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This session will explore the trends in the workforce for computing specialists as defined by the U.S. Department of Labor and look at the pipeline to fill the nearly one and a half million positions that will become available over the next six to eight years. Participants will learn the approaches and resources available to deal with this problem.
Citation preview
A National Crisis: The State of Computer Science and Information
Technology in Schools and Future Workforce
Projections
Joe Kmoch <[email protected]>
Milwaukee Public Schools
#NAFNext
Session Description This session will explore the trends in the
workforce for computing specialists as defined by the U.S. Department of Labor, and look at the pipeline to fill the nearly 1.5 million positions that will be coming available over the next six to eight years. Then we’ll look at approaches to deal with this problem along with resources available.
#NAFNext
Three Challenges The computing community in the US faces
three significant and interrelated challenges in maintaining a robust IT workforce
1. Underproduction2. Underrepresentation3. Lack of a presence in K-12 education
(Jan Cuny, NSF CS10K Initiative)
June 12, 2012
Overview
June 12, 2012
Snapshot: U.S. Employment through 2020
Source: Jobs data are calculated from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Employment Projections 2010-2020, available at http://www.bls.gov/emp/.
June 12, 2012
Computing and mathematics is one of the
TOP 10 fastest growing major occupational groups 2010-2020.
150,000+ job openings in computing annually.
1 in every 2 STEM jobs will be in computing in 2020.
Quick Facts about Computing Jobs Though 2020
Sources: Jobs data are calculated from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Employment Projections 2010-2020, available at http://www.bls.gov/emp/. Educational levels are calculated from BLS Occupational Projections Data, Employment 2010-2020, available at http://data.bls.gov/oep/ and the BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook 2010-2020, available at http://bls.gov/ooh/.
June 12, 2012
U.S. Employment through 2020How Computing Stacks Up To Healthcare
22% job growth ratein computing jobs, as comparable to
healthcare job growth rates 2010-2020.
51,000 projected shortfall in qualified health IT workers 2011-2015.
90% of physicians to use electronic health records by 2019 as a result of the federal HITECH Act of 2009.
* Healthcare practitioners and technicians
Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Employment Projections 2010-2020, available at http://www.bls.gov/emp/. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), HITECH Programs, http://www.healthit.gov. Congressional Budget Office, Analysis of HITECH Act of 2009.
Growth Rates
June 12, 2012
The Bright Future For Computing Jobs
June 12, 2012
Total Employment in STEM in 2020Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics
* Subtotals do not equal 9.2 million due to rounding.
Source: Jobs data are calculated from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Employment Projections 2010-2020, available at http://www.bls.gov/emp/. STEM is defined here to include non-medical occupations.
June 12, 2012
Where the STEM Jobs Will BeProjected Annual Growth of STEM Job Openings 2010-2020
* STEM is defined here to include non-medical occupations.
Source: Jobs data are calculated from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Employment Projections 2010-2020, available at http://www.bls.gov/emp/.
June 12, 2012
Where the STEM Jobs Will BeAnnual STEM Degrees (2009) and Annual STEM Job Openings (2010-2020)
Sources: Degree data are calculated from the National Science Foundation (NSF), Science and Engineering Indicators 2012, available at http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind12/appendix.htm. Annual jobs data are calculated from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Employment Projections 2010-2020, available at http://www.bls.gov/emp/. STEM is defined here to include non-medical degrees and occupations.
June 12, 2012
Where the STEM Jobs Will BeTop 10 STEM Occupations by Total Employment in 2020
Source: Jobs data are calculated from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Employment Projections 2010-2020, available at http://www.bls.gov/emp/. STEM is defined here to include non-medical occupations.
