49
MERRILL LYNCH CONFERENCE DAVID HASLINGDEN / CEO 1

news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

 

Citation preview

Page 1: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

MERRILL LYNCH CONFERENCE DAVID HASLINGDEN / CEO

1

Page 2: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS.

This document contains certain “forward‐looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. 

These forward‐looking statements are based on management’s present expectations and beliefs about future events. 

As with any projection or forecast, these statements are inherently susceptible to risks, uncertainty and changes in circumstance. Important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by theseforward‐looking statements and should be considered in evaluating the outlook of the Company. 

Risks and uncertainties are detailed from time to time in News Corporation’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. News Corporation is under no obligation to, and expressly disclaims any obligation to, update or alter itsforward‐looking statements, whether as a result of changes, new information, subsequent events or otherwise.

For additional information, please visit Newscorp website:www.newscorp.com/investor/index.html

2

Page 3: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview
Page 4: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

4

• 7,500 different Affiliates

• 3,500 different Advertisers

• 1,800 staff

• 37 offices

• FOX and National Geographic branded Channels

• 140 Channels

• 32 Languages

• 383m Cumulative Subscribers

WHAT IS FOX INTERNATIONAL CHANNELS

Page 5: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

CHANNELDistribution

Page 6: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

CHANNELDistribution

Page 7: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

7

FOR EXAMPLE: OUR ITALIAN CHANNEL LINEUP

Page 8: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

CHANNELDistribution

8

Page 9: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

CHANNELDistribution

9

Page 10: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

CHANNELDistribution

10

Page 11: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

CHANNELDistribution

11

Page 12: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

DIVERSE MARKETS

12Source: SNL Kagan, FIC analysis

PayTV penetration 2008

US PayTV

Page 13: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

DIVERSE MARKETS

13

US PayTV

Digital PayTV penetration 2008

US Digital PayTV

Source: SNL Kagan, FIC analysis

Page 14: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

With similar experience curves: young markets will be key growth driversSTILL EARLY ON IN THE GROWTH CURVE

14Source: World Bank 2008, SNL Kagan 2008

US vs UK vs Chile starting from the year they reached 20% penetration

YEAR

US starting in 1977 UK starting in 1994 Chile starting in 2004

Page 15: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

US Broadcast vs. cable network’s share of audienceSTILL EARLY ON IN THE GROWTH CURVE

15Source: Nielsen, Merrill Lynch Research

Broadcast Cable Networks

Page 16: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

Industry PayTV revenue ‐ international CAGR 13% (2004‐2008)THAT HAVE DELIVERED GROWTH

16Source: FIC analysis of SNL Kagan PayTV programmer Income (excluding platforms)

Page 17: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

3 Key FactorsGROWTH DRIVERS

1. Socio‐demographic change

2. Competition among distributors

3. Acceptance of cable advertising

17

Page 18: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

Revenues up at 30%+ CAGR to $926mFIC REVENUE PERFORMANCE / FY03‐08

18

FY03‐07 are proforma, including National Geographic Channels International

$926m

Page 19: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

Every segment showing growth

19

InternetProductionNGC LatAm

FOX LatAm

NGC Europe

FOX Europe

NGC AsiaFOX Asia

FIC REVENUE PERFORMANCE / FY03‐08

$926m

FY03‐07 are proforma, including National Geographic Channels International

Page 20: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

Launching new channelsGROWTH DRIVERS / FY03 ‐ 08

“Channel” means a unique distribution feed.  FIC launched 40 in FY08

20

Page 21: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

PayTV subscribers growing at 11% CAGREXAMPLE: LATIN AMERICA 

2121

CAGR 11%

CAGR 2%

Source: FIC analysis, SNL Kagan

Page 22: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

19 new basic channels in 6 years ‐ cumulative FIC subscribers +31% CAGREXAMPLE: LATIN AMERICA 

22

CAGR 11%

CAGR 2%

CAGR 31%

Source: FIC analysis, SNL Kagan

Page 23: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

FIC’s Ad revenue grew at a 43% CAGREXAMPLE: LATIN AMERICA 

23

CAGR 11%

CAGR 2%

CAGR 43%

CAGR 31%

Source: FIC analysis, SNL Kagan

Page 24: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

FIC PROFIT PERFORMANCE /FY03‐08

24

Operating Profits grown to $232m (50%+ CAGR) 

$232m

FY03‐07 are proforma, including National Geographic Channels International and excludes acquisition related amortization of $14 million in FY08.

