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Stephen Friend, Jan 31, 2013. Collaborative Summit on Breast Cancer Research, Washington DC
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ENABLING A PARADIGM SHIFTING PRECOMPETITIVE
OPEN ACCESS RESEARCH STRATEGY and ENGAGING
ADVOCATES IN RESEARCH/ BREAST CANCER CHALLENGE
COLLABORATIVE SUMMIT ON BREAST CANCER RESEARCH
January 31, 2013
Washington DC
Stephen H Friend MD PhD
Sage Bionetworks (non-profit)
Background: Information Commons for Biological Functions
.
Biological
System
Data
Analysis
Iterative Networked Approaches
To Generating Analyzing and Supporting New Models
Uncouple the automatic linkage between the data generators, analyzers, and validators
TENURE FEUDAL STATES
Lessons Learned: Realities of Building Disease Models-
Sharing , Rewards, Training, and Affordability
Stephen Friend MD PhD
We focus on a world where biomedical research is about to fundamentally change. We think it will be often conducted in an open, collaborative way where teams of teams far beyond the current guilds of experts will contribute to making better, faster, relevant discoveries
The Current R&D Ecosystem Is In Serious Need of a New
Approach to Drug Development
• $200B per year in biomedical and drug discovery R&D
• Only a handful of new medicines are approved each year
• Productivity in steady decline since 1950
• >90% of novel drugs entering clinical trials fail, and negative POC
information is not shared
• >30,000 pharma employees laid off from downsizing in each of last four
years
• 90% of 2013 prescriptions will be for generic drugs
12
Issues With Drug Discovery
1. The greatest attrition is at clinical proof-of-concept – once a
“target” is linked to a disease in the clinic, the risk of failure is
far lower
2. Most novel targets are pursued by multiple companies in
parallel (and most fail at clinical POC)
1. The complete data from failed trials are rarely, if ever,
released to the public
13
Open access research tools
drive
Precompetitive science
14
• PPP:
- GSK, Pfizer, Novartis, Lilly, Abbott, Takeda
- Genome Canada, Ontario, CIHR, Wellcome Trust
• Based in Universities of Toronto and Oxford
• 200 scientists
• Academic network of more than 250 labs
• Generate freely available reagents (proteins, assays, structures, inhibitors, antibodies) for novel, human, therapeutically relevant proteins
• Give these to academic collaborators to dissect pathways and disease networks, and thereby discover new targets for drug discovery 15
Structural Genomics Consortium: Open Access Chemical Biology
a great success
Biochemical assays Chemical screening Protein structure Computational chemistry
GSK
Lilly
Novartis
Pfizer
U. North Carolina
Takeda
Abbott
SGC Chemistry
Schematic of project and current participants
Scre
enin
g /
Ch
emis
try
In vitro assay Cell assay
SGC EPIGENETICS PROBE PIPELINE (Mar.2012)
MYST3
UHRF1
SMYD3
JMJD2A MLL
HAT1
PRMT3
SETDB1
FALZ
GCN5L2
JARID1A
Potent & Selective
Potent
Weak
None
Probe/ Tool Compound
BRD9
PCAF
JMJD2 2nd
JMJD3 2nd CREBBP 4th
PB1@2
TIF1α
PHIP JMJD2C
SPIN1
SUV39H2
EP300
L3MBTL1
53BP1
DNMT1
PRMT5
SETD8
EZH2 SMYD2
JMJD3
BET 2nd
G9a/GLP
BET PHD2
L3MBTL3
BRPF3
ATAD2
PB1@5
JMJD1
CECR2
BAZ2A
WDR5
DOT1L BAZ2B SETD7
JMJD2 FBXL11
FBXL11 2nd CREBBP 1-3
G9a/GLP SMARCA4
Cell activity
Pan 2-OG
Me Lys Binders BRD (H)MT KDM HAT TUD 2OG Oxygenase WD Domain
Some SGC Achievements
• Structural impact
– SGC contributed ~25% of global output of human structures annually
– SGC contributes >40% of global output of human parasite structures annually
• High quality science (some publications from 2011)
Vedadi et al, Nature Chem Biol, in press (2011); Evans et al, Nature Genetics in press
(2011); Norman et al Science Transl Med. 3(88):88mr1 (2011); Kochan G et al PNAS
108:7745 (2011); Clasquin MF et al Cell 145:969 (2011); Colwill et al, Nature Methods
8:551 (2011); Ceccarelli et al, Cell 145:1075 (2011; Strushkevich et al, PNAS 108:10139
(2011); Bian et al EMBO J in press (2011)
Norman et al Science Trans. Med. 3:76cm10 (2011); Xu et al Nature Comm. 2: art. no.
