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1
Kansas City Southern
First Quarter 2009
Earnings Presentation
April 30, 2009
2
This presentation includes statements concerning potential
future events involving the Company which could materially
differ from events that actually occur. The differences could
be caused by a number of factors, including those factors
identified in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s
Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008 filed by
the Company with the SEC (File No. 1-4717). The
Company will not update any forward-looking statements in
this presentation to reflect future events or developments.
All reconciliations to GAAP can be found on the KCS
website, kcsouthern.com/investors.
3
Today’s Presenters
EVP & CFOMike Upchurch
EVP Sales & Marketing
Pat Ottensmeyer
President & COODave Starling
Chairman & CEOMike Haverty
4
First Quarter Highlights
• Economy is the central factor impacting results
• KCS responds to the economic environment– Operating expenses reduced 19%; excluding
depreciation reduced 23%
– Liquidity position improved as a result of refinancing near term maturities
– No significant debt maturities until 2011
• Core pricing levels increased
• Victoria-Rosenberg nearing completion
5
Financial Results
81.5%
+9.6%Over 1Q ‘07
$0.39
1Q 08
86.0%
(23.2%)Over 1Q ’08
($0.08)
1Q 09
Operating Ratio
Revenue Change
Earnings (Loss) per Share
6
Dave StarlingPresident & COO
7
Operating Highlights
• Cost controls are a priority
• Over 50% of costs are variable over the short- to mid-term
• Despite cuts, operating performance has been excellent
8
Expense Controls Continue
• Operating expenses down 19%
– Excluding depreciation, expenses down 23%
– Trains consolidated; crew starts and dead heads reduced
– Returning leased equipment
– Stored locomotives• Focus on fuel efficiency
• Storing higher cost locomotives
• Reduction in maintenance costs
– Optimization of local service frequency
• Capital expenditures to moderate– Capital budget frontloaded due to Victoria-Rosenberg
– Second half of year drastically reduced capex
– Capital 2009 budget below $300 million versus capex in 2008 of $577 million
9
82.4%
81.5%
86.0%
1Q 2007 1Q 2008 1Q 2009
Operating RatioFirst Quarter Comparison
10
21
11
30
2007 2008 2009
5,2145,480
6,250
2007 2008 2009
40
65
90
2007 2008 2009
20.8
18.7
15.7
2007 2008 2009
System Metrics
22.7
25.0
28.1
2 00 7 20 08 20 09
1.41
1.10
0.74
2007 2008 2009
12% improvement
38% improvement
14% improvement
16% improvement
33% improvement
Velocity (mph) Dwell On-Time Origination %
Gross Tons per Train Reportable Train Accidents Reportable Injury Rates
48% improvement
11
Pat OttensmeyerEVP Sales & Marketing
12
Revenue Summary
• Revenue declined 23.2% to $346 million
• Volumes were down across all commodities except coal and U.S. intermodal
– U.S. carloads decreased 7.2%
– Mexico carloads decreased 25.6%
• Core pricing increased compared to 1Q 2008
– Fuel, mix, and currency drove revenue per unit lower
– Same linehaul move increased by 5.3%
– Linehaul rate per mile increased by 6.9%
13
1Q Revenue Detail
(23%)$450.6$346.0Total Revenue
(2%)20.119.7Other Revenue
(24%)430.5326.3Total Freight Revenue
(57%)28.312.3Automotive
(15%)35.830.6Intermodal
1%47.047.3Coal
108.8
123.9
$86.7
1Q 08
(24%)
(34%)
(18%)
% Change
82.6
82.0
$71.5
1Q 09
Agriculture & Minerals
Industrial & Consumer
Chemical & Petroleum
$ in millions
14
1Q 2008
Volume
Fuel
Price
Exchange Rate
Other Revenue
1Q 2009
Quarterly Revenue Decreased by 23%$ in millions
$451 -18.8%
-3.9%
+4.9%
-5.3%-0.1%
$346
15
Linehaul Rate per Loaded Car/Unit Mile *
Agriculture &Mineral
Coal Industrial &Consumer
Chemical &Petroleum
Intermodal Automotive
Q1 2008 Q1 2009
* Linehaul revenue excludes fuel surcharge and foreign exchange
16
Consolidated Revenue Decreased by 23%
Carloads
-15.1%
452,273
384,048
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
Revenue per Unit
-10.7%$952
$850
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
17
Agriculture & Minerals RevenueDecreased by 24%
• Crossborder volumes negatively impacted by exchange rate, large Mexican harvest, and low vessel rates
• RPU decrease driven by shorter length of haul and lower fuel surcharge
• We expect current conditions to continue through 2009
Revenue per Unit
-12.3%
$1,515
$1,329
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
Carloads
-13.4%71,800
62,168
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
18
Sorghum Replaces Corn in Poultry Industry in Mexico
1,289 Miles
150 Miles
19
Coal Revenue Increased by 1%
• Coal revenues increase on higher volumes of unit train utility coal
• Petroleum coke shipments declined due to weakness in steel and cement production
• RPU decline driven by fuel and mix
• By volume, 30% of utility coal contracts will be repriced in 2010
• Revenue and carloads still expect to exceed 2008 levels
Revenue per Unit
-2.4%
$646
$631
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
Carloads
+3.1%
72,771
75,017
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
20
Industrial & Consumer Revenue Decreased by 34%
• Paper, cement, and steel demand was weak due to the global economic downturn
• Lumber and appliances continue to be depressed due to U.S. housing market
• No signs of improvement until at least second half of 2009
• All paper mills on KCS are up and running. One steel plant idled indefinitely
Revenue per Unit
-5.1%
$1,307
$1,241
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