June 12, 2012
By the Numbers: Future Workforce(2010-2020 projections)
•Expected Growth in jobs is very high in CS/IT and Engineering
•CS/IT (us dept of labor: 15-1100)–2010 actual: 3,426,000 –2020 projected: 4,184,700
•Engineers (us dept of labor: 17-2000)–2010 actual: 1,519,000 –2020 projected: 1,679,400
June 12, 2012
By the Numbers: Future Workforce(2010-2020 projections)
•CS/IT, +22%, 758,800 new jobs–Software Developers & Programmers, +25% –Computer System Analysts, +22%–Database Sys Admins & Network Arch, +28%–Computer Support Specialists, +18%–Security Analyst, Web Dev, CS Res, others, +15%
•Engineers, +11%, 160,400 new jobs• http://www.bls.gov/emp/tables.htm
June 12, 2012
By the Numbers: Future Workforce(2010-2020 projections)
•CS/IT, 1366.2 (758.8 growth + 607.4 repl)–Software Dev & Prog, 493.9 (314.6 gr + 179.3 repl)
–Computer System Analysts, 222.5 (120.4 gr + 104.1 repl)
–DB Sys Admins & Network Arch, 207.9 (130.6 gr + 77.3 repl)
–Comp Support Specialists, 269.5 (110.0 gr + 159.5 repl)
–Security Analyst, Web Dev, CS Res, others, 172.5 (83.3 gr + 89.2 repl)
•Engineers, 526.0 (160.4 growth, 365.6 repl.)
June 12, 2012
Earnings Potential in Computing
June 12, 2012
Where the U.S. Jobs Will BeTop 10 Major Occupational Groups 2010-2020 and Average Salaries in May 2011
Sources: Jobs data are from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Employment Projections 2010-2020, available at http://www.bls.gov/emp/. Salary data are from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics, May 2011, available at http://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes_nat.htm.
Major Occupational Group % Growth2010-2020
2011 Average Annual Salary
1 Healthcare Support Occupations 35% $27,370
2 Personal Care and Service Occupations 27% $24,620
3 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 26% $72,730
4 Community and Social Service Occupations 24% $43,830
5 Construction and Extraction Occupations 22% $44,630
6 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 22% $78,730
7 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 17% $68,740
8 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 16% $67,470
9 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 15% $50,870
10 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 15% $33,200
June 12, 2012
Where the STEM Jobs Will BeProjected Growth of Selected STEM Jobs 2010-2020
STEM Job2010 Total Employmen
t
% Growth2010-2020
2011 Average Annual Salary
Engineering and Architectural Managers 176,800 9% $129,350
Computer and Information Systems Managers 307,900 18% $125,660
Aerospace Engineers 81,000 5% $103,870
Software Developers, Systems and Applications 913,100 30% $96,250
Biochemists and Biophysicists 25,100 31% $87,640
Civil Engineers 262,800 19% $82,710
Database Administrators 110,800 31% $77,350
Environmental Scientists 89,400 19% $68,810
Chemists 82,200 4% $74,780
Anthropologists and Archeologists 6,100 21% $59,040
Sources: Jobs data are from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Employment Projections 2010-2020, available at http://www.bls.gov/emp/. Salary data are from BLS Occupational Employment Statistics, May 2011, available at http://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes_nat.htm. STEM is defined here to include non-medical occupations.
June 12, 2012
Pipeline of Talent in Computing
June 12, 2012
Higher Education Pipeline in Computing
Source: National Science Foundation, Science and Engineering Indicators 2012 and various years, available at http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind12/. Data are not available from 1999.
June 12, 2012
Higher Education Pipeline in ComputingCRA Taulbee Survey Results
Source: Computing Research Association, Taulbee Survey 2010-2011, available at http://www.cra.org/resources/taulbee/ (providing voluntary responses from Ph.D.-granting universities on new enrollments and degrees awarded in their undergraduate CS/CE programs.
June 12, 2012
High School Advanced PlacementExams 2011
Computer Science
Source: College Board, Advanced Placement (AP) Exam Data 2011, available at http://professionals.collegeboard.com/data-reports-research/ap/data. Calculus represents the combined data of Calculus AB and BC. Physics represents the combined data of Physics B, C:Electricity and Magnetism, and C:Mechanics. Computer Science represents combined data of Computer Science A and B.
June 12, 2012
Source: College Board, Advanced Placement (AP) Exam Data 2011, available at http://professionals.collegeboard.com/data-reports-research/ap/data. Calculus represents the combined data of Calculus AB and BC. Physics represents the combined data of Physics B, C:Electricity and Magnetism, and C:Mechanics. Computer Science represents combined data of Computer Science A and B.
