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THL Vaikuttajaseminaari 3.-4.10.2013, Michael Högberg
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1
Evaluation of Patient Choice Systems in Stockholm County
4 October 2013
Michael Högberg
Stockholm County Council
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Evaluation of Patient Choice Systems in Stockholm County
Agenda:
Patient choice in Stockholm county
Impressions of patient choice in Sweden
Reimbursement models
Cost containment
Innovation – New projects
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2013-10-04
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Utvecklingsavdelningen
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2014
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What distinguish patient choice in Stockholm?Medical centres/general practitioners
2013-10-04
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Utvecklingsavdelningen
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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Child welfare clinics Hip and knee
arthroplastyObstetric care Vaccination Spec. gynecology
Antenatal care Cataract extraction
Obstetric ultrasound
Primary hearing rehab
Spec. dermatology out-patient care
Chiroprody Vaccination pandemia(ended 2010)
Planned spec. rehabilitation for neurology, onchology and lymphoma
Spec. eye out-patient care
Spec. physiotherapy
Medical centers/family doctors and home care
Fundus photo-graphy for diabetics (incl. in spec. eye out-patient care from 2012)
Specialist dental care for children and youth
General dental care for children and youth
Spec. ear-nose-throat out-patient care
Physicians in residential homes for elderly
Dental surgery for children and youth
Speech therapy Primary care rehab
SCC: Implemented patient choice programs
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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Vårdval Stockholm: Objectives and measures
Improved access Choices and multiple provider structure Competion (”neutrality btw public and private
GPs”)
Payment:– Ca 40% capitation based on age (no socio-economic indicators) – Remaining payment: per visit per type of visit, extra payment for
home-visits, interpreter, and some geographical areas.– Patient fees are kept by providers, but reduced from payment from
the county council, the ”high-cost protection” is paid by the county council
– Ceiling for reimbursement, reduced after 1,9 visits per listed (average), after 4 visits/listed – only patient fee.
– Some medical services is included in the reimbursement
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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2013-10-04
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Evaluation of the Patient Choice Reform- Health Economics perspective(Karolinska institutet)
Cost containment
Efficiency/productivity
Distribution and Equity
Quality/Patient satisfaction
Ownership and contracts
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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The development of costs in GP services, Stockholm county council, 2006-2010
§) Korrigerat med LPI
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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Productivity (cost per contact), 2006-2010
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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Cumulative share of population
(ranking from poorest to richest)
Cu
mu
lativ
e s
hare
of
perfo
rman
ce 20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
O
B
C
The Lorenz-curve – distribution of utilization per income area
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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The distribution of doctor’s visit per income quartile (geogr areas)
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Utvecklingsavdelningen
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The distribution of visits to doctors, nurses and costs across low and high income areas
* = A positive value(+) indicates a higher utilization in rich geographical areas, and a negative value (-) indicates a higher utilization in poor areas.
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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SCC:Private and public share of total costs in 2007
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Utvecklingsavdelningen
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SCC: Private and public share of total costs in 2008
2013-10-04
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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Ownership distribution
SLSO = public providers
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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Conclusions
Cost containment achieved
Improved access to GP service
Increase in productivity (first year – extra-ordinary)
Some improvement in patient satisfaction
No conflict productivity and patient satisfaction
Larger increase of utilization in poor areas
Increase of supply – private providers >50% of the
market
2013-10-04
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Utvecklingsavdelningen
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Share of patients that could visit the GP within 7 days in private and public care in Sweden (Source: Nat. waiting time database)
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The Counties’ purchase of services 2006-2012 per type of provider, private and public, million SEK and share of total net cost (Source: SALAR)
Share of net cost
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Impressions of patient choice in Sweden – sources:
National Board of Health and Welfare
Swedish Agency for Health and Care Services Analysis
Karolinska Institutet
Swedish association of Local Authorities and Regions
Reports from several counties
Other
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Impressions of patient choice in Sweden - results
The patients value freedom of choice – those who made active choices were more satisfied
Patient satisfaction seems to have increased (with increased freedom of choice)
The patients choice of provider were based on short distance and reputation – not medical results
Cost controlled during implementation of patient choice in PC
No signs of cost-shifting But all of the population have increased the use of care in a larger extent than
individuals with great need of care Co-operation between PC and other care (incl social services) more difficult due
to versatility of providers Patient choice contracts more flexible than procurement
Potential for improvement– knowledge of structure for decisisons– information to citizens of patient choice and informed decisions – follow-up (reporting of statistics, implementing validated goals for quality )– stimulate co-operation between providers across administrative boarders
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Reimbursement models for patient choice (vårdval) in primary care (Source: Anell & SALAR)
Capitation - Fixed reimbursement per listed individual. Age wheight.
