Stockton Deliverable 4 - Final Design (Presentation)

Final PresentationApril 9, 2015

Universities

City Partners

11/14:Draft

Research

Timeline

12/12:Final

Research

4/17:Final

Design

2/20:Draft

Design

Research Design

All deliverables viewable at gudp.stanford.edu

Research

○ Place: Land use and building development.

○ Movement: Streets, traffic, and transport.

○ Environment: Natural features and natural disaster concerns.

○ Health and Safety: Civic services (fire, police, etc), health care, and food sources.

○ Youth and Education: Schools and demographics of the area.

○ Housing: Homeownership, foreclosures, and property value.

○ Economic Development: Industry and opportunity.

Research Topics

Place

Vacancies

Services

Mobility

Environment

“What would you change about the community?”

Community

Unemployment & Poverty

Education

Housing

Economic Development

Target Goals

Design

ProjectsIndustry

Revitalization

EnvironmentalResiliency

Airport WayRevitalization

CSU Stockton Proposal

Industry Revitalization

Industry Revitalization Environmental Resiliency Airport Way Revitalization CSU Stockton Proposal

Food Processing - employment• Food manufacturing accounts for 14% of all U.S. manufacturing

employees,• The US food industry represents around 16.5 million jobs, and the

population spends around $1 trillion per year on food products.• Average middle size factory in the industry employs 100-250

people.• Various sub-industries require different investments in equipment

and fulfillment of regulations; the number of employees and the investment : new jobs created ratio also vary

Industry Revitalization Environmental Resiliency Airport Way Revitalization CSU Stockton ProposalIndustry Revitalization Environmental Resiliency Airport Way Revitalization CSU Stockton Proposal

Food Processing - why Stockton?

• Good location

• Proximity of inputs

• Connection to state roads

• Know how

• Affordable workforce


Tire recycling

Waste tires:● export,● reuse,● ground rubber,● ADC,● civil engineering,● landfill disposal,● TDF.


Tire recycling

● Benefits to the city: tax revenue, decreased unemployment, increased mean income

● Tire Incentive Program (grants up to 40 cents per pound)

● $1 million invested = 6 jobs● Synergies with logistics● Possible upgrade to tire manufacturing


Logistics

• Fast-growing industry

• US logistics jobs growth by 2022 – 21.9%, 27,600 new jobs in total

• Large share of jobs with low requirements – opportunity for unskilled workers

• $1 million investment creates 3.8 jobs

• Multiplier effect – 1 job in logistics creates 3.47 jobs in the economy

• Synergy possibilities with CSU


Logistics - why Stockton?

• Location – proximity to Bay Area, Greater Sacramento

• Lower operating costs than Bay Area

• Excellent transport links – highways, railways, intermodal yards, deep-water port

• Suitable workforce

• Less expensive and plentiful land



Industry Growth Projections


Environmental effects of industries

Food processing:● wastewater - recycling, reuse, effective water treatment

system● solid waste - source reduction, animal feed,

composting, small recycling plants on site● clean technologies - closed loop/zero emission systems● FDA and EPA regulations


Waste tires:● problems - “overcrowded” landfills, toxin release, pest

issue● solutions - production of scrap tires (shredding)● usage - tire-derived fuel, civil engineering applications,

ground rubber applications



Logistics:● occupying land due to transport and storage ● consuming fuel, transport and storage equipment ● producing loss and waste due to distribution processing● consuming material and processing waste



Industries locationsThe selection was made upon:

● existing land use● location of existing nearby

industries● location of existing industries

in Stockton with similar program

● public transport/ cycling accessibility

● spatial needs of industry ● transportation requirements ● technology requirements● agricultural preservation

limitations● South Stockton Land Use

Strategy




● systematic development of land use

● infill, revitalization and mixed use

● compact shape ● coherent, heterogeneous

program● can be developed in

real development plan

Land Use Strategy


CSU Study Programmes

● creation of study programmes as a direct connection to the proposed industries

● chance for employment or working experience● generation of jobs demanding a higher education (“Job

Multiplier Effect”)● employment of young personnel from local student base


Energy EfficiencyWhy energy efficiency?


