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Hangzhou Ruhnn Holding Co.,Ltd (NEEQ: 832887) Investment Pitch QI FENG

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Page 1: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Hangzhou Ruhnn Holding Co.,Ltd

(NEEQ: 832887)

Investment PitchQI FENG

Page 2: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Hangzhou Ruhnn Holding went through backdoor listing less than

a year ago and has only one official half year report available (as

of June 2016). In addition, with the absence of its official website

and a small amount of repetitive news available online, there is

great difficulty in gathering information from public source.

As a result, individual interviews were conducted during theresearch period. Python scraper code was employed to gather a

large amount of data to estimate the company’s growth and

revenue.

Page 3: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Table of contents

Introduction of Hangzhou Ruhnn Holding

Market conditions

Competitive Landscape

Business Model Evaluation

Great Talent Under Ruhnn

Growth and Revenue (Modeling)

Team

Investors

Relevant events & Long-term Direction

Investment Suggestions

Page 4: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Introduction Of Ruhnn Holding

INTRODUCTION

BUSINESS CYCLE

A BRIEF HISTORY OF RUHNN (MILESTONES)

Page 5: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Introduction

Ruhnn Holding Co.Ltd is the first Blogger Incubator in China.

It is a fashion retailer and talent management company in essence.

Instead of outsourcing marketing to traditional advertising agency and

Baidu paid advertising (similar to Google Paid advertising), it expandsits advertising period to a whole fiscal year by contracting young,

attractive and popular fashion bloggers.

Heavily involve in social media platforms and selling life style,

contracted bloggers are able to obtain a substantial amount of

followers (well performing ones will always hit 1 million followers) in the

first half of a fiscal year and start converting them to consumers in the

middle of the year. (Conversion rate may vary from 2% to 20%

depending on individual bloggers’ performance.)

Page 6: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Introduction

Ruhnn sets up an online fashion store on Taobao.com for each

contracted bloggers aiming to achieve high volumes of sales, which is

the major source of Ruhnn’s revenue.

Bloggers are the front men while Ruhnn provides them with essential

training , utilizes data analytics to monitor web traffic and handles the

whole supply chain of fashion retail.

Sales occur throughout the year but it is highly seasonal due to the

nature of the business. Revenue from Single’s Day Sale (11.11, similar toBlack Friday) can mount up to 60% of Ruhnn’s total income.

Timing of converting followers to consumers at the middle of a fiscal

year and the accumulation of followers also contribute to the

seasonality of Ruhnn’s Revenue

Page 7: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Business Cycle

January-June

Generating webtraffic and expanding

fan base.

June-October

Converting followersto consumers. Startingsmall amounts of sale

October – December

Realizing revenue byconducting hugevolume of sale on

individual bloggers’online store.

Page 8: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Brief History of Ruhnn (Milestones)

2012

• Ruhnn Trading Company was founded in Hangzhou, China, specializing in onlineFashion Retail under its own Brand called LiBeilin(莉贝琳).

2014

• Libeilin (Ruhnn) hit Top 10 Women’s Fashion Sale on Alibaba’s online retail PlatformTaobao.com, achieving at least ¥0.2 billion sale.

• Signed 张大奕Eve (4.74 million followers on Weibo) as the first contracted blogger

* Raised Series A, leading investor SAIF Partners (Private Equity) at a non-disclosedamount

Page 9: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Brief History of Ruhnn (Milestones)

2015

Ceased operation of Ruhnn’s own Fashion Brand LiBeilin(莉贝琳)

Transition to be the first Blogger Incubator in China, with more than 50 contracted bloggers

张大奕Eve (contracted blogger) individually achieved ¥ 0.2 billion sale on Single’s Day, hitting Top 10Women’s Fashion Category C Sale on Taobao.com

* Raised Series B at ¥120 million with leading investors of SAIF Partners, Legend Capital (VC division ofLenovo) and Telescope Investment(VC)

2016

Backdoor Listing through NEEQ (National Equities Exchange and Quotations) @ ¥7.66 per share, value @¥0.176 billion. (April)

