Copyright © 2008 Richard Allen Strong
StrongMobile Flying Car Project
Richard Allen Strong, B.Sc. Aero. & Astro. Engrg, MA
(Major,USAF,Retired) Commercial Pilot, ASELI
Proprietor, Safety Analysis Systems Co.
“Welcome to the Wide & Wonderful World of Wheels and Wings"
http://www.strongware.com/dragon
““The Future Belongs to Those Who Can See It”The Future Belongs to Those Who Can See It”• ““Dost thou love life? Then do not squander time, for that is the stuff life is made ofDost thou love life? Then do not squander time, for that is the stuff life is made of."."
Benjamin Franklin
• "Do not go where the path may lead. Go where there is no path and leave a trail...""Do not go where the path may lead. Go where there is no path and leave a trail..." Ralph Waldo Emerson, Philosopher
• ""Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic."Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic." Arthur C. Clarke
• "Mark my word: A combination airplane and motor car is coming. "Mark my word: A combination airplane and motor car is coming. You may smile, but it will come."You may smile, but it will come." Henry Ford
• "At first, people refuse to believe that a strange new thing can be done, then they "At first, people refuse to believe that a strange new thing can be done, then they begin to hope it can be done, then they see it can be done - then it is done, and all begin to hope it can be done, then they see it can be done - then it is done, and all the world wonders why it took so long."the world wonders why it took so long." Secret Garden, Frances Hodgson Burnett
• "If you don't have a consensus that it is nonsense, you don't have a breakthrough.""If you don't have a consensus that it is nonsense, you don't have a breakthrough." Burt Rutan, Scaled Composites
• "When you design your aircraft, distort the specifications to be different!“"When you design your aircraft, distort the specifications to be different!“ Prof. Ed Lesher, University of Michigan, Speed Record Engineer-Pilot
• ““The greatest obstacle to scientific progress is the illusion of complete knowledge.”The greatest obstacle to scientific progress is the illusion of complete knowledge.” Prof. Disney, Hubble Telescope Committee
• Those who say “It can’t be done!” should not interrupt those who are doing it.Those who say “It can’t be done!” should not interrupt those who are doing it.
At the end of the movie, Back to the Future, Doc Brown says to Marty:
"Roads? Where we're going, we don't need roads." 0
•The problem to be solved recognizes that there are hundreds of cities that are hundreds of miles apart, and many business travelers and cargo movers want to go between and within them quickly and easily on a door-to-door, daily basis.
• The highway system is forecast to be more congested and slower, with no relief in sight. Air travellers still need to spend time to convert from one mode to another mode for local travel.
• Proposed solution is an aircar with an optimum payload and adequate performance for a core market of frequent regional business travelers that is quicker, with lower net cost from time savings and higher production rates than current airplanes.
• The potential The potential market of of thousandsthousands of operatorsof operators avoiding avoiding spending spending millionsmillions of hours driving or changing modes may of hours driving or changing modes may establishestablish a a billionbillion-dollar-dollar industryindustry within a decade from start-up. within a decade from start-up.
Problem Statement & Proposed Solution
1
Some Common Fallacies and TruthsThe common fallacies are:
1) cars are too heavy to fly;
2) "average" drivers are too dangerous to fly;
4) the sky is too small for millions of aircars; and
5) flyable automobiles would cost too much.
The truths are:
1) StrongMobile designs are adequate for good performance;
2) licensed pilots are better trained, regulated and qualified;
3) the skies are big enough and control is adequate for hundreds of thousands of aircars; and
4) avoiding payroll and support costs of business operators vs. other travel modes offsets costs of StrongMobiles.
StrongMobiles Will Be As Efficient As Others,With Much Less Hassle & And More Freedom
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• Savings in time spent while driving or changing modes give higher average speed. Example: For 400 mi., 3 hr. trip, 0:05 transform and 140 KTAS with StrongMobile compares to 0:30 transform and 200 KTAS for car and fast airplane.
• Operators are free to choose schedules, routes, airports, destinations, and modes to suit weather, flight and traffic conditions to fit their budgets and desires.
2a
The FAA rules show a speed limit of 250 knots when flying below 10,000 feet.
StrongMobiles are designed to cruise at about 140 knots.
The shortest distance between two places avoids wasting time and fuel.
In general, you can plan your trip for various situations
Plan A - VFR or IFR direct [probability of about 80%]; or
Plan B - weather or TFR deviations of less than one hour [probability of about 15%]; or
Plan C - deviations of more than one hour, but less than two hours [probability of about 3%]; or
Plan D - Driving only [probability of about 2%], or
Plan E - Airports and Roads closed [probability less than 1%], or
Plan F - Aborted trip en route and overnight or more delay [probability of less than 1%].
