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Consensus presentation to the 2011 FS Conference - October 13th 2011
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The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Andy Glazier
Head of Consensus
Presented to the MRS Financial Services Conference 2011
Lucian Camp
Entire workforce
2 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Who exactly, and direct to what?
OEICs
SICAVs Unit trusts
Approx. 6m active direct investors in the UK today
A D2C platform market of
£64.9b
3 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
The abandoned customer
From a funds industry perspective, when I joined the company to
run the retail division, 20% of business was direct to consumers.
We had a hotline and crystal mark literature; none of this happens now however.
We’ve shifted our platform totally to business to business. We still love our direct
customers and give them great service … (BUT)…they have been left alone too
much. The flag that we very much put up is the B2B flag.
I think that there is a big direct to consumer marketplace. I think there is a
perfectly profitable sector which is under-broked at the moment.
MD, pre-eminent global money manager
It’s not in our plan however, to go back there.
4 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
YEAR Users Population % Pop.
2000 15,400,000 58,789,194 26.2 %
2010 51,442,100 62,348,477 82.5 % Source: ITU
Why the interest in them now …. easy access ….
5 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Why the interest in them now … familiarity …
6 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Why the interest in them now … responsibility …
7 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Why the interest in them now … regulatory pressure …
There will be a need for trusted advisers without a question in the future but RDR has shown that the IFA model is corrupt & what will spring up in its place is a new fee driven model for the mid-market.
Director of a market intelligence/ consultancy for the asset management industry
8 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
2006 2011 2009
Why the interest in them now … the market …
BoE Base Rate………..
Source: http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/statistics/rates/baserate.xls
9 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Why the interest in them now … opportunity …
10 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Late middle-aged Confident hobbyist
Affluent, upper middle class
Avid disciple of FT, Times, maybe even Mail on Sunday money sections
At least we know who we’re dealing with … don’t we?
11 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Number of people with some savings or investments in the UK
People with savings/
investments 55%
People with no savings or
investments 45%
Number of people with risk-based investments in the UK
Deposit-based savings only
27%
Some risk-based investments
28%
No savings or investments
45%
The active investor market is substantial …
Source: IPSOS MORI Omnibus, November 2010. Unweighted base: 1965 adults. Weighted base: 1960 adults (all findings expressed from weighted base, and excluding don’t know/refused, which was never more than 5%)
Deposit-based savings only
27%
No savings or investments
45%
Involved with risk-based
investments 13%
Not involved with risk-based investments
15%
Number of people actively involved with risk-based investments in the UK
By our reckoning, this leaves us with c6 million people we can describe as active investors ….
12 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Age Social grade Earnings Sex
Women 36%
Men 64%
£11,500-25,000
19%
<£11,500 - 10%
Over £25,000
71%
AB 50%
C1 30%
C2 12%
DE - 8%
65+ 22%
55-64 23%
45-54 26%
35-44 15%
Under 35 14%
… and represents a broad demographic canvas …
People actively involved with risk-based investments
Source: IPSOS MORI Omnibus, November 2010. Unweighted base: 1965 adults. Weighted base: 1960 adults (all findings expressed from weighted base, and excluding don’t know/refused, which was never more than 5%)
13 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Rely on adviser but make final decision myself
34%
Consult an adviser but make final decision myself
26%
Take care of my own investments
40%
Which one of the following matches your approach to investing most closely?
Source: Consensus IFS Active Investors Report, April 2011
Active investors still need a helping hand …
14 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
52%
36%
13%
65%
25%
9%
Interested in investing -happy to spend time on it
Get involved, but don'tget much pleasure from it
Find investing confusingand complicated
All Active Investors Take care of own investments
25% who take care of their own investments don’t really enjoy doing so
… and for many, investing is not much fun …
Source: Consensus IFS Active Investors Report, April 2011
Which one of the following most closely matches the way you think about investing?
15 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Hargreaves Lansdown has c400,000 customers on the Vantage platform
As of Sept 2010, Hargreaves Lansdown had an impressive 45% awareness across the entire AI universe
So who’s looking after active investors now …?
IFA led platform 25%
Fund manager owned platform
15%
Stockbroker led platform
60%
D2C platform market by provider type and number of customer accounts
Source: IPSOS MORI Omnibus, November 2010. Unweighted base: 1965 adults. Weighted base: 1960 adults (all findings expressed from weighted base, and excluding don’t know/refused, which was never more than 5%)
16 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
… and who in the future?
Stockbrokers Banks
Affinity groups And, of course ….
17 MRS FS Conference October 2011 – The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Recruit a new customer base from scratch
The challenges:
… if the gauntlet is taken up …
Target a platform-based investment service to the many investors who are not hobbyists
Key to future is understanding the market, segmenting it and targeting accordingly
The Fall and Rise of the Direct Investor
Andy Glazier
Head of Consensus
+44 (0)20 7627 7830
www.consensus-research.com
Lucian Camp
Entire workforce
Presented to the MRS Financial Services Conference 2011