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Volos 3.0
21st Century Financing & Funding
Chris Cook
Volos 16th July 2014
“21st Century problems cannot be solved with 20th Century solutions”
Volos 3.0 ?
Volos 1.0 – decentralised but disconnected, physical market presence
Volos 2.0 – centralised and connected, market presence through intermediaries
Volos 3.0 – decentralised but connected, network market presence
Volos Economy
Land – Volos as a location or place
Physical – resources embedded in (eg buildings) and passing to/through (eg solar energy) Volos
Intellectual – people of Volos and intellectual value created over millennia
Financing & Funding Financing
- short/medium term credit needed for circulation of goods & services and creation of productive assets
- people-based credit (P2P) issued by people individually or jointly (eg Company)
Funding
- long term credit embedded/invested in productive asset
- asset-based (Peer to Asset) credit
Protocols & Prepay
Protocols
- People-based (P2P) Credit – Guarantee Society
- Asset-based Credit – Capital Partnership
Prepay – asset-based credit returnable in payment for use value over time (utility) of productive asset
Prepay
Tax
Tax Prepay
Tax Prepay – credit returnable in payment of taxes
Tax Return – 'stock' part of tally stick returned to Treasury
Rate of Return - rate over time at which stock is returnable for cancellation
eg Prepay £8 for £10 tax - £2 profit 25% pa rate of return
- not fixed - depends on existence & quantity of flow
21st Century Prepay
Land – credit returnable in payment for land rental or production from land
Energy – credit returnable in payment for energy use
Intellect – credit returnable in payment for use of intellectual property eg knowledge, software, video
Resource Resilience – Natural Grid
Since 1980 Denmark's GDP rose 78%
Energy use has been stable
Carbon fuel use has declined
How did Denmark achieve this?
Resource Resilience - Natural Grid
Least Carbon Fuel Cost principle
- not 'least Danish Krone cost' (or least $, € or £ cost)
- minimum carbon fuel input for a given output of electricity, heat or power
- investment in renewables, heat, transport, energy efficiency
Emerging Outcomes of Natural Grid policy
- decentralisation
- skills base of knowledge and knowhow: eg Vestas is the biggest global wind turbine manufacturer......in a country of 6m people
- trend to energy security and energy independence
- not forgetting........reduction in carbon use
Protocol - Land Partnership
Custodian(Community)Custodian(Community)
InvestorInvestor
OccupierOccupier
RentalPrepay
%
%
ManagerManager
Rental
Land Prepay – Value Proposition
Community
- sells rentals forward and locks in price
- interest-free loan until prepay unit returned vs rental
Occupier
- prepays rental and locks in price
Land Prepay – the Value Proposition
Investor
- direct 'inflation hedge' investment in land
- Occupiers buy prepay credits from Investors at best price below issue price & return against rental
Manager
- shares in gross rentals or production
- interests aligned with Investor
- no 'Principal/Agency' problem
Land Partnership - Outcomes
Housing as a Service - relationship-based not transaction-based model - costs transformed to revenue shares
Neutral – removes ego and politics
Collaborative - stakeholder interests aligned
Sustainable - all have interest in minimising cost over time
Protocol - Energy Partnership
Custodian(Community)Custodian(Community)
InvestorInvestor
ConsumerConsumer
Prepay %
%
ManagerManager
Payment
Energy Prepay – Value Proposition
Community
- sells energy forward and locks in price
- interest-free loan until prepay unit returned vs supply
Consumer
- prepays for energy and locks in price
Energy Prepay – the Value Proposition
Investor
- direct 'inflation hedge' investment in energy
- Consumers buy credits from Investors at best price below physical energy price & return against supply
Manager
- shares in gross revenues or production
- interests aligned with Investor
- no 'Principal/Agency' problem
Energy Partnership - Outcomes
Energy as Service - relationship-based not transaction-based; costs transformed to revenue shares
Neutrality – removes ego and politics
Collaborative - stakeholder interests aligned
Sustainable - all have interest in minimising cost over time
Mega Watts and Negawatts
Mega Watt production of renewable energy sells at the wholesale market 'bid' price
Nega Watt production is made by consumers at the retail market price
Uk Green Deal (bank loans to fund energy efficiency measures) has two problems
- compound interest on bank £ loans
- even if £ is saved, no guarantee energy will be saved
Volos Natural Grid
Investor pays £1k for Units in Volos Energy Pool
- 20 1Mwh prepay Units @ €50 each
- 2000 10 Kwh prepay Units @ 50c each
Fund invests through energy loans eg Volos hydro power; CHP/co-generation; cooling
Loan repaid via energy bills through buying prepay energy units at market price
Interest-free loan – return to investor in energy
Unless consumers save energy they will not save €
Volos Green Deal
CustodianVolos Energy Pool
CustodianVolos Energy PoolInvestors
Consumers
Manager
€ EnergyLoan Buy units
at market price
€
Prepay
Prepay
Units
€
€
Guarantee Society - Seller accepts Buyer's IOU
Seller Buyer
IOU
Value
IOU is guaranteed by Sellers & Buyers mutually
Seller Buyer
IOU
Value
Pool
GuaranteeGuarantee
Seller & Buyer pay guarantee charge into Pool held by Custodian
Seller Buyer
IOU
Value
Pool GuaranteeGuarantee
Fee Fee
Buyer settles credit in € or '€'s worth' eg energy-based or land-based currency
Seller Buyer
Value
Pool GuaranteeGuarantee
Fee Fee
If Buyer defaults: system pays sellers and collects from buyer if possible
Seller A BuyerDefault
Pool
Collects
Pays
Seller B
Default
Pays
Service provider sets guarantee limits, handles defaults & manages system
Seller Buyer
IOU
Value
Pool GuaranteeGuarantee
Fee Fee
Manager
FeeService
Clearing Union
Guarantee Society is the social contract within which Sellers accept Buyers' credit and settle balances
Sellers and Buyers pay a guarantee charge and share costs of operation and defaults
Manager allocates guarantee limits, manages platform, ensures transparency, handles defaults
Clearing Union
Producer Consumer
Pool GuaranteeGuarantee
Fee Fee
Manager
FeeService
It'll Never Work
For 140 years, Protection & Indemnity (P&I) Clubs have mutually guaranteed risks Lloyds won't cover
For 125 years P& I Clubs have been managed by Thomas Miller
21st Century problems cannot be solved with 20th century solutions.........
…....21st century solutions pre-date modern finance