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Lesson given to PhD students of QUA_SI.
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Roberto PolilloDepartment of Informatics, Systems and Communication
University of Milano Bicocca
Internet for development1
The discipline: ICT4D
Information and Communication Technologies for Development“The application of ICT within the field of socio-economic development, international development and human rights” (Wikipedia)
Interdisciplinariety, different approaches, philosophies, goals, ...
We bring with ourselves our story, …
2
Agenda
1. What is development – and how to measure it
2. ICT penetration and digital divide3. Evolution of the Internet as a global
resource4. Internet for development: a quantic gap5. Case studies6. Some conclusions
3
1. What is development – and how to measure it
4
What does it mean "development"? Development means different things to
different people At its core, it involves concepts of
"progress" and "growth"
Development is a multi-dimensional entity, involving empowerment, participation, ….
It cannot be simply equated to the growth of GNP or personal purchasing power…
5
However you measure it…
A world of differences
6
GDP per capita, 20107
Blue: above world GDP per capita (USD 10,700, purchasing power parity)Orange: below world GDP per capita
Source: IMF International Monetary Fund, from Wikipedia
Country classification by yearly GNI per capita (World Bank, 2008)
8≤ 975≤ 3.855
≤ 11.905> 11.906
GNI per capita (US$)
48.000
35.500
(In 2010, tresholds increased by 3%)
Least Developed Countries10
In 2010:•49 countries•833 ml people
LDC in 2007, from Wikipedia
LDC defined by UN, based on 3 criteria:Low income Human resources weaknessEconomic vulnerability
Almost half the world live on less than $2.50 a day
http://www.globalissues.org
HDI: Human Development Index Developed by UNDP (United Nations
Development Programme, www.undp.org ), from 1992
Covering almost 200 countries Three basic dimensions :
HEALTH: Life expectancy at birth EDUCATION: Education Index
(various indices, changed in 2011) INCOME: Per-capita GNI Index
12
HDI divide in 2011
See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_Development_Index
13
Other indicators14
Life expectancyPoverty ratesUnenployment ratesDisposable incomeEducation levels…
Natural resourcesPollution & wasteHuman health…
Satisfaction with lifeHealth conditionsStandard of livingFamily lifeJobs….
www.beyond-gdp.eu
2. ICT penetration and digital divide
15
What a decade!
The first decade of the new millennium saw extraordinary progress in ICT – globally: Global mobile cellular penetration Global internet penetration Enormous technological improvements in ICT The Internet as a pervasive resource
The lag between developed and developing world can be considered to be less that 10 years – on average
16
(can be downloaded from the net at no cost)
A fundamental source, highly recommended: www.itu.org
17
The global picture
Mobile With 5.9 billion mobile-cellular subscriptions, global
penetration reaches 87%, and 79% in the developing world In LDCs two thirds of people have cellular coverage and
mobile cellular penetration has reached 34% - up from 5% five years earlier
Internet One third of the world population is online 45% of Internet users are below the age of 25 25% of internet users are in China
18
Source: ITU Fact and figures, 2011
The global growth, 2000-2010
Source: ITU, Measuring the Information Society, 2011
12%
19
2011 est:86.7%
Mobile cellular penetration growth
20
Source: ITU
Mobile cellular subscription divide, 2000-2010
Source: ITU, Measuring the Information Society, 2011
21
6 yrs lag
Mobile cellular penetration by 2011*
http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/statistics/
22
CIS: Commonwealth of Independent States
Much higher
that the USA
penetration in 2004 (43%)
Rural population covered by a mobile signal, 2002-2008
ITU, "Monitoring the WSIS targets. A mid term review", 2010
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24
25
Internet Users divide, 2000-2010
Source: ITU, Measuring the Information Society, 2011
26
This is higher than global fixed (16%) and mobile (12%) telephone penetration in 2000
Lag about 11 years
Internet penetration, by region, 2011*
http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/statistics/
28
Global bandwidth growth29
7x in 5 years
Broadband: what is it?
