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This presentation is from a webinar held by Evolent Health in March 2014. We discussed the market stakes in considering population risk assumption and shared specific perspectives on the key determinants of whether to pursue payer risk arrangements or consider launching a health plan. Evolent believes that there are strong opportunities in the market for payer partnerships as well as provider sponsored health plans. Each situation is different. We do believe health systems have a strong strategic interest in moving forward with a robust population health strategy and that it is far less risky to go forward to compete in this arena than hang back and let others take the lead. Evolent Health was founded on the premise that provider focused systems are best positioned to succeed in this value driven world. They can create the best population health performance, especially because of their physician engagement. When supplemented with financial risk management tools, provider systems, including provider sponsored health plans, can drive growth because this new insurance world will drive volume to the highest value providers.
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Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Clinical and Financial Integration for Future Growth
Winning Payer Strategies in an Evolving Market
Presented by Evolent Health | March 2013, 2014
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Clinical and Financial Integration for Future Growth
2
Seth Frazier
Chief Transformation Officer
Previously:
• Chief Transformation Officer, Geisinger Health System
• Senior Vice President, Strategic Services, The Children’s Hospital
of Pennsylvania
Carolyn Magill
Senior Vice President, Payer Strategy and Operations
Previously:
• Chief Operating Officer, UnitedHealth Community & State – New
Jersey
Julia Bietsch
Market President
Previously:
• Vice President of Clinical Operations, Anthem
• Vice President West Coast Network Negotiations, Anthem
#evolenthealth
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Evolent At-a-Glance
3
Provider-focused integrated systems are best positioned to create innovative clinical
models that improve care and reduce costs
Risk management
infrastructure to
capture value from
population health
Population health
management to optimize
care and reduce cost
Physician ownership
to maximize success
Continued support of physicians, coupled with infrastructure investment
on a payer neutral platform, enable high quality, low cost care.
In combination these capabilities drive growth for our clients in a value-driven market
2+
since initial inception
years500+
Evolenteersin 2014
2Mlives impacted
by current model
15markets
served nationwide
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Our Model
4
Clinical platformPopulation health
management
Financial platformPayer-neutral support and
infrastructure
Aligned operating partner providing the people, process and technology that leading
health systems require for provider-led, physician-driven care transformation
Tech platformIdentifi analytics and
care management engine
POPULATION HEALTH PLATFORM
BlueprintBoard-ready operational plan
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Market Forces Driving Price-centric Insurance Products Featuring Narrow Networks with Care Integration
5
Drive value-focused health
coverage redesign with
increased consumer
financial responsibility…
Moving patients to
integrated, low priced
networks that
offload risk to providers
Broad cost/price
pressures…
• Health care costs represent
18% of GDP, despite recent
trend moderation
• Global competitive pressure
on private sector wage/
compensation levels,
including health benefits
• Continued state and Federal
government deficits; Health
care reform
• Price-oriented, narrow
network insurance products
• 2014 price-sensitive
exchanges
• Increasing Medicare
Advantage share nationally,
despite rate reductions
• Continued consumer cost
share growth (e.g., 7%
growth, 2012)
• Competitive total cost of care
with provider risk bearing
(e.g. capitation)
• Covered life access through
primary care attribution
• Physician/organizational
alignment around total cost
of care (ACOs)
• Strong care management
infrastructure and population
health IT
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Consumer Price Sensitivity Creating Risk for Hospitals Excluded from Low-priced Insurance Offerings
6
Half of all commercial admissions are from families with middle-range income or
below, contributing to price sensitivity
$75k or less
$80-100k
>$100k
50%
28%
22%
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Health Systems Have Many Options to Adopt Risk
7
Which model is right for your system?