•Undergone corporate restructuring : dissolved Ruhnn Trading Company, changed the backdoor listingcompany name to Ruhnn Holding and founded 4 subsidiary companies specializing in different part of itsbusiness (media, supply chain, online store management [both in mainland and in Hong Kong])

•¥0.3 billion investment from Alibaba Group right after Single’s Day Sale (11.11)

Valuating at ¥3 billion @ ¥96.43 per share

Page 10: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Market ConditionCHINESE CONSUMER MARKET

THE RISE OF BLOGGERS

STATISTICS OF THE BLOGGER ECONOMY

THE RISE OF BLOGGER INCUBATORS

INDUSTRY GENERAL BUSINESS MODEL

RISK ANALYSIS

BLOGGER INCUBATORS FUNDRAISING

SUMMARY

Page 11: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Chinese consumer market

Strong growth of the Chinese economy increases people’s

purchasing power. (National retail volume in 2015 is 30,093.1 billion

RMB with an 10.7% annual increase)

E-commerce has become the one of the leading factor in

increasing consumption. (National e-commerce retail volume in

2015 is 3,880 billion RMB with an 33.3% annual increase.)

Page 12: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Chinese Consumer Market (Brief

Introduction of Taobao)

TaoBao is the largest Chinese E-commerce Platformoperated by Alibaba Group. It is similar to Ebay andAmazon. The company reported its gross merchandisevolume of $485 billion in FY 2016, which is $3 billionhigher than that of Walmart in the same period.

It hosts a shopping festival called Single’s Day onNovember 11 every year. It is the Chinese version ofBlack Friday. Single’s Day Sale in 2016 is $14.3 billion(¥120.7 billion)

Single’s Day captures a large percentage of Taobao’sannual volume of sale. As a result, the growth in Single‘s Day sale volume is a good representative of the total sale volume of the website.

Page 13: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

The Rise of Bloggers

Fashion retail especially women’s fashion is the dominant force of

Single’s Day Sale.

Most of Single’s Day consumers are young women born in the 80sand the 90 living in first and second tier cities in China with easy

excess and knowledge of the internet.

Noticing the great market potential and an ideal customer base,

individual bloggers who share life style and fashion posts on social

media platforms start to convert their followers to consumers. The

result is surprisingly good that some bloggers achieve 30 million RMB

sale on a single Single’s Day

Page 14: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Statistics of The Blogger Economy

The Blogger industry is estimated to generatea total of ¥ 58 billion revenue in 2016.

Target customer base is young females born between 70s and 95s, in which more than 60% of them are born after 1990 and 25% of them are born between 1970 and 1980.

Women’s fashion is the largest component of the blogger economy still with large room to grow but more competition.

Area such as makeup and skincare, baby and mother care product have relatively smaller volume but larger room to grow withless competition.

Graph: Volume composition of e-commerce sale under Blogger Economy

Page 15: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

The rise of Blogger Incubators In 2014, a new business called the Blogger Incubators emerged as a result of the huge

profitability of the Blogger Industry.

Blogger Incubators select, train and manage contracted bloggers. Each blogger usuallyhave a team to manage shared contents, web traffic, blogger’s public image, clothesmanufacturing and the blogger’s online store on Taobao.

Blogger Incubators are similar to traditional talent agencies except that the source ofincome is not advertising commissions but sales revenue from individual bloggers’ onlinestore. (More than 60% of the annual sale comes from Single’s Day.)

Such systematic production system of Bloggers shortens the time for revenue realization(the industry average of the time from training a blogger to conduct successful sale is 3 to6 months) and thus achieve economy of scale.

There are around 150 to 200 Blogger Incubators in China.

Page 16: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Industry general business model

Select bloggers

(Good potential candidates are

young female witha good sense of fashion, skinny

figure and at least10,000 followers on

various socialmedia platform)

Social MediaManagement

(Bloggers interact withfollowers when the

Incubators managestheir social media

account trafficincluding paid

advertising andhaving influential

social mediaaccounts to share

blog posts)

Preparation ofSingle’s Day Sale

(Conversion)

(Based on the comments of

followers collected and current trend of

fashion, bloggersand incubators

design women’s outfit and show

samples on social media platform for

publicity and inventory

management purposes. This is the

stage when the incubators start

converting followers to consumers.)

