Developing a Modular Global Platform

Strategy for Christian Higher Education

Dr. Andrew SearsPresident, City Vision University

www.cityvision.eduandrew@cityvision.edu

BackgroundOur $5,000 Degree Coverage in

◦ http://www.forbes.com/sites/ccap/2016/01/13/saylor-academy-sidesteps-the-evil-duo/#467c25f30626

Christian Higher Education Innovation Alliance◦ https://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/cheia ◦ Developing a Christian counterpart to the University Innovation Alliance

My related Blog Post on

◦ http://www.christenseninstitute.org/unlocking-stackable-global-credentials/◦ http://www.christenseninstitute.org/a-standards-strategy-for-stackable-global-credentials

/

Global Opportunity

100 MillionStudentsin 2000

263 MillionStudentsin 2025(84% of growth in the developing world)

Sources Karaim, R. (2011). Expanding higher education: should every country have a world-class university. CQ Global Researcher, 5(22), 525–572.Lutz, W., & KC, S. K. (2013). Demography and Human Development: Education and Population Projections. UNDP-HDRO Occasional Papers, (2013/04). Retrieved from http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/hdro_1304_lutz_kc.pdf

137 Million New Students Per Year in Developing Countries by 2025

1800 1900 1970 2000 2007 2025 -

200,000,000

400,000,000

600,000,000

800,000,000

1,000,000,000

1,200,000,000

1,400,000,000

1,600,000,000

1,800,000,000

2,000,000,000

Christian Membership by Region

West SouthStatus of Global Mission 2014, Todd Johnson http://www.gordonconwell.edu/resources/documents/statusofglobalmission.pdf

1900 1970 2000 2007 20250%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

21%

59%

86%91%

99%

79%

41%

14%9%

1%

Growth of Christianity by Region

Status of Global Mission 2014, Todd Johnson http://www.gordonconwell.edu/resources/documents/statusofglobalmission.pdf

• Higher education overall: about 222 schools make up one-third of enrollment.• Top 20 largest online schools account for one-third of online market.

Source: Online Higher Education Market Update - Eduventures. (n.d.). Retrieved March 16, 2015, from http://www.eduventures.com/insights/online-higher-education-market-update/

Online Education = ConsolidationOnline likely to sustain 1/10 of current schools

Christian Mega-universities & Growth

Liberty U43%

Grand Canyon U39%

All of CCCU19%

Estimated Growth Since 2005Total Growth: 175,808 students

Sources: Grand Canyon & Liberty U self-reporting, CCCU Enrollment Report.

Will Education Consolidation follow Media Consolidation?

Possible Future of Higher Education in 2030?Consolidation & Platform Coopetition

Image Source: Wikimedia

State Owned Megauniversities with 1 million+ Students

Technology PlatformEducational Networks

Global Christian Education Platform

Three Possible FuturesTechnology PlatformDominant Future(40% decline in CHE)

State MegaUniversitiesDominant Future(40% decline in CHE)

Christian Global Platform Growth Future(500% growth in CHE)

Framing the Challenge

In the face of these trends, how can CHE achieve the preferred future of dramatic global growth?

Global HE Growth

ConsolidationGrowth of

Christianity in the Majority

World

Platform Competition is all About Scale:Is Education more Secular or Christian Globally?

Perry L. Glanzer, "Dispersing the Light: The Status of Christian Higher Education around the Globe," Christian Scholar's Review 43 (2013): 321-43.Status of Global Mission 2014, Todd Johnson http://www.gordonconwell.edu/resources/documents/statusofglobalmission.pdf

