1
State Avg. VAP 1 Minnesota 69.32% 2 Maine 67.09% 3 Wisconsin 65.81% 4 Montana 64.01% 5 Iowa 63.19% 6 South Dakota 62.81% 7 North Dakota 61.93% 8 Vermont 61.89% 9 New Hampshire 61.48% 10 Oregon 61.24% State Avg. SAT 1 Colorado 245.08 2 Illinois 232.1 3 Massachusetts 223.96 4 Minnesota 213.12 5 Connecticut 212.54 6 Ohio 207.08 7 Kansas 205.48 8 New York 201.96 9 Wisconsin 200.26 10 Nebraska 199.84 State Avg. SAT 41 California 138.12 42 North Carolina 134.94 43 Arkansas 134.22 44 Texas 133.96 45 Louisiana 133.64 46 New Mexico 132 47 West Virginia 127.12 48 South Carolina 123.84 49 Arizona 115.32 50 Mississippi 99.48 Academic Achievement and Voter Turnout Acknowledgements Kelly Depew [email protected] I deeply appreciate the generous counsel of Government Associate Professor Sean Theriault, and Michelle Whyman. Contact Information Introduction Geographic Distribution of Voter Turnout Performance Rankings Highest Voter Turnout Measures Is there a relationship between educational achievement and voter turnout? Examining 30 years of voter turnout and 10 years of college entrance exam performance, we can see certain patterns in participation and success, which can enrich our understanding of education’s role in democracy. Tables below display state rankings of average state performance in education and voting participation. States in orange rank similarly in both categories of data. Highest Education Ach. State Avg. VAP 41 Arkansas 49.57% 42 West Virginia 49.18% 43 New York 48.57% 44 California 47.02% 45 South Carolina 45.76% 46 Arizona 45.53% 47 Georgia 45.53% 48 Texas 44.63% 49 Nevada 43.90% 50 Hawaii 42.60% Lowest Education Ach. Educational Achievement Voter Turnout Per 1,000 high school grads, total # of students who scored in 80th Percentile on SAT or ACT > 25 on the ACT > 1780 on the SAT Avg SAT: Average from 1999-2007 Map: Statewide Voting Age Population turnout % for all federal election years in each state. Below: VAP% for only presidential election years in each state. Avg VAP: Average cumulated from all elections from 1980-2012 State Voter Turnout Profiles Lowest Voter Turnout State Educational Achievement Profiles Lowest Ten States Highest Ten States 2012 Presidential Vote 7 Democrat, 3 Republican Total Electoral Votes 53 US Congressional Seats 26 2012 Presidential Vote 5 Democrat, 5 Republican Total Electoral Votes 187 US Congressional Seats 143 Lowest Ten States Highest Ten States 2012 Presidential Vote 8 Democrat, 2 Republican Total Electoral Votes 125 US Congressional Seats 105 Average Lacking Basic Prose Literacy Skills 10% 2012 Presidential Vote 2 Democrat, 8 Republican Total Electoral Votes 158 US Congressional Seats 138 Average Lacking Basic Prose Literacy Skills 16% The points below display the correlation between avg. educational achievement measures from 1999-2007 v. avg. presidential election voter turnout from 1980-2012. The map below displays the average, from 1980- 2012, of each state’s total voter turnout rate for each federal election year. The darkest states vote the highest 25%, with each lighter shade showing lower rates. White states are the 25% with the lowest turnout. Correlation 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Average Voter Turnout Rate Average Educational Achievement The correlation is positive .5476, which suggests that high educational achievement could be associated with high voter turnout rates. Further Study I plan to develop this project into my honors thesis, as this relationship is subject to a variety of political, racial, socioeconomic, historical, and cultural influences that contribute to success in both the classroom and the voting booth. I plan to further research these factors, and welcome your suggestions. Conclusions The factors that cause both voting and academic success will need to be further investigated, but to sum, I have identified: Disparities in political influence and participation: - Considering the “lowest” column cumulative facts, states who vote less and academically perform less compared with the rest of the country garner more political power. Interesting party relationship in educational achievement: - The highest academically performing states are mostly Democrat- affiliated, while lowest academically performing are mostly Republican-affiliated.