Adjusted Clinical Groups (ACG). Adjustment for diagnose classification – Case-mix
Care Need Index (CNI) socioeconomic wheight, describes the expected risk of illness.
Reimbursement per visit – GP, nurse etc.
Goal related reimbursement – Variable reimbursement based on
result.
Geography – Adjustment for localization of medical centre.
Coverage – Adjustment according to listed persons visits in PC in
relation to total number of out-patient visits.
Responsibility for cost for visiting other providers, drugs, medical
service etc.
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Patient choice and reimbursement models in primary care (Source: Anell & SALAR)
Principles of reimbursement: (fixed/variable, visit/procedure-related
and goal-related reimbursement)
Fixed reimbursement varies from 40 to 80% of total– 13 counties adjust for age, 8 for ACG (5 kombinerar)– 16 counties adjust for difference in socioeconomy (CNI etc.)– 14 counties adjust for localization of medical centre– 15 counties adjust for coverage (definitions varies!)
Stockholm CC and Uppsala CC – highest share of reimbursement per visit
All counties except one use goal-related reimbursement (2-5%)
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Cost containment (Source: Anell & SALAR)
Rationing demandUnspecified problems Specified problems
Responsibility for remittance and
cost
Assessment of need/illness
Differentiated patient fees Guidelines against indication creep
Rationing supply
Low reimbursement for ”PC-visits”
Episode of care/bundle price if
possible
Episode of care/bundle price/
/capitation
Retroactively reduced price Retroactively reduced price
Maximum procedure per patient (or
provider)
Maximum procedure per patient (or
provider)
Guidelines/standardization Guidelines/standardization
Need for complementary management and follow-up!
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Additional objectives with patient choice system in PC and specialized care
Stimulate innovation and new ways to organize
the care
Get a larger variety of providers
Stimulate coherent chains of care
– (elderly – PC – hospital care, etc.)
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New projects with reimbursement models- Valuebased healthcare & episodes of disease (bundled payment)- Patient centered & health related outcomes- Case management & disease management- Integrated care- DRG outpatient care
Hip/knee arthroplasty (complication guarantee)
Spine & neck surgery (10% health outcome based)
Rheumatoid Arthritis (chronic care, valuebased, patient
centered, disease episode, e-Health, drug cost, DRG)
COPD (care chain, episode, guidelines, incentives, DRG)
”Aktiv Hälso Styrning (AHS)” (case & disease management)
- coaching: Multicontacts emergency hospitals, CHF, COPD
New Karolinska university hospital
& future healthcare system
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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2013-10-04
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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Base reimbursement
Known additional costs
Potentially Avoidable Complications
Outcome reimbursement Retrospective
Expected additional costs
Prospective
Prometheus model (US)
1.1. Base reimbursementBase reimbursement
2.2. Reimbursement additional costsReimbursement additional costs
3.3. Reimbursement for PACReimbursement for PAC
4.4. Reimbursement for outcomeReimbursement for outcome
1
2
3
4
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FirstvisitFirstvisit OperationOperation Rehabilita-
tionRehabilita-
tionRevisit
1 monthRevisit
1 month
> Lump-sum reimbursement> Lump-sum reimbursement > Outcome reimbursement> Outcome reimbursement > Provider warranty> Provider warranty> Patient informed provider > Patient informed provider
choicechoice> Freedom of establishment> Freedom of establishment
Value basedValue basedcompetitioncompetition Value = Value =
Health OutcomesHealth Outcomes
Cost of treatmentCost of treatment
Bundled payment model
Sick patientSick patient Healthy Healthy patientpatient
complicationcomplication
Bundled price = X SEK + outcomebased reimbursement
2013-10-04
Utvecklingsavdelningen
Spine surgery
+10% of X SEK
for health outcome
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2013-10-04
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Value-based reimbursement – rheumatoid arthritis (RA)
Research questions
Which outcome measures concerning patients and cost
can be used to operationalize value?
What in the healthcare is experienced as value by the
patient with RA?
How are incentives for continuous innovation created in
the care to increase value for the patient?