It depends on how frame the question

Three Categories of Christian Education

© Copyright Showeet.com

ACCREDITED EDUCATION

NONTRADITIONAL, BUTACCREDITABLE EDUCATION

Bible Colleges Christian Liberal ArtsColleges

Christian Universities Seminaries

Bible Institutes Ministry Experience

Professional ExperienceAlternative Education Courses

Bible Studies

Sermons

Educational Discipleship Programs

Christian Radio,TV, Websites, Books & Apps

Small Groups

NONTRADITIONAL, NON-ACCREDITABLE EDUCATION

PRIMARILYPARACHURCH

PRIMARILYCHURCH

Correspondence & Continuing Ed

Why CHE Should Accept More Non-traditional Credit1. Non-traditional credit leverages the fact that the Church is the

largest educational institution in the world2. CHE needs to have an affordable competitive alternative to the

pipeline from community college to state colleges3. Unbundling and alternative credit recognition methods are

increasing the ability to recognize non-traditional credit4. 99% of the growth of Christianity is projected to be in non-Western

countries that require radically different pricing levels5. There is a great need in developing countries for capacity to meet

growing demand for education6. If CHE does not grant credit to legitimate non-traditional education

of hundreds of millions of Christians, CHE is hurting the poor which will be shut out of more of the global economic system

We can’t repeat the mistakes of the past by expecting the majority world to wear the “suits” of Western accreditation, but there still must be appropriate standards and signals needed.

Source: Wikipedia Article on Assimilation of Native Americans

Higher Education vs. Tertiary Education vs. Vocational Education

City Vision’s Unbundled Base of the Pyramid StrategyProviding a $5,000 Degree Path to Developing Countries

City Vision University

Bachelor’s DegreeMinistry Advanced

Diploma Qualification

Ministry Diploma Qualification

Ministry Certificate Qualification

Any University’s Bachelor’s Degree

Advanced Diploma Qualification

(any professional field)

Diploma Qualification(any professional field)

Certificate Qualification(any professional field)Level 3

Freshman

UniversityDegree

Level 4Sophomore

Level 5Junior

or

or

or

or

See City Vision examples at: http://web.cityvision.edu/saylor-qualify-intl/ and http://web.cityvision.edu/graffinscollege/ Learn about qualification frameworks at: https://www.luminafoundation.org/resources/connecting-credentials

$3,500

$500-1,000

$500-1,000

$500-1,000

BlendedChurch-BasedEducation

Accredited UniversityNontraditional Creditor Vocational Qualifications

Modular Universities =Lego Cities

Monolithic Bundled Degrees Today

Unbundled Education = Lego Blocks

Modular Degrees & Credentials =Lego KitsInteroperable

Standards

Source: http://www.christenseninstitute.org/unlocking-stackable-global-credentials/http://www.christenseninstitute.org/a-standards-strategy-for-stackable-global-credentials/

Unbundling is Critical to Disruptive Innovation & Cost

Unbundled (Modular) vs. Interdependent Architectures Over Time

Image Source: Wikimedia

Interdep

enden

t

Archite

cture

Unbundled Architecture

City Vision Growth Vision & Decreasing Costs

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

250 750 2,000

4,000

8,000

16,000

32,000

$3,000

$2,000 $1,750

$1,500

$1,000

Stu

dent

s

Mar

gina

l Cos

t Per

Stu

dent

Students

Marginal Cost Per Student

Pricing would be above marginal cost.

City Vision’s Long-Term Unbundling & Rebundling Strategy

TransformativeExperience

Access toOpportunity

Metacognition& Skills

Knowledge Acquisition(content)

Univ.

OpenEducation

IndustryCertificatio

nsLinkedIn & ePortfolios

MOOCs& Apps

Univ.

Degree

Ministry Workplace

Transformation

University

CoursesBooks & PaidCourseware

Prior Learning

Internships &

Externships

Blended Learningin Developing

Countries

Alternative Ed Providers

Capstone & Integration

Courses

Transformative Courses

Church-BasedTransformatio

n

International Qualifications

(EQF)

Student Mentors

Christian Worldview Program

Designers

• Course market becomes more like book and software markets • Reduce cost & improve quality through outsourcing and partnerships• Christian content becomes more modular and less interdependent where possible• University becomes system integrator of content and tech platforms.

