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Presentation by Lamon Rutten (CTA) at social reporting workshop before Fin4Ag conference
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Why is the time ripe for a revolution in agri-value chain finance?
Lamon Rutten
CTA
Overview
• Value chain finance – why now?• Chain-linking farmers to finance• Forms of value chain finance• What is needed to make it happen?
Value chain finance – why now?
Push ……….. and pull
• The need to secure supply (in terms of
quality and quantity) of the commodities that a fast growing
and increasingly competitive market
requires.• Declining risk capacity
• Consumers demand proper value chains
• ICT makes VC finance easier
• Traditional financial sector barriers are
disappearing
The push…
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
SSA East Africa Central Africa Southern Africa West Africa
African urbanisation rates as % of total population
Source: AFRACA/CTA/Ecobank, Opportunities for value chain finance in Africa’s intra-regional food trade - forthcoming
The pull...
Exchange
Investor
Farmer
Chicken processing
plant
2. Forward contract
1. Due diligence
3. Cession of the rights to payment under the forward contract
4. Confirmation of assignment of payment
5. Repo: sale of the forward contract, with obligation to buy back after 90
days
6. Purchase of the repo
(through a broker)
Broker
7. Funds
8. Funds
9. Funds
Capital market investors are looking for new ways to invest their funds. And they are growing in size and sophistication, including in many ACP countries.
But push and pull factors only create potential
SME financing requirement in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2012 – appr. US$ 80-100 billion/year
23%
77%
Available financing Financing gap
Source: IFC.
Finance for agriculture has to increase by at least half. Currently, 90% of finance going into agriculture comes from the farmers themselves. So, either farming should become much more profitable, or external financing for agriculture has to increase radically.
But risk perception has to change
A bank tends to make only small margins on loans. One deal that goes bad can wipe out the profits of dozens of deals that went well.
Thus, banks tend to stay away from deals that they perceive as risky.
Is subsidizing agri-loans a solution?
No. Schemes to provide agricultural loans at subsidized interest rates were prevalent in the 1960s and 1970s, but they largely failed (but they still exist, in countries like the USA or Nigeria, and politicians continue asking for them).
The common position now is that subsidies for agri-finance should be indirect: - To help financiers manage risks: weather risk insurance,
credit guarantee schemes- To develop supportive institutional, regulatory and policy
frameworks (eg, for warehouse receipt finance, investment funds)
- To build capacity and improve KM.
Is more micro-finance a solution?
Not in its traditional form: - group-lending and heavy monitoring is too expensive
(paying 1% interest on a 5 day loan permitting a small-scale processing operation with a 10% profit margin looks OK; paying 40% on a 180 day loan doesn’t)
- small loans and regular repayment don’t fit with the agricultural season.
So, MFIs need to adapt their methods to engage in agri-finance. Eg, micro-leasing, VC finance.
Bank
Borrower
Will the borrower earn enough, and
reimburse?
Bank
Borrower
Will the borrower be able to perform
Risk mitigation mechanism
How ?
From credit risk to performance risk
Value chain finance permits financiers to shift their risks
Value chains require a structuring of the link of producers to consumer demand. Producers need to be enabled to meet changing consumer demand. A proper value chain approach therefore cannot focus exclusively on farmers.
Linked to a number of global developments (sustainability, food safety, etc.), many companies have an interest in acting as enablers. In many cases, NGOs, government bodies and development agencies can be facilitators. This should give rise to a new kind of development project, including farmer-business-NGO partnerships, and PPPs.
Seller Buyer Seller Buyer
From supply chain….. to ….. value chain
Value chain supply chain
Value chain financing Financing the value chain
Value chain financing Financing the value chain
Chain-linking farmers to finance
1
2
3
Farmer produces for a specific offtaker
Off-taker
Farmer produces to a set standard and sells in such a way that his market is secure, but competitive
1
2
E.g., warehouse receipts, auctions, commodity exchanges
E.g., contract farming
Chain-linking farmers to finance
1
2
3
Farmer produces for a specific offtaker
Off-taker
Farmer produces to a set standard and sells in such a way that his market is secure, but competitive
1
2
E.g., warehouse receipts, auctions, commodity exchanges
E.g., contract farming
VC finance directly counters the two main risks of agri finance
Inability to reimburse.Agriculture is risky.
Dependency on weather, prices, availability of markets, condition of
roads, rural insecurity…
Unwillingness to reimburse. Past practices often discouraged farmers
from honouring their obligations.
Make sure loan is used to improve farmer’s revenue.
Build risk management tools into the loan.
Ensure that the reimbursement is not by the farmer, but is made through a stronger link in the value
chain.
Forms of VC finance
• Warehouse receipt finance (at different parts of the chain)
• Processor-centered finance• Financing traders through the
monitoring of their value chain operations
• Final buyer-centered finance (eg., factoring)
• Pushing pre-export finance up-country
• Full supply chain financing (from inputs to final buyers)
Warehouse receipt finance
The concept: turn commodities into gold
Vault
Bank
Borrower
Deposit gold in bank vault
… and get an ‘easy’ loan
Showing your wealth isn’t enough – the bank prefers to take it under its own control (to take possession).
Warehouse receipt finance
The concept: turn commodities into gold
Vault
Bank
Borrower
Deposit gold in bank vault
… and get an ‘easy’ loan
“Vault”
Bank
Borrower
Deposit commodities in bank “vault”…
… and get an ‘easy’ loan
Four possible relationships between the bank and its “vault”
The Latin/ Turkish model
1
Banks can set up arms-length collateral management subsidiaries. Still prevalent in Latin America and Turkey; was once quite important in the US.
