View
244
Download
1
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
SMART Infrastructure Facility was pleased to host Ketan Joshi, Research and Communications Officer at Infigen Energy, as he presented ‘Gods of the Gaps: How Public Perception Affects Australian Technology and Energy Policy’ as part of the SMART Seminar Series on November 11th, 2014.
Citation preview
The Cognitive Machines Driving Public Perception and Policy
Ketan Joshi, Research and Communications Officer
11/11/2014
The Gods of the Gaps
2Source - Google Maps - https://www.google.com.au/maps/@-
33.7748874,151.0988658,3a,75y,281.71h,89.79t/data=!3m4!1e1!3m2!1sEtoA6EBl4Y1CpnHGWu0dIQ!2e0
Mysteries of the CSIRO
@KetanJ0
3Source - http://www.grc.nasa.gov/WWW/k-12/airplane/atmosphere.html
Climate Science
@KetanJ0
4Source - Youtube - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jBWTJrS557E
Sky News – Jones, Moore, Richardson, Jackson
@KetanJ0
5Source - Africa Green Media - http://africagreenmedia.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/IPCC31.jpg
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
@KetanJ0
6Source - Annual Survey of Attitudes to Climate Change (CSIRO, 2013) -
http://www.csiro.au/Outcomes/Climate/Adapting/Annual-Survey-of-Australian-Attitudes-to-Climate-Change.aspx
Polling on Climate Change Opinions
@KetanJ0
8%
6%
39%
47%
Not happening
Don't know
Happening, but natural
Happening, but caused by
humans
“Typological breakdown of thoughts about the causes of
climate change (N = 5219)”
7Source – Essential Vision - http://essentialvision.com.au/energy-sources
Polling on Energy Transition Opinions
@KetanJ0
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Solarpower
Wind Hydro Gas Nuclearpower
Coal
“Do you think Australia should put more emphasis, less emphasis or about the same emphasis as it does now on producing domestic energy from the following sources?”
More emphasis Same emphasis Less emphasis Don’t know
8Source – 2014 RET Review – ACIL Allen https://retreview.dpmc.gov.au/sites/default/files/files/ACIL_Report.pdf
The Renewable Energy Target
@KetanJ0
9Source – 2GB radio - http://www.2gb.com/audioplayer/21496#.VGAUjvmUcsY
2GB Interview with Tony Abbott and Alan Jones
@KetanJ0
10Source – Australian Financial Review, 18/08/2014 -
http://www.afr.com/p/national/abbott_plan_to_axe_ret_H2znp8ix2CuwbJe6jyb5ZP
What Makes Up Our Bills
@KetanJ0
11
Source – Google Image Search, “Carbon tax protest”
https://www.google.com.au/search?q=carbon+tax+protest&es_sm=93&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ei=GrJdVJywF-
W4mwWQr4DICA&ved=0CAkQ_AUoAg&biw=1920&bih=895
The Deeply Unpopular Carbon Price
@KetanJ0
12Source – Essential Vision - http://essentialvision.com.au/support-or-oppose-the-carbon-tax
Carbon Pricing Popularity (or, lack thereof)
@KetanJ0
48% 49%52% 53% 54%
48%
35%38% 37% 38%
35%38%
“Do you support or oppose the Government’s carbon pricing scheme?”
Total oppose
Total support
13Source – 2014 RET Review – ACIL Allen https://retreview.dpmc.gov.au/sites/default/files/files/ACIL_Report.pdf
The Merit Order Effect
@KetanJ0
14
Source SMH + The Australian - http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/climate-sceptic-dick-warburton-to-head-tony-abbott-review-into-
renewable-energy-target-20140217-32vve.html http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/climate/ret-reviewer-dick-warburton-im-not-a-climate-
sceptic/story-e6frg6xf-1226829905020
The RET Review
@KetanJ0
“I am not a denier of climate change…I am
a sceptic that man-made carbon dioxide is
creating global warming.”
15
Source – Infigen Blog – http://www.infigenenergy.com/renewable-energy/blog/what-would-happen-if-the-ret-review-
recommendations-were-implemented.html
The Impacts + The Recommendations
@KetanJ0
16
Source – Infigen Energy Blog - http://www.infigenenergy.com/renewable-energy/blog/aussies-love-clean-tech.html + Essential Vision Polling
Public Perception of the Renewable Energy Target
@KetanJ0
17
Source - RET Review - https://retreview.dpmc.gov.au/sites/default/files/files/ACIL_Report.pdf
The 20% Maximum to be Imposed on Renewable Penetration
@KetanJ0
18Source – By Ketan + RET Review https://retreview.dpmc.gov.au/ret-review-report-0
The Prime Ministerial Knowledge Gap
@KetanJ0
RET Other
RET Other
Imagined “Significant” Renewable Energy Impact on Bills:
Measured Renewable Energy Impact on Bills:
19
Source Mike Sandiford, University of Melbourne - http://ramblingsdc.net/Australia/WindProblems.html#CO2_and_wind_farms
Emissions Reductions?
@KetanJ0
20Source – The Guardian - http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/dec/18/renewable-energy-tony-abbott-signals-he-could-wind-back-or-scrap-
targets
Emissions Reductions?
@KetanJ0
21Source – Flickr - https://www.flickr.com/photos/91514494@N05/9120110909/sizes/o/
Emissions Reductions?
