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The Coalition in Charts:Whitehall Monitor 2015 Annual Report
Launch Gavin Freeguard, Senior Researcher, Institute for Government
Jeni Tennison, Technical Director and Deputy CEO, Open Data Institute
Megan Lucero, Data Journalism Editor, The Times and Sunday Times
Chaired by Daniel Thornton, Programme Director at the Institute for Government
@ifgevents #WM2015
Wifi: IfG_guest network Username: ifg password: visitor
Whitehall Monitor 2015:The Coalition in 163 Charts
19 November 2015 @GavinFreeguard
@instituteforgov#WM2015
3
Today we focus on four key stories
Spending
Workforce
Digital
Data
4
Today we focus on four key stories
Spending
Workforce
Digital
Data
5
The deficit has narrowed from £154bn in 2009/10 to £90bn in 2014/15
£154bn£135bn£114bn£120bn£100bn£90bn£688bn£708bn£708bn£722bn£725bn£738bn
£534bn£573bn£594bn£602bn£625bn£648bn£0bn£100bn£200bn£300bn£400bn£500bn£600bn£700bn£800bn
2009
/1020
10/11
2011/
1220
12/13
2013
/1420
14/15
Receipts
£534bn£573bn £594bn £602bn
£625bn£648bn
£0bn
£100bn
£200bn
£300bn
£400bn
£500bn
£600bn
£700bn
£800bn
2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Source: Institute for Government analysis of OBR Public Finances Databank, October 2015.
6
The deficit has narrowed from £154bn in 2009/10 to £90bn in 2014/15
£154bn£135bn£114bn£120bn£100bn£90bn£688bn£708bn£708bn£722bn£725bn£738bn
£534bn£573bn£594bn£602bn£625bn£648bn£0bn£100bn£200bn£300bn£400bn£500bn£600bn£700bn£800bn
2009
/1020
10/11
2011/
1220
12/13
2013
/1420
14/15
Receipts
£534bn£573bn £594bn £602bn
£625bn£648bn
£0bn
£100bn
£200bn
£300bn
£400bn
£500bn
£600bn
£700bn
£800bn
2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
£154bn£135bn£114bn£120bn£100bn£90bn£688bn£708bn£708bn£722bn£725bn£738bn
£534bn£573bn£594bn£602bn£625bn£648bn£0bn£100bn£200bn£300bn£400bn£500bn£600bn£700bn£800bn
2009
/1020
10/11
2011/
1220
12/13
2013
/1420
14/15
Total Expenditure Receipts
£688bn £708bn £708bn £722bn £725bn £738bn
£534bn£573bn £594bn £602bn
£625bn£648bn
£0bn
£100bn
£200bn
£300bn
£400bn
£500bn
£600bn
£700bn
£800bn
2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Source: Institute for Government analysis of OBR Public Finances Databank, October 2015.
7
The deficit has narrowed from £154bn in 2009/10 to £90bn in 2014/15
£154bn£135bn£114bn£120bn£100bn£90bn£688bn£708bn£708bn£722bn£725bn£738bn
£534bn£573bn£594bn£602bn£625bn£648bn£0bn£100bn£200bn£300bn£400bn£500bn£600bn£700bn£800bn
2009
/1020
10/11
2011/
1220
12/13
2013
/1420
14/15
Receipts
£534bn£573bn £594bn £602bn
£625bn£648bn
£0bn
£100bn
£200bn
£300bn
£400bn
£500bn
£600bn
£700bn
£800bn
2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
£154bn£135bn£114bn£120bn£100bn£90bn£688bn£708bn£708bn£722bn£725bn£738bn
£534bn£573bn£594bn£602bn£625bn£648bn£0bn£100bn£200bn£300bn£400bn£500bn£600bn£700bn£800bn
2009
/1020
10/11
2011/
1220
12/13
2013
/1420
14/15
Total Expenditure Receipts
£688bn £708bn £708bn £722bn £725bn £738bn
£534bn£573bn £594bn £602bn
£625bn£648bn
£0bn
£100bn
£200bn
£300bn
£400bn
£500bn
£600bn
£700bn
£800bn
2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
£154bn£135bn£114bn£120bn£100bn£90bn£688bn£708bn£708bn£722bn£725bn£738bn
£534bn£573bn£594bn£602bn£625bn£648bn£0bn£100bn£200bn£300bn£400bn£500bn£600bn£700bn£800bn
2009
/1020
10/11
2011/
1220
12/13
2013
/1420
14/15
Net Borrowing Total Expenditure Receipts
£154bn£135bn £114bn £120bn £100bn £90bn
£688bn £708bn £708bn £722bn £725bn £738bn
£534bn£573bn £594bn £602bn
£625bn£648bn
£0bn
£100bn
£200bn
£300bn
£400bn
£500bn
£600bn
£700bn
£800bn
2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Source: Institute for Government analysis of OBR Public Finances Databank, October 2015.
