Are you ready for anything?

The Schumacher Institute – a think & do tank

http://bristolgreencapital.org

So far:

To come:

The Monitoring

Unit

• Indicators• Business Resilience

Circles• Scenario games• Alternate reality

games

Workshops

Prepare for Changeservice

Resilience Action Group

• Look Out• Special reports• Workshop reports• News• Network• Community

engagement

Prepare for Change Wiki

1950 2000 2050 2100Niger

Pop (millions) 3 11 53 99 GDP ($bn current 2013) 2 74 2,958 GDP per capita 187 1,394 30,000

JapanPop (millions) 84 127 110 90 GDP ($bn current 2013) 4,731 4,500 3,500 GDP per capita 37,252 41,021 38,976

World Population to 2300 UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs

Courtesy: Stockholm Resilience Centre

Dominant worldviews

Health and well-being

Food and agriculture

Markets and trade

Energy and raw materials

Climate change impact

Planetary limits

Water dependency

Habitat and

infrastructure

Wealth and power

Governance and law

Community systems

A selection of early / weak signals

Land loss in southeast Asia from subsidence of peatlandsResponse of financial markets to unburnable carbonRetail Banking – changes (fewer employees)Mesh of braids to extract uranium from the seasHigh-density, light-weight batteriesBrain-to-brain interfaces have arrived3D printers for drugs on demandLaunch of Circular Economy 100Soya beansCO2 emissionsGreece and diseasesEnergy BillCyber attack - Middle EastPreppersFrackingThe ‘cloud’ and data securityWheat rust and world farmingRobotic surgeryWhat is the future of biofuel?

Social Unrest – OECD project on Future Global ShocksResource Futures Report – Chatham HouseSolar stormsOnLine Electric Vehicles (OLEV)3D printing and remote manufacturingSelf-healing materialsEnergy efficient water purificationCarbon dioxide (CO2) conversion and useRemote sensingDrug delivery through nanoscale engineeringOrganic electronics and photovoltaicsFourth-generation reactors and nuclear-waste recyclingSolar Cooling: The Next Frontier for Distributed Generation?

West of England

or

Are you ready for anything?

Think about the next few decades

What concerns you most?

Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the future?

Do you consider that you are well prepared for the future?

Discussion