Social Equity

Environment & Resources

Economic Benefits

Energy Efficiency

Goal: Improve home energy efficiency to1. Help city meet Climate Action Plan goals2. Better meet needs of South Stockton / low-

mid income residents: affordability, comfort


Model Context

Measure Typical difficulty Typical Payback

Seal small air leaks Average homeowner 1-2 years

Insulate water heater Average homeowner 1-2 years

Energy-saving showerhead

Average homeowner 1-3 years

Seal large air leaks Skilled homeowner 1-2 years

Seal ducts Skilled homeowner 1-2 years

Thermostat Skilled homeowner 1-2 years

Heating tune-up Expert technician 1-3 years

Source: https://www.xcelenergy.com/staticfiles/xe/Marketing/Files/SmartEnergyGuide.pdf


Cases:●Old home (baseline)

●Only weatherstripping

●Only wall+roof insulation

●Only window improvement (film + insulation)

●Weatherstripping + insulation + window improvement

●New home

●Solar required to cover energy use of old home, improved home, and new home




Window Film

Air Leak Sealing (weather strip + caulk)

Attic + WallInsulation

Window Film

Air Leak Sealing (weather strip + caulk)

Attic + Wall Insulation

Characteristics of baseline home

● Built in 1970’s/80’s before energy codes● No wall/attic insulation● Furnace/water heater has poor efficiency● Very leaky (1 ACH)● ~1000 square feet



Results


Results cont’d


Modeling Challenges and Shortcomings

● Limited data for comparison of lifecycle costs● Wide range in cost estimates● Replacement analysis not conducted ● No predictions made for changes in fuel or

electricity prices


Community Engagement

“These homes have been here for over 50 years, these homes have been here for a while. How often do people check out these homes? ... Let’s do an evaluation of how homes are built, is there mold, are the heaters working? If people don’t come out and do that, that’s a big issue”

“There’s this mentality of ‘Keep the lights off!’ ‘Don’t turn that on!’”

“‘Who’s gonna pay for it?’ This committee of environmentalists and developers.. this has been one of the central things they’ve been fighting over”



Trust

Disconnect

Outreach

Priorities


Stakeholder Analysis

Energy EfficiencyStakeholders

Residents

Contractors

City

Utility

Non Profits

Financial Institutions

Landlords

HomeownersRenters


Existing incentives/assistance programsName Sponsor Benefits Requirements

San Joaquin County Weatherization Program

San Joaquin County Human Services Agency

Free weatherizations - measures include insulation, repairs, improved appliances, etc.

A member of the household receives temporary Aid for Needy Families (TANF), Food Stamps, SSI or SSP, Veterans and Survivors Pension or if the household income does not exceed a certain amount http://www.benefits.gov/benefits/benefit-details/1844

Energy Savings Assistance Program

PG&E Repair or replacement of refrigerators, furnaces or water heaters, insulation/ weatherproofing, efficient light bulbs, showerheads, etc

Home 5 years or older, meets CARE guidelineshttp://goo.gl/8zvcu3Valid through May 2015

Energy Upgrade California - whole house

PG&E Up to $2500 in rebates PG&E Customers with single family homes Choose measures from a menu of options

Appliance rebates

PG&E Depends on the appliance Purchase of Energy Star or approved appliance


http://www.benefits.gov/benefits/benefit-details/1844

http://www.benefits.gov/benefits/benefit-details/1844

http://goo.gl/8zvcu3

Financing OptionsProgram type Pro Con

PACE (HERO, Figtree) ●Approved in Stockton●No upfront cost- pay with additional property taxes●Vetted contractors (3 in Stockton)●Choice of payback (5/10/15/20 years)

●Higher property tax bills ●Must pay property tax

(ineligible to renters)

On-bill financing ●No upfront cost - pay using portion of energy savings

●Good for renters- financing can stay with the property

●Not currently available●Risk for utility if bills are not

paid

Loan (i.e. from the Golden State Finance Authority)

●Up to $50,000 financing, 6.5% interest for 15 yr loan

●Partner with approved contractor

http://www.chfloan.org/programs/energy/overview.shtml

●Only one Stockton based contractor

●No flexibility for loan length

Warehouse for Energy Efficiency Loans (WHEEL)

● More scalable than other approaches due to investments from large institutions

● Pool loans (investment grade capital)Source: WSGR White Paper

● New and unfamiliar● Public agency approval

needed

Crowdfunding (i.e. Village Power Finance, Mosaic)

● Community building● More flexible

● Requires strong community partner- may or may not exist


http://www.chfloan.org/programs/energy/overview.shtml

Outreach strategy (ESA)


Outreach cont’d


Penetration - low● Only 1.1% of eligible customers actually

enrolled● 11% of spending on customer enrollment● Moderate income program unavailable in

the county Job training● YTD - 48 people trained for ESA program ● Typically from the local area

