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Ain-Shams University
Faculty of Agriculture
DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS : ANIMAL PRODUCTION APPLICATIONS
By
Dr. TALAAT REFAAThttps://www.linkedin.com/in/talaatrefaat
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Ain-Shams University Faculty of Agriculture
DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS : ANIMAL PRODUCTION APPLICATIONS
By
Dr. TALAAT HARB M REFAAThttps://www.linkedin.com/in/talaatrefaat
April, 28, 2007
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FRAME WORK: PROBLEM
DEFINITION To establish a frame work for
presentation SUBJECT To limit the domain of work / SCOPE To organize our thoughts & ideas. To get the BEST time utilization. To decide on different issues. OBJECTIVES
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PRESENTATION TOPICS DSS definition. Types of computer-based system. Decision making process. Systems Approach: A System Life Cycle.
Requirements for DSS. Technical capabilities of DSS. Alternative terminologies for DSS. Applications.
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DSS Definition
A DSS can be described as a computer-based information system that helps a manager make key decisions and thereby improves the effectiveness of managers problem-solving process.
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Types of computer-based system
Operating Systems (OS). Application Systems: Payroll, Inventory,
Customer Invoice, Feeding Cost, Mat. Price , DietMix.
Database Management Systems (DBMS) Management Information Systems (MIS) Decision Support Systems (DSS)
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DECISION MAKING PROCESS
Cut off,,,,,, a solution,,,,,, a direction,,,, responsible freedom,,,, risk,,, objectives??.
the best alternative for the DECISION MAKER,,,,, Decision levels, STRATIGICAL, TACTICAL,
OPERATIONAL. Scientific methods ,models, simulations, team work.
Decision Making approaches : DISCRIPTIVE, SCIENTIFIC.
Pure Intuition. (live with it, observational/conventional ) Making use of experts. By means of committees. QUALITATIVE. QUANTITATIVE.
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An Organization
Is a network of interdependent systems, designed to perform the activities vital to human existence.
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Systems ApproachStructured Analysis & Design
An Organization. A System. A Procedure. The Systems Analyst. The System Study Cycle.
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A System
Is a network of interdependent procedures, that are joined together to perform an activity.
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A Procedure
Is a precise series of step- by- step instructions that explain :
will be done . WHAT is to be done , WHO will do it , WHEN it will be done , & HOW it will be done.
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The Systems Analyst
Is a methods person, who can start with a complex problem, break it down, and identify the reasonable solutions.
The ANALYST can : Study ill system, come up with superior alternatives. Given some number of objectives, device systematic
means of attaining them. Differentiate & Integrate any complex system.
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The system study cycle Problem Definition.SUBJECT , SCOPE , OBJECTIVES, reporting
machinery.
Prepare an outline of the system study.Organize into major areas ,plan.
General Information on area under study.Identify areas, background, politics.
Interaction between areas being studied.Org structure, i/p , o/p resources.
Understanding the existing system.Develop your approach, interviewing,………
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The system study cycle (cont.) Define the new systems requirements.ses , sis ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, srd
Designing the new system.Problem solving vs decision making.
Economic cost comparisons.Two concepts of cost analysis: payback period,
marginal efficiency of investment.
Selling the system.Gaining acceptance : thro’ written rep, verbal
pres.
Implementation, follow-up & re-evaluation.Old , new system , why re-evaluation. Unending
process.
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Requirements for DSSCharacteristics enable DSS to achieve Objectives: Relies heavily on: Sophisticated Quantitative
Tech of Model Building, Else ( if Analytical Optimization can’t) ,
Relies on Simulation Models. Uses Statistical Analysis to collect data , predict
trends. Non-computer-oriented people can use it in an
interactive mode. Designed to remain flexible and adaptable, to
meet specific decision-making style.
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Tools of dss
Deterministic Models Linear Programming. (LP) Resource Allocation Problems. Assignment Problems. Scheduling Problems. Dynamic Programming. Non-Linear Programming. Shortest Path Programming. Maximum Flow Problems. Transportation or Routing Problems Goal Programming.
There is more than one Classification; One is as follow:
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Tools of dss (Cont)
Probabilistic and Stochastic Models
Regression Analysis. Forecasting Models. Time Series Analysis. Decision Trees. Project Management Problems. Inventory Control Models. Queuing Models. Simulation Models.
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Technical Capabilities of DSS
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For
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Problem Motivation MPP Characteristics. MPP in Developing Countries Vs
Developed Countries A Unified Approach For:
ANALYZING, FORMULATING & SOLVING MPP
Applications
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Is it possible to systematize tackling manpower problems ?!
“Solving” an MPP, already formulated, is a part of tackling the whole management situation.
There is exist a big difference between “Solving” a specific MPP, and “Solving” a general MPP.
Yet, common features characterize MPP’s
In the literature 3 generations are identified
A Unified Approach For ANALYZING, FORMULATING & SOLVING MPP’s
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فلندي
أوسيمي
برقي
رحماني