Single’s Day Sale

(Followers-turned-consumers shop on

Blogger’s online Taobao Store.

Monitoring the volume of orders for different outfits, the incubators will have the factories

manufacture more popular outfits. This is when the revenue is

realized.)

Profit split

(Bloggers and the incubators will split

the profits after sale and prepare for

new business year.)

Page 17: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Risk analysis

High Volatility: The Blogger Incubators rely entirely on individual bloggers’ popularity even with diversification of risk in terms of increasing the number of bloggers contracted and contracting bloggers with different style.

Easy to Duplicate: Chinese Bloggers are highly homogenized due

to Blogger Incubators’ systematic production of bloggers.Additionally, low barrier for entry and the easy nature to copyindividual public image and style make bloggers face fiercercompetition than ever.

Unprofessional Management: Due to the fierce competition andthe need for rapid scale up of business, blogger incubators facedifficulty in setting up an efficient management system.

Increasing Cost in Acquiring Web Traffic: Increasing need forsocial media exposure pushes up the price for advertising andpaid blog sharing service offered by influential social mediaaccounts.

Chinese Bloggers (All young women from the picture

above are different individuals.)

Page 18: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Summary

Relative early stage of the blogger economy

Still great room to grow and higher profits to gain

More competitive because of homogenization

Need diversification in the types of bloggers contracted to secure

the number of followers and reduce churn rate for revenue

stabilizing and business expansion purpose

Ruhnn being the first incubator with a relatively larger number

influential contracted bloggers has a substantial market

capitalization

Page 19: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Competitive landscape

MAJOR PLAYERS

COMPETITOR’S BUSINESS MODEL

Page 20: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Major Players

Company

Name

Round Amount

(in millions, RMB)

Time Lead Investor

Fan Xing You

Xuan (繁星优选)

Series A 17.25 12/3/14 China Media

Capital

PBLAB (杭州缇苏) Series B 30 5/3/16 Beijing Enlight

Media Co Ltd.

Yu Jia Yu Le (娱加娱乐)

Series B 100 8/4/16 Legend Capital

Ruhnn (如涵电商) Series B 12 10/26/15 Saif Partners

Page 21: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Competitor’s Business Model

Most of the Blogger Incubators now adopt quantity over quality strategy

Yu Jia Yu Le (娱加娱乐)

Contracted 1000+ Bloggers

Quantity over Quality Strategy

Limited individual attention and thus poor performance of bloggers

Mass production of homogenous Bloggers and thus higher default rate

Higher risk because of high correlation between individual bloggers.

When market changes to an unfavorable direction, Yu Jia Yu Le (娱加娱乐) does not have diversification to balance out the downfall

Page 22: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Ruhnn’s business modelBUSINESS MODEL IN DETAIL

ANALYSIS OF RUHNN’S BUSINESS MODEL AND SCALABILITY

RUHNN’S TALENT

Page 23: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Business model in detail

Ruhnn’s business has three stages:

Stage 1: Increase bloggers’ social media influence

Stage 2: Start to convert the followers to consumers and direct

followers from social media platform to bloggers’ sale site (Taobao

online shop)

Stage 3: conduct actual sale and realize revenue on Single’s Day

Page 24: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Business model in detail (Stage 1)

Content of Training: how to interact

with followers as a public figure; how to

select and create hit topics; how to do

trendy makeup etc.

Social Media Platform: Weibo

(Facebook), WeChat, Tudou (Youtube),

Youku (Youtube), Bilibili (Youtube),MeiPai (Snapchat), YY Channel (Skype)

etc.

Partnered Influential Social Media

Account: The price for sharing blog

posts is not fixed. It can be free

depending on the relationship of

Ruhnn and those Social Media

Accounts.

