CANADIAN FEDERAL

Aby Diagne

1949

1957

1962

1965

1972

1979

1984

1993

2000

2006

55

60

65

70

75

80

85Voters Turnout in Canada from 1949 to 2008

Per

cen

tag

e

Source: http://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=ele&dir=turn&document=index&lang=e

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-7435

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

46.8

53.5

61.3

66.7 65.8 66.3

Voters Turnout by Age Group in Quebec for Federal Election, in 2008P

erce

nta

ge

Age group Source: http://www.elections.ca/res/rec/part/estim/estimation40_e.pdf

Conse

rvat

ives

Liber

als

Bloc Q

uébé

cois

NDP

Gre

en P

arty

Oth

ers

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

200820062004

Parties

Per

cen

tag

ePopular Vote for Canadian election in Canada, from 2004 to 2008

Source: http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/1867-present.html

Conserva-tives

Liberals Bloc Québécois

NDP Others0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140143

77

4937

2

Distribution of House of Commons seats in Canada since 2008

Nu

mb

er o

f se

ats

Parties

Source: http://www40.statcan.gc.ca/l01/cst01/govt10a-eng.htm

Party for Which Quebecers Would Have Voted if the Canadian Election was Held on April 18 2011, according to a Survey from Le Journal de Québec

Conservatives40%

Liberals27%

NDP23%

Bloc Québecois8%

Other parties1%

Source: Le Journal de Québec

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 8050

52

54

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

53.5

61.3

66.765.8 66.3

Correlation Between the Median of Age Group and Voters Turnout in Quebec for Federal Election, in

2008

Median of Age group

Vo

ters

Tu

rno

ut

R= 0.91

Source: http://www.elections.ca/res/rec/part/estim/estimation40_e.pdf

Conclusion

Voters turnout in Canada from 1949 to 2008 : Slightly decreased +

Important drop in 1988

Highest Voters turnout= 1958-1963

Most active age group of voters in Quebec : 45-54 years old

Least active age group of voters in Quebec: 18-24 years old

Popular vote in Quebec= very stable for each party

Conservative Party= highest percentage of poupular vote

Conservative Party has the most seats in the House of Commons but no

majority

Other parties and independent parties: very low proportion of seats

Conservatives would have won the election on April 18, 2011: Minority

government

Liberal party: Party with the highest popular vote after Conservative party

Very strong correlation between median age group + voters turnout

Positive correlation