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International Economics LECTURE 3: 5 MARCH 2017

Lecture 2 international economics

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Page 1: Lecture 2 international economics

International EconomicsLECTURE 3: 5 MARCH 2017

Page 2: Lecture 2 international economics

Chapter 2Labor Productivity and Comparative Advantage:

The Ricardian Model

To Accompany International Economics: Theory and Policy, Sixth Edition

by Paul R. Krugman and Maurice Obstfeld

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Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.

Chapter Organization

Introduction The Concept of Comparative Advantage A One-Factor Economy Trade in a One-Factor World Misconceptions About Comparative Advantage Comparative Advantage with Many Goods Adding Transport Costs and Nontraded Goods Empirical Evidence on the Ricardian Model Summary

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Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.

Countries engage in international trade for two basic reasons:• They are different from each other in terms of

climate, land, capital, labor, and technology.• They try to achieve scale economies in production.

The Ricardian model is based on technological differences across countries.• These technological differences are reflected in

differences in the productivity of labor.

Introduction

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Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.

On Valentine's Day, 1996, Republican presidential candidate Patrick Buchanan stopped at a nursery to buy a dozen roses for his wife. He took the occasion to make a speech denouncing the growing imports of flowers into the United States, which he claimed were putting American flower growers out of business. And it is indeed true that a growing share of the market for winter roses in the United States is being supplied by imports flown in from South America. But is that a bad thing?

The Concept of Comparative Advantage

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Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.

The Concept of Comparative Advantage

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Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.

The case of winter roses offers an excellent example of the reasons why international trade can be beneficial.

Consider first how hard it is to supply American sweethearts with fresh roses in February. The flowers must be grown in heated greenhouses, at great expense in terms of energy, capital investment, and other scarce resources.

Those resources could have been used to produce other goods. Inevitably, there is a trade-off. In order to produce winter roses, the U.S. economy must produce less of other things, such as computers.

The Concept of Comparative Advantage

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Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.

Economists use the term opportunity cost to describe such trade-offs: The opportunity cost of roses in terms of computers is the number of computers that could have been produced with the resources used to produce a given number of roses.

Suppose, for example, that the United States currently grows 10 million roses for sale on Valentine's Day, and that the resources used to grow those roses could have produced 100,000 computers instead. Then the opportunity cost of those 10 million roses is 100,000 computers. (Conversely, if the computers were produced instead, the opportunity cost of those 100,000 computers would be 10 million roses.)

The Concept of Comparative Advantage

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Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.

Those 10 million Valentine's Day roses could instead have been grown in South America. It seems extremely likely that the opportunity cost of those roses in terms of computers would be less than it would be in the United States. For one thing, it is a lot easier to grow February roses in the Southern Hemisphere, where it is summer in February rather than winter.

Furthermore, South American workers are less efficient than their U.S. counterparts at making sophisticated goods such as computers, which means that a given amount of resources used in computer production yields fewer computers in South America than in the United States. So the trade-off in South America might be something like 10 million winter roses for only 30,000 computers.

The Concept of Comparative Advantage

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Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.

This difference in opportunity costs offers the possibility of a mutually beneficial rearrangement of world production. Let the United States stop growing winter roses and devote the resources this frees up to producing computers; meanwhile, let South America grow those roses instead, shifting the necessary resources out of its computer industry. The resulting changes in production would look like Table 2-1.

The Concept of Comparative Advantage

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Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.

Table 2-1: Hypothetical Changes in Production

The Concept of Comparative Advantage

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Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.

Look what has happened: The world is producing just as many roses as before, but it is now producing more computers. So this rearrangement of production, with the United States concentrating on computers and South America concentrating on roses, increases the size of the world's economic pie. Because the world as a whole is producing more, it is possible in principle to raise everyone's standard of living.

The reason that international trade produces this increase in world output is that it allows each country to specialize in producing the good in which it has a comparative advantage.

The Concept of Comparative Advantage

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A country has a comparative advantage in producing a good if the opportunity cost of producing that good in terms of other goods is lower in that country than it is in other countries.

In this example, South America has a comparative advantage in winter roses and the United States has a comparative advantage in computers. The standard of living can be increased in both places if South America produces roses for the U.S. market, while the United States produces computers for the South American market.

Trade between two countries can benefit both countries if each country exports the goods in which it has a comparative advantage.

The Concept of Comparative Advantage

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A One-Factor Economy

Assume that we are dealing with an economy (which we call Home). In this economy:• Labor is the only factor of production.• Only two goods (say wine and cheese) are produced.• The supply of labor is fixed in each country.• The productivity of labor in each good is fixed.• Perfect competition prevails in all markets.

