REALITY CHECK: ARE WE MORE OR LESS DISASTER RESILIENT NOW?

Hurricane Sandy about to Strike New York City, 29 October 2012

After Hurricane Sandy has passed NYC:Now Is the Time for Reflection

Through its resolution A/RES/58/214, the United Nations General Assembly convened a World Conference on Disaster Reduction, to be held in Kobe, Hyogo, Japan, from 18 to 22 January 2005. The Conference was to take stock of progress in disaster risk reduction accomplished since the Yokohama Conference of 1994 and to make plans for the next ten years.

THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE

• WAS CONVENED SHORTLY AFTER THE DECEMER 26, 2004 BANDE ACHE, INDONESIA EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DISASTER, WHICH LEFT OVER 200,000 DEAD

THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE

• WAS, BY EXTENSION, A PRODUCT OF THE INTERNATIONAL DECADE FOR NATURAL DISASTER REDUCTION (IDNDR), WHICH WAS ADOPTED UNANOMOUSLY BY THE UNITED NATIONS ON DECEMBER 31, 1089

THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE

• WAS A PRODUCT OF THE FIRST FIVE YEARS OF LEADERSHIP OF THE INTERNATIONAL STRATEGY FOR DISASTER REDUCTIONDR) (ISDR)

THE 1ST WORLD CONFERENCE

• WAS CONVENED IN KOBE, JAPAN IN JANUARY 2005, AND LED TO THE HYOGO FRAMEWORK FOR ACTION

GOAL: A GLOBAL CULTURE OF DISASTER RESILIECE IN OUR GENERATION

THE GOAL OF EVERY COMMUNITY

• DISASTERS RESIL-IENCE!

• …EVEN THOUGH NATURAL HAZARDS (E.G., FLOODS, SEVERE WINDSTORMS, EARTHQUAKES, DROUGHTS) ARE INEVITABLE FOR EVERY COMMUNITY.

REALITY CHECK: ARE WE MORE OR LESS DISASTER RESILIENT NOW? • THE ANSWER IS “PROBABLY NOT!”• - - - IN SPITE OF 25 YEARS OF

CUMMULATIVE HIGH-QUALITY LEADERSHIP BY THE UNITED NATIONS DURING THE DECADE OF THE 1990’S UNDER THE IDNDR AND DURING THE PAST 1 ½ DECADES UNDER THE ISDR.

WE KNOW WHAT TO DO, HOW TO DO IT, WHY TO DO IT,

WHEN TO DO IT, and WHERE TO DO IT

COMMUNITYDATA BASES AND INFORMATION

HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

• HAZARD MAPS• INVENTORY• VULNERABILITY• LOCATION

RISK ASSESSMENT

RISKACCEPTABLE RISK

UNACCEPTABLE RISK

ANTICIPATORY DECISIONS

• EDUCATIONAL SURGES• MITIGATION• PREPAREDNESS• EMERGENCY RESPONSE• RECOVERY and RECONSTRUCTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

HAZARDS

PHYSICAL ELEMENTS THAT CONTINUE TO LEAD TO DISASTERS IN EVERY NATION

EXPOSURE

VULNERABILITY LOCATION

RISK

WHERE ARE THE COMMUNITIES THAT NEED ADDITIONAL CAPACITY

200 NATIONS AND 7+

BILLION PEOPLE

NORTH AMERICA

CARIBBEAN BASIN

SUB-SAHARAAFRICA

MEDITER-RANEAN

ISLAND NATIONS

ASIA

SOUTHAMERICA

EUROPE

TT’S TIME FOR A CRITICAL EVALUATION, SO - - -

TEN YEARS LATER IN 2015 THE GLOBAL COMMUNITY OF

NATIONS IS PLANNING A 2ND WORLD CONFERENCE

SO, IF IT IS NOT LEADERSHIP AND NOT KNOWLEDGE,

WHAT IS KEEPING US FROM MEETING THE GOALS OF

THE HYOGO FRAMEWORK FOR ACTION ON A GLOBAL

SCALE?

WE HATE TO ADMIT IT, BUT WE HAVE TO CHANGE OUR WAY

OF THINKING BEFORE

WE CAN CHANGE OUR WAY OF ACTING

APATHY

SOCIAL ELEMENTS THAT PREVENT US FROM MEETING OUR GLOBAL GOALS

UNWISE DECISIONS

NARROW-MINDEDNESS IGNORANCE

RISK

THE STRATEGY

• Engage a new generation of politicians, business leaders, scientists, engineers, the media, . . .others as stakeholders in a concerted effort to make every global community disaster resilient.

GIVE THEM A TITLE AND THE 2015 CHALLENGE

Engage the new corps of “Ambassadors for Global Disaster Resilience” (i.e., those who are willing to commit to the goal of building global capacity for disaster resilience).

