Eob2013 somy2023-preliminary-results-131202-hintikka

Future trends of general education, internet and social media in Finland year 2023

Educa Online Berlin CRE48

” Are You Scared of Your Students Using Social Media in the Classroom?” 6.12.2013

Examples of some preliminary findings Otava Folk School

Kari A. Hintikka nethunt@Twitter

Background of the SOMY project

•  Finnish schools have introduced social media rapidly and widely during the past few years

•  These pilots are steered by a national social media coordination project for Finnish general education, SOMY

•  SOMY coordination is funded by the Finnish National Board of Education (FNBE) and carried out by Otava Folk School and Jyväskylä Educational Consortium

•  Part of the SOMY we conduct a prediction report about internet and schools in the year 2023

eDelfoi as a method

•  Our main method is the eDelfoi research tool, which is based on the Delphi method

•  eDelfoi is a multi-purpose questionnaire for gathering a wide variety of opinions concerning possible future paths relating to a desired theme

•  The Delphi method itself is a systematic, interactive foresight method which relies on a panel of anonymous, independent experts as a form of collective intelligence

•  The main benefit of eDelfoi is that it produces probable and innovative visions and various paths to the future including collective evaluations regarding them

•  The eDelfoi tool was developed by Otava Folk High School and Future Research Center of Turku School of Economics in Finland.

Basic structure of eDelfoi question

Thesis / claim / ques.on Background info

Several Interac.ve Answerin types

Real.me results of every answers

Dialog and commen.ng

eDelcoi compared to Delfoi

Feature Delfoi eDelfoi

Goal Best solu.on Visions, dialogue

Social elements No communica.on between par.cipants

Encouraging to talk and share

Applica.on E-‐mail Www applica.on

Interac.on types Text 6 answering types

Goals of SOMY prediction research

•  Our main research questions are: –  1) What kind of pedagogical models are emerging with social media? –  2) What benefits do social media bring to the quality of learning?

•  Our eDelfoi research project is based on four sets of questions: –  1) Learning and pedagogy –  2) Education materials and learning methods –  3) Authorisation of information and –  4) The future school environment –  This means 40 predictions for the year 2023

•  There were Finnish 33 experts of –  Researchers –  Teachers and principals for social media pilot schools –  Social media innovators and thrend setters –  Public sector –  Education and learning business

Thesis, an example: When pupils start school in the year 2023 (in Finland), 25 % of them will graduate to professions

which do not exist in 2023

Learning for future professions

Probability

Desirability

+++ ++ + +/-‐ -‐ -‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐

-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐ -‐ +/-‐ + ++ +++

Background: Tony Wagner in New York Times 31.3.2013: “Need a job? Invent it”

•  Experts strongly agreed that in the 2023 might be impossible to educate pupils to labour market of the year 2033

•  It is important to find skills whih are needed in the future, even maybe not important in present time, examples: –  Biohacking –  Data mining and crawling –  Spatial thinking and pattern recognition –  Coordinating social networks

Which actors and their relationship are the most important in Finland today year 2013 for general education and learning?

Which actors and their relationship are the most important in Finland in the year 2023 for general education and learning?

•  School is in central role for general education and learning •  Different sectors in every field of Finland form clear and tight

networks –  Pupils and their social networks –  Public sector –  Teacher as an institutional actor with her / his organizations –  All these networks have impact to school

•  Institutions have a big role


LUONNOS


•  According to experts, there could be dramatic changes

•  Decreasing: –  The role of school itself as a concept and place –  The role of public sector and other institutions

•  Increasing: –  Own skills of pupils, their social networks and social media – outside of school –  (after newest PISA results and dramatic dropping of Finland, it was explained

that mobile devices and social media kills concetration of pupils)

•  Learning material is referred to teacher but learning tool heavily to pupils

What is the importance of current school lesson subjects in the year 2023?

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16 Mathema.cs

Guidance of pupil

Other languages

Mother tongue

Biology

Physical educa.ons

History

Health educa.on

Civic and ci.zenship

View of life Music

Craas

Arts

Physics

Geography

Chemistry

Household

Religion

Second language (Swedish)

Important

Serenpidity

Decreasing

Overall posi.ve

Natural Sciences

Crea.vity

Ci.zen Skills

What is the importance of current school lesson subjects in the year 2023?

•  Important: –  Mathematics –  Languages –  Practical civil and society skills (Physical educations, History, Health

education, Civic and citizenship, View of life)

•  Creative subjects was considered more important than most of natural sciences

•  Strongly decreasing: –  Religion and Swedish –  (Long debate in Finland about Swedish as a mandatory lesson subject)

Thesis: Evaluate the importance of following methods and skills of pupils in general education on year 2023

0

5

10

15

20

25 Collec.ve Intelligence 25

Interna.onality 24

Par.cipa.on 22

Discovery learning 22

Argumening Skills 21

Dialogy 21

Collec.ve Learning 21

Tacit knowledge 20

Phenomenon-‐based learning 20

Social Networks 20

Learning by doing -‐projects 20

Hypothesis and tes.ng 19

Knowledge building 19

Peer-‐to-‐peer Learning 19

Teaching Others 17

Serendipidity 15

Cri.cal

Serenpidity

Increasing

All men.ons

Thesis: Evaluate the relevance of following methods and skills of pupils in general education on year 2023

•  All the suggested (new) methods and skill were gihgly ranked

•  Among the most important (new) skills for pupils in general education on year 2023 (in Finland) might be:

•  Collective intelligence (25) •  Internationality and international co-operation and exchange (24) •  (Civil) participation (22) •  Discovery learning (22) •  Argumening Skills (21) •  Dialogy (21) •  Collective Learning (21)

Thesis: In year 2017 OECD might launch new PISA-like research studying metaskills, like problem solving, and

Finland drop somewhere to place 30/65

0"

10"

20"

30"

40"

50"

60"

70"

80"

90"

100"

2017" 2020" 2023"

Prosen2a"

Vuosi"

Suomen"menestys"'uudentyyppisessä"PISA'Atutkimuksessa"2017A2023"

AsiantunCja"1"

AsiantunCja"2"

AsiantunCja"3"

AsiantunCja"4"

AsiantunCja"5"

AsiantunCja"6"

AsiantunCja"7"

AsiantunCja"8"

AsiantunCaja"9"

AsiantunCja"10"

AsiantunCja"11"

AsiantunCja"12"

AsiantunCja"13"

Keskiarvo,"%"

•  The current PISA measures quite traditional skills

•  The new PISA-type research is just a concept in our research – not the fact

•  Experts predicted that measuring skills which are more complex than existing PISA, like creative problem solving, the placement of Finland might be much worse than the placement than in PISA 2013

Thesis: In the year 2023 both pupil and adult do not rely on their memory but just googling things and asking in sosial media

Probability

Desirability

+++ ++ + +/-‐ -‐ -‐-‐ -‐-‐-‐

-‐-‐-‐ -‐-‐ -‐ +/-‐ + ++ +++

Thesis: In the year 2023 both pupil and adult do not rely on their memory but just googling things and asking in sosial media

•  Dependance of machines, software and internet services is growing rapidly

•  In Finland, the ability to read is decreasing rapidly, specially with boys •  What if people cannot handle their daily life without the Internet and

its search engines?

Thank you!

For more info about final results and eDelfoi: kari . hintikka (a) otavanopisto . Fi

nethunt@Twitter