Economic Indicators of the Arab Frontline States & Israel

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Egypt Israel Jordan Lebanon Occupied Palestine Syria

ECONOMIC REPORT & ANALYSIS

Economic Indicators of the Arab Frontline States

& Israel The Arab-Israeli Conflict

Tariq Al-Basha – Nasserite & Arab Nationalist

8/29/2015

The purpose and scope of this study is to introduce the subject matter and provide a general idea and information on the said area. All the material included in this document is based on data/information gathered from various sources and is based on certain assumptions. Although, due care and diligence has been taken to compile this document, the contained information may vary due to any change in any of the concerned factors, and the actual results may differ substantially from the presented information.

Tariq Al-Basha – [email protected]

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Contents Executive Summary ........................................................................................................ 2

Arab-Israeli Conflict Population ....................................................................................... 3

Israeli-to-Arab Ratio (Population) .................................................................................... 4

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the Arab-Israeli Conflict ............................................. 5

GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) per Capita of the Arab-Israeli Conflict [Per

Capita Income] ................................................................................................................ 8

Israeli-to-Arab-Productivity Ratio (PPP)........................................................................... 9

Arab-Israeli Conflict Area (Km²) ..................................................................................... 10

Km² Productivity by Country of Arab-Israeli Conflict ...................................................... 11

Israeli-to-Arab-Productivity-per-Km² Ratio ..................................................................... 12

How many Km² are used by the Arab Frontline States to reach Israeli Productivity per

km2 of $14,625,469.43? ................................................................................................ 13

How many people should each Arab Frontline State have to reach Israel GDP? ........... 14

What is the ideal number of population of each Arab Frontline State to achieve Israel

average PPP? ............................................................................................................... 15

mailto:[email protected]


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Executive Summary

The aim of this study is to compare between Arab Frontline States and Israel’s in terms of their population, gross domestic products,

per capita income and the total area of each state. Moreover, this study will also use these information to produce some ratios; such

as Israeli-to-Arab Ratio for population and per capita income productivity. Furthermore, it will link between the GDP for each state and

its total area and see how much each state generates for every square kilo meter controlled by it.

Lastly, it will provide three arguments:

1. The Arab Frontline States want to divide their GDP by Israel Productivity per Km², how many Km² will they use of the area

controlled by each state?

2. The Arab Frontline States want to reach Israel’s GDP, what would be the ideal number of population to reach Israel’s GDP?

3. The Arab Frontline States want to reach Israel’s per Capita Income, what would be the ideal number of population to reach

Israel’s per Capita income?



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Arab-Israeli Conflict Population

The total number involved in the Arab-Israeli Conflict are around 137

million people, where Egyptians form almost 65% of the people

involved in such a conflict; giving it the heaviest weight among its Arab

allies.

In the same time, the total population of the Arab Frontline States are

more than 128 million or almost 94% of the total population involved in

which such a figure gives Arabs the upper-hand in the long-term in this

conflict.

No. Country Population %

1 Egypt 89,388,800.00 65%

2 Israel 8,371,600.00 6%

3 Jordan 6,771,150.00 5%

4 Lebanon 4,104,000.00 3%

5 Occupied Palestine 4,682,467.00 3%

6 Syria 23,353,188.00 17%

Total 136,671,205.00 100%

No. Country Population %

1 Arab Frontline States 128,299,605.00 94%

2 Israel 8,371,600.00 6%

65%6%

5%

3%

4%17%

A R A B - I S R A E L I C O N F L I C T P O P U L A T I O N


Arab Frontline

States94%

Israel6%

Arab-Israeli Conflict Population (Arabs Collectively)

Arab Frontline States Israel



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Israeli-to-Arab Ratio (Population) Israel’s major weakness in any military confrontation is

that it cannot afford losing its population. As if, arguably, it

wants to wage a war against all the Arab Frontline States,

this means that every Israeli has to face at least 15 Arabs.

This also explains why Israel usually attacks Arab

Frontline States individually rather than fighting them

together. It is worth noting that Israel also usually attacks

Palestinian Occupied Territories and Lebanon as these

two Arab States do not have a large population of Egypt

or Syria.

No. Country Israeli-to-Arab Ratio

1 Egypt 10.68

2 Jordan 0.81

3 Lebanon 0.49

4 Occupied Palestine 0.56

5 Syria 2.79

Arab Frontline States 15.33

In the same time, Egypt, which is Israel’s sworn enemy, and Jordan, which has the longest border with Israel, signed a peace treaty

which deter them from being involved in any future conflict. Moreover, Syria has been consumed and exhausted with a bloody civil war

over the past 4 years and this leaves Lebanon and Occupied Palestine facing Israel alone with a ratio of 1.05 Arab to 1 Israeli.