DISASTER RESILIENCE REQUIRES A “24/7” EFFORT

• A 24/7 EFFORT IS NEEDED TO BUILD THE CAPACITY NEEDED TO IMPLEMENT THE PILLARS OF DISASTER RES-ILIENCE.

NEXT: CAPACITIZING AND PARTNERNING

• Build capacity and partner-ships simultaneously in the community of politicians, business leaders, scientists, engineers, the media, . . . others and work together in a concerted global effort.

HOW TO FAIL

FACT: NO COMMUNITY CAN BECOME DISASTER RESILIENT BY WORKING ALONE WITHOUT GOALS OR CAPACITY

GUARANTEED!

HIGH DISASTER

RISK

NO CAPACITY

FOR DISASTER

RESILIENCE

EDUCATION THAT DOES NOT BUILD CAPACITY

HOW TO SUCCEED

POLITICALPROCECESES

PHYSICAL SCIENCES

ENGINEERINGSCIENCES

SUCCESS: INCREASING DISASTER RESILIENCE IN EVERY COMMUNITY

STRATEGIC GOAL: WORKING TOGETHER TO INCREASE CAPACITY IN EVERY COMMUNITY

COMMUNITY CAPACITY

GOAL: DISASTER

RESILIENCE

PRIVATE SECTOR PUBLIC SECTOR

ACADEMIA

FUNCTIONAL NETWORKING

CHANNELS

INFORMATION NETWORKING

CHANNELSORGANIZATION NETWORKING

CHANNELS

WORKING TOGETHER

COMMUNITY STAKEHOLDERS

Stratec Consulting

A RENEWED GLOBAL SURGE OF HOPE AND

ENTHUSIASM

A HISTORIC EFFORT THAT WILL BENEFIT EVERY NATION

2015 IS A GOOD TIME FOR A GLOBAL SURGE IN

EDUCATIONAL, TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL CAPACITY BUILDING

TO MAKE ALL COMMUNITIES OF THE WORLD DISASTER RESILIENT

WE HAVE COMMON ASSETSSO, LET’S USE THEM

SURGE VISION: INFUSION OF KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE

BY 1,000,000+ NEW “AMBASSADORS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE” IN AN

ONGOING, CONCERTED EFFORT TO CREATE TURNING POINTS FOR

DISASTER-RISK RESILIENCE IN EVERY NATION

THE KEY IS BEING STRATEGIC AND TACTICAL

•START NOW WHERE YOU LIVE!•START WITH EXISTING PARTNERS AND ADD NEW

PARTNERS!•START WITH YOUR HOME!

•START WITH YOUR SCHOOLS!•START WITH YOUR COMMUNITY!

THE BIG FOUR IN THE COMMUNITY MAKE THE DIFFERENCE

• EDUCATORS• CITIZENS

• STAKE- HOLDERS (PRACTI- TIONERS)

• POWER STRUCTURE (POLICY MAKERS)

FOUR STRATEGIES THAT WORK

• MAKE THE GOAL CLEAR• MAKE THE GOAL AND ITS BENEFITS

AND BARRIERS EASY TO VISUALIZE

• MAKE THE GOAL POPULAR • MAKE THE GOAL A MANDATE FOR

ADOPTING AND IMPLEMENTING A HIGHER-POWER STRATEGY

UNDERSTAND OUR COMMON BARRIERS

TO SUCCESS

BARRIERS TO A GLOBAL SURGE

• “MYTH”• A GENERAL

SOLUTION WILL WORK FOR EVERY COMMUNITY

• “REALITY” • EACH COM-

MUNITY NEEDS SITE-SPECIFIC INFORMATION AND STRATEGIES

BARRIERS IN A GLOBAL SURGE

• “MYTH”• PROFESSIONAL

PRACTICE ALWAYS KEEPS PACE WITH KNOWLEDGE

• “REALITY” • EVERY DISASTER

IS A NEW LEARNING EXPERIENCE FOR EVERY COMMUNITY

BARRIERS FACED BY CHAMPIONS OF SUSTAINABILITY

• “MYTH”• PROFESSIONAL

EDUCATION IS A SHORT PROCESS

• “REALITY” • PROFESSIONAL

EDUCATION IS A LONG PROCESS THAT MUST BE NURTURED AND SUSTAINED

SURGE ATTRIBUTES

LEADERSHIP

INNOVATION

PARTNERSHIPS

FOCUS

SURGE TARGETS

PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION CODES & STANDARDSCOMMUNITY PLANNINGIDENTIFY/ FIX VULNERABILITIES COMMUNITY READINESS

PUBLIC AWARENESS