2b
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1971 StrongMobile Design (U.S. Patent 3,612,440)
•The lifting body-fuselage presents an automobile appearance; it may provide about 1/3 of the lift and allow use of a smaller wing.
•The ducted fan is quieter than a propeller; the jetwash blows on the wing to boost lift. A clutch disengages the fan for driving.
•The wing has spoiler ailerons and full-span flaps to give angle of attack while the body is level for lifting the front for take-off.
5
NASA Quiet Ducted Fan Study (UTRC)
Noise is reduced from 105 dB to 77 dB (Ref. FAR Part 36, App. G36.301, 88 dB max.)
“Neighbor-friendly” and less cabin noise fatigue.
6
An example of a fan by Aero Composites
(NASA Personal Air Vehicle Exploration Program)
The composite structure provides unlimited fatigue life.
The StrongMobile fan may generate about 100 lbs. per sq. ft. of pressure over 6 sq. ft. ( 3 ft dia.) for 600 lbs. of thrust.
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Primary Control System
The steering wheel (1) is for driving; it is semi-stowable for flying. The center “T” stick (2) is for pitch and roll control with trim for flying. Flight throttle (3) and mic button is on left door. Road and fan gear shift (4) is for driving. Accelerator pedal and foot brake pedal (5,6) are on the floor as usual. Rudder pedals (7) are stowable for driving.
Four-seat/Cargo
Version
18
Operators may choose to use two Dragons for many jobs that require four seat capacity or use the four-seat version; however, the design and development of the four-seat version is considered to be a challenging venture.
Current Airplane InconveniencesMay Be Eliminated in StrongMobile• expense of hangaring;• handling tie-downs and chocks;• tow bars and towing machines;• using step-stools to check fuel quantity; • using steps and handholds for entry and exit; • only one cabin door, noisy, narrow cabins;• steering while taxiing with foot pedals; • left and right brake pedals; • complex engine & propeller displays and controls; • potentially lethal propeller; and• need for rental cars for local transportation.
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• Automobile-type lifting body and suspension;
• Modified COTS automotive engine & road drive;
• Automated transformation in minimum time;
• Quiet fan with clutch and vectored jetwash lift;
• Full-span flaps, spoiler ailerons, & fixed slats;
• [2-seat] Quarter-ton payload and fuel for 4+ hours;
• Fully retractable wheels and covers; and
• Range ~600 air miles, cruise ~ 140 knots.
Recap of Requirements and Features
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• Automobile braking, steering, & 4-wheel stability
decrease risk of over-run or flip-over;
• Ducted fan gives: less risk of injuries; governing;
more static thrust; vectored lift jets; quieter ops;
• Simpler automobile engine controls;
• Lifting body & full-span flaps cushion landings,
slats decrease risk of stall; alpha gauge; and
• When weather turns bad or plans change, option
to drive home from alternate airport , or drive to
alternate airport with good weather for take-off.
Safety, Compared to Other Lightplanes
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Flying vs. Driving: Safety & Efficiency
Pro
Quicker
No impaired drivers
No bad roads nor construction zones
No debris or obstructions nor natural barriers
No congestion or speed limits
No HAZMAT trucks
Con
Unforecast icing
Thunderstorms
Turbulence and shear
Fog and low ceilings
Gusty cross-winds
Slippery runways
Nav-Comm Radios
Medical Exams
Flight Training
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Example Hazard Report 1. SYST./SUBSYST/UNIT: Operations in fan mode with objects/ birds.
2. COMPNT. FAIL MODE: Pilot fails to see and avoid objects/ creatures in time.
3. SUBSYST.FAIL MODE: Objects ingested into fan cause damage, failure.
4. SYST./COMP./PHASE: Airport and flight operations in fan mode.
5. SYSTEM EVENT/PHAS: Taxi, take-off, and landing plus birds during cruise.
6. SYST.OPER.DESCRPN: taxi, take-off, and landing and cruise flight.
7. HAZARD DESCRIPTN.: Fan ingests objects/ creatures into fan duct.
8. HAZARD INDICATION: Objects may be seen in time for avoidance.
9. EFFECT OF HAZARD : Impact damage to fan, aircraft, various damages.
10. RISK ASSESSMENT : Potential for various failures, loss of control.
11. RECOMMENDED ACTIONS: Pilot scans ahead and avoids objects/ creatures.
12. ACTION EFFECTS : Eliminates hazard.
13. REMARKS/DOCS/DIRS: Fixed Base Operator keeps surfaces clear.
14. ACTION STATUS : TBD
15. NOTE/CAUTION/WARN: Include a WARNING in Pilot Operating Handbook.
RISK WITH HAZARD = 2 C RISK WITH ACTION = 2 E‑ ‑ 22a
Frequently Asked Questions and Answers• Does a StrongMobile operator need to have a pilot’s license?
Answer: Yes, plus a medical certificate, etc..
