- 1. ITCPortfolio Part3 China PPUB796InternetandPublicPolicy:
TechnologyorTyranny? RickSingerGMUVolegenauSchoolofEngineering
[email protected]
2. ChinasITCTechnologyindustry manufacture25%ofcomponentsusedin
InformationTechologyandCommunication
productsforconsumers,business,and industry.
In2010ChinaovertooktheUSAinmanufacturedoutput,
energyuseandcarsales.AccordingtotheIMF,Chinawill
overtakeAmericaastheworld'slargesteconomyin
purchasing-powerparityby2017.
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/china/high-technology-exports-percent-of-manufactured-http://www.tradingeconomics.com/china/high-technology-exports-percent-of-manufactured-
exports-wb-data.htmlexports-wb-data.html 3.
WhatsthekeyconcernforChinaICTmanufacturing?
ChinasproductionofITCtechnologyproductsrequireever
increasingamountsofenergyandrawmaterials. 4.
ITCManufacturingLeadToCarandTrucksTransportGrowth
ContributingtotheriseinChineseliquidfuelconsumptionare
the22millionvehiclessoldinChinain2013. http://europe.theoildrum.com
5. PersonalandBusinessMotorVehicleOwnershipHasExploded
Chinanowhasfourtimesasmanyhighwaysandalmostfive
timesasmanycarsthanithadfiveyearsago. 6.
VehicleProductionGrowsWithITCEquipmentManufacturing
Howlongcanthisexponentialgrowthcontinue? 7.
WhatPowersChinasGrowthinITCTechnology?
Chinasenergyconsumptiongrewatarateofslightlymore
than8%between2001and2010. Whatswrongthatthat?
Soundslikeareasonablenumberforagrowingeconomy.
www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-07-19/china-passes-u-s-as-biggest-energy-consumer-as-oil-
imports-jump-iea-says.html 8.
BorninShanghai,AlbertBartlett,ProfessorofPhysics,
UniversityofColoradocalled"sustainablegrowth"an
oxymoron,sinceevenmodestannualpercentageincreases
willinevitablyequatetohugeexponentialgrowthover
sustainedperiodsoftime.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albert_Allen_Bartlett 9.
PoweringChinasGrowthinITCTechnology LetsapplytheRuleof70
(Thenumberofyearsittakesforacertainvariabletodouble).
IfthegrowthrateoftheChinais10%,theruleof70predictsit
wouldtake7years(70/10)forChina'srealGDPtodouble. 10. Powering
Chinas Growth in ITC Technology Using the Rule of 70 we discover
that China is doubling the amount of energy it uses roughly every 9
years, as was confirmed by the International Energy Agency (IEA) in
2010
www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-07-19/china-passes-u-s-as-biggest-energy-consumer-as-
oil-imports-jump-iea-says.html 11. Powering Chinas Growth in ITC
Technology After only 9 years of 8 % growth, China is using not
just a little more energy, but 100% more. China now has more than
750 coal-fired electricity plants. After 9 more years of 8% growth
China will need over 1500. 12. Powering Chinas Growth in ITC
Technology A: Amount of energy China consumer in the past 9 years?
B: Amount of energy China consumed previously from the dawn of
civilization? Time for pop quiz: Which is larger:? 13. Powering
Chinas Growth in ITC Technology The intuitive answer is that the
total amount of energy consumed throughout Chinas ten thousand of
years of history is far larger than the amount consumed over the
past 9 years. 14. Powering Chinas Growth in ITC Technology The
correct answer is that the most recent doubling is larger than all
the prior doublings put together. C. Bergsten and others, Energy
Implications of Chinas Growth, in Chinas Rise: Challenges and
Opportunities (Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International
Economics, 2009
www.piie.com/publications/chapters_preview/4174/07iie4174.pdf 15.
Salient ICT Development Issues in China Chongqing: China's Secret
Metropolis Reflects Hypergrowth 16. Salient ICT Development Issues
in China Chongqing: China's Secret Metropolis Reflects Hypergrowth
17. Coal Electricity Powers Chinas ITC Factories In 2012, China
completed the construction and put on line the equivalent of one
new 1 gigawatt coal-fired plant every week. Peter Fairley, Chinas
Coal Future, Technology Review, January 1, 2007Peter Fairley,
Chinas Coal Future, Technology Review, January 1, 2007
www.technologyreview.com/energy/18069/www.technologyreview.com/energy/18069/
18. Coal Electricity Powers Chinas ITC Factories In 2013 China
consumed more than 55% of all the coal used by all of the
industrialized nations in the world Euan Mearns, The Chinese Coal
Monster, Energy Bulletin, July 12, 2010.Euan Mearns, The Chinese
Coal Monster, Energy Bulletin, July 12, 2010. http://http://
www.energybulletin.net/node/53411www.energybulletin.net/node/53411
19. Chinas Low-Carbon Plan for ITC Factories Wind farms in Xinjiang
power ITC production with sustainable energy supplies. Ambitious,
clean, carbon reducing power plants are going on line. Winds of
change blow through China as spending on renewable energy
soarsWinds of change blow through China as spending on renewable
energy soars The Guardian, Monday 19 March 2012The Guardian, Monday
19 March 2012
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/mar/19/china-windfarms-renewable-http://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/mar/19/china-windfarms-renewable-
energy /energy / 20. Geothermal Power for Chinese ITC Factories An
ambitious 24 MW Geothermal station in Yangbajain powers ITC
production with hydrocarbon and emission-free energy supplies for
regional ITC manufacturing plants. China News CN: China's largest
geothermal power station to increaseChina News CN: China's largest
geothermal power station to increase production
2010-04-06production 2010-04-06
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2010-04/06/content_13307379.htmhttp://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2010-04/06/content_13307379.htm
21. China Solar Power Generation for ITC Factories In 2013, China
installed 11.3 GW of solar capacity, 37% of global solar growth. PV
power generation in Hong Kong complements the wind farms hundreds
of miles away on the mainland. . Report from the China New Energy
Chamber of Commerce, April, 2013
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/08/16/is-chinas-solar-boom-about-http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/08/16/is-chinas-solar-boom-about-
to-fall-off-a-cliff.aspxto-fall-off-a-cliff.aspx 22. Chinas
Low-Carbon Plan for ITC Factories 3% of Chinas ITC industry is
hydropowered with clean electricity from Three Gorges Dam and
Liujiaxia Dam. Chinas hydro-power capacity exceeds Brazil, the USA
and Canada combined Renewables 2012 Global Status Report
http://www.ren21.net/ren21activities/globalstatusreport.aspxhttp://www.ren21.net/ren21activities/globalstatusreport.aspx
http://www.ecology.com/2013/03/28/hydro-power-in-china/
/http://www.ecology.com/2013/03/28/hydro-power-in-china/ / 23.
