Transcript

Simple Guide to the ResourceReview and the Localisation of NNDR

Kieran TimminsDeputy Chief

ExecutiveMerseyside FRA.

Plan For Today

• What do you really need to know ?• Remind you of the cash headlines• What is the current system?• What is the proposal?

Reduction £207m2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200 1,057996 989

899 850

National Fire Control Total

-5.8% -0.7% -9.1% -5.5%

Extra Cuts

• £5m for Chancellor Pay assumption• £7m for Safety Net & Capitalisation• Further 1.5% on baseline

Current System – 4 Block Model

Relative Needs

Current System – 4 Block Model

Relative Needs

Population

• Coastline• Population density• Risk Index• COMAH Sites• Property & Societal Risk• Community Fire Safety

Current System – 4 Block Model

Relative Needs

Relative Resources

Central Allocation

Floor DampingMinisterial Discretion

New System

1. Get a share of Local Rates2. Compare that share to “Baseline” 3. Either Get a “Top Up” back to “baseline” or

pay a “Tariff”

Example - Merseyside

• Total Rates = £399m• 50% Local Share = £200m

Fire gets 2% Local Share

50% to GovernmentCentral Share

£4m

Example - Merseyside

• Compare to Baseline

Example - Merseyside

Local Share£4m

Baseline£42M

Example - Merseyside

Local Share£4m

Baseline£42M

Top Up£38M

Example - Merseyside

Local Share£4m

Top Up£38M

RPI

Local Rates

But Sticking to Spending Control Totals for now

Critical Thing is Baseline Set!

Local Share£4m

Baseline£42M

Top Up£38M

How do we set the Baseline?

• Rerun the formula!

With Some Potential Changes• Sparsity• Resource Equalisation• Update all Data - Population

How do we set the Baseline?

• Rerun the formula!

With Some Potential Changes• Sparsity• Resource Equalisation• Update all Data - Population

Ministerial Discretion

Summary

• Service to save £200m approx from Grant Cuts• Pressure on Pay Awards already• Flexibility on Council Tax restricted• Council Tax Benefit Localisation

Risk of the Perfect StormGrant

Cut £207m

Pay AwardsCouncil Tax benefit

Localisation

Pensions?

Years 5&6

Questions?


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