Page 25: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Business model in detail (Stage 2)

Notes:

During stage 2, although Ruhnn’s

focus shifts to testing sample outfit

with followers and directing them

to the sale site.

Expanding social media network

and post sharing through existing

network are still operating.

Page 26: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Business model in detail (Stage 3)

Notes:

Taobao’s livewebcast serviceallows owners ofTaobao’s onlinestores to directlyengage with thecustomers insharing samples,fashion trends orjust lifestyle ingeneral. It alsoallows the viewersto leave commentswhich will be showup on the webcastscreen. Thus thebloggers caninteract with theviewers during livecasting.

Page 27: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Analysis of Ruhnn’s Business Model

Select Mature Bloggers: Ruhnn selects potential bloggers with at least 100,000 followers on Weibo. Such process reduces the cost of training since bloggers have previous social media experience. Additionally, the substantial amount of followers indicates the market’s acceptance of these individuals and thus lower risk of default.

Allow Individual Personality and Style: Ruhnn allows bloggers to have their individual style and personality. It is different from most of the other incubators who assign identical public image and fashion style to their contracted bloggers. The industrial general practice cuts cost and saves time in the short run but it is not sustainable in the long run. It is the main contributor for the homogenization of bloggers and high default rate. (Industry default rate is 80%). Ruhnn’s strategy allow its bloggers to stand out and have a more loyal follower base.

Adopt quality over quantity strategy: Ruhnn contracted around 50 bloggers, which is relatively small compare to other incubators at this scale. It allows Ruhnn to give moreindividual attention and produce better outcome.

Talent Management

Page 28: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Quick Revenue Realization: The industry average time for a blogger to generatesales from the start of training is 6 months. As a result, Ruhnn’s business modelgenerates cash much faster than most startups. In addition, most of the costincurred are fixed cost and overheads, which stays relatively constant whenscaling up. Thus it produces positive cash flow even in relatively early stage ofthe business.

Rapid Growth of Number of Followers: Ruhnn leverages its network of influentialsocial media accounts allows the bloggers to gain followers much faster. Theability to share and utilize partners’ follower base allows the rapid growth of thenumber of followers and thus greater profit.

Lower Cost of Web Traffic: Ruhnn’s organic mechanism of increase bloggers’social media exposure and number of organic followers has much lower costand higher return than traditional retail stores. Organic followers are more likelyto be returning customers (repurchase rate is 95%) while customers fromtraditional retail store are prone to one-time purchase. Thus in long-run webtraffic and customer acquisition cost are lower under Ruhnn’s model.

Business Model and Scalability

Page 29: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Loyalty of Followers (stickiness): Bloggers’ frequent engagement

with the followers implies a mutuality in the celebrity and fan

relationship. Followers are more loyal when their idol responds.

Preorder and Less bad inventory: Preorder and analysis of followers

response on outfit samples allows Ruhnn to accurately estimate the

sale volume and thus the quantity of inventories. The average

traditional retail inventory turnover ratio is 15%-18% while Ruhnn’s

ratio is only 2%-3%.

Fast adaptation to market change: Frequent interaction withfollowers and constant presence on social media allows thebloggers to quickly sense the change in consumer preferences. And

thus faster adjustment to the blog post content and outfit design to

maintain Ruhnn’s market capitalization.

Business Model and Scalability

Page 30: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Great Talent Under RuhnnGREAT TALENT UNDER RUHNN

Page 31: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Name No. of

Followers on

Weibo

Social Media Link (Weibo) Taobao Online Store

Link

Note

张大奕Eve 4,740,423 http://weibo.com/zhangyiev

e?refer_flag=1001030101_

https://bigeve8.world.taob

ao.com/

Hit Taobao Top 10

Women’s Fashion Retail C

Category twice; No. 2 in

Most Profitable E-

commerce Blogger Rank

大金Dajin 1,822,150 http://weibo.com/kings1992?