Options to Adopt Risk
Payer Risk
Contracts
• Move existing
payer contracts
from FFS to
getting paid on a
population basis
(e.g., PMPM)
Employee Plan
• Reduce costs of
employee health
plan, where
savings fall
directly to bottom
line
Uninsured/
Indigent
• Reduce
inappropriate
uninsured
utilization,
decreasing losses
and freeing up
capacity
Health Plan
• Launch Medicare
Advantage,
commercial, or
other product
lines, to obtain the
full premium dollar
ASO / Direct to
Employer
• Offer products /
services to
employers
(wellness, on-site
clinics,
occupational
medicine)
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Payer Risk Contracts
8
BENEFITS
SUCCESS FACTORS
CHALLENGES
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Payer Risk Contracts
• Speed to
membership for at-
risk population
• Lower cost, faster
ROI than alternatives
• Strong driver for
physician mindshare,
credibility for
contracting
organization
• Lower friction with
payers than
alternatives
9
BENEFITS
Liv
es, b
y P
ayer,
fo
r T
yp
ical P
hysic
ian
Pra
cti
ce P
an
el (%
)
Primary Care Physician Panel Composition
for Select Evolent Clients
1,700
1,900
2,20013 27127665433322111
1
1
1
289988873 4422211
1 1
24161097573333
11
1 1
2 2
2
Payer 4-FI
Payer 3-FI
Payer 2-FI
Payer 1-FI
Payer 5-SI
Payer 4-SI
Payer 3-SI
Multiple Attribution
Payer 1-SI
Payer 2-SI
Payer 4-MA
Payer 10
Payer 9
Payer 7
Payer 6
Payer 5-MA
Payer 3-MA
Payer 2-MA
Payer 1-MA
Payer 8-MM
Evolent analysis of client physician panel data in 3 different MSAs
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Payer Risk Contracts
• Strong alignment
with physicians
• Deal terms that
position providers to
keep a substantial
proportion of
savings from PMPM
revenue
• Strong payer data
partnership
• Robust network
alignment to
manage care within
ACO
10
SUCCESS FACTORS
MAPD
$1,000
$550
$900
$350
Commercial
Individual
MSSP
(Excludes
Pharmacy)
$600
$150
$350
Commercial
Small Group
$350
Exchange
(Silver)
Commercial
Large Group
$380
$230$270
$180
Low High
Excludes member cost sharing and administrative cost; Includes pharmacy costs with the exception of MSSP
Source: 2012 SNL financial database, CMS 2014 rate book, and research materials
Low-High Average Revenue $PMPM, by LOB, for Risk Deals
SUCCESS FACTORS
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Payer Risk Contracts
• Deal terms that
erode savings
• Inability to:
• Access real-time
data
• Change provider
rates to incent
behavior
• Shift benefit
design to incent
coordinated care
• Potential exclusion
of self-insured lives
• Non-existence of
independent asset
11
Key Deal Terms and Illustrative Comparison
ElementDeal
A
Deal
B
Deal
C
Deal
D
Deal
E
Attribution Model
Savings Corridor
Base Line Expense
Trend Methodology
Care Coordination Fee PMPM
Provider Share of Savings
DOFR (Division of Fin Resp.) /
Catastrophic/OON
Care Coordination Fee Treatment
Maximum Savings
Quality Gates
Favorable Acceptable Un-Favorable
Evolent analysis of deal terms in select MSA
CHALLENGES
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
BENEFITS
SUCCESS FACTORS
CHALLENGES
Provider Sponsored Health Plan
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Provider Sponsored Health Plan
• Creation of tangible
asset with
independent
market value
• Greater control of
levers of performance
drivers and full
premium dollar
• Capture of 100% of
utilization
improvements
(after administrative
expenses are
accounted for)
• Direct-to-consumer
relationship
• Potential for
relatively higher,
long-term NVP
13
Evolent projections based on CMS data and market analysis.
Projected Annual Net Income ($M)
-$15
-$5
$5
$15
$25
Year 6Year 5Year 4Year 3Year 2Year 1Year 0
Case Study A
Health Plan
Payer Risk
Case Study B
-$15
-$5
$5
$15
$25Health Plan
Payer Risk
Year 6Year 5Year 4Year 3Year 2Year 1Year 0
BENEFITS
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Provider Sponsored Health Plan
• Robust physician
alignment and
engagement
• Competitive product
pricing, benefit
design, and network
to attract
membership/risk
• Distribution strategy
leveraging community
relationships
• Strong
communications with
current contracting
payers
• Market factors, such
as attractive county
profile
14
Percentage of Medicare Eligibles, by MA County Attractiveness
for Select Evolent Clients
Low Average High
Attractive 11% 2% 31%
Competitive 44% 8% 4%
Current MA Penetration
MA
Re
imb
urs
em
en
t
SUCCESS FACTORSSUCCESS FACTORS
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Provider Sponsored Health Plan
• Significant capital
requirements
• Competing priorities
and incentives, which
can impact execution
and speed to market
• Limited scale,
particularly among
newer plans
• Gaps in expertise
• Adverse selection
15
Evolent analysis of data from select clients
Capital Requirements to Launch Medicare Advantage
Start Up/ License
Application
$5M
$15M
Reserves Early Year
Operating Losses
$5M
$30M
$10M
$30M
CHALLENGES
Low High
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Consequences of Not Moving
• Competitors gain control of covered lives and
redirect care
• Health plans exclude or tier high-quality providers
out of network and/or secure physician alignment
• Health systems become forced to bid for care in
price-driven markets (e.g., packaged prices for
procedures)
• Payer mix becomes more Medicare-dependent,
as the large remaining population of unmanaged
patients
16
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
Q&A
17
Confidential – Do Not Distribute
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