Four possible relationships between the bank and its “vault”
The Latin/ Turkish model
1
2 Collateral management
Four possible relationships between the bank and its “vault”
The Latin/ Turkish model
1
2 Collateral management
Public warehousing
3
Four possible relationships between the bank and its “vault”
The Latin/ Turkish model
1
2 Collateral management
Public warehousing
3
The Indian model: collateral
manager takes over warehouses for use as public
warehouses
4
Warehouse receipt finance – an example of SME financing
Warehouse
Printer
Financier
Sale at beginning of
school year
Continuous printing of books
during the year
Schools
Paper supplier
Collateral manager
Working capital
finance
Payment of invoices
Reporting
Control
Delivery of paper (imported)
Weekly releases of paper
Port of loading (Black Sea)
Bulky fertilizer (Beira, Dar)
Bagging
Central distribution warehouses
Distribution warehouses,
Zambia
Distribution warehouses,
Malawi
Buyers
trucktruck
truck
train
train
trucktruck
vessel
truck
Financing of an import operation, e.g. fertilizers – the bank starts with control over the goods as they are being loaded, and then retains control as they move down nearer to the buyers. Goods are only released from the warehouses once the bank has received an appropriate payment or guarantee.
The advantages of this are two-fold. International finance (at low cost) can be brought to the buyer’s factory gate; and large, cost-efficient volumes can be combined with low working capital needs for the buyers.
An import financing using collateral management
And an export operation…
Processor-centered value chain finance
Smallholders
Finance the offtaker, who will take full responsibility for the production process…
Off-takerContract
Bank
Young animals; veterinary services
Mature animals; milk
For example, contract farming…
Farmers Off-taker
Contract
BankYoung animals
Mature animals; milk
Veterinary services
Assignment of receivables, and payment
Contract
Insurance ContractDue diligence
Processor-centered value chain finance (a more complex form)
Funding
Off-taker
Bank
Trader
Animals are moved to offtaker
Monitoring agency Check the number and
weight of animals soldCheck the number and weight of animals bought
Assignment of receivables, and payment
Loan
Spot checks
Financing traders by monitoring their value chain operations
Agent
Exporter
InternationalBuyers
(Supermarketchains andAuctions)
2- Issue notes forpayment in 30 days
3 (a)- Issue new notes with payment in 90 days INNOFIN
3 (b)- Pay immediate cash at a discount
5- Pay back after 90 days
Afreximbank
Leveraging on the buyers… starting with factoring
Applying value chain finance to micro-finance
Agent bank
International offtakers 5. Instruction to
release funds to farmers
1.Tripartite
agree-ment
7. Settlement of invoice values
ITFCTransit depots
6. Release of funds to farmers’ cooperatives
4. Verify and submit documents received
8. Final reimbursement
Facility manager
1*
3d#
* Sales contracts, letters of assignment of export proceeds, letter of guarantee by Gambia government.
# Copies of invoices.
3b. Transportation to final depot
3f. Shipping and shipping documents
Export depot GGC
3e. Monitoring (quality, quantity)
3c. Warehouse receipts
3a. Warehouse receipts
2. Delivery
Groundnut farmers’
cooperatives
Pushing pre-export finance up the chain
Fertilizer company 4. Hedge
ProducersBonded
warehouses
Borrower (exporter)
Commodity exchange
Standard Bank
8. Coffee
2. CPRs
3. CPRs
7. Payment
1. Fertilizer
5a. Assignment of CPRs; assignment over hedge proceeds; warrants at bonded warehouse.
6. Loan
5b. Performance guarantee on producers delivering against the CPRs.
Full supply chain financing
VC finance is safe and easy
Value chains generally continue functioning over many years. Thus, financiers can construct standardized financing mechanisms, where the “entry” of the commodity into one particular phase of the chain is sufficient to trigger the financing.
What is needed to make it happen ?
• Learn from best practices
• pro-active governments and Central Banks
• supportive development partners
VC finance is not just a private sector matter
Supportive legal/regulatory environment
Central Bank support/discount facilities
Support institutions
that mitigate risks
Central Banks played a central role in developing agricultural finance in 19th and early 20th century Europe and USA… providing good models for today’s developing country Central Banks and Ministries of Finance.
Learn from history !
Collateral manager
Bank
Commodity owner Central
Bank
Loan of X $
Documentation
Submission of the loan of X $, with documentary proof
that it is a proper warehouse receipt loan, for discounting
Loan of X $, at the official discount rate
In 1848, the Bank of France created 49 "bonded warehouses", which started to provide companies with warehouse warrants for various; sub-discount banks also set up by the Central Bank accepted these warrants as collateral, and their loans constituted discountable paper for the Bank of France.
Farmer InvestorFarmer issues
a FinancialCPR, backed by cattle
Payment
Agent bank escrow account
Buyer
Inspection agency
Reporting
monitoring
Payment
Payment
Assignment
ContractDelivery
Commodity exchange
Price risk management
CPRRegistrar Registration
ICTs facilitate institution-building
ICT-enabled
In conclusion...
• Value chain finance is a need of the day – a key tool to get agriculture to meet current challenges – but also, a great opportunity for banks.
• But mindsets have to change and skillsets need to improve.
• Governments should take their responsibilities… but not fall back in the failed 1960/70s model in state-driven subsidized credit.
• Development partners can provide support in several ways, from capacity- and institution-building to the provision of risk capacity.
Go for it !
www.fin4ag.org