refer_flag=1001030102_&is_h

ot=1

https://dakin.world.taobao

.com/

Specializes in Fashion

Clothing

虫虫Chonny

1,714,698 http://weibo.com/u/2634154

091?refer_flag=1001030102_&

is_hot=1

https://shop446571526.worl

d.taobao.com/?spm=0.0.0

.0

Specializes in Makeup

左娇娇Rosemary

1,520,409 http://weibo.com/rosemary1

6?refer_flag=1001030101_&is_

hot=1

https://shop114107749.worl

d.taobao.com/

Specializes in Fashion

Clothing

管阿姨 1,569,971 http://weibo.com/u/1225512

093?topnav=1&wvr=6&topsu

g=1&is_hot=1

https://pastten.world.taob

ao.com/

Specializes in Fashion

Clothing

Page 32: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Growth and Revenue (Modeling)

- NOTES AND ASSUMPTIONS

- INTUITION BEHIND THE MODEL AND METHODOLOGY

- DATA SUMMARY

- DATA ANALYSIS

- COST STRUCTURE AND SCALABILITY

- SUMMARY

Page 33: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Growth and Revenue (Modeling)

Ruhnn does not publish information regarding its revenue and growth

Proxies are identified to estimate Ruhnn’s growth and revenue

Bloggers’ followers are the ultimate driver of Ruhnn’s revenue

Thus the growth of the number of followers is a reasonable estimate of thegrowth of Ruhnn’s revenue, assuming purchasing power remains constant

Since Weibo.com does not provide the history of number of followers forindividual accounts, relevant metrics under each blog post of individualbloggers are identified to be the proxy in estimating the growth of bloggers’ fanbase

Relevant metrics are Number of Likes, Number of Comments and Number ofShares

Python Scraper Code is utilized to obtain data

Four different levels of blogging and selling performance are identified and fourrepresentative bloggers are chosen for data analysis

Notes and Assumptions

Page 34: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Weibo Blog Post Example:

Blog post contains three

metrics (at the bottom of

the picture on the left)

The first one is Number of

Shares: 444

The second one is

Number Of Comments:

13736

The third one is Number

of Likes: 1114

Page 35: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Taobao Item Sale Example:

Taobao Item Sale contains

three metrics

The orange one is Price : ¥459

The one on the right is number

of items sold in the current

month (Taobao cleans sale

data every month): 281

The one on the bottom is the

number of comments in the

past three month (Taobao

cleans data on commentsevery three month) : 89

Page 36: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Four Representative Bloggers Identified for

Analysis (different level of performance)

Name No. of Followers Performance Level Social Media Link

张大奕Eve 4,738,586 Super Star Performer

(2016 Single Day’s Sale

¥0.248 billion)

http://weibo.com/zhang

yieve?refer_flag=100103

0101_

大金Dajin 1,822,825 Star Performer (2016

Single Day’s Sale ¥30+

million)

http://weibo.com/kings1

992?refer_flag=10010301

02_&is_hot=1

媌老板 Miaolaoban 996,253 Mediocre Performer http://www.weibo.com/

maimiaoerqingqing?top

nav=1&wvr=6&topsug=1

&is_hot=1 -

_rnd1482588048810

朴瑟 Puse (KoreanNationality)

1,581,168 Poor Performer http://weibo.com/u/562

6139459?topnav=1&wvr=

6&topsug=1&is_hot=1

Page 37: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Data Summary

Number of observations: 8472

OLS Regressions: F-test and P-values show that all statistics are

statistically significant with an average R square of 65%

Page 38: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Intuition Behind the Model and

methodology

Please refer to PowerPoint named “Model for Ruhnn‘s Growth and

Revenue Detail Explanation” and attached excel spreadsheets for

detail

Page 39: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Data Analysis

Growth of Followers:

Ruhnn Blogger Social Media Performance Data Analysis

Individual Blogger’s Revenue:

张大奕eve‘s 2016 Taobao Sales Revenue

Ruhnn’s Estimated 2016 Annual Revenue:

Sensitivity Analysis

Detail Analysis of Sensitivity Analysis

Ruhnn’s Revenue Projection:

Ruhnn’s Revenue Annual Growth Rate

Ruhnn’s Revenue Projection for the Next Four Years

Page 40: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Growth of Followers: Ruhnn Blogger Social

Media Performance Data Analysis

R Square

The larger the number of inorganicfollowers (blogger incubators willsometimes paid third parties for computergenerated fans who are not real people toboost up number of followers), the smallerthe R square.