"Broadband" is a technology neutral term, often used as a marketing buzzword, with different meanings
ITU defines broadband internet access as a [fixed or wireless] public access to the internet at a downstream speed equal or greater than 256 Kbps (March 2010)
Broadband is supported by different technologies with different speed
30
Broadband requirements: examples YouTube:
min 500 Kbps; optimal: 1 Mbps or higher Skype:
voice call: 100 Kbps recommended video call: 128-500 Kbps group video call (3 people): 512 Kbps – 2 Mbps
download Streaming movies:
2,5 Mbps suggested 10 Mbps suggested for HD
31
Broadband on Europe Digital Agenda By 2013:
bring basic broadband to all Europeans By 2020:
ensure that all Europeans have access to internet speed of above 30 Mbps and
50% or more European households subscribe to Internet connections above 100 Mbps
34
Broadband divide
Fixed broadband subscribers Mobile broadband subscribers
Source: ITU, Measuring the Information Society, 2011
35
Cost: IPB (ICT Price Basket) Developed by ITU to compare the price of
TLC in different countries Based on a mix of use using fixed telephone,
mobile cellulare and fixed broadband Measured in % to the average monthly
income 2010:
Ranges from 0,2% (Monaco) to 71,6% (Niger)Italy: 0,9% (28th); USA: 0,6% (12th)
36
38
Price divide by IPB values (2010)
Source: ITU, Measuring the Information Society, 2011
Ultra-low cost mobiles40
IDI (ICT Development Index) Developed by ITU to measure the level
and evolution over time of ICT in different countries, and to measure the digital divide
Based on a 3 stage model of ICT development
Computed for 159 countries, 2002, 2007 & 2008
41
The 3 stages model of IDI
1 2 3
Access sub-index
Use sub-index
Skillssub-index
11indicatorsIDI
42
IDI components
Source: ITU, Measuring the Information Society, 2010Source: ITU, Measuring the Information Society, 2009
43
44
Source: ITU, Measuring the Information Society, 2011
Digital divide by IDI values (2010)
3. Evolution of the Internet as a global resource
47
Evolution of the Internet49
1995+
Company web sites Web portals Search engines E-commerce Web as an interface ….
HYPERTEXT, eCOMMERCE
2005+
Blogs Social networks UGC Cooperative
creation Sharing Reusable
contents …
SOCIAL MEDIA
1985+
E-mail File transfer Newsgroups ….
COMMUNICATION NETWORK
Christmas 2006
Time person of the year50
Christmas 2010
Christmas 2011
Evoluzione di Internet51
2010+Mobile access
Internet for development52
E-governmen
t
E-entertainmentE-inclusion
Broadband Internet access Broadband
Internet access
E-healthE-
education
E-commerc
e
E-communicat
ion
ICT4D: two basic approaches
"TOP DOWN"
"BOTTOM UP"
- ICT for productivity- From the experience and models of developed countries - Emphasis on [large] organizations
- ICT for human development- From the needs of local communities and individuals- New models of services, collaboration and interaction based on local needs and experiences
55
The application long-tail56
Source: www.kiwania.net
4. Internet for development: a quantic gap
58
These tools can change completely the approach of ICT4D, and its results…
Three big revolutions… Three big revolutions…
Never, in the story of technology, we had at our disposal a set of powerful tools like those resulting from the evolution of the internet in the last few years…
59
1. Communications
Cellular telephony SMS Mail Forum Chat Blog Social networks Microblogging IP telephony Web radio Tele-conference
60
1. Communications
Cellular telephony SMS Mail Forum Chat Blog Social networks Microblogging IP telephony Teleconference Web radio/TV
61
2011 est:86.7%
Source: ITU, Measuring the Information Society, 2011
1. Communications
Cellular telephony SMS Mail Forum Chat Blog Social networks Microblogging IP telephony Web radio Tele-conference
2003: Skype, Linkedin, MySpace, 2004: Facebook, Flickr, Orkut2005: Youtube, Ning, Zoho2006: Twitter , Google Docs2007:2008: Livestream2009: Foursquare2010:2011: Google+
62
2. Cloud computing
Computing power accessible from the net (cloud)
Large reduction of entry barrier to the implementation of ICT solutions: no hardware & software infrastructure needed
Sustainability of ICT solutions: low operation costs
63
2. Software as a service
Computing power accessible from the net (cloud)
Large reduction of entry barrier to the implementation of ICT solutions: no hardware & software infrastructure needed
Sustainability of ICT solutions: low operation costs
64
Application
65
t
Entrybarrier
Before
Entry barrier (CAPEX)
- Hw & sw client & server- K-H (systems & apps) - Infrastructure- Organization set-up
Sustainability (OPEX)
- hw & sw maintenance- Recurrent fees- Technical support- Operations
66
t
Entrybarrier
- Hw/sw client - Client maintenance- Recurrent fees (applications and connectivity)
Entry barrier (CAPEX) Sustainability (OPEX)
After
67
2. Software as a service
Developing countryDeveloped country
A new role for NGO?
