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The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document. Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics Macro Analytics September 22 nd , 2012 FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

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The Federal Reserve and its Monetary Malpractice is at the core of the American Dream becoming a myth for the vast majority of Americans. Jobs, disposable income and financial security are all under pressure, as the Federal Reserve continues its historic monetary gamble on unproven policies of Quantitative Easing and ZIRP. Charles Hugh Smith and Gordon T Long discuss how a flawed premise and the mistaken role for this private-public institution is leading to moral hazard, unintended consequences and dysfunctional financial markets. They argue that there is sufficient proof to now call into question the historic role of the Federal Reserve . This two part series also examines who is winning, who is losing and where it is likely to lead. The facts laid out in this series should be a concern to all Americans who care for their country and the future for their children.

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Page 1: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 2: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Gordon T Long GordonTLong.com

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 3: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Charles Hugh Smith OfTwoMinds.com

DIRECT AMAZON LINK

Link to info page and FREE Chapters at OfTwoMinds site:

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 4: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 5: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

VISIBLE

LESS VISIBLE

FISCAL POLICY

MONETARY POLICY

CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHTS

“Feeding at the Government trough”

“Competitive Advantage”

“Removal of Choice”

Page 6: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 7: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

VISIBLE

LESS VISIBLE

FISCAL POLICY

MONETARY POLICY

CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHTS

“Feeding at the Government trough”

“Competitive Advantage”

“Removal of Choice”

Page 8: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 9: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 10: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

OWNERSHIP

Page 11: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 12: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Public Perception

“If a central bank can potentially create unlimited money from nothing, how can it ensure that money is sufficiently scarce to retain its value?”

Jens Weidmann, President, German BundesbankSeptember 2012

DUAL MANADATE: In 1977, Congress amended The Federal Reserve Act, stating the monetary policy objectives of the Federal Reserve as: "The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the Federal Open Market Committee shall maintain long run growth of the monetary and credit aggregates commensurate with the economy's long run potential to increase production, so as to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices and moderate long-term interest rates."

Page 13: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 14: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 15: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 16: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Penalize Savings through ZIRP

Reward Speculative Risk through EASY CREDIT & LEVERAGE

Poor become Poorer$ From Earned Income

> Squeeze Disposable Income

Rich become Richer$From Capital Gains/Asset Appreciation

> Low Rate, Easy Credit, Leverage

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

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The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

ASSUMES CPI SPENDING DISTRIBUTIONS

DOESN’T FACTOR SHIFT TO CONTRIBUTORY BENEFITS

Page 18: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Reality

CPI DOESN’T FACTOR IN THESE INFLATION REALITIES!

INFLATION IS PRIMARILY A LONGER TERM MONETARY POLICY EFFECT

Page 19: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 20: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 21: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 22: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Not A Cyclical Problem – Rather a Structural Change

Page 23: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 24: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 25: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 26: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 27: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 28: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 29: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Reality

REMOVE SAVINGS -> FORCE INTO RISK

Page 30: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

Page 31: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Flawed Premise & Mistaken Role

VISIBLE

LESS VISIBLE

FISCAL POLICY

MONETARY POLICY

CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHTS

“Feeding at the Government trough”

“Competitive Advantage”

“Removal of Choice”

Page 32: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

FEDERAL RESERVE: Reality

Page 33: Macro Analytics 09-22-12 FEDERAL RESERVE - Flawed Premise - Mistaken Role

The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics

MACRO ANALYTICS LIBRARY

Macro AnalyticsSeptember 22nd, 2012

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DISCLOSURE STATEMENT AND TERMS OF USE

THE CONTENT OF THIS SLIDE PRESENTATION AND ITS ACCOMPANYING RECORDED AUDIO DISCUSSION ARE INTENDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

This slide presentation and its accompanying recorded audio discussion are not a solicitation to trade or invest, and any analysis is the opinion of the author and is not to be used or relied upon as investment advice. Trading and investing can involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns/results. Commentary is only the opinions of the authors and should not to be used for investment decisions. You must carefully examine the risks associated with investing of any sort and whether investment programs are suitable for you. You should never invest or consider investments without a complete set of disclosure documents, and should consider the risks prior to investing. This slide presentation and its accompanying recorded audio discussion are not in any way a substitution for disclosure. Suitability of investing decisions rests solely with the investor. Your acknowledgement of this Disclosure and Term of Use Statement is a condition of access to it. Furthermore, any investments you may make are your sole responsibility.

THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING AND INVESTING OF ANY KIND. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/Macro_Analytics