Healthcare packaging in the context of aging population

and spending

Market Insight

by

Commodity Inside

Commodity Inside Ltd

Market Insight

Healthcare systems around the world are under severe pressure to improve its performance, whilst

reduce costs. Around 11% of the world GDP spent on healthcare in 2015, compared to 9% in 2000.

In developed countries the ratio of the public to private spending is quite higher in terms of value and

percentage compared to developing countries. For instance in the EU public health expenditure as a %

of total health expenditure was 77% in 2013, while it was 44% in developing sub-Saharan region.

In the coming years most countries will be trying to restrain their public healthcare finances.

Consequently, private sector will play an increasingly important part in the healthcare sector going

forward as its role will become more essential given the availability of wide range opportunities.

Despite governments’ efforts to reduce public healthcare finances, per capita healthcare spending

around the world is set to grow faster than the per capita income. This will increase healthcare

spending ratio as a % of GDP and thus elevate demand for healthcare products, and subsequently

more demand for healthcare packaging.

In addition to rising per capita healthcare spending, growing aging population will also support

growth in the healthcare industry. Aging occurs due to increasing life expectancy and declining

fertility which result in a relative reduction in the proportion of children, and a rise in working age and

older people in the population. In this insight, Commodity Inside defines, aging population as people

aged and over 60 years. This segment of population is set to grow larger as healthcare advances

enable people to live longer.

Global per capita health expenditure 2005, 2010 and 2013 ($)

The global share of older people (aged 60 years or over) increased from 9.2% in 1990 to 11.7% in

2013 and is expected to reach 21.1% by 2050. Moreover, aging population is also taking place across

the world, though with faster growth rates in developed world than in developing countries.

Commodity Inside anticipates that as population ages, healthcare related expenditures tend to grow

rapidly since older people usually require more healthcare and specialised services to deal with their

complex pathologies. Therefore, it is expected that healthcare packaging industry will also benefit

from this emerging trend in the long term. This will result in further innovations in healthcare

packaging, and will underpin demand for easy-to-use, easy-to-open, easy-to-handle packaging, with

clearer and bolder labelling.

The aging population would also impact the demand of various raw materials used in healthcare

packaging. For example metal caps and closures is an important segment of the healthcare packaging

industry as it helps in protecting and extending the shelf life of the packaged contents. However, there

is now a strong tendency for plastic caps and closures. In developed countries, the use of metal caps

and closures are diminishing, though this trend will start soon in developing countries.

6000 4000 2000 0 2000 4000 6000 8000

Ages 00-14

Ages 15-64

Ages 65 and above

2050

2015

Population pyramid depicting the global population distribution by age in 2015, 2050 (million)

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The impact of aging on innovations in the healthcare packaging market