Energy in Ireland 2014 Report

Energy trends 1990 – 2013

Overview

Overview

• Revisions and changes to data

• General trends

• Progress towards renewable targets

• Electricity generation

• Sectoral trends

• Electricity and gas prices – key data

• Summary

Revisions & Changes

Revisions and changes to data

• Crude oil revised to be consistent with internationally

reported figures (2003, 2006 – 2012)

• Coal figures revised 2009 – 2012 on better supplier data

• Milled peat calorific value aligned with ETS

• Revisions to refinery gas based on improved data

• Density figures for gasoline aligned with international norms

• Non-energy products data updated to latest CSO trade data

Revisions and changes to data

• Solar figures revised on improved data sources

• Geothermal figures revised based on updated industry data

General Trends in 2013

Economy, Energy and related Emissions 2013

+2.5%

+1.2%-2.4%-8.9%

-1.2% +1.1%

+1.3%

2013 Energy Balance

Energy and the economy 2007 – 2013

• Economy -6.7%

• Energy use -18% (back at 1999 levels)

• Energy CO2 emissions -22% (back at 1997 levels)

• Transport energy use -25% (back at pre-2001 levels)

• Industry energy use -14% (back at 1999 levels)

– Industry’s economic output - 4.7%

• Energy use in buildings -17% (climate corrected)

Import Dependency

Progress towards renewable targets

Progress towards targets

Electricity generation

Coal -16.4%Peat -9.0%Oil -22.2%Gas -7.6%Renewables +6.0%Elec Imports +412.5%

-5.2%

Electricity Generation Fuel Mix

Electricity CO2 Intensity

Gross Electricity Generation

Electricity Generation 2013

• Final consumption of electricity grew by 0.2% in 2013

• Primary fuel inputs fell by 5.2%

• Natural gas is the dominant energy input at 48% (but fell by 7.6%)

• Coal use fell by 16.4% following a 27% increase in 2012

– 22.1% of fuel mix and 17.2% of electricity generated

• Renewables input to electricity generation increased by 6%

– 12.7% of fuel mix and 20.1% of electricity generated

• CO2 intensity at the lowest level ever– CO2 intensity 469 g CO2/kWh (down from 529 g in 2012)– Efficiency of electricity supply 48.3% (45.6% in 2012)

Sectoral Trends

Sectoral Energy use change in 2013

Transport 1990 – 2013 2.5% increase in transport energy in 2013

Petrol down 5.8%Diesel up 6.4%Biofuels up 20%Kerosene up 3.4%

2.4% increase if aviation is excluded

Average emissions for new cars in 2013 were 27% below levels prior to taxation change

In 2013, 31% of the fleet were purchased in 2008 or later

-27%

CO2 intensity of new cars

A&B = 95%

Shares of Cars by Emission Bands

Industry

Industry

+1.2%Economic output from industry grew by 2.3% in 2013

Services

Services Sector

-2.4%-1.3% Climate Corrected

Services Energy Intensity

Residential

Residential Sector Energy Consumption

• No. of permanently occupied dwellings up 14% since 2006

• Residential energy fell by 13% since 2006 (climate corrected)

• Average household energy emissions down to 6 tonnes CO2

– 3.7 tonnes from direct fuel use

– 2.2 tonnes from upstream electricity emissions

• Average floor area increased by 50% since 1990

– Energy use per dwelling down by 32%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

kWh/

Dw

ellin

g pe

r ann

um

Total Electricity Fossil Fuel Energy Total (climate corrected) Fuel Use (climate corrected)

-25%-23%

Energy Consumption per Household

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Deg

ree

Day

s

Min Max Average 2013

min: 1871max: 2634

average: 20852013: 2221

Weather Effects – Heating Degree Days

Electricity and Gas Prices Key Data

Global Oil Prices

-38%

UK National Balancing Point Gas Price (actual day p&c/kWh)

euro price -40% over semester

Price relative to Ranking Semester price changeBand Share c/kWh EU EA EU EA Ireland EU EAIA 11.9% 18.4 96% 89% 10 9 -4.0% -1.3% -1.5%IB 32.5% 15.8 106% 99% 7 7 -1.7% 3.9% 5.1%IC 17.1% 13.4 108% 101% 5 5 -2.6% 4.1% 5.3%ID 25.0% 11.6 107% 100% 7 5 -0.7% 1.9% 2.5%IE 7.1% 10.1 107% 103% 8 5 -1.6% 0.0% -0.4%IF 6.3% 9.2 108% 106% 7 5 -1.1% 1.3% 1.6%

Electricity Price to Business 1st Semester 2014

Price relative to Ranking Semester price changeBand Share c/kWh EU EA EU EA Ireland EU EAI1 11.3% 5.3 101% 97% 8 6 -6.7% -5.2% -5.7%I2 18.9% 4.4 94% 90% 13 11 -10.5% -1.9% -1.6%I3 21.1% 4.1 105% 102% 11 8 -12.9% -1.8% -2.2%I4 30.7% 3.4 102% 100% 12 10 -6.7% -3.4% -3.7%I5 18.0% - - - - - - -2.9% -3.2

Gas Price to Business 1st Semester 2014

Price relative to Ranking Semester price changeBand Share c/kWh EU EA EU EA Ireland EU EADA 1.1% 64.8 206% 185% 1 1 1.0% 3.9% 4.3%DB 9.1% 30.0 137% 130% 3 2 0.3% 1.8% 1.6%DC 33.0% 24.1 118% 111% 4 3 0.1% 1.9% 2.1%DD 48.5% 20.8 106% 98% 6 5 -1.3% 0.7% 1.1%DE 8.3% 18.1 97% 89% 9 8 -0.1% 1.0% 1.6%

Electricity Price to Households 1st Semester 2014

Price relative to Ranking Semester price changeBand Share c/kWh EU EA EU EA Ireland EU EAD1 5.0% 7.6 79% 70% 16 11 -14.7% -7.0% -9.7%D2 93.2% 6.8 102% 94% 9 7 -5.7% -5.8% -7.7%D3 1.7% 6.4 104% 94% 8 6 -2.9% 0.0% -0.7%

Gas Price to Households 1st Semester 2014

Summary

Summary

• 2013 saw a further decoupling of energy consumption – and

related CO2 emissions – from economic activity (GDP)

– Economy grew by 0.2%

– Overall energy use fell by 1.2%

– Energy-related CO2 emissions fell by 3.4%

• However:

– Cost of imports increased to €6.7 billion

– Import dependency up to 89%

Progress towards targets

Policy Achievements

The Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland is partly financed by Ireland’s EU Structural Funds Programme co-funded by the Irish Government and the European Union.

Thank you.

http://www.seai.ie/Publications/Statistics_Publications/EPSSU_Publications/