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Retirement Boom™
The Roadmap for
Turning Your Retirement Savings into Guaranteed
Lifetime Income
Preparing for the Longest Vacation of Your Life,
Retirement!
_____________________2015____________________
Jeff Carter, RICP, CSA, RFC, LUTCF
Retirement Income Certified Professional
Scottsdale, Arizona
http://retirementboom.org
There is a principle which is a bar against all
information, which is proof against all arguments and
which cannot fail to keep a man in everlasting
ignorance ─ that principle is contempt prior to
investigation.
─ Herbert Spence
Introduction
Retirement Boom™ discusses how to access your retirement
savings and create a guaranteed income stream that will last
the rest of your life.
When the kids are out of the house, and retirement is on
the horizon or has already arrived, many think about
downsizing. Whether or not that is true for you, it is
important to recognize that when you retire, your
accumulated wealth has most likely peaked.
Retirement these days can last decades, and that poses
many potential threats to your financial health. There are
several steps, however, that you can take to ensure your
money lasts as long as you do.
The demise of traditional pension plans means many
retirees face the possibility of outliving their savings. Social
Security was designed to be a safety net for people, but it
was never meant to be the only retirement income that
retirees were to receive.
To make sure that your money – and your lifestyle – will
last as long as you do, the prudent way to get started is by
developing a retirement income plan.
Think of your retirement plan as a personalized strategy
that involves spending down your savings in ways that are
designed to generate the guaranteed income you need to live
out your retirement years.
The days of relying solely on pension plans and Social
Security to meet retirement income needs are virtually in the
past. Employer-provided health coverage, which allows a
person to segue into an early retirement prior to qualifying
for Medicare at age 65, is unavailable to many. In addition,
people today live longer and carry more debt than in
previous generations.
All of the above are reasons why it is important to develop
a personal retirement income strategy. After all, once you
retire, you will need to shift gears from saving money to
managing the income from those savings. The challenge is
withdrawing enough money to cover your needs without
depleting your savings prior to your death.
After reading these pages, you should have the
knowledge necessary to engage in planning your retirement
income strategy. You will have a roadmap that will allow
you to live a financially secure retirement, thereby giving
you peace of mind.
The following pages are a combination of my
professional education and experiences working with
thousands of clients, helping them prepare their retirement
income plans. As you read, remember that the quest is to
generate a guaranteed lifetime income during your
retirement years – an income that you cannot outlive. It is
time to begin planning the longest vacation of your life!
Part I
Planning
Your Retirement Income
“A goal is a dream with a deadline”
– Napoleon Hill
The New York Life Center for Retirement Income recently
released results from the RICP® Retirement Income
Literacy Survey,i and the findings have generated quite a
buzz. When The American College asked more than 1,000
individuals between the ages of 60 to 75 what they knew
about issues relevant to retirement income decision-making,
they expected to find some gaps in knowledge. However,
they did not expect that the average score would be 42
percent correct with only 20 percent receiving a passing
score of 60 percent correct or better. The results have
garnered national attention from USA Today, The
Washington Post, Chicago Tribune, and CNBC. If you
would like to download The American College RICP®
Retirement Income Literacy Survey report, please visit the
following link:
http://SmartFinancialStrategies.com/SR
Retirement income literacy is of essential importance to
the financial security of retiring or already retired Boomers.
With reduced ability to earn additional money through work
once retired, Boomers must know how much they need to
accumulate before their retirement and how to manage their
money during retirement. Retirement income literacy will
become more important as the number of people entering
retirement with defined benefit guaranteed lifetime income
decreases, while life expectancy will average another 20
years or more after turning age 65. In addition, Medicare
premium increases will continue to rise at a rate higher than
the cost of living adjustments that are taken out of retirees
Social Security retirement checks. This lack of knowledge
can have dire consequences on a secure retirement.
A referral we will call Jacob thought he had a good
investment strategy back in 2007. But when the market
downturn started in 2008, Jacob was prompted to ask his
friend (my client) whom she confided in for her retirement
planning advice. It was at this point that I received a call
from Jacob and was asked to review his situation because he
wanted somewhere more stable to park his money. Jacob
stated that his original financial planner recommended a 100
percent stock investment plan, and his intentions were to sell
what he needed when he needed it for an income stream.
This was a great strategy in 2007. However, when the market
started heading south in 2008, he had to rethink his strategy.
Jacob decided to take a substantial amount out of the stock
market. He set up a guaranteed lifetime income annuity,
which guaranteed an income he could not outlive while
giving him peace of mind that he would not lose his life
savings as the stock market meltdown occurred.
Are you experiencing overconfidence in your investing
skills? When you invest your retirement savings, it is natural
to experience a lot of emotion as you watch the ups and
downs of the markets each day. After all, you are dealing
with your financial future. The typical result is that a slew of
cognitive biases come into play, clouding people’s judgment
and hampering their ability to make rational, impartial
decisions.
