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HEAT WAVES
in
Moscow region (2010)
CASE STUDY
Hazard Description
Period: June-August 2010
Duration: 1-2 months (July-August for the critical temperature)
recorded)
Magnitude: - 12°C above the average temperature
- 26°C average temperature
- 38,2°C maximum recorded temperature
high temperatures, high pressure, hot winds, dust clouds, lack of
rainfall
Origine: anticyclone
Frequency: lasted for the whole period
Description of the SES
Social aspect
- Rural settlements
- Urban areas (14 million
persons)
Environmental aspect
- Marshlands (south-east part)
- Forest and national parks
- Water basins (river, reservoirs,
etc.)
- Agricultural area
Scale: Disctrict level within Moscow region
Time scale: 2 months (July-August)
Scenario
Direct impacts
• Death
• Health problem
• Vegetation loss
• Infrastructure collapse
(power cut, vehicle
collapse, etc)
Indirect impacts
• Wild fires impacts:
• Property loss
• Loss of vegetation
• Smoke
Indicators Exposure Susceptibility Capacities
People - Size and distribution
of the population
(low uncertainty)
- Land cover – RS
(low/medium
uncertainty)
- Age of the population
above 65 (absolute and
relative values)
- Income per capita, as a
proxy for access to air
conditioning (low
uncertainty)
- Hospitals’ capacity
- Nber of Rescue Services
(low uncertainty)
- Nber of volunteers
working in an organization
(low uncertainty)
Environment - Forest area (km2) - Forest composition
(type of trees/species)
(low uncertainty)
- Road network density
(low uncertainty)
- Water ressources
availability in each district
(low /medium uncertainty)
- Existence of vegetation
resistant to fire (low
/medium uncertainty)
The data is quantitative and has low to medium level of
uncertainty which makes the framework applicable
The framework is a base for short term vulnerability
assessment
There is need of integrating long-term indicators in order
to be applicable at a larger scale over time and space
Conclusion
THANK YOU
FOR YOUR KIND ATTENTION
