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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Third Quarter Fiscal 2016July 28, 2016
Wilson R. JonesPresident and Chief Executive Officer
David M. SagehornExecutive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Patrick N. DavidsonVice President, Investor Relations
Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK)
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Forward-Looking StatementsThis presentation contains statements that the Company believes to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, statements regarding the Company’s future financial position, business strategy, targets, projected sales, costs, earnings, capital expenditures, debt levels and cash flows, and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. When used in this press release, words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “should,” “project” or “plan” or the negative thereof or variations thereon or similar terminology are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, some of which are beyond the Company’s control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include the cyclical nature of the Company’s access equipment, commercial and fire & emergency markets, which are particularly impacted by the strength of U.S. and European economies and construction seasons; the Company’s estimates of access equipment demand which, among other factors, is influenced by customer historical buying patterns and rental company fleet replacement strategies; the strength of the dollar and its impact on Company exports, translation of foreign sales and purchased materials; the expected level and timing of U.S. DoD and international defense customer procurement of products and services and funding or payments thereof; the Company’s ability to utilize material and components which it has committed to purchase from suppliers; higher material costs resulting from production variability due to uncertainty of timing of funding or payments from international defense customers; risks related to reductions in government expenditures in light of U.S. defense budget pressures, sequestration and an uncertain DoD tactical wheeled vehicle strategy; the impact of any DoD solicitation for competition for future contracts to produce military vehicles, including a future FMTV production contract; the Company’s ability to increase prices to raise margins or offset higher input costs; increasing commodity and other raw material costs, particularly in a sustained economic recovery; risks related to facilities expansion,consolidation and alignment, including the amounts of related costs and charges and that anticipated cost savings may not be achieved; global economic uncertainty, which could lead to additional impairment charges related to many of the Company’s intangible assets and/or a slower recovery in the Company’s cyclical businesses than Company or equity market expectations; projected adoption rates of work at height machinery in emerging markets; the impact of severe weather or natural disasters thatmay affect the Company, its suppliers or its customers; risks related to the collectability of receivables, particularly for those businesses with exposure to construction markets; the cost of any warranty campaigns related to the Company’s products; risksrelated to production or shipment delays arising from quality or production issues; risks associated with international operations and sales, including compliance with the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act; the Company’s ability to comply with complex laws and regulations applicable to U.S. government contractors; cybersecurity risks and costs of defending against, mitigating and responding to a data security breach; and risks related to the Company’s ability to successfully execute on its strategic road map and meet its long-term financial goals. Additional information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Form 8-K filed today. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. The Company assumes no obligation, and disclaims any obligation, to update information contained in this presentation. Investors should be aware that the Company may not update such information until the Company’s next quarterly earnings conference call, if at all.
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 2
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Q3 FY16
Q3 FY16 EPS of $1.13
− Equal to Q3 FY15
Higher defense and fire & emergency segment sales
Higher operating income margin vs. prior year in defense, fire & emergency and commercial segments
Progress on funding and delivery schedules for the large international M-ATV order
Increased full year EPS outlook to range of $2.60 to $2.80
Net Sales(billions) EPS
3
$1.7 $1.6
$1.13 $1.13
$0.00
$0.25
$0.50
$0.75
$1.00
$1.25
$0.0$0.2$0.4$0.6$0.8$1.0$1.2$1.4$1.6$1.8$2.0
FY16 FY15Net Sales EPS
OSK Fiscal Q3 Performance
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Access Equipment
North America market remains cautious− Lower replacement demand− Rental companies selective with capital
expenditures Solid activity in Europe− Continued access equipment market
recovery Brazil extremely depressed Asia-Pacific growth and ongoing impact
of mining slowdown in Australia Challenging pricing environment On track to achieve inventory reduction
target by year-end Positive long-term trends
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 4
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Defense Strong defense segment outlook
New segment president – promotion of John Bryant − Ret. USMC colonel - 28 years experience
− Led Oshkosh U.S. TWV programs
JLTV ramp up gaining momentum− Higher levels of test & development
activities− Solid long-term international potential
Progress on funding and delivery schedules for international M-ATVs− Positive impact on FY16 performance
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 5
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Fire & Emergency
Solid performance led by Pierce− Executed production rate increase in
Wisconsin and Florida, with additional increase in Q4 FY16
Modest market recovery continues− Improved municipal tax receipts− Fleet replacement
New products and technologies driving customer excitement
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 6
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Commercial
Higher operating income on slightly lower sales
