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Presentation at the Asia-Pacific Dialog on Clean Energy Governance and Regulation Manila June 21-22 2010
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Reporting on instruments for clean electricity generation in
BrazilGilberto M Jannuzzi
University of Campinas (UNICAMP)and
International Energy Initiative (IEI)Asia-Pacific Dialog on Clean Energy Governance and Regulation
Manila June 21-22 2010
Brazil: Quick overview of main features Recent official plans and projections to 2030 Main programs
R&D Proinfra
WWF-PowerSwich Study – an IRP exercise and its implications
Conclusions
Contents
Population: 186 million total consumption: 430 TWhGDP: US$ 1,600 billionsInstalled capacity: 108.5 GW
Brazil 2008
EUROPE
BRAZIL
RENEWABLE
BRAZIL 2008
WORLD 2006
OECD 2007
Participation of renewable energy in total energy mix
Official electricity supply projections (%)
OilCoal
NuclearNatural gasOther renewables
Hydro
Comparison: electricity generation by source
HYDROELECTRICITY
BIOMASS
COAL
WIND
NATURAL GAS
FUEL OIL
DIESEL OIL
National Programs for Electricity conservation: PROCEL mid 80s
PROINFA : Law 2002, 2004 Regulation: premium tariff to RE (electricity generation). Target: 3.3 GW Wind 1.422,92 MW Biomass 685,24 MW Small Hydro 1.191,24 MW
Law 9991/2000
Regulation: EE and RE
Law # 9.991, dated 24 July 2000 R&D: Search for innovations to face the
technological and market challenges of the Brazilian electric sector.
EE: Demonstrate the importance of EE measures to the market
Renewable energy bids (total 2005-
2009)*• Wind 3.2 GW• Biomass 4.1 GW• Small Hydro 1.5 GW
* Includes PROINFA
Legal and Regulatory Aspects
Renewable technologiesEnvironmental pro-tectionEnergy EfficiencyPower Sys Opera-tion & PlanningSupervision,Control, Quality and Re-liabilityOthers
R&D Investments (%) in the electricity sector: Wire charge (2008)
31%
Total US$ 356 millions
Solar WHLow IncomeCoGenerationPublic SectorIndustrialOther
EE Utility Programs investments: Wire Charges (1998-2010)
Total: US$ 686 millions
WWF- Sustainable Electricity Agenda – 2020
IRP Exercise
The Potential for Energy Efficiency
78 GW
0
100
200
2004 Tendencial2020
Sustentável2020
Nuclear
Renováveis
Fóssil
Hidrelétricas
GW
NuclearRenewablesFossilHydroCost neutral
Scenarios for 2020. Same CO2 emissions PSW and 2004
BAU2020
PSW2020
Savings from avoided
generation = subsidies
to RE
Energy Policy: energy efficiency and renewables
Good mechanisms but lack of better coordination and policy context
Evaluation of EE and R&D utility programs need improvements, transparency and benefits to consumers (tariffs) ANEEL has limited staff and expertise
Better coordination between the regulator and Ministries (Mines and Science & Technology)
IRP is still not a dominant concept in the official Energy Plans
Challenges and Opportunities
