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Dr. B.S.Suran

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This is a brief result of a pilot project on rainfall ( weather insurance) in Gujarat . Financially supported by NABARD. The objective is to assess the acceptability of the product by the farming community , so as to convince the State Govt to support the initiative. Presently the State Govt only supports the normal NAIS- normal crop insurance scheme

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Page 1: Dr. B.S.Suran

/Rainfall /Rainfall insuranceinsurance

Weather insurance

“An insured’s perspective”

Feedback from a project ….

Dr B S Suran, General Manager, NABARD

Page 2: Dr. B.S.Suran

2 partners – Sajjatha sangh & SEWA

Marginal differences in products

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Background : perspective and possible Background : perspective and possible biases !!biases !!

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Insured’s perspective or …. ??

One season

Anecdotal and not research based

Page 3: Dr. B.S.Suran

The partner agenciesThe partner agencies-- productsproducts

SEWA Sajjatha Sangh

Generic Crop specific

Deficit & excess RF Deficit RFDeficit & excess RF Deficit RF

Multiple events- Excess Multiple event –consecutive dry days

105 days 90 days

Market – Buy I get one ~50 % subsidy –premium

Page 4: Dr. B.S.Suran

Palmer index : is a soil moisture algorithm calibrated for relatively homogeneous regions. ( scales)

Sajjatha sangh

sewa

Page 5: Dr. B.S.Suran

Particulars SEWA Sajjata SanghPolicies issued 6384 5227 acresFarmers covered 1775 4223

Villages/Blocks 60 42 blocks of 13 districts

Partner agenciesPartner agencies-- Kharif 2010Kharif 2010

districts

Crops Generic Cotton, Paddy, Maize and Groundnut

Payout Average ` 78 Range of ` 13 to 2911

NABARD

Sanction /release` 9.50/ ` 4.78 lakh

` 83.79/ ` 13.06 lakh

Page 6: Dr. B.S.Suran

SEWA

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010company ICICI L IFFCO ICICI L AICI AICICrop any any any any any Phases 3 1 1 3 5Duration 110 92 90 143 117average premi 202 76 190 150 150Sum assured1485(14%)1000(8%)1000(19%)1500(10%)1500(10%)

1. Subsidy & low premium facilitated enrollments

2. More payouts – entices 3. NABARD subsidy ensured

Some ObservationsSome Observations

WI policy Coverage

1442

6384

1081908

624

781620

1775

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

HH

Policies S

3. NABARD subsidy ensured enhanced coverage levels

4. Average pay out was Rs 78 … per policy

5. 960 farmers out of 1775 received payouts

Page 7: Dr. B.S.Suran

State GUJ Distrcit: Sabarkantha Tehsil: Meghraj Village: Bhatkota

Crop: Cotton Reference Weather Station: Bhatkota

DEFICIT RAINFALL

Rainy Day: A Day With Rainfall greater than 2.0 mm is considered as a rainy day .

PERIOD 1-Jul to 31-Jul 1-Aug to 31-Aug 1-Sep to 30-Sep 1-Oct to 15-OctCover IndexTRIGGER I (<) 100 mm 80 mm 40 mm 60 mmTRIGGER II (<) 50 mm 40 mm 20 mm 30 mmEXIT 10 10 5 0

MODEL AGRICULTURE INSURANCE VILLAGE:WEATHER BASED CROP INSURANCE SCHEME (KHARIF 2010)

TERM SHEET

Unit: PER HECTARE

PHASE - I PHASE - II PHASE - III PHASE - IV

Sum Of Rainfall on Rainy Days

1 A. RAINFALL VOLUME

RATE I (Rs./ mm) 10 8 10 0RATE II (Rs./ mm) 25.00 22.67 53.33 0.0Max. Payout (Rs.) 1500 1000 1000 0

TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 3500

PERIOD 1-Jul to 31-AugTRIGGER DAYS (>=) 20 25 30

PAYOUT (Rs.) 800 1700 2500

TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 2500

Note:Multiple event will be considered for final payout

TOTAL SUM INSURED (Rs.) 6000PREMIUM (Rs.) + ST 500

1 B.RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION (Consecutive Dry Days)(multiple Event)

Page 8: Dr. B.S.Suran

State GUJ Distrcit: Sabarkantha Tehsil: Meghraj Village: Bhatkota

Crop: Generic crop Reference Weather Station: Bhatkota

DEFICIT RAINFALL

Rainy Day: A Day With Rainfall greater than 1.0 mm is considered as a rainy day .