68
Application virtualization
“Ecosystems” of open-source software components, developed and maintained by large communities
Online services easily integrable to provide higher level services (embedding & mashup technologies)
3. I building block per le applicazioni 3. Applications building blocks
69
5. Case studies70
Case study: Web portal + mobile phoneCGNet Swara Voice-based portal, freely accessible via mobile
phone (Chhattisgarh, India) Allows anyone to report and listen stories of local
interest Reported stories are moderated and become
available for playback online as well as over the phone
http://cgnetswara.org http://www.youtube.com/watch?
feature=player_embedded&v=kbAFwZMs4vA http://www.thinkinnovation.org/it/innovation/
innovation.php?c=5&id=105
71
72
http://rise.mahindra.com/cgnet-swara-the-rise-of-the-citizen-journalist/
Case study: Laptop + mobile for communication via SMS: FrontlineSMS73
VIDEO: http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=hEK0dTWgqzQ#!
www.kiwanja.net
75 http://medicmobile.org/2010/01/11/art-with-impact/
76http://medicmobile.org/2011/03/02/help-extend-medical-care-in-india-with-3-simple-clicks/
Case study: Children hospital La Mascota, Managua (Nicaragua)
77
79
The network
Policlinico Milan
La Mascota Managua
VPN
80
Case study: E-health Points in Punjab
http://www.thinkinnovation.org/it/innovation/innovation.php?c=2&id=70
Video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SZItaMLGP0s&feature=player_embedded#!
81
83
www.cure4kids.org: growth
84
Start: Oct 2002
Oggi: 23.000 utenti in 176 Paesi
Case study: crowdsourcing
Crowdsourcing to mobile phone owners simple jobs requiring cellular (e.g. translation in local language,, input of local data,…)
http://txteagle.com , Kenia
85
Case study: job requests
Posting requests of low-skilled jobs to web sites and SMS
http://www.babajob.com , India
86
6. Some conclusions87
The pace of change
ICT is changing fast…
My grandaddy (born 1883) typewriter: I learned typing on it
88
…and now I use this
• Piattaforme open source• Servizi di hosting• Servizi online per costruzione e hosting• Servizi di pagamento online• Social network sites• Photo, video, slides and document sharing sites•Telefonia IP• Microblogging• Online application suites• Online intranet• Geolocalizzazione
The pace of change…
Drupal
Word
press
Joomla
Altervi
sta Word
press.
com
W
ikia
Webs
Ning
Weebly
Skyp
e
Apps
Linke
dIn
Fac
ebook
YouTube
Slid
eshar
e
Fl
ickr
G
oogle D
ocsZo
ho
Paypal
89
Four
squa
re
The pace of change
People is changing slowly… …but the world is getting younger and
younger …and the new generations have grown
(and will grow) with technology
We must target the new generations as the driving force for change
90
Internet is a lot more…
The “new” ICT (Internet) is different, and can give a lot of value…
…for a low cost The main enabler will be broadband
[mobile] access to the Internet … because it gives access to lots of
things (definitely, not only information!)
91
An agenda for change
Invest in broadband [mobile] access The software is there, and is (almost) free Develop skills to identify, mix and
integrate existing software and services Take advantage of utility computing to
avoid building local infrastructures Concentrate on applications requirements,
prototyping and experimentation Share results over the net
92
In three words…
1. Connect, connect, connect
2. Learn and experience the new paradigms
3. Understand local needs
93