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© Nuffield Trust Trends and Drivers of Change in European Primary Care Dr Rebecca Rosen Senior Fellow The Nuffield Trust 29th Jan 2013

Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

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Page 1: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Trends and Drivers of Change in European Primary Care

Dr Rebecca Rosen Senior Fellow The Nuffield Trust 29th Jan 2013

Page 2: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Primary care as first point of access to health services

• First-line clinical care for undifferentiated health problems

• Increasing focus on prevention and screening

• May be founded on general practice, but is more than the work of generalist doctors, and may include other disciplines

• Provided by generalist clinicians, sometimes working as part of a multi-professional team (doctors, nurses, pharmacists or other community health workers)

• Is typically a level of care between self care and specialist care

• May be designed around a registered population

Page 3: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Changing scope of primary care

• Traditionally including: • assessment of undifferentiated symptoms; • diagnosis, triage and onward referral; • treatment of episodic illness • provision of palliative care • prevention and health promotion .

• Increasingly likely to involve: • care coordination for people with complex problems; • areas of ‘specialist’ care (eg endoscopy, minor surgery.

diagnostics ) enabled by new medical technologies • new forms of access such e consultations

Page 4: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Multiple drivers of demand

Lack of access to social care

New medical

technologies

Aging populations

Rising patient expectations

Rising prevalence of

chronic disease

New providers/ supply induced

demand

Primary care

Page 5: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Wide variations in inputs across Europe

Relative provision of GPs, specialists and other doctors in Europe No. of doctors per 1000 population in Europe

Public expenditure on health as a % of GDP in EU member states (2008)

Page 6: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Primary care ‘fit for the future’

Attributes • Comprehensive • Patient-centred • Co-ordinated • Continuous if required • Accessible • Safe and High Quality • Population focused •Adapted from Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality 2013

Sustainability • Financial • Workforce • Public trust • Fit with wider health system

Page 7: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

The Primary Care Paradox....

‘... a paradoxical situation: the tension between the relative weakness and un-attractiveness of this level of care versus the intention to assign critical strategic functions to it’ From:Primary Care In The Driver’s Seat? Saltman, Rico and Boerma (eds) 2006

Page 8: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Drivers of change: political and policy trends

• Significant regional variations across Europe • Political and economic foundations of health systems

• Impact of financial crisis on health sector

• Interactions between health and other sectors (eg social care)

• Some overarching themes • Coordination of care

• Diversification of providers/growing role for private sector and increasing use of choice and competition

• Experiments with primary care purchasing and new payment mechanisms

• Care delivery innovations

Page 9: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Mechanisms for change: Integration and coordination

• Croatia: GP led polyclinics. • GPs employed under contract (health insurance funds) renting

space to specialists with whom they can make shared care decisions about complex patients

• Germany: Disease management programmes (DMPs) • Lead doctors (usually a family physician) coordinate care

related to selected chronic conditions. • Evidence based criteria for referral to specialists • Patient self-management support • Financial incentives to providers to deliver DMPs

Page 10: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Mechanisms for change: Privatisation, markets and new business models

• Large scale privatisation of family medicine clinics in CEE

• Pluralisation of provision and new primary care providers

• Corporatisation of primary care

• New ‘convenience clinics’ and walk-in centres

• New business models for blending primary and specialist services (polyclinics, integrated care pathways)

Page 11: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Mechanisms for change: payment innovation

• Dutch DBC payments for chronic conditions • Integrated payments for selected chronic conditions • Payment for a year of care delivered to specified standards • Negotiated with groups of practices

• Clinical commissioning in the English NHS • Compulsory GP membership of budget holding clinical

commissioning croups • Influencing primary care practice and buying other services

Page 12: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Mechanisms for change: delivery innovations

Electronic and telephone access to primary care • NHS Direct :

• 24 hour telephone advice from nurses following algorithms • NHS Direct web site

- symptom checker - patient information pages - healthy living advice

Page 13: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

Challenges for the Eurosummit

• What are the essential characteristics of a primary care system that is fit for the future?

• Which emerging business models for primary care organisations are best supporting the development of services that are fit for the future

• What is enabling primary care reform in European countries

• Can we replicate and embed these factors

• What does this offer to European health policy and management practice?

Page 14: Rebecca Rosen: Trends and drivers of change in primary care

© Nuffield Trust

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