The more inorganic fans, the higherstandard deviation between R squares. (i.e.

Extreme under perform blogger 朴瑟 Pusehas huge amount of inorganic fans. Her Rsquares from different metrics variesdrastically from 1.48% to 38.30%)

Reliability of Data

It is technologically hard to use computersprogams to generate comments, sharesand likes on blogs while it is extremely easyto generate fake followers.

That being said, calculated weightedaverage monthly growth of followers ismuch more reliable than number offollowers.

Thus 朴瑟 Puse's extremely low volume ofsale, growth of comments and growth ofshares do not justify her large number of

followers

Blogger Performance

1. Blogger-

performance

evaluation is based on

Ruhnn Standard

instead of industry

standard.

2. Ruhnn Standard is

much higher than

industry standard.

Page 41: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Growth of Followers: Ruhnn Blogger Social

Media Performance Data Analysis

Given high industry default rate of 80%, Super Star (4.24%), Star

(7.25%) and even Mediocre (3.90%) performing Bloggers out

perform most other bloggers even with fierce competition.

Super Star performer does not experience slower growth asindicated by 4.24% because of her extremely large number of

followers (almost 5 million).

Star performer is experiencing rapid growth as shown by 7.25%

Conversion rate for Super Star and Star Performers are all above 20%.

Given its high follower growth rate and assumption of constant

purchasing power, these bloggers’ revenue growth are equally high.

Page 42: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Individual Blogger’s Annual Revenue: 张大奕eve‘s2016 Taobao Sales Revenue

Only data on Nov Sale of Nov's Design (11[11]), Dec Saleof Dec's design(12[12]), Dec Sale of Nov's design(12[11])are actual data.

张大奕eve is estimated to achieve ¥248 million of Sale onher Taobao Online store during Single’s Day, which is 24%higher than that of last year

张大奕eve is the only blogger from Taobao Women’s OutfitC Category (non brand, individual seller category) that isranked Top 10 of Toabao’s Women’s Outfit Sellers( including all categories). It is worth noting that she is theonly C Category selling on the rank.

Format for Monthly

Sales Category:

Rev(Month of the Sale

Occur[Month of the

Design])

i.e. Rev(12[11])

represents the revenue

from selling

November's design

during December

Page 43: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Individual Blogger’s Annual Revenue: 大金Dajin’sSingle’s Day 2016 Taobao Sales Revenue

Format for Monthly Sales Category:

Rev(Month of the Sale Occur[Month of the

Design])

i.e. Rev(12[11]) represents the revenue from

selling November's design during December

大金Dajin (Star Performer) made ¥31.4million of sale during Single’s Day. She out

performed most other bloggers in the

market.

Page 44: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Ruhnn’s Estimated 2016 Annual Revenue:

Sensitivity Analysis

Page 45: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Ruhnn’s Estimated 2016 Annual Revenue:

Detail Analysis of Sensitivity Analysis

张大奕Eve's November Sale is44.6% of her 2016 Annual Sale(247.98million/556.16million).

Assume Nov Sale to AnnualSale ratio for Star PerformingBloggers are higher, assumedto be 60% (conservativeestimation), given there are 6Sales periods on average foreach Blogger, each StarPerforming Bloggers will beable to generate 52.38million Yuan Per Year. (Taking大金Dajin's November Sale asa benchmark, 31.426million /60% = 52.38million)

Thus 4 Star Performers's Total2016 Annual Revenue is 210million Yuan.

Total Revenue from the rest of 45 Mediocre and poor Performers should at leasttotal 67.5 million Yuan with each contribute on average 1.5 million Yuan. (Rest ofthe Rev - 210 million => 67.5 million yuan)

According to the Detail analysis of Sensitivity analysis Table, 张大奕Eve's %contribution to Ruhnn's Total income should be within range 55% to 59% andRuhnn's Total Revenue in 2016 should be around 900million to 1billion Yuan.