Page 25: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

Every segment profitableFIC PROFIT PERFORMANCE /FY03‐08

25

InternetProductionNGC LatAm

FOX LatAm

NGC Europe

FOX Europe

NGC AsiaFOX Asia

$232m

FY03‐07 are proforma, including National Geographic Channels InternationalFY03‐07 are proforma, including National Geographic Channels International and excludes acquisition related amortization of $14 million in FY08.

Page 26: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

40 Channels

FIC  New Channels

Operating margin increased from below 10% to above 25%  MARGIN GROWTH 

20

26

FIC  Margin

>25%

<10%

Page 27: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

New channels broke‐even by 6th quarter after launchCHANNEL AGE & PROFITABILITY

Channels launched less than 3 years ago contribute >$20m in aggregate profits.

27

>$20m

Page 28: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

RATINGS PERFORMANCENat Geo vs. Discovery

28

Nat Geo Discovery

Source: FIC analysis of people‐meter ratings in multichannel homes, prime time, 2008 to date

Page 29: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

Catching up on ratingsNAT GEO vs. DISCOVERY IN LATAM

29

DiscoveryNat Geo

Source: FIC analysis of people‐meter ratings in multichannel homes, prime time, 2008 to date

Page 30: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

Our FOX channel is a ratings leader in Latin AmericaNAT GEO vs. DISCOVERY vs FOX

30

DiscoveryNat Geo FOX

Source: FIC analysis of people‐meter ratings in multichannel homes, prime time, 2008 to date

Page 31: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

FOX: #1 IN ENTERTAINMENT

31

LATIN AMERICA SPAIN

ITALY JAPAN

Pay/P18‐34HM

FOXTNTDisney ChannelUniversal ChannelCartoon Network

Source: FIC analysis of people‐meter ratings in multichannel homes, prime time, 2008 to date

rat%

0.590.500.390.340.30

D+/Cable/P18‐34

FOXC+PARAMOUNT COMEDYAXN

CALLE 13

rat%

0.550.510.460.410.25

Pay/P18‐34HM

FOXSky Sport 1FOX LIFEFOX CRIMESky Cinema 1

rat%

0.500.450.420.390.30

Pay/P18‐34HM

FOXAnimaxKids StationSky A Sports+Jidaigeki Senmon Channel

rat%

0.350.280.260.200.20

Page 32: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

OUR CHANNELS 

DELIVER 21% 

OF ALL TV RATINGS 

IN SKY HOMES 

Driving viewership on SKYFIC RATINGS ON SKY ITALIA

32

Page 33: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

DOCUMENTARIES KIDSFOXFOX +1FOX LifeFOX Life +1FOX CrimeFOX Crime +1 FXCultSKY VivoSKY ShowJimmyRaiSat ExtraRaiSat Premium

BBC PrimeHallmarkE! EntertainmentComedy CentralAXNDiscoveryRealTimeFantasyCurrentCooltoonGXT                     GXT+1

National GeographicNational Geographic +1NatGeoAdventureNatGeoWildHistoryChannelHistoryChannel+1RaiSat Gambero RossoMarco PoloAliceLeonardoDiscoveryChannelDiscoveryTravel& Living

Discovery ScienceDiscovery CivilizationAnimal Planet

Cartoon NetworkCartoon Network +1BoomerangRaiSat SmashJetixJetix +1NickelodeonDisney ChannelDisney Channel +1Toon Disney                   ToonDisney +1Playhouse DisneyRaiSat YoYoJimJam

Eurosport NewsESPN ClassicNuvolariSnai SatSport ItaliaYacht &Sail

Music on SKY Radio on SKY*MTV Brand NewMTV HitsMTV GoldMTV Pulse

NatGeoMusicVideo ItaliaDeejay TVMatch Music Rock TVMusic BoxVH1

NEWSCORP OPPORTUNITIES / ITALY

ENTERTAINMENT

SPORT MUSIC

* FIC CHANNELS 33

SKY CINEMA 1SKY Cinema 2SKY CINEMA 3SKY Cinema HitsSKY Cinema MAXSKY Cinema Mania

