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Investor Conference CallFY/Q4 2015 Results
February 25, 2016 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 1
Disclaimer
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements based on currentassumptions and forecasts made by Bayer management.
Various known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead tomaterial differences between the actual future results, financial situation,development or performance of the company and the estimates given here.These factors include those discussed in Bayer’s public reports which areavailable on the Bayer website at http://www.bayer.com.
The company assumes no liability whatsoever to update these forward-lookingstatements or to conform them to future events or developments.
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 2
Page 3
2015 – A Transformational Year
2015 saw higher sales (+3% cpa.) and strong growth of adjusted EBITDA(+18%) and Core EPS (+16%); sales improvement driven by Pharma (+10%),Consumer Health (+5%) and CropScience (+2%)
Strong top-line performance in Q4: Organic sales in Pharma +10%,Consumer Health +7%, CropScience +5%; bottom-line performance mixed ashigher R&D and marketing investments as well as a challenging Agenvironment held back profit growth; adjusted EBITDA +4%; core EPS -9%,previous year benefited from tax-gain and fully included Covestro
Major strategic progress: IPO of Covestro, disposal of Diabetes Care, neworganizational set-up
Dividend proposal of €2.50, up 11% yoy, 37% payout of Core EPS
Financial outlook 2016 projects further growth and higher earnings
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkerscpa = Fx & portfolio adj.
Page 4
+65%
908
549
+2%
11,31910,792
+4%
1,9031,829
-9%
1.071.17
Q4’15Q4’14 Q4’15Q4’14 Q4’15Q4’14 Q4’15Q4’14
Q4 2015 – Mixed Performance
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
EBITin € million
Salesin € million% currency & portfolio adj.
EBITDAbefore special itemsin € million
Core EPScont. op.in €
Q4 2015 – Divisional Breakdown
Page 5
Group €11,319m; +2%
1,609
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
2014 2015
3,490
3341,844
520
-9%
+18%
1,903
+6%
257
991
+11%
+4%
Covestro-11%
CropScience+5%
Pharma+10%
ConsumerHealth+7%
2,439
2,240
3,571
2,774
939
470
369
217
1,829
Sales EBITDAin € million; ∆% yoy, Fx & portfolio adj. before special items, in € million; ∆% yoy
FY 2015 –Targets More Than Achieved
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 6
2014Actual
2015 Guidance(original)
2015Actual
∆ 2015 vs. 2014
Sales €41.3bnlow-single-digit %
increase to~€46bn
€46.3bn +3%
adj. EBITDA €8.7bn low- to mid-teens % increase €10.3bn +18%
core EPS(continuing) €5.89 low-teens %
increase €6.83 +16%
✓
✓
✓
Sales ∆% yoy, Fx & portfolio adj., EBITDA before special items, continuing operations
✓
✓
FY 2015 – Launch Products Continued to Drive Performance at Pharma
Page 7
Stivarga
Launch products+42% (fx-adj.)
Establishedproducts+4% (nominal)
Pharma €13,745m; +10%
1,228
+57%
2,252
+34%
181
+89%313
+25%
4,2319,514
EyleaXarelto
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
+43%257
Sales Product Salesin € million; ∆% yoy, Fx & portfolio adj. in € million; ∆% yoy, Fx adj.,
2015 Q4‘14 Q4‘152014Pro-forma
in € billion; ∆% yoy, Fx & portfolio adj.
FY 2015 Consumer Care –Strong Finish to a Successful Year
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 8
6.15.6
1.4 1.5
Sales
+10%+12%
+5%
+2%*
+17%
* incl. Aspirin Cardio
Product SalesFx adj.
FY 2015 CropScience – Resilient in Challenging Market Environment
Page 9
CropScience €10,367m; +2%
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Herbicides+5%
EnvironmentalScience
+4%Seeds+9% 2,830
819
North America
Asia/Pacific
LatAm/Africa/ Middle East
3,123
+8%
2,689
-2%
1,531
3,024
-0.5%
Europe
+1%
1,596
2,911
934
1,277
Insecticides-14%Fungicides
+10%
SeedGrowth
-11%
∆% yoy, Fx adj.Sales in € million; ∆% yoy, Fx & portfolio adj.
+12%
+14%
+5%
~4.8
~1.9
~4.5
FY 2015 Emerging Markets - Strong, Double-Digit Growth at Pharma and Consumer Care
Page 10
EmergingMarkets¹
+6%
Industrializedcountries
+6%
Group total €46.3bn
32%
33%37%63%
Pharma ConsumerCare
CropScience
47%
¹ Emerging economies include: Latin America, Asia w/o Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Africa and Middle East incl. Turkey, Eastern Europe
% EM share of total divisional sales
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Sales, ∆% yoy, Fx adj. in € billion; ∆% yoy, Fx & portfolio adj.,
FY 2016 Life Science Guidance
Page 11
2015 2016e*
Sales €34.3bnMid-single digit %
increase~€35bn
Adj. EBITDA €8.6bn Mid-single digit % increase
Sales ∆ yoy Fx and portfolio adj., EBITDA before special items
*Assuming end Q4 2015 Fx rates (USD 1.09)Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
FY 2016 Group Guidance Including Covestro -Further Sales and Earnings Growth
Page 12
2015 2016e*
Sales €46.3bnLow-single digit %
increase>€47bn
adj. EBITDA €10.3bn Mid-single digit % increase
core EPS(continuing) €6.83 Mid-single digit %
increase
Sales ∆ yoy Fx and portfolio adj., EBITDA before special items
*Assuming end Q4 2015 Fx rates (USD 1.09)Outlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
FY 2016 –R&D and CapEx Budgets
Page 13
3%
Covestro
Pharma
Animal Health
58% 25%
6%
CropScience
29%
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
R&D 2016e: €4.5bn CapEx (PPE) 2016e: €2.5bn
6%2%Recon.
Consumer Health
2%
Covestro
Pharma
26% 30%
CropScience
21%Recon.
Animal Health9%
12%Consumer Health
Pharma Mid-single-digit % increase Launch product sales: >€5bn
Mid- to high-single-digit % increase (expected margin improvement)
ConsumerHealth Mid-single-digit % increase Mid-single-digit % increase
CropScience Low-single-digit % increase Low-single-digit % increase
Animal Health Low- to-mid-single-digit % increase Low- to-mid-single-digit % increase
FY 2016 –Guidance by Segment
Page 14*Assuming end Q4 2015 Fx rates (USD 1.09)
Sales ∆ Fx & portfolio Adj., EBITDA before special itemsOutlook depends on specific planning assumptions as detailed in the Annual Report
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers
Sales Guidance Adj. EBITDA Guidance*
Investor Conference CallFY/Q4 2015 Results
February 25, 2016 / Marijn Dekkers, CEO
• Q4/FY 2015 Investor Conference Call • Marijn Dekkers Page 15