter flooding

and storms


18

Vote for Brexit;



Low pay/minimum wage/fair wagesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016


Highest recorded

score (15%)

19

Top issues – concern by party support

Base: 191 Conservative and 278 Labour supporters aged 18+, 2nd December 2016 – 15tjh January 2017



42%

45%

47%

27%

13%

8%

21%

10%

18%

23%

43%

35%

30%

28%

27%

29%

21%

17%

15%

9%


European Union/Europe/Brexit


Economy

Poverty/Inequality

Housing

Education/Schools

Unemployment

Crime/Law and order/ASB

Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism

Top mentions %

CONSERVATIVE

SUPPORTERS

LABOUR

SUPPORTERS

20

Brexit is the most important issue for all ages in

social grades ABC1; for C2DE it is immigrationWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: 1,028 British adults 18+, 2nd December 2016 – 15th January 2017

50%

46%

32%

EU

NHS

Immigration

49%

42%

37%

EU

NHS

Economy

41%

38%

34%

EU

NHS

Economy

52%

48%

30%

Immigration

NHS

EU

44%

36%

27%

Immigration

NHS

EU

38%

30%

21%

Immigration

NHS

Economy

18

-34

35

-54

55

+

ABC1 C2DE

Social grade

Ag

e b

rac

ke

t

21

Concern about EU/Brexit by subgroups


What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe/Brexit

Ipsos MORI Issues Index

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Concern about the EU/Brexit by age group:

34%

29%

38%

44%

Concern by region:

36% 33%

45% 45%

35%

57%

38%

24% 23%

Overall Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE

Social GradeLocale Party support

Concern about the EU/Brexit by key demographic groups:

34%

28% 25%40% 40% 43%40%

22

Concern about the NHS by subgroups


What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe/Brexit


18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Concern about the NHS by age group:

33%

37%

40%

52%

Concern by region:

40%33%

42% 42% 43% 43% 42% 41%35%



Concern about the NHS by key demographic groups:

31%

30% 36% 36%48% 47%43%

23

Concern about Poverty/Inequality by subgroups


What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Poverty/Inequality


18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Concern about Poverty/Inequality by age group:

23%

15%

19%

21%

Concern by region:

20%22%

13% 13%

27%24%

20%16%

18%



Concern about Poverty/Inequality by key demographic group:

23%

22% 20%26%

16%19% 16%

News & Politics

Ipsos MORI Issues Index - December 2016