Egypt Jordan Lebanon OccupiedPalestine

Syria ArabFrontline

States

10.68

0.81 0.49 0.56

2.79

15.33

ISRAELI-TO-ARAB RATIO (POPULATION)



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Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the Arab-Israeli Conflict The average GDP of the Arab Israeli-Conflict, excluding Syria, is USD 672 billion which has the same size of Swiss economy. It can

be seen from the below tables that Israel is the largest economy of this conflict that is almost 45% of the above-mentioned GDP figure,

if it was compared individually with the Arab Frontline States. Furthermore, Egypt form almost 42% of the Arab Israeli-Conflict GDP,

while Lebanon, Jordan and Occupied Palestine form around 13%.

No. Country International Monetary Fund World Bank United Nations Central Intelligence Agency Average

1 Egypt $ 286,435,000,000.00 $ 286,538,000,000.00 $ 255,199,000,000.00 $ 289,600,000,000.00 $ 279,443,000,000.00

2 Israel $ 303,771,000,000.00 $ 304,226,000,000.00 $ 291,567,000,000.00 $ 303,800,000,000.00 $ 300,841,000,000.00

3 Jordan $ 35,765,000,000.00 $ 33,679,000,000.00 $ 33,594,000,000.00 $ 36,550,000,000.00 $ 34,897,000,000.00

4 Lebanon $ 49,919,000,000.00 $ 44,352,000,000.00 $ 47,221,000,000.00 $ 47,500,000,000.00 $ 47,248,000,000.00

5 Occupied Palestine $ 11,262,000,000.00 $ 12,579,000,000.00 $ 6,641,000,000.00 $ 10,160,666,666.67

6 Syria

Total $ 675,890,000,000.00 $ 680,057,000,000.00 $ 640,160,000,000.00 $ 684,091,000,000.00 $ 672,589,666,666.67


1 Egypt 42% 42% 40% 42% 42%

2 Israel 45% 45% 46% 44% 45%

3 Jordan 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

4 Lebanon 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%

5 Occupied Palestine 0% 2% 2% 1% 1%

6 Syria 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Total 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%



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1 Arab Frontline States $ 372,119,000,000.00 $ 375,831,000,000.00 $ 348,593,000,000.00 $ 380,291,000,000.00 $ 369,208,500,000.00

2 Israel $ 303,771,000,000.00 $ 304,226,000,000.00 $ 291,567,000,000.00 $ 303,800,000,000.00 $ 300,841,000,000.00


1 Arab Frontline States 55% 55% 54% 56% 55%

2 Israel 45% 45% 46% 44% 45%

$-

$50,000,000,000.00

$100,000,000,000.00

$150,000,000,000.00

$200,000,000,000.00

$250,000,000,000.00

$300,000,000,000.00

$350,000,000,000.00


GDP of the Arab-Israeli Conflict Countries (Individually)

International Monetary Fund World Bank United Nations Central Intelligence Agency



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$-

$50,000,000,000.00

$100,000,000,000.00

$150,000,000,000.00

$200,000,000,000.00

$250,000,000,000.00

$300,000,000,000.00

$350,000,000,000.00

$400,000,000,000.00


GDP OF ARAB-ISRAELI CONFLICT COUNTRIES (ARABS COLLECTIVELY)




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GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) per Capita of the Arab-Israeli Conflict [Per Capita Income] By and Large, Israeli’s PPP is at least 1.82 times higher than the highest Arab Frontline State, which is Lebanon. This can give an

indication that an Israeli is more productive than an Arab.

No. Country International Monetary Fund World Bank Central Intelligence Agency Average

1 Egypt $ 10,877.00 $ 11,089.00 $ 11,100.00 $ 11,022.00

2 Israel $ 32,691.00 $ 32,491.00 $ 33,400.00 $ 32,860.67

3 Jordan $ 11,927.00 $ 11,783.00 $ 11,900.00 $ 11,870.00

4 Lebanon $ 17,986.00 $ 17,174.00 $ 17,900.00 $ 17,686.67

5 Occupied Palestine $ 4,921.00 $ 4,900.00 $ 4,910.50

6 Syria $ 5,100.00 $ 5,100.00

$-

$5,000.00

$10,000.00

$15,000.00

$20,000.00

$25,000.00

$30,000.00

$35,000.00


PPP of Arab-Israeli Conflict Countries

International Monetary Fund World Bank Central Intelligence Agency



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Israeli-to-Arab-Productivity Ratio (PPP) It can be seen from the below table and figure that an individual Israeli, on average, is 1.86 times productive than a Lebanese, 2.77

times productive than a Jordanian, 2.98 times productive than an Egyptian, 6.55 times productive than a Syrian and 6.71 times

productive than a Palestinian. The formula is the following:

Israeli-to-Arab-Productivity Ratio (PPP) = Israeli PPP / an Arab Frontline State PPP

No. Country International Monetary Fund World Bank Central Intelligence Agency Average

1 Egypt 3.01 2.93 3.01 2.98

2 Jordan 2.74 2.76 2.81 2.77

3 Lebanon 1.82 1.89 1.87 1.86

4 Occupied Palestine 6.60 6.82 6.71

5 Syria 6.55 6.55

3.01

2.74

1.82

-

-

2.93

2.76

1.89

6.60

-

3.01

2.81

1.87

6.82

6.55

- 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00

EGYPT

JORDAN

LEBANON

OCCUPIED PALESTINE

SYRIA

Israeli-Productivity-to-Arab Ratio (PPP)

Central Intelligence Agency World Bank International Monetary Fund



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Arab-Israeli Conflict Area (Km²) The total area size in square kilometer is almost 1.31 million km². However, the conflict area is almost %1.6 of earlier mentioned

figure or 22,330 km² out of 1,314,414 km².

No. Country Total in Km2 Land in Km2 Water in Km2 Total in % Land in % Water in %

1 Egypt 1,002,450.00 995,450.00 6,000.00 76.27% 76.33% 67.26%

2 Israel 20,770.00 20,330.00 440.00 1.58% 1.56% 4.93%

3 Jordan 89,342.00 88,802.00 540.00 6.80% 6.81% 6.05%

4 Lebanon 10,452.00 10,230.00 170.00 0.80% 0.78% 1.91%

5 Occupied Palestine 6,220.00 5,640.00 220.00 0.47% 0.43% 2.47%

6 Syria 185,180.00 183,630.00 1,550.00 14.09% 14.08% 17.38%

Total 1,314,414.00 1,304,082.00 8,920.00 100% 100% 100%

No. Country Total in Km2 Land in Km2 Water in Km2 Total in % Land in % Water in %

1 Arab Frontline States 1,293,644.00 1,283,752.00 8,480.00 98.42% 98.44% 95.07%

2 Israel 20,770.00 20,330.00 440.00 1.58% 1.56% 4.93%

Arab Frontline States98%

Israel2%

T H E A R A B - I S R A E L I C O N F L I C T A R E A ( A R A B S C O L L E C T I V E L Y )


The Arab-Israeli Conflict Area (Individually)

Egypt

Israel

Jordan

Lebanon

Occupied Palestine

Syria



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Km² Productivity by Country of Arab-Israeli Conflict It can be seen from the below table that the Arab Frontline States do not utilize their areas as effective as Israel. This indicates that

Arabs are not using the full potential of their lands and water. The formula used to calculate the Km² Productivity for each state is the

following:

Km² Productivity = Total GDP of a Country / Total Area of a Country


1 Egypt $ 285,734.95 $ 285,837.70 $ 254,575.29 $ 288,892.21 $ 278,760.04

2 Israel $ 14,625,469.43 $ 14,647,376.02 $ 14,037,891.19 $ 14,626,865.67 $ 14,484,400.58

3 Jordan $ 400,315.64 $ 376,967.16 $ 376,015.76 $ 409,102.10 $ 390,600.17

4 Lebanon $ 4,776,023.73 $ 4,243,398.39 $ 4,517,891.31 $ 4,544,584.77 $ 4,520,474.55

5 Occupied Palestine $ 1,810,610.93 $ 2,022,347.27 $ 1,067,684.89 $ 1,225,160.77

6 Syria

$-

$2,000,000.00

$4,000,000.00

$6,000,000.00

$8,000,000.00

$10,000,000.00

$12,000,000.00

$14,000,000.00

$16,000,000.00


Km² Productivity by Country of the Arab-Israeli Conflict




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Israeli-to-Arab-Productivity-per-Km² Ratio It can be seen from the blow table and figure that Israel, on average, uses one Km² of its area 3.21 times productively more than

Lebanon, 37.12 times more productively than Jordan, 9.58 times more productively than Occupied Palestine, 52.05 times more

productively than Egypt. The formula is the following:

Israeli-to-Arab-Productivity-per-Km² Ratio = Israeli Productivity per Km² / an Arab Frontline State Productivity per Km²


1 Egypt 51.19 51.24 55.14 50.63 52.05

2 Jordan 36.53 38.86 37.33 35.75 37.12

3 Lebanon 3.06 3.45 3.11 3.22 3.21

4 Occupied Palestine 8.09 6.94 13.70 9.58

5 Syria

- 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00

Egypt

Jordan

Lebanon

Occupied Palestine

Syria

Israeli-to-Arab-Productivity-per-Km² Ratio

Central Intelligence Agency United Nations World Bank International Monetary Fund



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How many Km² are used by the Arab Frontline States to reach Israeli Productivity per km2 of

$14,625,469.43? If it is, arguably, assumed that Arab Frontline States want to reach Israel Productivity per Km² of $14,625,469.43 and not changing

their GDP figures. How many Km² is used in each of the Arab Frontline States?

The table below shows that

1. Egypt would use, on average, almost 19,282 Km² of its area, which is less than 2% of the total area of Egypt.

2. Jordan would use, on average, almost 2,410 Km² of its area, which is less than 3% of the total area of Jordan.

3. Lebanon would use, on average, almost 3,264 Km² of its area, which is less than 32% of the total area of Lebanon.

4. Occupied Palestine would use, on average, almost 530 Km² of its area, which is less than 9% of the total area of Occupied

Palestine.

The formulae used to calculate the below figures is the following:

Reaching Israel Productivity per Km² = the Total GDP of an Arab Frontline State/ Km² Productivity of Israel

No. Country International Monetary Fund World Bank United Nations Central Intelligence Agency Average %

1 Egypt 19,584.67 19,562.41 18,179.30 19,799.18 19,281.39 1.92%

2 Jordan 2,445.39 2,299.32 2,393.09 2,498.83 2,409.16 2.70%

3 Lebanon 3,413.16 3,027.98 3,363.82 3,247.45 3,263.10 31.22%

4 Occupied Palestine - 768.87 896.07 454.03 529.74 8.52%

5 Syria - - - - - 0.00%



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How many people should each Arab Frontline State have to reach Israel GDP? If it is, arguably, assumed that Arab Frontline States want to reach Israel average GDP and not changing their PPP figures. How many

people should they have?

1. At least 96.3 million Egyptians to achieve USD 300.841 Billion GDP.

2. At least 58 million Jordanians to achieve USD 300.841 Billion GDP.

3. At least 26 million Lebanese to achieve USD 300.841 Billion GDP.

4. At least 138 million Palestinians to achieve USD 300.841 Billion GDP.

5. At least 59 million Syrians to achieve USD 300.841 Billion GDP.

No. Country Average GDP Population Average PPP Average Israeli GDP Target No. of Population

1 Egypt 279,443,000,000 89,388,800 3,126.15 $ 300,841,000,000.00 96,233,636.13

2 Jordan 34,897,000,000 6,771,150 5,153.78 $ 300,841,000,000.00 58,372,912.78

3 Lebanon 47,248,000,000 4,104,000 11,512.67 $ 300,841,000,000.00 26,131,295.80

4 Occupied Palestine 10,160,666,667 4,682,467 2,169.94 $ 300,841,000,000.00 138,640,317.70

5 Syria - 23,353,188 5,100.00 $ 300,841,000,000.00 58,988,431.37



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What is the ideal number of population of each Arab Frontline State to achieve Israel average PPP? If it is, arguably, assumed that Arab Frontline States want to reach Israel PPP and not changing their GDP. How many people should

they have?

1. Less than 8.5 million Egyptians to achieve USD 32.860 PPP.

2. Less than 1.1 million Jordanians to achieve USD 32.860 PPP.

3. Less than 1.4 million Lebanese to achieve USD 32.860 PPP.

4. Less than 310,000 Palestinians to achieve USD 32.860 PPP.

No. Country Average GDP Average Israeli PPP Target No. of Population

1 Egypt 279,443,000,000.00 32,860.67 8,503,874.95

2 Jordan 34,897,000,000.00 32,860.67 1,061,968.72

3 Lebanon 47,248,000,000.00 32,860.67 1,437,828.41

4 Occupied Palestine 10,160,666,666.67 32,860.67 309,204.52

5 Syria - 32,860.67 -


Economy & Finance

Economic Indicators of the Arab Frontline States & Israel