227 (2011); Edwards et al Nature 470:163 (2011); Fairman et al Nature Struct, and Mol.
Biol. 18:316 (2011); Adams-Cioaba et al, Nature Comm. 2 (1) (2011); Carr et al EMBO J
30:317 (2011); Deutsch et al Cell 144:566 (2011); Filippakopoulos et al Cell, in press;
Nature Chem. Biol. in press, Nature in press
18
Moving the pre-competitive barrier:
Open access to the clinic?
19
Drug Discovery Is a Lottery Because:
Knowledge about clinical disease is limiting - patients are heterogeneous
- do not know how some drugs work (i.e., paracetamol)
- different doses effective in different patients
- efficacy is short lived
- poor biomarkers…..
Too many targets/preclinical assays do not prioritize
20
Other Problems With How We Do Drug Discovery
• Most targets are worked on in parallel and in
secret across pharma
• No one organization has all capabilities
• Early IP makes it even harder (slower, harder
and more expensive)
21
Most Novel Targets Fail at Clinical POC
Target
ID/
Discovery
Hit/
Probe/
Lead
ID
Clinical
candidate
ID
Tox./
Pharmacy
Phase
I
Phase
IIa/ b
HTS LO
10% 30% 30% 90+% 50%
this is killing
our industry
…we can generate “safe” molecules, but they are not
developable in the chosen patient group 22
This Failure Is Repeated, Many Times
Target
ID/
Discovery
Hit/
Probe/
Lead
ID
Clinical
candidate
ID
Toxicology/
Pharmacy
Phase
I
Phase
IIa/ b
HTS
30% 30% 90+%
Target
ID/
Discovery
Hit/
Probe/
Lead
ID
Clinical
candidate
ID
Toxicology/
Pharmacy
Phase
I
Phase
IIa/ b
30% 30% 90+%
Target
ID/
Discovery
Hit/
Probe/
Lead
ID
Clinical
candidate
ID
Toxicology/
Pharmacy
Phase
I
Phase
IIa/ b
30% 30% 90+%
Target
ID/
Discovery
Hit/
Probe/
Lead
ID
Clinical
candidate
ID
Toxicology/
Pharmacy
Phase
I
Phase
IIa/ b
30% 30% 90+%
Target
ID/
Discovery
Hit/
Probe/
Lead
ID
Clinical
candidate
ID
Toxicology/
Pharmacy
Phase
I
Phase
IIa/ b
30% 30% 90+%
Target
ID/
Discovery
Hit/
Probe/
Lead
ID
Clinical
candidate
ID
Toxicology/
Pharmacy
Phase
I
Phase
IIa/ b
30% 30% 90+%
Target
ID/
Discovery
Hit/
Probe/
Lead
ID
Clinical
candidate
ID
Toxicology/
Pharmacy
Phase
I
Phase
IIa/ b
10% 30% 30% 90+% 50%
LO
…and neither data nor outcomes are shared 23
A Possible Soution:Arch2POCM An Open Access Clinical Validation PPP
• A PPP to clinically validate (Ph IIa) pioneer targets
• Pharma, public, academia, regulators and patient groups are active participants
• Cultivate a common stream of knowledge
– Avoid patents
– Place all data into the public domain
– Crowdsource the PPP’s drug-like compounds
• Failed targets are identified before pharma makes a substantial proprietary investment
– Reduces the number of redundant trials on bad targets
– Reduces safety concerns
• Validated targets are de-risked for pharma investment
– Pharma can initiate proprietary effort when risks are balanced with returns
– PPP pharma members can acquire Arch2POCM IND for validated targets and benefit from
shorter development timeline and data exclusivity for sales 24
Arch2POCM Pilots
• Initiate 1-2 projects, (1-2 novel target mechanisms), as pilots to
assess Arch2POCM principles
• Epigenetic targets in Oncology and/or Neuroscience (new
innovative target class applied to high risk disease areas in need of
new approaches)
• Interested funders include disease foundations, pharma, public
research foundations and venture philanthropists
• Objectives
• Select two pre-clinical candidates: Leverage SGC PPP to identify two chemotypes for medicinal chemistry optimization
• Develop a biomarker strategy for surrogate endpoints and/or patient stratification
• Implement crowdsourced research on compounds
25
The First Arch2POCM Oncology Pilot Project
26
The Arch2POCM Project Team:
Premier Oncology Institutions and Researchers
• Institute of Cancer Research (ICR)
– Prof Paul Workman: Director of the Cancer Research UK Centre for Cancer
Therapeutics at The Institute of Cancer Research and one of the world's
leading experts in the discovery and development of new cancer drugs.