• Won’t average drivers have more accidents if they fly? Answer: No. “Average” drivers likely will not qualify; medical, legal, and instructors report that 2/3 of students wash out.
• Won’t aircars be a danger to folks and property on the ground? Answer: Yes; there will always be some risk; less than usual.
• Aren’t aircars inherently too heavy, compared to airplanes? Answer: The StrongMobile designs are adequate for the specific operations that they are designed for.
• Can I take-off and land on public highways? Answer: NO! Consider obstructions, distractions, instrument aids, weather, and FAA rules.
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Learning And Problem-Solving, LAPS, Record RECNO:1
About: Date: HazBen RecId:DB File: Rec.Id: 1 PrevRecId: TXT: PrsId:SS File: Col-Row: Budget Item: WrkRecId:Line / Sub-Item: Phase: Chek#:1. Diverger/ Idea Generators choose a goal and distinguish it from Reality.a. Goals / Increase aero performance to save time and extend rangeb. Real Operation ____: cruise speed of 120 knotsc. Suggest / Concern_ reduce aero drag2. aSIMmilators identify factor, metric, select problem to be solved.a. Problem/ Suggest _ retract wheelsb. Select- increase climb rate and cruise speedc. Select-CON _______ added cost of equipment and maintenance3. Converger/ Optimizers/ Judges consider solutions and evaluate them.a. Solution Set_______: partially retract wheelsb. Evaluation use cost of 10% of fuel, $2000 per year, $2,000 to install.c. Recommendations _: mockup, weigh, and test4. Worker/ Accomodator/ Implenters select one solution and implement it.a. Solution Selected__:b. Implementation ___ c. Recommendations_ :
23a
Financial Model 1 – Start-Up
• Development may commence whenever the trend of deposits shows confidence that sufficient deposits will be made to pay for development costs that are estimated to be around $20M. This plan will require about 1,000 deposits.
• Given the usual schedule required for similar airplane developments, it is estimated that about three years will be required to set up for production.
• Deliveries may begin ~ 2010.
• If you wish to reserve a position for your StrongMobile on the production schedule, then make a non-refundable deposit of $19,000 minimum to TACRA. Deposits will be put into escrow accounts as certificates of deposit until 100 are received or until the end of 2007. If 100 deposits are not received by the end of 2007, then those that have been received will be returned to the depositors.
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The finances of the three main players in the scenario may be:
Maker: Develops aircar - invests $20M @ 12% for 20 years startup; Produces 2,000 units per year at unit cost of $75,000 ( ~$150M); Produces parts for maintenance and repair and accessories; Sells units and parts for 15% net after-tax profit (~$30M); and Sets up dealer/buyer financing at 10%, earning 10%-prime of ~6%.
Dealer/Lessor: Sets up sales and service, training, and leasing; Purchases X aircars for $100,000 at 10% interest for 20 years with monthly payments of ~$2,000X; Leases aircars for 1,200 hours per year, at $160 per flight hour; Pays operation and maintenance of $75/hour $7,500 per month each;
Pays for facility, employees, ~$4,000 per month per each X aircar; Earns profit $16,000 - $7,500 - $2,000 - $4,000 = $2,500/month each; Performs service/maintenance/repair as required; and Operates training and building center.
Financial Model - 2 for 2-Seat Version
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Owner/Lessee:
- Owner buys on $160,000, 20-year 6% loan for $1,600 per month; or
- Lessee leases for $160 per hour/ $16,000 per month to lessees;
- Users average wrap-around cost plus business profit of $100 per
hour for each of two, flying 6+ hrs/day, 24 hrs/ wk, 100 hrs/ month;
- Cost avoidance of $200 per hour for each flight hour, based on
standard mission, $20,000 per month, less $3,500 fuel, saving :
$16,500 personnel - $16,000 buy/lease = $ 500/mo. cost avoidance.
NOTE: Figures are for the two-seat version. For four-seat version,
cost may be increased by 50% and benefits by 100%.
Other factors such as prestige, business opportunities, safety,
security, and control of schedule and destinations.
Financial Model - 3
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The Air-Car Research Association, TACRA Performance, Equipment, & Price, “PEP”, Survey
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Basic Dragon has SRS, A/C, power steering & brakes, ABS, transaxle, fixed-pitch fan w/ clutch, fixed wheels, and speed cruise control.