@KetanJ0
22Source – ABC Media Watch = http://www.abc.net.au/mediawatch/transcripts/s3596892.htm
ABC Media Watch – 24/09/2012
@KetanJ0
23Source – National Grid UK - http://www.theguardian.com/environment/blog/2012/sep/26/myth-wind-turbines-carbon-emissions
The National Grid - UK
@KetanJ0
24Source – Supplied, Pending Publication
South Australian Decarbonisation
@KetanJ0
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Win
d P
ow
er
Ou
tpu
t (M
W, A
vera
ge o
ver
day)
South Australian Emissions Intensity Index
01/01/2012 - 25/10/2014 - SA Wind Power vs Emissions Intensity
25
South Australian wind power – July/August
Source - Supplied@KetanJ0
26
John Cleese’s Explanation of Confident Ignorance
Source – Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wvVPdyYeaQU@KetanJ0
27
Wind Turbine Syndrome
Source – City News Canada - http://www.citynews.ca/files/2010/04/812f4c9940a6ad3b55872aae01f8.jpeg@KetanJ0
28Source: http://we-oppose-windfarms.tripod.com/id20.html
The Genesis of “Wind Turbine Syndrome”
@KetanJ0
29
Wind Turbine Syndrome
Source – The Independent, 2009 - http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/green-living/are-wind-farms-a-health-risk-us-scientist-identifies-
wind-turbine-syndrome-1766254.html @KetanJ0
30
Wind Turbine Syndrome
Source – Youtube - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eHzlFYdqU9U@KetanJ0
31
Wind Turbine Syndrome
Source – British Medical Journal - http://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/4/6/e005374.full.pdf+html@KetanJ0
32Source:
Wind Turbine Syndrome
@KetanJ0
33Source – Supplied
Wind Turbine Syndrome
@KetanJ0
34Source – Ketan’s Blog - http://etwasluft.blogspot.com.au/2013/05/caveys-and-causal-gap-problems-with.html
Wind Turbine Syndrome
@KetanJ0
35Source – Ketan’s Blog - http://etwasluft.blogspot.com.au/2013/05/caveys-and-causal-gap-problems-with.html
Wind Turbine Syndrome
@KetanJ0
36
Wind Turbine Syndrome
@KetanJ0
Association of Australian Acoustical Consultants (2013)
Victorian Department of Health (2013)
NSW Health (2013)
Worksafe Victoria (2013)
Doctors for the Environment Australia (2011)
Climate and Health Alliance (2012)
Public Health Association of Australia (2013)
South Australian Environmental Protection Agency (2013)
National Health and Medical Research Council (2014)
Australian Medical Association (2014)
37
Wind Turbine Syndrome
@KetanJ0Source – 2gb Interview, Waubra Foundation Website - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MobTnO2s6uE
38
Wind Turbine Syndrome
@KetanJ0Source – Health Canada Summary Leaflet - http://southerntablelandsrenewables.org.au/wp-
content/uploads/2014/11/Health-Canada-Wind-Turbine-Noise-and-Health-Study_brochure-2014Nov6.pdf
39
Wind Turbine Syndrome
@KetanJ0Source – Twitter - https://twitter.com/ScottMillerCTV/status/530428629789192193
40
Our Brains Abhor a Vacuum
@KetanJ0Source – The Daily Beast - http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2013/04/26/daniel-kahneman-s-gripe-with-behavioral-
economics.html
41
Confidence vs Expertise
@KetanJ0Source – J Pers Soc Psychol. 1999 Dec;77(6):1121-34.- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10626367
42
Confidence vs Expertise
@KetanJ0Source – Pacific Standard Magazine (Science of Society) - http://www.psmag.com/navigation/health-and-behavior/confident-
idiots-92793/
43
Ideology
@KetanJ0
Source – Nature - www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v2/n8/fig_tab/nclimate1610_F1.html
45https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L1TzQMEfDL8
Massive changes to energy technology mean we
need to understand why we fill gaps in our
knowledge – confidence, ideology and identity
play a role.
Twitter - @KetanJ0
Email: [email protected]
Disclaimer
This publication is issued by Infigen Energy Limited (“IEL”), Infigen Energy (Bermuda) Limited (“IEBL”) and Infigen Energy Trust (“IET”), with
Infigen Energy RE Limited (“IERL”) as responsible entity of IET (collectively “Infigen”). Infigen and its related entities, directors, officers and
employees (collectively “Infigen Entities”) do not accept, and expressly disclaim, any liability whatsoever (including for negligence) for any loss
howsoever arising from any use of this publication or its contents. This publication is not intended to constitute legal, tax or accounting advice or
opinion. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or thoroughness of the content of the
information. The recipient should consult with its own legal, tax or accounting advisers as to the accuracy and application of the information
contained herein and should conduct its own due diligence and other enquiries in relation to such information.
The information in this presentation has not been independently verified by the Infigen Entities. The Infigen Entities disclaim any responsibility for
any errors or omissions in such information, including the financial calculations, projections and forecasts. No representation or warranty is made
by or on behalf of the Infigen Entities that any projection, forecast, calculation, forward-looking statement, assumption or estimate contained in
this presentation should or will be achieved. None of the Infigen Entities guarantee the performance of Infigen, the repayment of capital or a
particular rate of return on Infigen Stapled Securities.
IEL and IEBL are not licensed to provide financial product advice. This publication is for general information only and does not constitute financial
product advice, including personal financial product advice, or an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect of securities, by IEL, IEBL or any
other Infigen Entities. Please note that, in providing this presentation, the Infigen Entities have not considered the objectives, financial position or
needs of the recipient. The recipient should obtain and rely on its own professional advice from its tax, legal, accounting and other professional
advisers in respect of the recipient’s objectives, financial position or needs.
This presentation does not carry any right of publication. Neither this presentation nor any of its contents may be reproduced or used for any
other purpose without the prior written consent of the Infigen Entities.
IMPORTANT NOTICE
Nothing in this presentation should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy Infigen securities in the United States
or any other jurisdiction.
Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States or to, or for the account or benefit of, US persons (as such term is defined in
Regulation S under the US Securities Act of 1933) unless they are registered under the Securities Act or exempt from registration.
46