– Prof Julian Blagg is Deputy Director of the Cancer Therapeutics Unit at the
ICR and Head of Chemistry
• Newcastle University – Prof Herbie Newell, world class expert in cancer pharmacology
• Structural Genomics Consortium (SGC)-Oxford University
– Dr Chas Bountra: Chief Science Officer for SGC and involved in progressing
over 30 candidates into clinical trials during his 20 years of pharmaceutical
industry experience
– Dr Paul Brennan: SGC Principal Investigator for Medicinal Chemistry and
leads SGC’s effort to generate chemical probes for novel epigenetic targets.
27
Histone
DNA
Lysine
Epigenetics: Exciting Science and Also A New Area
For Innovative Drug Discovery
Modification Write Read Erase
Acetyl HAT Bromo HDAC
Methyl HMT MBT DeMethyl 28
The Case For Epigenetics/Chromatin Biology
1. There are epigenetic oncology drugs on the market (HDACs)
2. A growing number of links to oncology, notably many genetic links (i.e.
fusion proteins, somatic mutations)
3. A pioneer area: More than 400 targets amenable to small molecule
intervention - most of which have only recently been shown to be
“druggable”, and only a few of which are under active investigation
4. Open access, early-stage science is developing quickly – significant
collaborative efforts (e.g. SGC, NIH) to generate proteins, structures,
assays and chemical starting points
29
KDM4B: an epigenetic target implicated in ER-positive breast cancer
• Member of KDM4 family of Histone Demethylase
(HDM) “eraser” enzymes that site-specifically
demethylate target histone lysines
• Silencing of KDM4B in ER-positive breast cancer cell
lines attenuates ER gene expression and reduces
proliferation (in vitro and in vivo)
• Elevated levels of KDM4B correlate with a worse
patient outcome
• KDM4B depletion in the ER-negative cells fails to
reduce proliferation: suggests an exclusive benefit for
ER+-BC patients
Data/Findings That Are Already Being Shared on The
KDM4B Project • Newcastle:
– KDM4B is unique within the KDM family for an impact on breast cancer
• siRNA screen shows that KDM4B but not other KDM4 family members, modulates ER activity
and cell proliferation
– Targeting KDM4B is likely to be tumor-specific
• Data mining of publicly available data sets shows that post-natal expression of KDM4B in
tissues is minimal
– Opportunity for KDM4B biomarkers
• Depletion of KDM4B in Bca effects global histone H3 methylation and acetylation
levels
• ICR: KDM4B is a druggable target – Fragment screen against KDM4B resulted in 70 confirmed hits (peptides substrates and
20G mimics)
• SGC – High throughput JDM4B biochemical screens available for the project
– KDM4B crystal structure pending
• Cancer Research UK (CRUK) has designated this KDM4B demethylase project for its support and is enthusiastic to apply an Arch2POCM strategy
• Continued CRUK funding of this project requires matching funds – This equates to funding 4-5 FTEs for the full POCM effort (i.e., 3-5 years). – This funding would currently support the following 4 FTEs: 3 chemistry, 1
biology and 1 drug metabolism – As project evolves, FTE coverage will shift to cover new activities
• Because open data-sharing and crowdsourcing do not align with the early
partnering business interests of a company that might otherwise bring matching funds to this project, we need to identify a different source of funds to cover the matching costs
• Therefore we are reaching out to all breast cancer disease foundations to
seek this important seed funding for 3FTEs/3 years
The Ask: Why Breast Cancer Foundations Should Support this Arch2POCM
KDM4B Project
THE POWER OF DISTRIBUTED ANALYSIS
THE SECOND BREAST CANCER CHALLENGE
The Sage Bionetworks/DREAM Breast Cancer
Prognosis Challenge Building Better Models of Disease Together
34
The Sage Bionetworks/DREAM Breast Cancer
Prognosis Challenge
Goal: use crowdsourcing to forge a computational model that accurately
predicts breast cancer survival
How it works: • Training data set: genomic and clinical data from 2000
women diagnosed with breast cancer (the Metabric data
set)
• Data access and analysis tools: Synapse
• Compute resources: each participant provided with a
standardized virtual machine donated by Google
• Model scoring: models submitted to Synapse for scoring on
a real-time leaderboard 35