Demonstration Home Cases

● Better Buildings Neighborhood Program:o Chula Vista: 25% of tour participants in a demonstration

home signed up for energy assessment with a contractor

● Michigan: has 8 Energy Demonstration Centers● San Diego Center: tours, kiosks, library, rainwater

harvesting, demo garden, food service demo kitchen



Chula Vista Home

Phoenix: Meritage Deconstructed Home

SDG&E Energy Innovation Center

SDG&E Energy Innovation Center

Detroit Ecoworks Center

Conclusions● Many efficiency projects with quick payback● Improved outreach necessary ● Demonstration home / Energy Center Potential

o Outreach and education o Access to subsidized materials for DIYo Potential community space for local groupso For residents ineligible for ESA: access to subsidized

materials for DIY projects and support may be useful Potential for building contractor-resident relationships


Conclusions● Partnerships with other projects

o Integration w/ Airport Way temporary structures + tool sharing, potential for more permanent services Community garden, home improvement resource center

o CSU : potential to provide education in a growing fieldo Industry analysis of Stockton’s energy efficiency job

market



Airport Way

Insights on Airport Way

What would you change about the community?”


Case Studies


People’s St.Los Angeles

Federal Credit Union

Prostoroz, Ljubljana

Superkilen, Copenhagen


Green Spaces

KaBOOM!KaBOOM! provides:

- Funding assistance- Experienced Project

Manager- Build Day

training/assistance

The Community provides:- 250 sf of land- Partial funding- Volunteers for Community

Build Day- Everyday play!- Maintenance

Promote playBuild a playground in a day


Temporary Program Concept


Street Art

Sports Areas

Outdoor Festivals

Temporary Structure Concept


Option 1: Home Depot Shed Option 2: Shipping Containers

Option 3: Build it Yourself Adaptable Structure

Option 3: Build it Yourself Adaptable Structure

Community Center

Section

Floor Plan

Community Center

Structural Layering

Community Center


Master Plan Description


Phase 1: 10%green areas:

● community gardens● children’s playground● public park

community area:● temporary sports court● community events● temporary structures

Phase 2: 50%● community center● police station● grocery store

Phase 3: 100%● commercial programs

10%


50% 100%

Proposed Phases for Development

Phase 1

Phase 3

Phase 2







Having the physical campus in Stockton would visually reinforce the possibility of going to college to people driving by it every day.

Seeing Stocktonians who went to well-regarded schools and came back to Stockton served as an inspiration to students.

The CSU could offer cultural studies, since Stockton is a diverse city and help citizens learn more about the background of others.

Economic benefits of a CSU

Economic Benefits Impact on Regional Economy Spending

Supports Regional Jobs

Local Tax Revenue

CSU Stanislaus $169 million >2000 ~$8 million


L1: MLK / Highway 99

PROs: central location, close to residential areas, good accessibility, close to commercial activities, incoherent current land useCONs: less space for expansion, a few existing residents, no public transit route, safety may be an issue, close to industrial lands


L1: MLK / Highway 99 Alternative


L4: North Stockton PROs: a lot of space, close to residential areas, empty lot is not suitable for low residential housing, easily approachable by car, safe neighborhoodCONs: nowhere near city center, almost no commercial activities nearby, no transit options (only car oriented)


Decision MatrixLocation 1:MLK + H99

Location 2:Airport Way

Location 3:R4 + FW5

Location 4:North Stockton

Location + - o o

Accessibility + - + +

Size o + + +

Public transport - + + +

Surrounding areas + - o o

Safety o o - +

Infrastructure + o - o

Place for expansion o + o +

Nearby residents + - o +

Close to services + o - o

Table of comparison of the three locations(+ means good, o means neutral, - means bad // parameters that are higher are more important)


Breakdown of GSF of CSU StanislausInstructional GSF 623,482 Instructional GSF / student 51.96 gsf / student

Library 123,319 Library / student 10.28 gsf / student

Housing / Dining 226,292 Housing / Dining / student 18.86 gsf / student

Administrative / Student Services 227,642 Administrative / student 18.97 gsf / student