PERIOD 21-Jun to 15-Jul 16-Jul to 15-Aug 16-Aug to 30-Sep 1-Oct to 15-OctCover IndexTRIGGER I (<) 60 mm 80 mm 50 mm 60 mmTRIGGER II (<) 30 mm 35 mm 25 mm 30 mmEXIT 5 5 5 0RATE I (Rs./ mm) 10 6 10 0RATE II (Rs./ mm) 18.00 32.67 37.50 0.0Max. Payout (Rs.) 750 1250 1000 0

MODEL AGRICULTURE INSURANCE VILLAGE:WEATHER BASED CROP INSURANCE SCHEME (KHARIF 2010)TERM SHEET

Unit: PER Acre

PHASE - IV

1 A. RAINFALL VOLUME

Sum Of Rainfall on Rainy Days

PHASE - I PHASE - II PHASE - III

TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 3000

PERIOD 1-Jul to 31-AugTRIGGER DAYS (>=) 20 25 30

PAYOUT (Rs.) 500 1000 1500

TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 1500

Note:Multiple event will be considered for final payout

PERIOD 1-Sep to 31-Oct 1-Nov to 30-Sep 1-Oct to 31-OctDAILY RAINFALL TRIGGER (>) 50 mm 150 mm 60 mmEXIT (mm) 100 mm 250 mm 120 mmPayout (Rs. / mm) 10.00 0 0Max. Payout 500 0 0

TOTAL PAYOUT (Rs.) 500

TOTAL SUM INSURED (Rs.) 5000

EXCESS RAINFALL (Multiple events)

1 B.RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION (Consecutive Dry Days)(multiple Event)

PHASE - IVPHASE - III

Page 9: Dr. B.S.Suran

Model Village Model Village –– Bhatkhota !!Bhatkhota !!- Tribal community dominated - AWS in the village- Enrollment of all villagers - Actual enrollment : 124/ 130 HH-Volunteers for campaign -Wage labour insurance – Loss of wages- low RF -Weather/agro-advisory…as add-on !!-Village level daily weather data - In-season monitoring !! --------------------------------------------------------All landed farmers + With Irrgn facility - Seed production – all HH - Adoption not as a risk mitigation tool…- No knowledge of Insurance provider- Pest seen as a major risk - Made no distinction .- Crop / non Crop- Relationship with partner helped-Low premium attracts - Moneyback guarantee & “ AWS demo for weather mapping” did have positive effect

Page 10: Dr. B.S.Suran

Poor understanding of rainfall insurance mechanism and policy details even among the adopted

A sub-optimal payout experience affects the Farmers propensity to purchase rainfall insurance in the subsequent periods.

85% reported the need for payouts

Avg. Payouts expected = Rs.6240 (Khambha).

Avg. Payouts Received = Rs 80!

67 % believed the product provided optimal cover….study of 2009 by IGIDR

Page 11: Dr. B.S.Suran

Conclusions Conclusions

Awareness matters (FL): Educated & financiallyliterate are significantly more likely to purchase rainfallinsurance…… !! BUTBUT

Peer following seen: many farmers unaware, seem toPeer following seen: many farmers unaware, seem tojoin in because of peers– Tendency to join triggered / enticed by low levels of

premium- subsidized by NABARD– However, adoption could be influenced through information

campaigns– Installation of visible tracking mechanisms do influence

decision making at the farmer level.– Use of community leaders / volunteers helps in better

enrollment

Page 12: Dr. B.S.Suran

Traditional Marketing interventions may not work... it is no sell and go product.

But, selling by known NGOs ..helps in adoption

Conclusions Conclusions

Marketing : Moneyback guarantee along with“demo” and “weather forecast” has a positive effect

Crops grown & product availed …limited linkages .

Communicating payouts transparently… ensures interest in the product. Post sales service e.g. disseminate likelihood of payouts…

Page 13: Dr. B.S.Suran

Thank you for your timeThank you for your time

Contact : [email protected]

[email protected]