Carloads
-30.3%94,778
66,088
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
21
Chemical & Petroleum RevenueDecreased by 18%
• Demand for petroleum products was weak due to lower industrial activity
• Plastics demand soft due to weakness in housing and auto sectors
• RPU lower due to fuel and length of haul
• All chemical refineries on KCS system are up and running
Revenue per Unit
-8.4%
$1,406
$1,289
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
Carloads
-10.0%
61,645
55,485
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
22
Automotive Revenue Decreased by 57%
• North American auto sales decreased 38.4% versus 2008
• U.S. auto inventories continue above target levels but improved during the quarter
• All KCS-served plants are operating, however at reduced levels
Revenue per Unit
+10.9%
$1,040
$1,153
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
Carloads
-60.8%27,212
10,665
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
23
Intermodal Revenue Decreased by 15%
• Reduced automotive part shipments to Mexico and trans-Pacific traffic negatively impacted intermodal volumes
• Introduced new intermodal service from KC to various Mexican destinations
• Cross-border truckload conversion will be a priority for second half 2009 with opening of Rosenberg (Houston) terminal
Revenue per Unit
-7.5%
$289
$267
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
Units
-7.6%124,067
114,625
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
24
Market Outlook
• Core pricing remains positive
• Economic outlook continues to be negative through 2009
• Volumes expected to be below 2008 levels until at least 4Q
• Revenues will continue to be negatively impacted by foreign exchange and fuel
• Areas of relative strength– U.S. Coal– U.S. and cross-border intermodal
• New business opportunities continue to develop and will drive long term growth
25
Mike UpchurchExecutive VP & CFO
26
Financial Highlights
• Significant cost reductions achieved through productivity improvements
• Liquidity at March 31 remains consistent with historical trends
• Capital expenditures are expected to be under $300 million for the year to achieve free cash flow targets
27
Consolidated Income Statement
39.541.8Interest Expense
53.4(1.7)Pre-Tax Income (Loss)
$0.39$(0.08)EPS Diluted
$37.7$(2.1)Net Income (Loss)
4.85.4Preferred Dividends
$32.9$(7.5)
Net Income (Loss) Available to Common
-5.9Debt Retirement Costs
97,48490,743Share Count (in thousands)
15.70.4Income Tax Expense
7.02.6
Equity Earnings & Other Income
2.5(5.1)Currency Gain/(Loss)
83.448.5Operating Income
367.2297.5Operating Expense
$450.6$346.0Total Revenue
1Q 20081Q 2009in millions
28
Earnings (Loss) per Share Reconciliation
(0.04)Effective Tax Rate Impact
(0.06)Preferred Dividends
($0.08)1Q 2009 EPS
(0.01)Other Non-Operating
(0.02)Equity in Earnings
(0.02)Interest Expense
(0.04)Debt Retirement Costs
(0.05)Foreign Exchange
(0.23)Change in Operating Income
$0.391Q 2008 EPS
29
$101.8
$77.8
$51.2
$44.4
$40.3
$18.6
$33.1
$43.3
$39.1
$47.1
$12.5
$33.0
$78.0
$44.5
Compensation &Benefits
Fuel
Purchased Services
Equipment
Depreciation
Casualties & Insurance
Materials & Other
1Q 2008 1Q 2009
First Quarter Operating Expenses Decline 19%
$ in millions
1Q 20081Q 2008 $367.2 mm$367.2 mm
1Q 20091Q 2009 $297.5 mm$297.5 mm
30
Productivity Driving Expenses Lower
(33%)Short Term Variable Costs
Fuel
Car Hire
Operations Labor
Purchased Services
(19%)Total Operating Expenses
17%Depreciation & Amortization
(9%)Fixed & Indirect Costs
Locomotive & Freight Car Leases
Casualties & Insurance
Facilities/Telecom/Utilities/Software
(13%)Long Term Variable Costs
Materials & Other
Management Labor
Fringe Benefits
Change Year over Year
31
Productivity Improvements Drive Majority of Expense Reduction
$ in millions
$7$4
$(9)
$(17)
$(55)
$298
$367
1Q 2008
Labor Rates
Depreciation
Fuel Price FX
Productivity & Volume
1Q 2009
32
Free Cash Flow
$(41.1)$(54.5)Free cash flow after dividends paid
(4.9)
(62.4)
(92.5)
$118.7
1Q 2008
(2.8)Preferred dividends paid
(15.6)Other investing activities
(99.9)Cash used for capital expenditures
$63.8Net cash provided by operating activities
1Q 2009
• 1Q capital expenditures include Victoria-Rosenberg expansion
• Capital expenditures expected to be under $300 million for the year
• Continue to target neutral to slightly positive free cash flow for the year
$ in millions
* All reconciliations to GAAP can be found on the KCS website in the Investors section.
*
33
Liquidity SummaryUnrestricted cash plus unused bank credit commitments
$142
$172
$203
$110
$149
$122
$228
$183
$143$144$125
$44$36
1Q 2006 2Q 2006 3Q 2006 4Q 2006 1Q 2007 2Q 2007 3Q 2007 4Q 2007 1Q 2008 2Q 2008 3Q 2008 4Q 2008 1Q 2009
$ in millions
Amounts not available for general corporate purposes have been excluded for consistency
34
Major Debt Maturities
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
13.0%
9.375%
7.375%
7.625%
12.5%8.0%
$ in millions
KCS debt KCSM debt
Term Loan
Revolver
35
Mike Haverty
36
Panama Canal Railway Total Containers
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
Q1 2004 Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007 Q1 2008 Q1 2009
37
Summary & Outlook
• A challenging quarter due to economy
• Cost savings and operational efficiencies position KCS well for extended growth when economy rebounds
• Victoria-Rosenberg to open in July
• Long-term growth will be driven by new business opportunities once the economy recovers
38
www.kcsouthern.com