Online Faculty

Employer Partnerships

Specialization increases productivityand reduces costsCourse mentors often can be Church-based

Partnerships with modular providers (especially in underdevelopedcommunities) creates jobs, reduce cost & improve quality

Improve signaling & networking of “bottom half” to new value networks

Vertically IntegratedUniversity

Virtually Integrated UniversityTransformativeExperience

Access toOpportunity

Metacognition& Skills

Knowledge Acquisition(content)

Transformation is a core competency of the Church

Strategy for CHE in an Unbundled, Platform WorldChristian accreditors should allow schools to accept at least 75%

of undergraduate degrees from non-traditional sources of creditCHE institutions should create special paths for students from

developing countries with flexible acceptance of non-traditional credit

CHE institutions, churches, parachurches and funders should contribute to a healthy Christian open education resource ecosystem

More nontraditional Christian education should apply for credit under vocational qualification, ACE and other alternative credit standards

Christians and churches should financially support a healthy publisher market for educational content, apps & subscriptions

Digital publishers should support a “digital gleaning” policy with radical discounts to developing countries

Industry Map: Supporting a Healthy Christian Tertiary Educational Ecosystem

ACCREDITED HIGHEREDUCATION

NONTRADITIONAL, BUTACCREDITABLE EDUCATION

MOOCs & Open EdUdemy, Coursera, EdX, FuturelearnOpen2study, Udemy, Khan Academy, DuolinoAlison, YouTube, iTunesU, Open Learn, OLI

Christian Mega UniversitiesLiberty, Grand Canyon

Christian UniversitiesCCCU, IAPCHE, Overseas Council

Paid CoursewarePearson, Mcgraw-Hill, Lynda.com, Skillshare, Pluralsight, Dream DegreeAcrobatiq, Cengage, CogBooks, Flat World

Bible CollegesABHE Schools, ISETT, ATS

Online Christian UniversitiesCCCU, TRACS, DEAC, IAPCHE

ACE CreditStraighterline, Saylor, Ed4OnlineEdX, JumpCourse, Pearson, SofiaUC Irvine Extension, Modern States

Christian Free & Open CoursesThirdMill.org, ChristianUniversity.org, Harvestime.org, Global University Global Reach, Open Biola, Covenant Seminary, Regent Luxvera, Christian Leaders Institute, OpenSeminary.com, BiblicalTraining.org, Coram Deo, Multiply Movement, Truthfortheworld.org

Christian Courseware and SubscriptionsRight Now Media, Knowledge Elements, Logos Mobile Ed, Zondervan, BibleMesh.com, Ligonier Connect

Bible Institutes10’s of thousands globally

Open Textbookssaylor.org/books, openstaxcollege.org, courses.candelalearning.com/catalog/lumen collegeopentextbooks.org, open.umn.edu/opentextbooks/

Missions/Ministry Trainingi.e. YWAM U Nations

Vocational Qualification Providers>50% of global market, 10’s of thousands of Training Centers

Ministry & Professional ExperiencePrior Learning Assessment

Blended Learning Study Centers(in churches and ministries)

Christian Continuing EducationInsight.org, Lifepointemedia.com, Lifeway.com, Livingontheedge.org, Precept.org, Sampsonresources.com, Sampson.ed.com, Walkthru.org, Answersingenesis.org, Bsfinternational.org, Christiancounselingceu.com

Sec

ular

P

artn

ers

SeminariesATS

TER

TIA

RY E

DU

CAT

ION

Outline of Free Course in Disruptive Innovation in Higher Education1. Disruptive Innovation Theory Applied to Higher Education2. Understanding What’s Driving Change in Traditional Higher

Education3. Economics of Traditional Online Education4. Emerging Markets and Courseware Platforms5. Unbundling and Rebundling Strategies in Higher Education6. Unbundling and the Changing Role of Faculty7. Lean Startup for Education8. Demographic and Economic Trend Analysis9. College Access & the Race between Technology and Education10. Change Agents & Diffusion of Innovation Available on Udemy, iTunes U, YouTube & Slideshare