The "Gambler's Fallacy"
The Gambler's Fallacy is one of the biggest issues that
individuals face when investing. As emotionally driven
human beings, we tend to put a tremendous amount of
weight on previous events believing that future outcomes
will somehow be the same. The bias is clearly addressed at
the bottom of every piece of financial literature: "Past
performance is no guarantee of future results." However,
despite that statement being plastered everywhere in the
financial universe, individuals consistently dismiss the
warning. Instead, they focus on past returns and expect
similar results in the future.
The “Herd Bias”
Though we are often unconscious of the action, humans tend
to go with the crowd. Much of this behavior relates back to
wanting confirmation of our decisions but also our need for
acceptance. The thought process is rooted in the belief that
if everyone else is doing something, then I need to do it too
if I want to be accepted.
Conforming to the norm is socially accepted and in many
ways expected. However, in the financial markets, the
herding behavior is what drives market excesses during
advances and declines.
The “Probability Neglect”
When it comes to risk taking, there are two ways to assess
the potential outcome. There are possibilities and
probabilities. As individuals, we tend to lean toward what is
possible such as playing the lottery. The statistical
probabilities of winning the lottery are astronomical; in fact,
you are more likely to die on the way to purchasing the ticket
than winning the lottery. However, it is the possibility of
being fabulously wealthy that makes the lottery successful
as a "tax on poor people."
However, as investors we tend to neglect the probabilities
of any given action, which is the statistical measure of risk
undertaken with any given investment. As individuals, our
bias is to chase stocks that have already shown the biggest
increase in price, as it is possible that they could move even
higher. However, the probability is that most of the gains are
likely already built into the current move and that a
corrective action will occur first.
The human brain is simply not wired for investing. Our
Stone Age ancestors evolved and survived by focusing on
whatever helped them hunt and gather food. Their biases
shaped their beliefs, which created and reinforced their
understanding of the world. Like our ancestors, we see the
world through a screen of biases. For example, most
investors will focus on their successes and try to forget the
mistakes they have made. In that way, they consistently
confirm their personal views rather than maintain
objectivity.
One particular shortcoming of investors is their innate
tendency toward overconfidence. We naturally put up
barriers that allow us to forget the mistakes we have made in
the past. At the same time, we tend to focus on the successful
investments we have made, which makes us overly
confident. This shortcoming leads to taking on excessive
portfolio risks.
None of us are immune to these biases. That is why it is
vital to create an environment for investing that is detached
from emotion and relying on data and impartial analysis in
order to make the right decisions for your financial
wellbeing.
Planning your retirement income is fundamentally
different from managing your money while accumulating
savings for retirement. When clients move from the
retirement saving phase to the retirement spending phase of
their lives, their investment objectives change significantly.
Once retired, they hope that their money will grow while
they draw down the savings to fund living expenses. They
attempt to minimize tax consequences and maximize
income. In other words, they try to not run out of money
before they run out of life.
This book outlines a clear and disciplined process to plan
those distributions for a long and prosperous retirement.
Each of the chapters will guide you through the process so
that you become better informed and can make educated
decisions about your personal situation.
i RICP® Retirement Income Survey. (n.d.) Crash Course Needed: Four
Out of Five Americans Fail When Quizzed on How to Make Their Nest
Eggs Last. [Press release]. Retrieved February 24, 2015, from
http://www.theamericancollege.edu/ricp-retirement-income-
survey/press-release.php
Part III
Key Retirement Income Risks
“The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance”
– Socrates
Understanding the risks you may face in retirement has
never been more important. There is an increased need to
protect retirement income from market downturns, low
interest rates, and increased longevity. Since fewer workers
in the private sector retire with traditional defined benefit
pension plan income, the number of those who are
vulnerable to these risks is increasing.
Although the possibility of stock market losses has
traditionally garnered greater attention, low interest rates
over an extended period of time can also be very damaging
to the retirement security of those saving for retirement, as
well as those drawing income during retirement.
Guaranteed lifetime income products help protect
retirement income from market downturns, as well as an
extended period of low interest rates, while guaranteeing that
income can be generated for life.
Currently, the median retirement savings in 401(k) plans,
403(b) plans, and IRAs for households approaching
retirement is approximately $80,900 at the end of the first
quarter of 2013.i The income that these savings can generate
will not be sufficient for the vast majority of retirees, even
with Social Security benefit retirement income. Therefore, it
is imperative that individuals save more in their workplace
retirement plans and personal investment accounts while
measuring their progress in terms of an income goal, not a
savings goal. After all, once you retire, you will need to shift
gears from saving money to managing the income from
those savings. The challenge is withdrawing enough money
to cover your needs without depleting your savings before
your death.
i Fleck, C. (2013, June 17). Average 401(k) Balances for
55-Plus: $255,000. [Web log post]. Retrieved February 24,
2015, from http://blog.aarp.org/2013/06/17/average-401k-
balances-for-55-plus-reach-255000-retirement-savings