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Alex Kuropiatnyk National security strategy of Ukraine An alternative vision

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Alex Kuropiatnyk

National security strategy of Ukraine An alternative vision

Garbling of notions

state

NSS`s subject –

state`s „defense

& security sector‟

NSS`s object –

political system,

governmental

arms and

branches

Prime goal –

to ensure the

security of the

status and

assets of key

oligarchs

Human rights

& liberties

reduced to

symbolic

mentioning

Garbing of notions

Values and

principles

NSS`s subject –

governmental

arms and

branches

provided by

popular support

NSS`s object –

fair and effective

governance

aimed to ensure

nation`s high

living standards

Key values –

economic

freedom and

independence

from a state

Usurpation of

power is a

priority threat

A new system of threats

Priorities internal external

Main sources

“Political class”

State bureaucracy

The Kremlin`s “fifth column”

Roots of the threats

Unacceptable practice of

assets` repartition

Low moral standards

Exit from a legal framework

Monopolization of economy

Lack of values-based

approach

Political

class

Lack of an ideological concept &

a workable economic model to

support it

Garbling of national

interests for private ones

Aftermaths of unaddressed threats

De-legitimation of state

institutionsUsurpation of power

Nation`s economic

collapsePolitical

instabilityDisintegration

Denial of

competitiveness and

de-industrialization

Sharp decline of

nation`s living

standardsNation`s disunity

Political and economic

dependence from Russia

External

governance

Roots of the threats

Low salaries

Low moral standards

Lack of a state-building idea

Lack of control

Degradation of Human

Resources` management

State

bureaucracy

Clan-type based selection of

high-level managers

Aftermaths of unaddressed threats

Illegal repartition of

private sector revenues

Disloyalty of uniformed

servicemen

De-professionalization

Economic stagnation

Nation`s splits and

disintegration

Loss of ability ta

manage a state

Transition to external

governance

Conflict of interests

Incapacity to implement

a reform agenda

Military defeat, loss of

territories

Looting of state

resources

Lack of values based approach

Lack of “Common

good” notion Just & fair judiciary

Well-being (free

entrepreneurship)

„Strength of a

nation through

diversity‟

People as a source of

authority

Patriotism as an

obligation to

defend the nation

from usurpation

A right to hear from the

government only truth

Equality in

opportunities

Unstable

political

system

Economic

degradation

The threat of nation`s disunity

“Political class” Population

A trend towards autonomies

Among the people

Central elite Regional elite

“Patriots” “Vatniks”

Nation`s economic collapse

Ineffective economic

management

De-industrialization

Slump of business profitableness and

economic degradation

Illegal capital outflow, public funds

embezzlement and tax evasion

Increase of a tax burden, fines practice

Increase of foreign debt obligation

Prioritization of agricultural businesses

leads to a problem of extra population

Loss of technologies and ability to produce

products with high added value

Criminal activity of the

state`s officials

Foreign threats

Loss of „friendly‟

support

Russian aggression Russian economic leverages are in place

Military training programs and financial

assistance

Suspension of financial default

Nation`s military

has no aim to

defeat Russians

Sanction pressure on Russia

National Guard

stands ready to

suppress unrest

Russian „Fifth column‟ stands ready to act

Russian aggression

Dilemma № 1

Has Ukrainian nation a foreign foe?

Authority: there is a foe – it is Russia and Kremlin

Doubt: government is not waging war against Russia seriously

Endless hostilities appear to be a precondition for the present political group to stay in the

Dilemma № 2

Has Ukrainians an internal foe and who is it?

Authority: there is a foe – civil activists unhappy with government`s policy, thus they are Putin`s puppets

Doubt: authority is getting ready to wage war against its people

End of hostilities and temporary renunciation of the occupied territories appear to be a major precondition for political stability and economic revival

Addressing internal threats

From a Political class

Economic model, capable to

support well-being of the

nation

Need of ideological

concept: - Who we are?

- What differs us from our

neighbors?

- For the sake of what

positive perspective we

live together?