Can a value-based reimbursement act as incentive to
increase the value for patients with RA?
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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8.4.1. Genomsnittlig förändring av sjukdomsaktivitet (DAS28) med konfidensintervall över tre år, vid alla månadskontrolltillfällen (MK1-MK36) för RA patienter. Visar att den initiala förbättringen tre månader efter inklusion i kvalitetsregistret tenderar att kvarstå.
Example: RA - phases and targets for value improvement8.4.1. Genomsnittlig förändring av sjukdomsaktivitet (DAS28) med konfidensintervall över tre år, vid alla månadskontrolltillfällen (MK1-MK36) för RA patienter. Visar att den initiala förbättringen tre månader efter inklusion i kvalitetsregistret tenderar att kvarstå.
Diagram för långtidsuppföljning från SRQ Årsrapport 2009.
Prephase•Short duration of illness
•Access to reum. clinic
•Coherent pathway
PC – reum. clinic
8.4.1. Genomsnittlig förändring av sjukdomsaktivitet (DAS28) med konfidensintervall över tre år, vid alla månadskontrolltillfällen (MK1-MK36) för RA patienter. Visar att den initiala förbättringen tre månader efter inklusion i kvalitetsregistret tenderar att kvarstå.
Phase 1, response
Aim phase 1• Quick response
• Treatment to reach
low or no disease
activity
• Preserved function
Prephase,early
detection
Aim phase 2• Good QoL and function
• Remission
• Low level of disease-
activity
• Physical excercise
• Smoking cessation
Phase 2, keep down
2013-10-04
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Utvecklingsavdelningen
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COPD: Incentives for better health outcome and resource use
Objective:
To use register data to describe the chain of care
for COPD-patients
Calculate the cost of the chain of care
Analyze the correlation between registered
procedures and effects
Compare with existing guidelines for care of COPD-
patients
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2013-10-04
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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COPD: Incentives for better health outcome and resource use
Cost
Course of disease
Investment in PC
Incentives for early detection, evidence-based treatment & collaboration
Avoiding unnecessary acute contacts, visits and in-hospital care
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Case management and Disease management: A small part of the population accounts for a large part of healthcare expenditures
Source: National Registry of Health Care Quality (SALAR), National Registry of Atshma, Health Economics of Depression - Sobocki (2006), National registry of Diabetes, National registry of CHF, National Registry of Stroke, Swedish National Institute of Public Health, Health Navigator analysis
80%
10-15%
5-10%
Case ManagementMost healthcare intensive
patient groups
Disease ManagementMost healthcare intensive
diseases
Population Health Management Risk groups in the
population
In the County of Stockholm 1 % of adults account for 30
% of total health care spending and 25% of all emergency admissions
1,5 million Swedes suffer from asthma, depression,
diabetes, CHF or stroke
In Sweden there are:
•Approx 1,8 million smokers
•Approx 2,7 million overweight
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Utvecklingsavdelningen
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The case management intervention
1. Motivational conversations2. Self-care support3. Patient education4. Coordination of social and
medical services
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The result for all patients included during the last 12 months RCT’s evaluating case management models in the County of Stockholm
CHF**
800 ind
Compared with a control group – Patients receiving nurse support have . . .
Frequent ER*
visitors
4 459 ind
• 14 % less in hospital days and slightly increased outpatient care
• - 9 % or 1 600 Euro per patient in reduced health care cost
• 35 % less in hospital days and slightly increased outpatient care
• - 19 % or 2 500 Euro per patient in reduced health care cost
COPD***
1 204 ind
• 20 % less in hospital days and a slightly increased outpatient care
• - 11 % or 1 400 Euro per patient in reduced health care cost
* ER = emergency room; ** CHF = Congestive Heart Failure; *** COPD = Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease
2013-10-04
Utvecklingsavdelningen
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Challenges
Reimbursement models based on the value for the individual patient
– More variables concerning the patient’s situation incl patient safety & health outcome
– Adaptation to law concerning secrecy and integrity
– Coherent pathways – episode-based models
– Bundled payment
Quality deficiency – never-events – cost containment
Use and development of existing registers – nat. quality registers, etc.
Comparability via common validated, standardized data
– Providers, patients, public
Informatics, standardized solutions for compatibility
Support for implementing guidelines and evidence-based care
Open mind, cooperation between counties & central – regional – local levels
Innovations – try out & secure evidence
– Stimulate research - implementation
Utvecklingsavdelningen