CINEMASKY Cinema ClassicsThe MGM ChannelRAISAT CinemaSKY Cinema HD

Page 34: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

DOCUMENTARIES KIDSENTERTAINMENT

MUSIC

FOXPremiere 4Premiere NostalgiePremiere KrimiPremiere HD13th StreetSci FiHeimatkanal

Discovery ChannelDiscovery GeschichteDiscovery HDAnimal PlanetFocus Gesundheit

Disney ChannelJunior Jetix

Hit24Goldstar TVClassica

NEWSCORP OPPORTUNITIES / GERMANY

34

Premiere Sportportal

SPORTPremiere 1Premiere 2Premiere 3Premiere FilmfestPremiere Film ClassicsMGM

CINEMA

* FIC CHANNELS

Page 35: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

35

MARKET GROWTH /02‐0813% CAGR Intl Markets (industry multichannel revenue)

Source: FIC analysis of SNL Kagan PayTV programmer Income (excluding platforms)

Page 36: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

MARKET GROWTH /08‐12

36

Not 13%, but 10% CAGR is not too shabby

Source: FIC analysis of SNL Kagan PayTV programmer Income (excluding platforms)

Page 37: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

Many and youngFINANCIAL PROFILE OF BUSINESS

Profit Contribution ($m) by Channel

WELL POSITIONED TO:

‐Increase subscribers above the organic growth of current platforms

‐Increase ratings

37

Page 38: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

“While branding has not historically been overly important in 

television… brand is increasing in importance, along with the 

growth of multi‐platform opportunities”

Jessica Reif Cohen

STRONG BRANDS

38Source: Scripps Networks Interactive – Merrill Lynch Equity Report Sept 2008

Page 39: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview
Page 40: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview
Page 41: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

41

OFFICESDistribution

ChannelsCum. Subs.AffiliatesAdvertisersEmployeesOffices

140383m7,5003,5001,800

37

Page 42: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

42

OFFICESDISTRIBUTION

AVERAGE 10 YEARS AT FIC

ChannelsCum. Subs.AffiliatesAdvertisersEmployeesOffices

140383m7,5003,5001,800

37

Page 43: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

43

OFFICESDISTRIBUTION

AVERAGE 10 YEARS AT FIC

AVERAGE 6 YEARS AT FIC

ChannelsCum. Subs.AffiliatesAdvertisersEmployeesOffices

140383m7,5003,5001,800

37

Page 44: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

44

OFFICESDISTRIBUTION

AVERAGE 10 YEARS AT FIC

AVERAGE 6 YEARS AT FIC

ChannelsCum. Subs.AffiliatesAdvertisersEmployeesOffices

140383m7,5003,5001,800

37

Page 45: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

Medium term?SLEEPING GIANTS

45

CHINA JAPAN

RUSSIA KOREA

•369m TV homes•164m PayTV home (45%)•41m digital homes (11%)•National Geographic Magazine recently approved for distribution 

•48m TV homes•11m PayTV home (23%)•$17bn TV Ad market•Pay Channels get 2% of this ad spend•48m TV homes•FIC has 6 Channels, second intl. player behind Liberty’s Jupiter

•50m TV homes•17m PayTV home (34%)•4.5m digital homes (9%)•Digital penetration growing at 20% p.a.•We have 4 channels, avg. 2m homes•Extremely embryonic•Still in investment phase

•18m TV homes•17m PayTV home (95%)•4m digital homes (23%)•FOX and Nat Geo are the two leading international channel brands

• Impending changes to Media laws will permit foreign operators to increase ownership; greater return possibilities

Source: eMarketer, SNL Kagan, FIC analysis

Page 46: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

46

• Limited channel distribution in 80 cities

• 50m Households viewing Nat Geo programming blocks

• At some point foreign channels will be granted access

CHINAOne day?

Page 47: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

47

CHINAOne day?

Page 48: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview

ENGINE OF GROWTH FOR NWS

48

We are well positioned for the opportunities that lay in front of us

50% Historical CAGR

FIC Op Inc

FY03‐07 are proforma, including National Geographic Channels International and excludes acquisition related amortization of $14 million in FY08.

Page 49: news corp David Haslingden at Merrill Lynch 2008 Media Fall Preview