High School Advanced PlacementExams 1997-2011
June 12, 2012
High School Advanced Placement Exams 2011
Source: College Board, Advanced Placement (AP) Exam Data 2011, available at http://professionals.collegeboard.com/data-reports-research/ap/data. Calculus represents the combined data of Calculus AB and BC. Physics represents the combined data of Physics B, C:Electricity and Magnetism, and C:Mechanics. Computer Science represents combined data of Computer Science A and B.
Male Female
Computer Science
June 12, 2012
Conclusion
June 12, 2012
Conclusion• K-12 computer science education will open more
economic opportunities than any other subject for the 21st Century.
• The future is bright for students entering in this field or gaining this critical knowledge to apply to almost any field of employment.
• Jobs in computing are among the fastest growing of any profession and pay higher wages.
• Despite these opportunities, significant barriers exist to exposing students to computer science in K-12 and keeping them in the computing education pipeline
• We need to address the key issues:– Clarify the role and place for K-12 computer science education– Lift state standards and make courses “count”– Support computer science teachers– Address diversity issues
• We need to put computer science within the core of a student’s education
That’s nice data, but so what?
*Slide is from Ed Lazowska The instructional practices and assessments discussed or shown are not an endorsement by ACM or the U.S. Department of Education.
How did we get to where we’re at in K-12?
Perceptions of CS/IT job market Perceptions of the kind of jobs these are Budget cutting CS/IT courses deemed expendable, not required, not
mainstream Results of schools reacting to NCLB
28
How did we get to this situation in K-12?
Lack of courses Lack of trained and interested teachers Lack of professional development opportunities Cost of teacher certification Need for development of a national curriculum
similar to PLTW (including courses, prof development, marketing)o focused more around computer science and computational thinking
29
What can we do? Get Involved...
Advocate for CS & IT
But how??? Learn about advocacy and advising
materials Use them in your classroom with students Talk with parents Talk with your principal and district
administrators Talk with current students Visit middle school students Develop workshops for pre-high school
students
Computing is the new literacy...the ability to make digital technology do whatever, within the possibly on wants it to do – to bend digital technology to one’s needs, purposes and will, just as in the present we bend words and images
--Marc Prensky, Edutopia, 1/13/2008
We want and need kids to be creators not just consumers of technology
Advocacy Small Group Activity Here’s a poster about computing careers
and a Guide for Policy Makers Pick one of them and get into small groups If you have a poster, design a classroom
lesson around the poster for appropriate age level (high school)
If you have the policy brochure, plan an advocacy event for a parents’ council or a school board meeting based on the brochure
Share results after 10-15 minutes
CSTA Both of these are from the CSTA. This is a group you should join (it’s free
for individuals) They have great resources available
“Imagine Your Future...” brochure activity
Read the brochure Imagine Your Future in Computing
In small groups, think about o how you could use this in your schoolo creating an activity in your classroom
We’ll share ideas in about 10 min
CSTA Chapters In order to build a network of computer
science teachers locally, you and your local friends should consider joining or starting one.
Here’s some information for you
CS Ed Week Starting in 2010, Computer Science
Education Week will always be held during the week containing December 9
This is the week of Grace Hopper’s birthday (December 9, 1906)
to recognize the critical role of computing in today’s society and the imperative to bolster computer science education at all levels.
http://csedweek.org
NCWIT National Center for Women and
Information Technology K-12 Alliance produces many materials Award for Aspirations in Computing Counselor materials <ncwit.org/c4c> Many other readable resources about
computing, girls in computing, what courses should I be taking, best practices
NCWIT C4C materials Pathway Resources (handouts)o University, Two-year College, Militaryo Poster
Counselor Talking Points Computing Education and Future Jobs:
national, state and congressional district data <http://www.ncwit.org/edjobsmap>
Webinar, info sheet, upcoming slideshow
Computing in the Core Advocating for K-12 Computer Science
Education Coalition of associations, corporations,
scientific societies and other non-profits Advocate to elevate cs education to a core
academic subject in K-12 education ACM, CSTA, Google, IEEE Microsoft, NCWIT,
College Board, NCTM, NSTA, Oracle, SAS <http://www.computinginthecore.org>