Other Support 66,939 Other Support / Student 5.58 gsf / student

Parking spots 2908 Parking / student 24.23%

# of beds 656 Beds / students 5.47%


Calculated GSF of CSU Stockton Instructional 519,568.33 gsf

Library 102,765.83 gsf

Housing / Dining 188,576.67 gsf

Administrative / Student Services 189,701.67 gsf

Other Support 55,782.50 gsf

Parking spots 2423

# of beds 546.7

Grand total 1,056,395 gsf


Table of construction costs Construction Costs per GSF

for CSUs General ContractorCosts

Classroom $352 $182,888,052.2

Library $311 $31,960,173.13

Housing / Dining $274 $51,670,007.58

Administration $354 $67,154,391.18

Structure and surface per parking space

$19,278 $46,710,594

Grand Total $380,383,218.1

Including Site Work Site Work assumed to be 3% of building costs

$391,794,714.6


Table of example scheduling, based off of Stanford LBRE

Sample Project Type Typical Project Duration Typical Construction Duration

Large science / medical project ( ( ( |(>25k sf)

3-5 years 2-3 years

Large office / classroom project ( |(>25k sf)

3-4 years 1-2 years

Large housing project (>25k sf) 2-3 years 1-2 years


Mock Schedule


eQuest data for MLK / Highway 99MLK / Highway 99 Classroom

Electricity Natural Gas

Yearly Energy Usage 419,660 kWh 3302 therms

Bill $62,792 $1988

Total Bill $64,780

MLK / Highway 99 Housing


Yearly Energy Usage 181,200 kWh 0

Bill $26,929

Total Bill $26,929


eQuest data for MLK / Highway 99

MLK / Highway 99 Administrative


Yearly Energy Usage 520,850 kWh 2061.8 therms

Bill $86,276 $1305

Total Bill $87,581

MLK / Highway 99 Library Electricity Natural Gas

Yearly Energy Usage 1,200,800 kWh 10,179 therms

Bill $195,832 $5748

Total Bill $201,580


eQuest data for North Stockton

North Stockton Housing Electricity Natural Gas

Yearly Energy Usage 364,060 kWh 0

Bill $53,533

Total Bill $53,533

North Stockton Classroom


Yearly Energy Usage 817,310 kWh 6018.2 therms

Bill $121,398 $3483

Total Bill $124,881


eQuest data for North StocktonNorth Stockton Administration


Yearly Energy Usage 1,081,600 kWh 3341.2 therms

Bill $175,767 $2005

Total Bill $177,772

North Stockton Library Electricity Natural Gas

Yearly Energy Usage 1,200,800 kWh 10,179 therms

Bill $195,832 $5748

Total Bill $201,580


Comparison of Yearly Energy BillsTotal Energy Bill (MLK / Highway 99) Electricity Bill Natural Gas Bill

Housing $215,432 $0

Classroom $753,504 $23,856

Administrative $345,104 $5220

Library $195,832 $5748

Total $1,509,872 $34,824

Grand Total (per year) $1,544,696


Comparison of Yearly Energy Bills

Total Energy Bill (North Stockton) Electricity Bill Natural Gas Bill

Housing $214,132 $0

Classroom $728,388 $20,898

Administrative $351,534 $4010

Library $195,832 $5748

Total $1,489,886 $30,656

Grand Total (per year) $1,520,542


Architectural section (scheme)● Instructional ● Administration


List of Programming / Majors● Nursing● Business Administration/Management● Supply Chain Management/Operations Management● Education/Liberal Studies/Teaching● Psychology● Sociology/Social Work● Agricultural Studies/AgriBusiness● Food Science● Criminal Justice● Computer Science


Budget / Financial Aid● < than $90 million for first few years● Close to 90% will qualify for financial aid● Average full-time student will have financial aid package around

$8,000● Undergraduates will qualify for around $6,700 for need-based

grants● Need-based loan amount around $4,300● Tuition for academic year around $5,472 for 6 or more units,

$3,174 fewer than 6● Credit Union along Airport Way can help with funding via loans


Public Relations ● Communicate and advocate with the local community● Raise awareness on benefits of college education on what needs

to be done to apply to college● Partner with local elementary/middle schools, high schools, and

community colleges● Promote as commuter-based institution● Inform high school counselors ● Promote college fairs


CSU Stockton


Conclusion● Ideally, this analysis serves as a jumping point for a

feasibility study of a CSU in Stockton. ● Currently, there is an assembly bill on the topic of the

feasibility of a CSU, and this study will hopefully push CSU Stockton as being chosen and built.

● Higher education attainment is crucial for achieving many of the other goals mentioned.


Conclusion● Partnership with other projects

o CSU Study Program to stimulate development of industries.

o Promote green technologies and lifestyle with Environmental Resiliency.

o Long term stimulation of development in Stockton, including along Airport Way.