8
Government’s revenue and expenditure is dwarfed by its assets and liabilities
£1.23tn£1.19tn£1.35tn£1.57tn£1.80tn£2.48tn£2.42tn£2.62tn£2.91tn£3.18tn
£1.25tn£1.23tn£1.27tn£1.34tn£1.38tn£0.0tn£0.5tn£1.0tn£1.5tn£2.0tn£2.5tn£3.0tn£3.5tn
2009/10
Net liability Total Liabilities Total Assets
£1.23tn £1.19tn £1.35tn£1.57tn
£1.80tn
£2.48tn £2.42tn£2.62tn
£2.91tn
£3.18tn
£1.25tn £1.23tn £1.27tn £1.34tn £1.38tn
£0.0tn
£0.5tn
£1.0tn
£1.5tn
£2.0tn
£2.5tn
£3.0tn
£3.5tn
2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14
Source: Institute for Government analysis of Whole of Government Accounts Statement of Consolidated Financial Position.
9
DWP, DH accounted for 50% of all departmental spending in 2014/15
Source: Institute for Government analysis of Annual Reports 2013/14, planned Total Managed Expenditure for 2014/15.
Planned Total Managed Expenditure (TME) by department, 2014/15
10
DWP, DH accounted for 50% of all departmental spending in 2014/15
Source: Institute for Government analysis of Annual Reports 2013/14, planned Total Managed Expenditure for 2014/15.
Planned Total Managed Expenditure (TME) by department, 2014/15
11
Departments manage that spending in different ways…
Source: IfG analysis of departmental accounts, Business Plans, NAO overviews, relevant government publications and OSCAR.
spend
12
Departments manage that spending in different ways…
Source: IfG analysis of departmental accounts, Business Plans, NAO overviews, relevant government publications and OSCAR.
spend
13
Departments manage that spending in different ways…
Source: IfG analysis of departmental accounts, Business Plans, NAO overviews, relevant government publications and OSCAR.
spend
14
Departments manage that spending in different ways…
Source: IfG analysis of departmental accounts, Business Plans, NAO overviews, relevant government publications and OSCAR.
spend
15
Departments manage that spending in different ways…
Source: IfG analysis of departmental accounts, Business Plans, NAO overviews, relevant government publications and OSCAR.
spend
16
…and some of those spending models have changed
spend
Source: Institute for Government analysis of departmental accounts, NAO overviews and relevant government publications.
17
Departments should provide more information about changes to spending plans
Source: IfG analysis of Budgets 2010-15, Spending Review 2010 and 2013, PESA 2011-15 and departmental Annual Reports and Accounts 2011/12 to 2013/14.
League table: Transparency of departmental spending plans
18
Today we focus on four key stories
Spending
Workforce
Digital
Data
19
Civil service staff numbers are down 15% since 2010…
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Public Sector Employment Data (table 9), Q1 2009 to Q1 2015.
Civil Service staff numbers, March 2009 to March 2015 (FTE – full time equivalent)
20
…with some departments experiencing deeper reductions
Civil Service staff numbers, March 2009 to March 2015 (FTE – full time equivalent)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Public Sector Employment Data (table 9), Q3 2010 to Q1 2015.
21
…with some departments experiencing deeper reductions
Civil Service staff numbers, March 2009 to March 2015 (FTE – full time equivalent)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Public Sector Employment Data (table 9), Q3 2010 to Q1 2015.
22
…with some departments experiencing deeper reductions
Civil Service staff numbers, March 2009 to March 2015 (FTE – full time equivalent)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Public Sector Employment Data (table 9), Q3 2010 to Q1 2015.