Evolutional substitution of

the political elite by means

of democracy tools

Purge of the authority from

criminal individuals and

likewise mentality

Civil society establishes the

tools to control authority

A new economic model

Principles

Separation of power

and business

Conflict of interests –

according to OECD

standards

Authority rests upon legality

(norms of law) and popular

support (legitimacy)

Secular institution to support

high moral standards in

politics

Securing the

nation`s industrial

status as a

precondition for

middle class

existence

State bureaucracy

Based of skills and

moral qualities HR

promotion

Shaping of reformers

teams according to

specific state policies

Independence of

officials from

oligarch's influence

Barring of conflict of

interests

Separation of state from

business

Listening to civil

society while

making decisions

Revival of

trust to the

authority

Values based approach

Human freedoms

PoliticalPersonal Economic

Safety of life

and property,

sanctity for the

home other

than by a court

order

Freely and knowingly elect

and replace the

government,

Freedom of speech,

assembly, peaceful protest

Economic

freedom for

each citizen

through

individual

efforts and

merits

Values based approach

A „good governance‟ principle

for state management

Transparent government

under civil control:

combating corruption,

search of state assets,

looted by officials

Facilitation of citizens`

entrepreneurship activity

Recognition of strong

and competitive private

business as a national

interest

Recognize the link:

national security – nation`s

competitiveness,

healthy economy –

authority`s moral conduct

Engaging citizens to

manage a state

The

pursuit of

well-being

Values based approach

Recognition of the legal

nature of all peaceful

democratic political forces

Revealing the true

assets of officials,

creation of the utmost

difficulties for officials

to steal public funds

Transparency of budget

management & public

spending

Facilitation of citizens`

endeavors to keep the

authority accountable

Support of the

governance by

means of mutual

understanding, not

by violence

Efforts to

strengthen

civil society

structures

Addressing the split-lines

Elite versus

people

Central elite

versus

regional one

Among the

people

Decentralization as a new

balance of power

A two chamber legislative

Checks & balances

mechanisms put in place

“Strength through diversity”

Values-based fair

governance of the

state

Recognition of two

different parts of the

society

Devotion to produce a

new elite

Transparent and values

based reform agenda

Addressing economic collapse

Creating tools to

support prioritized

industries and services

Main efforts – to raise

the level of labor force

training for science-

consuming industries

Engaging potential consumers even on the

level of advices on an early stage is crucial

Reshaping of the system of HR policy for

top and mid-level state managers

Priorities are defined by demand and

added values level, not by globalization

Friendly environment for production to be

put in place first

The country has a potential to reshape its

economy due to growth of export of high-

tech high added-value products

Growth of high-tech

products` export

Addressing economic collapse

Sources to finance the

economic growth

Eradication of

government ideologies

conflict

Economic competition is to

be considered

A balanced development

of industries and

agriculture

True EU motivation for

integration with Ukraine is

to be considered

Nation`s intelligence as a

priority for investments

EU association course

needs adjustments

High quality production

for domestic demand

Freedom of

entrepreneurship

needs expansion

There is a demand for

cheap capital for science-

consuming production,

not for credits

Addressing external threats

The West

stands ready

to keep on

helping

Ukraine

provided…

Top military offices should be

staffed with generals capable to

wage a modern war

The West does not share

Ukrainian assessments on

Russia-Ukraine war

perspectives and reforms

agenda progress

Top military brass is purged from traitors, corrupted

personalities and looters of state assets

Enforcing motivation of the “friends”

Western economic & visa

sanctions are aimed to change

Russian foreign policy

The West supports Ukraine in a

hope that the country will self

transform in a Western-type nation

based on values

New-type (ideologically-based)

political parties should be

established and led to offices in

a democratic fashion

Ukraine should turn to be a part

of these efforts

This does not match the

motivation of an actual

Ukrainian political class, which

should be replaced

The West feels comfortable to

interact with legitimate and well

shaped political players

Russian aggression

Uniformed servicemen to suppress

legitimate popular protests

Corrupted and disloyal nature of

uniformed servicemen

Putting in place transparent

economic rules & regulations,

Defining & promoting national

interests

Civil society control over law

enforcement agencies

Transfer to independent

indicators of effectiveness

Economic war with Russia

Russian „Fifth column”

Shaping of civil mindset &

ideological political parties

Thank you for your attention

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