Proposed CGIAR Mega Program

Climate Change, Agriculture and

Food Security

Proposed CGIAR Mega Program

Climate Change, Agriculture and

Food Security

Bruce Campbell

Director

CGIAR Challenge Program on climate change (CCAFS)

Bruce CampbellBruce Campbell

DirectorDirector

CGIAR Challenge Program on climate change (CCAFS)CGIAR Challenge Program on climate change (CCAFS)

Outline1. Some history

2. Why work on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security?

3. Proposed R for D program

1. Some history

• 2002-2003 – Inter-centre working group on

climate change � Nairobi meeting; Challenge

Program proposal

• 2006-2007 – ESSP-CGIAR prepared new

proposal �Stakeholder meetings, regional

input �Bali COP announced

• 2009

• Funds: EU, CIDA, WB, Danida

• Hired staff

• Planning/implementation

And then……the New

• Major reforms

• All work to be conducted in “Mega Programs”

(MPs)

• Climate Change MP proposed (“MP7”)

• CCAFS asked to lead development

• CP likely to be rolled into MP

Our strategy

• Make everything we do relevant to the new

realities in the CGIAR

• E.g. High-level meeting with private sector

(don’t even mention CP – focus on climate

change and food security)

• Use on-going implementation to “test” the

proposals in the MP concept

MP proposal development process

• CCAFS Management Team meet (March)

• GCARD – MP presented to diverse

stakeholders (April)

• CGIAR Contact Point Meeting (April)

• Nairobi meeting (May)

– What are the priorities?

– Inputs into the implementation in the target

regions

2. Why a program on Climate Change,

Agriculture and Food Security?

Population Growth

60-70% more

food by 2050

Climate is likely to change for the worse in many

developing countries……………

CSIRO, A2, AR4

Precipitation change (mm, 2000-2050)

The suitability for crops will decline in

many areas……

2050Andrew Jarvis, CIAT/CCAFS

“Unchecked climate change will result in a 20 percent

increase in malnourished children by 2050”

Gerald Nelson, IFPRI/CCAFS

We needWe needWe need

• Agriculture and food systems that are climate-

resilient

• Enhanced adaptive capacity

•• Agriculture and food systems that are climateAgriculture and food systems that are climate--

resilient resilient

•• Enhanced adaptive capacityEnhanced adaptive capacity

Agricultural Greenhouse Gases(Mt CO2-eq)

Source: Cool farming: Climate impacts of agriculture and mitigation potential, Greenpeace, 07 January 2008

We also need a climate-

friendly agriculture

But there is also an opportunity……

3. Proposed R4D program 3. Proposed R4D program

• Objectives

• Beneficiaries

• Thematic focus

• Objectives

• Beneficiaries

• Thematic focus

• Regional

implementation

• Partnerships

• Capacity development

• Regional

implementation

• Partnerships

• Capacity development

Proposed objectivesProposed objectives• To provide diagnosis and analysis to ensure the inclusion of agriculture in climate change policies

• To identify and develop pro-poor adaptation and mitigation practices, technologies and policies

•• To provide diagnosis and To provide diagnosis and

analysis to ensure the analysis to ensure the

inclusion of agriculture in inclusion of agriculture in

climate change policiesclimate change policies

•• To identify and develop To identify and develop

propro--poor adaptation and poor adaptation and

mitigation practices, mitigation practices,

technologies and policiestechnologies and policies

Resource-poor farmers

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Urban poorUrban poor

Global public goodGlobal public good

Climate Variability and Change

Improved

Environmental

Benefits

Improved

Livelihoods

Improved

Food SecurityTrade-offs and synergies

1. Adaptation to Progressive Climate

Change

2. Adaptation Pathways for Current

Climate Risk

3. Poverty Alleviaition through

Mitigation

Technologies, practices,

policies and capacity

enhancement:

4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making

Strategic ChoicesEnhanced adaptive

capacity in agricultural,

NRM & food systems

1. Adaptation to Progressive

Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for

Current Climate Risk

3. Poverty Alleviation through

Mitigation

4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices

1. Adaptation to Progressive

Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for

Current Climate Risk

3. Poverty Alleviation through

Mitigation

4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices•Adapted farming systems for changing

climate conditions

•Strategies for breeding for future climatic

conditions

•Genetic diversity for increased resilience

and productivity

1. Adaptation to Progressive

Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for

Current Climate Risk

3. Poverty Alleviation through

Mitigation

4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices•Field-, farm- and community-level risk

management strategies

•Better management of food delivery,

trade and crisis response

•Climate-related information and services

1. Adaptation to Progressive

Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for

Current Climate Risk

3. Poverty Alleviation through

Mitigation

4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices

•Impacts of agricultural development

pathways

•On-farm mitigation practices and their

landscape-level implications

•Institutional arrangements and incentives

1. Adaptation to Progressive

Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for

Current Climate Risk

3. Poverty Alleviation through

Mitigation

4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices

•Scenarios to help planning under

uncertainty

•Data and tools for analysis and planning

•Outcomes of policy, program and

technology options

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Regionalimplementation

Regionalimplementation

2010•West Africa•Eastern Africa•Indo-Gangetic plains

2010•West Africa•Eastern Africa•Indo-Gangetic plains

2011•2 more regions2012•3 more regions

2011•2 more regions2012•3 more regions

Partnerships for research and impact

Civil society

Private sector

Regional organisations (ag & climate)

NARES

NMS

ARIs

Climate science

that is

meaningful for

agricultural

planning and

development

Policies,

Institutions, and

Markets for

Enabling

Agricultural

Incomes for the

Poor

Forests and

trees

Water scarcity

and land

degradation

Sustainable rice,

wheat and maize

systems for

ensuring global

food security

Climate Change,

Agriculture and

Food Security

Capacity building � mainstreamed into

the delivery of outputs and outcomes

• E.g. Build a PhD

network to measure

GHGs

• E.g. Work together with

national and regional

agencies to inform

UNFCCC

Photos: Neil Palmer, Peter Cooper, Jim Hansen