1ST Sage-DREAM Breast Cancer Prognosis Challenge Three months of building better disease models together
154 participants; 27 countries
354 participants; >35 countries
>500 models submitted to Leaderboard
breast cancer data
Challenge Launch: July 17
October 15 Status
Caldos/Aparicio
36
Unique Attributes
1. The First Challenge was designed to be open source and
encouraged code-sharing to forge innovative computational
models:
– The standardized and shared computational infrastructure enables participants to use code submitted by others in their own model building
– Winning code must be reproducible
2. The Challenge used a brand new dataset to select the
winning model: – Derived from approx. 350 breast cancer samples
– Data generation funded by Avon
– Winning model: the one that, having been trained using Metabric data, is
most accurate for survival prediction when applied to a brand new dataset
3. This Challenge’s overall winner is submitting a pre-approved
article about his/her winning model to Science Translational
Medicine 37
37
Incentivizing Continuous Participation
• Monthly leaderboard winners – Winner is highlighted within the
Challenge community
– Winner posts a blog on winning
model to Synapse
• Communities that link to the Leaderboard – Stackoverflow: Q&A site with
1,000,000 users
– Science Translational Medicine community
38
“A
MO
DE
L C
HA
LL
EN
GE
”
39
Next Generation Sage Bionetworks Challenges:
what will they look like?
40
• Disease Communities/Groups that have contacted us to run a Challenge: GBM-NBTS, Colon, CHDI, NCI (pan-cancer), BROAD, NIEHS, Alzheimer’s- NIA
Next generation Sage Bionetworks Challenges: Opportunities for running an open Breast Cancer Challenge
41
Focus of Initial Challenge- Proving a challenge can be done with Clinical data and in an open way Focus of Second Challenge- Proving a challenge can answer an important clinical question rapidly and affordably Strategy- Let the question not the convenience of data drive the Challenge Approach- Form an Advisory Group of breast cancer thought leaders
The Second Sage/DREAM Breast Cancer Challenge
42
Co Leaders: Stephen Friend and Dan Hayes
Scientific Advisory Board: Fabrice Andre- Inst. Gustave Roussy Jose Baselga- MSKCC John Bartlett- OICR Mitch Dowsett- Royal Marsden Daniel Hayes- University of Michigan Larry Norton- MSKCC Lisa McShane- NCI Martine Piccart- Universite Libre de Bruxelles
1) Determine the best clinical question regarding the treatment of breast cancer that can be developed using existing datasets
2) Determine the best clinical question regarding the treatment of breast cancer that can be developed not constrained by using existing datasets
The Second Sage/DREAM Breast Cancer Challenge
43
One or more case control studies to determine patients with, or without, residual risk to better guide enrollment into future clinical trials. The Case Control studies could be broken into categories based on ER, or HER2, or neither: a. ER pos:
i. Those who got ET plus chemo: this is an important group. If we can identify those who relapse anyway (vs. those who don't) we could focus future trials on the former. ii. those who got ET only (like in TailorRx, plus B20, B14, 8814) - can we build a better oncotypeDx?
The Second Sage/DREAM Breast Cancer Challenge
44
One or more case control studies to determine patients with, or without, residual risk to better guide enrollment into future clinical trials. The Case Control studies could be broken into categories based on ER, or HER2, or neither:
b. HER2 Pos (amplified or 3+).
i. Those who got only chemo: Is there a group that does not
NEED herceptin?
ii. those who got Herceptin. This is the key group - who's cured,
who's not? Focus future anti-HER2 trials on the latter.
c. ER, PgR, HER2 neg.
i. those who got "standard" chemo. There is a large group that
are cured with standard chemo. Why enroll such patients in future
trials? Focus future trials only on those who are likely to recur.
The Second Sage/DREAM Breast Cancer Challenge
45
The Ask? Funds to coordinate and run the actual Challenge~ $250,000 Funds to coordinate the generation of new datasets including trials/ sample collections= TBD
If not
"Harnessing the power of teams to build better models of disease in real time"