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The constant labor productivity is modeled with the specification of unit labor requirements:• The unit labor requirement is the number of hours of

labor required to produce one unit of output.– Denote with aLW the unit labor requirement for wine (e.g. if

aLW = 2, then one needs 2 hours of labor to produce one gallon of wine).

– Denote with aLC the unit labor requirement for cheese (e.g. if aLC = 1, then one needs 1 hour of labor to produce a pound of cheese).

The economy’s total resources are defined as L, the total labor supply (e.g. if L = 120, then this economy is endowed with 120 hours of labor or 120 workers).

A One-Factor Economy

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Production Possibilities• The production possibility frontier (PPF) of an

economy shows the maximum amount of a good (say wine) that can be produced for any given amount of another (say cheese), and vice versa.

• The PPF of our economy is given by the following equation:

aLCQC + aLWQW = L (2-1)

• From our previous example, we get:

QC + 2QW = 120

A One-Factor Economy

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L/aLW

L/aLC

Figure 2-1: Home’s Production Possibility Frontier

A One-Factor Economy

Absolute value of slope equalsopportunity cost of cheese interms of wine

F

P

Home wine production, QW, in gallons

Home cheese production, QC, in pounds

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Relative Prices and Supply• The particular amounts of each good produced are

determined by prices.• The relative price of good X (cheese) in terms of

good Y (wine) is the amount of good Y (wine) that can be exchanged for one unit of good X (cheese).

• Examples of relative prices:– If a price of a can of Coke is $0.5, then the relative

price of Coke is the amount of $ that can be exchanged for one unit of Coke, which is 0.5.

– The relative price of a $ in terms of Coke is 2 cans of Coke per dollar.

A One-Factor Economy

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Slide 2-19Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc.

Denote with PC the dollar price of cheese and with PW the dollar price of wine. Denote with wW the dollar wage in the wine industry and with wC the dollar wage in the cheese industry.

Then under perfect competition, the non-negative profit condition implies:

• If PW / aW < wW, then there is no production of QW.• If PW / aW = wW, then there is production of QW.

• If PC / aC < wC, then there is no production of QC.

• If PC / aC = wC, then there is production of QC.

A One-Factor Economy

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The above relations imply that if the relative price of

cheese (PC / PW ) exceeds its opportunity cost (aLC / aLW),

then the economy will specialize in the production of cheese.

In the absence of trade, both goods are produced, and therefore PC / PW = aLC /aLW.

A One-Factor Economy

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What is the significance of the number (aLC / aLW)?We saw in the previous section that it is the opportunity cost of cheese in terms of wine. We have therefore just derived a crucial proposition about the relationship between prices and production: The economy will specialize in the production of cheese if the relative price of cheese exceeds its opportunity cost; it will specialize in the production of wine if the relative price of cheese is less than its opportunity cost. In the absence of international trade, the relative prices of goods are

equal to their relative unit labor requirements.

A One-Factor Economy

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Trade in a One-Factor World Assumptions of the model:

• There are two countries in the world (Home and Foreign).

• Each of the two countries produces two goods (say wine and cheese).

• Labor is the only factor of production.• The supply of labor is fixed in each country.• The productivity of labor in each good is fixed.• Labor is not mobile across the two countries.• Perfect competition prevails in all markets.• All variables with an asterisk refer to the Foreign

country.

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Absolute Advantage• A country has an absolute advantage in a production

of a good if it has a lower unit labor requirement than the foreign country in this good.

• Assume that aLC < a*LC and aLW < a*

LW– This assumption implies that Home has an absolute

advantage in the production of both goods. Another way to see this is to notice that Home is more productive in the production of both goods than Foreign.

– Even if Home has an absolute advantage in both goods, beneficial trade is possible.

The pattern of trade will be determined by the concept of comparative advantage.

Trade in a One-Factor World

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Comparative Advantage• Assume that aLC /aLW < a*

LC /a*LW (2-2)

– This assumption implies that the opportunity cost of cheese in terms of wine is lower in Home than it is in Foreign.

– In other words, in the absence of trade, the relative price of cheese at Home is lower than the relative price of cheese at Foreign.

Home has a comparative advantage in cheese and will export it to Foreign in exchange for wine.

Trade in a One-Factor World

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F*

P*

L*/a*LW

L*/a*LC

Foreign wine production, Q*

W, in gallons

Foreign cheese production, Q*

C , in pounds

+1

Figure 2-2: Foreign’s Production Possibility Frontier

Trade in a One-Factor World