Nuclear Fission Powering Chinas ITC Factories Of a worldwide total
of 61 nuclear plants under construction in 16 countries world wide,
China is building more than half. 33 Chinese nuclear power plants
will be on line by 2030. Plans For New Reactors Worldwide, World
Nuclear Association, August 2010.Plans For New Reactors Worldwide,
World Nuclear Association, August 2010. Nuclear Power Plants,
World-Wide, European Nuclear SocietyNuclear Power Plants,
World-Wide, European Nuclear Society http://
www.world-nuclear.org/info/inf17.htmlhttp://
www.world-nuclear.org/info/inf17.html
http://nuclear.duke-energy.com/2012/07/10/nuclear-energy-made-in-china/http://nuclear.duke-energy.com/2012/07/10/nuclear-energy-made-in-china/
24. Resource Depletion Limits China Technology Growth China will
have to drill deeper wells and built desalination plants to produce
water for manufacturing. China will face a shortage of ITC raw
materials copper, lithium and rare earth minerals. Minerals
extracted from ever-more-difficult locations generates separation
process 1,000:1 waste products.
https://www.chinadialogue.net/article/4229-Zijin-s-poisoned-legacy
25. Water Crisis Limits China Technology Growth Chinas reserves of
freshwater dropped 13 percent between 2000 and 2009.
https://www.chinadialogue.net/article/ 4229-Zijin-s-poisoned-legacy
26. Water Crisis Limits China Technology Growth The ambitious and
unprecedented South-North Water Transfer Project will divert water
from the more southerly Yangtze to the basin of the northerly
Yellow River requiring hundreds of new treatment plants to make it
non-toxic for human or wild-life consumption.
https://www.chinadialogue.net/article/4229-Zijin-s-poisoned-legacy
27. Water Crisis Limits China Technology Growth The aquifers of
northern China have been drained by mining, oil drilling and
manufacturing.
https://www.chinadialogue.net/article/4229-Zijin-s-poisoned-legacy
28. Water Crisis Limits China Technology Growth The Yellow River is
too polluted for human consumption. https://www.chinadialogue.net/a
rticle/4229-Zijin-s-poisoned- legacy 29. Financing Chinas ITC
Technology Growth The USA is dependent on Chinas cheap labor force
to manufacture the ITC productivity tools necessary for the service
sector economy jobs and conveniences we take for granted. China
produces actual things, while the economy of the USA has become
overly dependent on financial services. 30. Financing Chinas ITC
Technology Growth China owns more than 26 % of all foreign-held
U.S. Treasury securities $1.2 trillion (8 % total) US debt, much
larger than the amount owned by all American households combined.
"Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities". U.S. Department of
Treasury. Retrieved July 19, 2011. 31. Look out below! Unilateral
Actions Ensuring Chinas ITC Technology Manufacturing Dominance
Chinas centralized mechanisms of economic control and limited
transparency could further stimulate growth by devaluing its
currency by expanding purchases of US Treasuries. "
http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamescahn/2014/06/12/chinas-turn-for-a-debt-crisis-
keep-your-eyes-open-for-the-unexpected/. 32. Financing Chinas ITC
Technology Growth The USA is dependent on China cheap-labor to
manufacture the ITC productivity tools necessary for the service
sector economy jobs and conveniences we take for granted. China
owns more than 26 % of all foreign-held U.S. Treasury securities
$1.2 trillion (8 % total) US debt, much larger than the amount
owned by all American households combined. China could devalue its
currency relatively easily by expanding its purchases of US
Treasuries. "Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities". U.S.
Department of Treasury. Retrieved July 19, 2011. 33. PPUB 796
Internet and Public Policy: Technology or Tyranny? Rick Singer GMU
Volegenau School of Engineering [email protected] The movie Network
(1976) Predicting ITC Enabled International Trade With Former Cold
War Rivals