Undergraduate Research Project Poster Presentation

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Undergraduate Research Project Poster Presentation

  State Avg. VAP 1 Minnesota 69.32%2 Maine 67.09%3 Wisconsin 65.81%4 Montana 64.01%5 Iowa 63.19%6 South Dakota 62.81%7 North Dakota 61.93%8 Vermont 61.89%9 New Hampshire 61.48%10 Oregon 61.24%

  State Avg. SAT1 Colorado 245.082 Illinois 232.13 Massachusetts 223.964 Minnesota 213.125 Connecticut 212.546 Ohio 207.087 Kansas 205.488 New York 201.969 Wisconsin 200.26

10 Nebraska 199.84

  State Avg. SAT41 California 138.1242 North Carolina 134.9443 Arkansas 134.2244 Texas 133.9645 Louisiana 133.6446 New Mexico 13247 West Virginia 127.1248 South Carolina 123.8449 Arizona 115.3250 Mississippi 99.48

Academic Achievement and Voter Turnout

Acknowledgements

Kelly Depew [email protected]

I deeply appreciate the generous counsel of Government Associate Professor Sean Theriault, and Michelle Whyman.

Contact Information

Introduction Geographic Distribution of Voter Turnout

Performance Rankings

Highest Voter Turnout

Measures

Is there a relationship between educational achievement and voter turnout? Examining 30 years of voter turnout and 10 years of college entrance exam performance, we can see certain patterns in participation and success, which can enrich our understanding of education’s role in democracy.

Tables below display state rankings of average state performance in education and voting participation. States in orange rank similarly in both categories of data.

Highest Education Ach.

  State Avg. VAP 41 Arkansas 49.57%42 West Virginia 49.18%43 New York 48.57%44 California 47.02%45 South Carolina 45.76%46 Arizona 45.53%47 Georgia 45.53%48 Texas 44.63%49 Nevada 43.90%50 Hawaii 42.60%

Lowest Education Ach.

Educational Achievement

Voter Turnout

Per 1,000 high school grads, total # of students who scored in 80th Percentile on SAT or ACT

> 25 on the ACT> 1780 on the SAT

Avg SAT: Average from 1999-2007

Map: Statewide Voting Age Population turnout % for all federal election years in each state.

Below: VAP% for only presidential election years in each state.

Avg VAP: Average cumulated from all elections from 1980-2012

State Voter Turnout Profiles

Lowest Voter Turnout

State Educational Achievement Profiles

Lowest Ten StatesHighest Ten States2012 Presidential Vote

7 Democrat, 3 Republican

Total Electoral Votes53

US Congressional Seats 26

2012 Presidential Vote5 Democrat, 5 Republican

Total Electoral Votes187

US Congressional Seats 143

Lowest Ten StatesHighest Ten States2012 Presidential Vote

8 Democrat, 2 Republican

Total Electoral Votes125

US Congressional Seats 105

Average Lacking Basic Prose Literacy Skills10%

2012 Presidential Vote2 Democrat, 8 Republican

Total Electoral Votes158

US Congressional Seats 138

Average Lacking Basic Prose Literacy Skills16%

The points below display the correlation between avg. educational achievement measures from 1999-2007 v. avg. presidential election voter turnout from 1980-2012.

The map below displays the average, from 1980-2012, of each state’s total voter turnout rate for each federal election year. The darkest states vote the highest 25%, with each lighter shade showing lower rates. White states are the 25% with the lowest turnout.

Correlation

0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.750

50

100

150

200

250

300

Average Voter Turnout Rate

Aver

age

Educ

ation

al A

chie

vem

ent

The correlation is positive .5476, which suggests that high educational achievement could be associated with high voter turnout rates.

Further Study I plan to develop this project into my honors thesis, as this relationship is subject to a variety of political, racial, socioeconomic, historical, and cultural influences that contribute to success in both the classroom and the voting booth. I plan to further research these factors, and welcome your suggestions.

ConclusionsThe factors that cause both voting and academic success will need to be further investigated, but to sum, I have identified:

• Disparities in political influence and participation:

- Considering the “lowest” column cumulative facts, states who vote less and academically perform less compared with the rest of the country garner more political power.

• Interesting party relationship in educational achievement:

- The highest academically performing states are mostly Democrat- affiliated, while lowest academically performing are mostly Republican-affiliated.