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Budget 2014 March 6, 2014

Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

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Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan - presentation by Doug Horner, President of Treasury Board and Minister of Finance - March 6, 2014. You may also download this presentation as PowerPoint or PDF at this address: http://finance.alberta.ca/publications/budget/budget2014/index.html#presentation

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Page 1: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Budget 2014 March 6, 2014

Page 2: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Fully balanced budget

Operational surplus

$2.6 B

Operational revenue

$43.0 B (up 5.4% from 2013-14)

Operational expense

$40.4 B (up 3.7% from 2013-14; excludes disaster/emergency assistance)

Change in net assets (consolidated surplus)

$1.1 B increase

Page 3: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Economic strength

Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Growth

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Year

-ove

r-ye

ar %

cha

nge

AlbertaCanadaUSA

5.2

3.8 3.3

3.7

Page 4: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Economic strength

Unemployment rate, 2013

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Canadianaverage

Alberta 4.6 %

7.1 %

Page 5: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Oil price differential

50

60

70

80

90

100

110$

WTI WCS

$15

$33 $10 $37

Page 6: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

2013 Flood

$1.1 B in provincial support over next 3 years • $222 M operational expense • $859 M on capital

Money to help people and businesses for reconstruction and mitigation

Page 7: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Booming population

Page 8: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Priority spending

Page 9: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Investing in families and communities

2014/15: $1 B increase to core programs • New operating funding for:

• Health • K-12 schools • Post-secondary education • Human services

Page 10: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Comparing expense growth to population plus inflation growth

Page 11: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Building Alberta

Increasing net assets

Page 12: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Building Alberta

Estimated Assets and Liabilities, March 31, 2015

Alberta is the only province in Canada with net assets ($45 B)

Page 13: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

The 4 rules of borrowing

Limited to 3.0% of operational revenue

Must have a clear repayment plan

Must protect Alberta’s AAA credit rating

Borrowing only for the capital plan

Page 14: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

A plan for debt repayment

Annual amounts set aside for debt repayment

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

13/1

4

15/1

6

17/1

8

19/2

0

21/2

2

23/2

4

25/2

6

27/2

8

29/3

0

31/3

2

33/3

4

35/3

6

37/3

8

39/4

0

41/4

2

43/4

4

45/4

6

47/4

8

($m

illio

ns)

Page 15: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Future asset position

By 2017, Alberta will have $49B of net assets • $61B in financial assets • $34B in capital assets • $22B of capital debt (thru P3s and direct borrowing)

• After a 30-year amortization the debt will be paid off

Page 16: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Net debt to GDP

Page 17: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Investing in our future

Total Savings Plan expected to reach $26B by 2016-17

Page 18: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Savings Management Act

Investing in our future

$1 B (by 2015-16)

$200 M (2014-15)

$2 B (by 2023-24)

$200 M (2014-15)

Page 19: Budget 2014 - The Building Alberta Plan

Budget 2014 www.budget.alberta.ca

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