Page 46: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Ruhnn’s Revenue Projection: Ruhnn’s Revenue

Annual Growth Rate

Page 47: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Ruhnn’s Revenue Projection: Ruhnn’s Revenue

Projection for the Next Four Years

Page 48: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Ruhnn’s Revenue Projection: Ruhnn’s Revenue

Projection for the Next Four Years

1,000.0001,047.467

1,097.1881,149.268

1,203.821

900.000942.054

986.0721,032.148

1,080.376

y = 50.944x + 946.72

y = 45.085x + 852.88

0.000

200.000

400.000

600.000

800.000

1,000.000

1,200.000

1,400.000

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Ru

hn

nA

nn

ua

lRe

v

Year

Ruhnn Holding's Future Revenue Projection

Ruhnn Annual Rev (Upper Bound, in millions Yuan)

Ruhnn Annual Rev (Lower Bound, in millions Yuan)

Linear (Ruhnn Annual Rev (Upper Bound, in millions Yuan))

Linear (Ruhnn Annual Rev (Lower Bound, in millions Yuan))

Page 49: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Cost Structure and Scalability

Other than the cost of inventory, most of costs incur are overhead

and fixed cost. Salary for talent management team is the highest

among these overheads.

Ruhnn’s business model is highly scalable because of its cost

structure.

During expansion, an increase in the number of contracted

bloggers will not greatly affect the overhead costs.

Thus Ruhnn can scale up fast as it did in 2015 and achieve economy

of scale.

Page 50: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Summary

Ruhnn Holding is estimated to experience a (4.575%, 4.646%)

monthly grow and a (4.673%, 4.747%) annual Growth, in addition to

a (¥ 0.9 billion, ¥ 1billion) revenue of 2016.

According to the analysis above and aggressive financing activities,

Ruhnn is growing and expanding rapidly to capture more market

share.

It is also a highly profitable company with the lowest default rate,

comparing to most of the other ones in the market.

Page 51: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

TeamCORE MEMBERS

OTHER FACTORS

Page 52: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Core Members

Founders:

冯敏 Min Feng (CEO)

孙雷 Lei Sun

张舒 Shu Zhang

All members have previous experience and heldimportant positions in related field, including E-commerceand media.

Three founders started an E-commerce fashion retailcompany with a popular brand called LiBeilin(莉贝琳).

Libeilin (Ruhnn) hit Top 10 Women’s Fashion Sale onAlibaba’s online retail Platform Taobao.com, achieving atleast ¥0.2 billion sale in 2014 before its transition to be thefirst Blogger Incubator in China.

Realizing the high cost of marketing and high churn rateof customers of traditional fashion retail business, thefounders altered the company’s business model to reducemarketing cost, greatly increase repurchase rate andobtain organic business cycle.

The first blogger Ruhnn contracted (张大奕eve) has4.7million followers on Weibo and achieved ¥0.247 billionsale on Single’s Day in 2016

Page 53: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Other Factors

Specialization of Bloggers’ Management Teams

Highly specialized departments including talent acquisition, talent training,photography, social media management and analytics, external relationship,purchase and inventory management.

Enables higher efficiency, less mistakes and better outcome for businessoperation.

Great Office Location

Located in Jianggan District, Hangzhou, which is one of the largest clothingwholesale market in China.

Reduces warehouse renting cost because of advance logistics in China and ashort clothing manufacturing period (7 days on average). Most of the inventorycan be shipped out directly from the factories.

Enables quick adaptation of market condition such as changing consumertaste because of the same reason above.

Page 54: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

InvestorsLIST OF INVESTORS

STRATEGY INVESTMENT

Page 55: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

List of Investors

Name (Year) Round Amount Note

SAIF Partners (2014) Series A Non-disclosed Invested in Ruhnn’s transition stage

from traditional fashion retailor to

Blogger Incubator

SAIF Partners (2015)

Legend Capital (2015)

Telescope

Investment (2015)

Series B ¥120 million Invested in Ruhnn’s expansion stage.