Price for: a. kit: $____k b. Factory-built: $____k c. Rent/hr: $_____If you want more, enter how much more and how much you would pay.1. Over 10 yrs service life? Yrs; ____ Pay: $___k 2. Over 10,000 Flight hours; ____ kfh Pay: $____k 3. Over 120,000 Road Miles: _____kmi Pay: $____k 4. Four-place version Pay: $_____k 5. Over 195 lb. Pilot & passenger (s) weight?: _____ lbs. Pay: $____k 6. STOL version: $____k Anti-icing system: $___k7. Over 66 lb. per occupant baggage weight?: ______ lbs. Pay: $____k8. Rotary engine -Pay: $___k 9. Over 360 nm Range: _____ Pay: $____k10. Over 140 KTAS cruise speed: _____KTAS Pay: $____k11. Over 12,000 ft. ceiling: ____,000 ft. Pay: $_____k 12. Autopilot - Pay: $_____k 13. Retract wheels - Pay: $ ____k 14. Controllable-pitch fan: $______k 15. Cabin Press - Pay: $ ____k
• 2006 – Cadre Team, chassis and propulsion testing;• 2007 - Design, Build, and Test Driveable Prototype;
2008 – Design, Build, and Test Flight Prototype;• 2009 - Design Plans, Kits for Homebuilder Teams; • 20?? - Series Production by Teams, Manufacturers• The inventor will welcome any producers to lead the
next phase of building the prototype and production versions of StrongMobiles for a market of thousands of operators avoiding millions of wasted hours of ‘windshield time’ on the highway or changing modes that could be used for more profitable activities with potential for a billion-dollar industry within a decade.
Plan A as of 2005
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Outreach Activities
• strongware.com/dragon Website: Over 10,000 visits
per year, mostly unknown, but zero feedback.
• Presentations and ads to associations
(EAA, SAE, AOPA, AIAA, ASME)
• StrongMobile Project CD and book
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Conclusion and Forecast The StrongMobile preliminary design and business plan indicate that the project is
feasible for further development, production, and operation to satisfy a potential
market of thousands of users.
Military
In response to USAF’s AGILE COMBAT SUPPORT PROGRAM Request For
Information, the project was submitted for consideration by the Mobilization
Analysis Working Group as a candidate for development beginning in 2010. The
mission was described as a light utility personnel/cargo transport to support
forward operating locations. StrongMobiles might also be employed as manned
observation platforms, performing the Intelligence, Surveillance, and
Reconnaissance, ISR, mission, similar to the inventor's experiences as a
Forward Air Controller in Cessna O-1s and Ford M-151s. The submittal
envisioned a fleet of vehicles and total cost for research, development, test and
evaluation, and deployment of $29 million dollars.
Main questions are: Who will do it?; and When will it be done ?
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DOT RITA Plan
Growing congestion in U.S. transportation systems poses a substantial threat to the economy and to the quality of life of millions of Americans. In 2003 alone, congestion in the top 85 U.S. urban areas caused 3.7 billion hours of travel delay and 2.3 billion gallons of wasted fuel, for a total cost of $63 billion. Congestion also can contribute to air pollutant emissions. The Department's RD&T programs will seek to improve our quality of life and enhance economic development by reducing congestion, preserving the existing transportation system, and improving the durability and extending the life of transportation infrastructure.
30a
NASA Personal Air Vehicle• T7.01 Personal Air Vehicle Research for Rural, Regional and Intra-Urban On-
Demand Transportation
NASA is performing preliminary design studies of Personal Air Vehicle missions, concepts, and technologies…
• Reducing small aircraft community noise by 30 PNLdb at a 500’ sideline measurement,…
• Reducing the aircraft acquisition cost on the order of 60% from current price levels while still at relatively modest production volumes.
• Simplify the operation of small aircraft such that the specialized skills, knowledge and associated training are reduced to levels comparable to operating an automobile or boat. This reduction must be achieved during near-all-weather operations and with a level of safety that is superior to comparable operations today.
•Mid-term and long-term efforts could also include investigation of technologies that provide improved performance and short field length takeoff and landing capability. Implicit to all these investigations will be enhancing the vehicle safety, versatility, ease of entry, interior environment, visibility, and maintenance and operations cost.
30b
Agile Combat Support RFIAir Force seeks new ideas for support missions
By Sebastian Sprenger, Federal Computer Week, August 23, 2007
The Air Force is looking for technologies that could help improve the service’s ability to conduct combat support operations, according to an Aug.
21 Defense Department notice published on the Federal Business Opportunities Web site. The notice said the service’s Agile Combat Support Modernization Analysis Working Group is seeking ideas from industry and
academia to offset limitations on support operations Air Force officials anticipate between 2010 and 2035. These limitations include obstacles
typically associated with military work in austere environments worldwide, potential force reductions and budget shortfalls, the notice said.
The Air Force is particularly interested in ideas that would reduce the need for airlift in and out of future theaters, and technologies capable of cutting
the number of personnel needed to initiate and support military operations. “Present combat support resources are aging and are quickly becoming
obsolete,” the notice states.
Officials in the Air Force’s Agile Combat Support Modernization Analysis Working Group will roll potential technologies into the deliberations on the service’s six-year spending plan starting in fiscal 2010, the document said. 31