Continued solid RCV business− Replacement demand− Solid construction activity and
improved municipal tax receipts− Share gains− Prior year large international sale
Seasonal concrete mixer demand increase− Continued strong front discharge
demand− Cautious rear discharge customers
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 7
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Consolidated Results
Sales impacted by: Higher defense, fire &
emergency and access equipment segment sales
EPS impacted by: Higher defense, fire &
emergency and commercial segment results
Lower share count
Lower access equipment segment results
Higher tax rate
Higher incentive compensation
Q3 Comments
(Dollars in millions, except per share amounts)
Third Quarter
Net Sales $1,747.5 $1,612.3% Change 8.4% (16.6)%
Operating Income $146.8 $136.6% Change 7.5% (22.1)%% Margin 8.4% 8.5%
EPS $1.13 $1.13% Change 0.0% (7.4)%
2016 2015
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 8
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Updated Expectations for FY16
Additional expectations Corporate expenses of $150 - $155 million Tax rate of ~ 32% CapEx of ~ $100 million Free Cash Flow* ~ $400 million Assumes share count of ~ 74.5 million
Segment information
Revenues of ~ $6.0 to $6.1 billion Operating income of $340 million to $360 million EPS of $2.60 to $2.80
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
9
Increased full year EPS estimate range Added ~ 175 international M-ATVs in Q4 Improved F&E performance Reduced access equipment operating margin
expectations Increased incentive compensation expense Higher tax rate
Measure Access Equipment Defense Fire &
Emergency Commercial
Sales(billions) $2.9 to $2.95 ~$1.25 ~ $0.95 ~ $1.0
Operating Income Margin 9.5% - 9.75% ~ 7.75% ~ 6.75% ~ 7.0%
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
For informationcontact:
Patrick N. DavidsonVice President, Investor Relations(920) [email protected]
Jeffrey D. WattDirector, Investor Relations(920) [email protected]
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 10
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Net Sales $952.5 $932.6% Change 2.1% (10.3)%
Operating Income $122.1 $136.4% Change (10.4)% (18.2)%% Margin 12.8% 14.6%
Third Quarter
(Dollars in millions)
2016 2015
Appendix: Access Equipment
Sales impacted by: Higher volume in North America,
primarily telehandlers− Competitive pricing
Operating income impacted by:− Competitive pricing− Prior year reversal of accrued
incentive compensation expense Lower spending on engine
emissions standards changes Higher sales volume
Backlog down 5% vs. prior year to $375 million
Q3 Comments
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 11
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Appendix: Defense
Sales impacted by: Higher FHTV volume
Operating income impacted by: Favorable product mix Contractual price increases Higher sales volume
Backlog up 88% vs. prior year to $2.3 billion
Q3 Comments
Net Sales $264.3 $194.2% Change 36.1% (58.7)%
Operating Income / (Loss) $19.1 $(7.1)
% Change 369.3% (137.0)%% Margin 7.2% (3.7)%
Third Quarter
(Dollars in millions)
2016 2015
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 12
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Net Sales $248.5 $199.8% Change 24.4% 6.6%
Operating Income $19.7 $9.6% Change 105.0% 55.5%% Margin 7.9% 4.8%
Third Quarter
(Dollars in millions)
2016 2015
Appendix: Fire & Emergency
Sales impacted by: Higher Pierce fire truck volume
Operating income impacted by: Higher sales volume Improved pricing
Backlog up 12% vs. prior year to $853 million
Q3 Comments
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 13
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Appendix: Commercial
Sales impacted by:− Lower international RCV volume
Operating income impacted by: Improved product mix
Backlog down 5% vs. prior year to $206 million
Q3 Comments
Net Sales $287.9 $294.0% Change (2.1)% 18.9%
Operating Income $23.8 $22.4% Change 6.2% 12.9%% Margin 8.3% 7.6%
Third Quarter
(Dollars in millions)
2016 2015
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 14
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Appendix: Commonly Used Acronyms
15July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call
ARFF Aircraft Rescue and Firefighting M-ATV MRAP All-Terrain VehicleAWP Aerial Work Platform MRAP Mine Resistant Ambush ProtectedAMPS Aftermarket parts & service MSVS Medium Support Vehicle System (Canada)CapEx Capital Expenditures NOL Net Operating LossCNG Compressed Natural Gas NPD New Product DevelopmentDGE Diesel Gallon Equivalent NRC National Rental CompanyDoD Department of Defense OCO Overseas Contingency OperationsEAME Europe, Africa & Middle East OH OverheadEMD Engineering & Manufacturing Development OI Operating IncomeEPS Diluted Earnings Per Share OOS Oshkosh Operating SystemFAST Act Fixing America’s Surface Transportation Act OPEB Other Post-Employment BenefitsFHTV Family of Heavy Tactical Vehicles PLS Palletized Load SystemFMS Foreign Military Sales PUC Pierce Ultimate ConfigurationFMTV Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles R&D Research & DevelopmentGAAP U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles RCV Refuse Collection VehicleGAO Government Accountability Office RFP Request for ProposalHEMTT Heavy Expanded Mobility Tactical Truck ROW Rest of WorldHET Heavy Equipment Transporter SMP Standard Military Pattern (Canadian MSVS)HMMWV High Mobility Multi-Purpose Wheeled Vehicle TACOM Tank-automotive and Armaments CommandIRC Independent Rental Company TDP Technical Data PackageIT Information Technology TPV Tactical Protector VehicleJLTV Joint Light Tactical Vehicle TWV Tactical Wheeled VehicleJPO Joint Program Office UCA Undefinitized Contract ActionJROC Joint Requirements Oversight Council UIK Underbody Improvement Kit (for M-ATV)JUONS Joint Urgent Operational Needs Statement UK United KingdomL-ATV Light Combat Tactical All-Terrain Vehicle ZR Zero Radius
LVSR Logistic Vehicle System Replacement
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
July 28, 2016OSK Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Call 16
Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation
• The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures (in millions):
Fiscal 2016Expectations
Net cash flows provided by operating activities $ 500.0 Additions to property, plant and equipment (100.0)Free cash flow $ 400.0