The company contracted from less

than 10 bloggers to more than 50

bloggers and achieved more than

¥0.2 billion Single’s Day Sale during

the Same year.

Alibaba Group (2016) NEEQ

(already went

public but

with ¥5 million

minimum

investment)

¥0.3 billion Ruhnn’s stock price sky rocked from

¥7.66 per share at April 2016 to ¥96.43

per share @ valuation of ¥3.3billion.

Alibaba Group now holds 10% of

Ruhnn’s equity.

Page 56: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Strategy investment

Alibaba Group has access to all the sales data from Ruhnn as it

operates Taobao.com

The Group invested 11 days after Single’s Day (11.11.2016)

This investment is a strong indication of Ruhnn’s great performance

this year and its better performance in the following year

Given the nature of Alibaba Group’s business, Ruhnn will potentially

have access to competitors data and thus have better knowledge

of market condition.

Ruhnn will be able to adjust much faster to market change and willpotentially open more avenues of income

Page 57: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Relevant events & Long term directionBACKDOOR LISTING AND CORPORATE RESTRUCTURING (FACTS)

PURPOSES OF DIFFERENT FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES AND LONG TERM DIRECTION

Page 58: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Backdoor Listing and Corporate

Restructuring: Facts

Backdoor Listed through a shell company called 克里爱KeLiAi at the cost of¥ 0.176 billion on NEEQ (National Equities Exchange and Quotations)

Dissolved Ruhnn Trading Company (the original Ruhnn), changed the shellcompany name’s to Ruhnn Holding Co.,Ltd and founded 4 subsidiary

companies specializing in different part of its business (media, supply chain,

online store management [both in mainland and in Hong Kong])

IPO in NEEQ (National Equities Exchange and Quotations) has much lower

qualifications such as minimum annual revenue and wait time comparing to

IPO in SSE-A Share (Shanghai Stock Exchange A-Share)

Minimum investment in companies on NEEQ is ¥ 5million

There is no minimum investment on SSE-A Share

Page 59: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Backdoor Listing and Corporate

Restructuring: Purpose

Ruhnn’s ultimate goal of going public is to be able to raise more capital

and increase enterprise value for expansion purpose

It also gives the advantage of better financial regulation including taxregulation, which is more appealing to more investors

Shell companies on NEEQ are usually much cheaper

Minimum ¥5million investment on NEEQ allows Ruhnn to remain relatively

private, which enables founders to maintain a majority of the

company’s ownership

Corporate restructuring allows Ruhnn to better prepare for expansion aseach subsidiary company is highly specialized.

Setting up a subsidiary E-commerce company in Hong Kong indicatesRuhnn’s ambition of expanding out of the Mainland China’s Market

Page 60: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Purposes of different financial

activities and Long Term Direction

Ruhnn undergone three major Financial activities in 2016: backdoorlisting, corporate restructuring and receiving investment from AlibabaGroup.

It aims to rapidly expand its current operation into different geographicallocations including Hong Kong and Korea (the company contracted aKorean Blogger 朴瑟Puse in 2015)

It also intents to enter different areas of E-Commerce such as Cosmeticsas it starts contracting Bloggers specializing in makeup.

Entering different fields of E-commerce allows Ruhnn to diversity its talentportfolio and reduce risk due to homogenization and high default rate inthe market

With the help of Alibaba’s Big Data, Ruhnn will maintain its dominance inthe blogger industry

Page 61: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

Investment Suggestions

Page 62: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

It is expected that Ruhnn Holding’s share price will increase after

publishing its first fiscal year financial report

Alibaba Group’s investment right after Single’s Day proofs this

speculation to be correct

Chinese public companies usually publish their financial report from

the previous year around late January to April

There will be 15 days to 3 months for investment decision making and

investing internationally

Will be able to invest through institutions with QFII qualification

(Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors).

Please refer to QFII Qualified Institutions’ List Attachment

Page 63: Ruhnn investment pitch work sample

The End