23
The workforce is older…
Percentage of civil servants in each age group, 2010 to 2015 (headcount)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
2010 2015
Under 30
2010 2015
30-39
2010 2015
40-49
2010 2015
50-59
2010 2015
60+
14%9%
2010 2015
24
The workforce is older…
Percentage of civil servants in each age group, 2010 to 2015 (headcount)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
2010 2015
Under 30
2010 2015
30-39
2010 2015
40-49
2010 2015
50-59
2010 2015
60+
14%9%
21% 21%
2010 20152010 2015
25
The workforce is older…
Percentage of civil servants in each age group, 2010 to 2015 (headcount)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
2010 2015
Under 30
2010 2015
30-39
2010 2015
40-49
2010 2015
50-59
2010 2015
60+
14%9%
21% 21%
33% 29%
2010 20152010 20152010 2015
26
The workforce is older…
Percentage of civil servants in each age group, 2010 to 2015 (headcount)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
2010 2015
Under 30
2010 2015
30-39
2010 2015
40-49
2010 2015
50-59
2010 2015
60+
14%9%
21% 21%
33% 29%26%
32%
2010 20152010 20152010 20152010 2015
27
The workforce is older – 40% are aged over 50
Percentage of civil servants in each age group, 2010 to 2015 (headcount)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
2010 2015
Under 30
2010 2015
30-39
2010 2015
40-49
2010 2015
50-59
2010 2015
60+
14%9%
21% 21%
33% 29%26%
32%
6% 8%
2010 20152010 20152010 20152010 20152010 2015
28
A higher percentage of civil servants are in more senior grades
Percentage of civil servants in each grade (headcount)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
2010
Most senior: SCS
G6&7
SEO/HEO
EO
Most junior: AA/AO60% 30% 0% 30% 60%
29
A higher percentage of civil servants are in more senior grades
2015
Most senior: SCS
G6&7
SEO/HEO
EO
Most junior: AA/AO
Percentage of civil servants in each grade (headcount)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
60% 30% 0% 30% 60%
30
A higher percentage of civil servants are in more senior grades
2010 to2015
Most senior: SCS
G6&7
SEO/HEO
EO
Most junior: AA/AO
Percentage of civil servants in each grade (headcount)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
60% 30% 0% 30% 60%
31
A higher percentage of civil servants are in more senior grades
Percentage of civil servants in each grade by department, 2010 and 2015 (headcount)
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
32
Despite challenges, morale has held steady…
Engagement Index scores, 2009 to 2015
Source: Institute for Government analysis of Civil Service People Survey, 2009 to 2015.
33
Despite challenges, morale has held steady (or recovered)
Engagement Index scores, 2009 to 2015
Source: Institute for Government analysis of Civil Service People Survey, 2009 to 2015.
34
Despite challenges, morale has held steady (or recovered)
Engagement Index scores, 2009 to 2015
Source: Institute for Government analysis of Civil Service People Survey, 2009 to 2015.
35
Despite challenges, morale has held steady (or recovered)
Engagement Index scores, 2009 to 2015
Source: Institute for Government analysis of Civil Service People Survey, 2009 to 2015.
36
Today we focus on four key stories
Spending
Workforce
Digital
Data
37
Digital: starting to change way citizen/state interact
Weekly unique visitors to GOV.UK, 2012 to 2015
Source: Institute for Government analysis of GOV.UK, Performance Platform – Activity web traffic dashboard (August 2015).
38
Digital: starting to change way citizen/state interact Government Digital Service: Selected Digital Exemplars – stages of development, February 2012 to
May 2015
Source: Institute for Government analysis of GDS Performance Platform – Services data (August 2015).
39
Digital: starting to change way citizen/state interact Government Digital Service: Selected Digital Exemplars – stages of development, February 2012 to
May 2015
Source: Institute for Government analysis of GDS Performance Platform – Services data (August 2015).
40
Digital: starting to change way citizen/state interact Government Digital Service: Selected Digital Exemplars – stages of development, February 2012 to
May 2015
Source: Institute for Government analysis of GDS Performance Platform – Services data (August 2015).
41
Today we focus on four key stories
Spending
Workforce
Digital
Data
42
The UK is seen as a world leader in open data
Open Data Barometer rankings, 2013 and 2014
Source: Institute for Government analysis of Open Data Barometer and Open Knowledge Global Open Data Index rankings, 2013 and 2014.
60
97
77
86
Open Knowledge rankings, 2013 and 2014
2013 2014
2013 2014
43
The UK is seen as a world leader in open data
Source: Institute for Government analysis of Open Data Barometer and Open Knowledge Global Open Data Index rankings, 2013 and 2014.
60
97
1 UK 1
77
86
1 UK 1Open Data Barometer rankings, 2013
and 2014Open Knowledge rankings, 2013 and
2014
2013 2014
2013 2014
44
But the quality of releases can still be improved
Professions to which civil servants belong, 2010 to 2015 – headcount by department
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
45
But the quality of releases can still be improved
Professions to which civil servants belong, 2010 to 2015 – headcount by department
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
46
But the quality of releases can still be improved
Professions to which civil servants belong, 2010 to 2015 – headcount by department
Source: Institute for Government analysis of ONS Annual Civil Service Employment Survey, 2010 to 2015.
47
Government needs to present key data more clearly…
Transparency and usability of impact indicators by department
Source: Institute for Government analysis of impact indicators, via transparency.number10.gov.uk and annual reports, as of March 2015.
48
…and government, parliament and the public need to use it more
Mentions of ‘dog-fooding’ on GOV.UK
49
…and government, parliament and the public need to use it more
Mentions of ‘dog-fooding’ on GOV.UK
50
Today we focus on four key stories
Spending
Workforce
Digital
Data
51
We hope you’ll use Whitehall Monitor
Whitehall Monitor 2015:The Coalition in 163 Charts
19 November 2015 @GavinFreeguard
@instituteforgov#WM2015
