Transcript
Page 1: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

VALUE CAPTURE STRATEGIES FOR TRANSIT

Nadine Fogarty Principal/Vice President Strategic Economics September 23, 2014

Page 2: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

Q: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? A: Yes.

§  Limited use of value capture to date

§  Success stories thus far: §  Streetcars

§  Infill stations

§  Extensions to existing lines

§  Major multimodal projects

Page 3: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

Steps to Develop a Value Capture Strategy

1.  Demonstrating Value

2.  Identifying Tools

3.  Estimating Revenues

Page 4: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

Demonstrating Value

Page 5: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

Property Value Benefits of BART San Francisco Bay Area, CA

BART Station Areas

2%

Land Area

BART Station Areas 13%

Assessed Property Value

EXAMPLE:

§  BART station areas generate $750 million each year in general property tax revenues for local governments; value in these areas is growing faster than the region as a whole

Page 6: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

BART’s Residential Property Value Impacts

§  BART contributes an estimated $17.3 billion in added property value to for-sale residential properties in Alameda, Contra Costa, and San Mateo Counties

15.0%

10.4%

7.4%

1.3%

10.7% 9.6%

5.4% 4.6%

Within 1/2 Mile 1/2 to 1 mile 1 to 2 miles 2 to 5 miles

BART Price Premium Condominiums Single Family

Page 7: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

Downtown/Riverfront Streetcar Project Sacramento and West Sacramento, CA

EXAMPLE:

Page 8: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

Estimated Benefits for Property Owners $1.3 Billion in Additional Property Values by 2035

Growth in Property Values Over Time Existing & New Development within 3 Block Area

(2013 dollars)

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

$6

$7

$8

$9

2013 2018 2023 2028 2033

Bill

ions

Baseline Streetcar Benefit (Midpoint)

Streetcar Opens

Page 9: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

Property Value Benefit by City

Streetcar Benefit to Property Value as of 2035 in 3 Block Area (2013 dollars)

$14M $159M

$560M

$567M

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

West Sacramento Sacramento

Mill

ions

New Development

Existing Development

Page 10: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

Identifying Tools

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Value Capture Tools: The Devil is in the Details

§  Availability of tools varies from state to state

§  Who has the authority to implement tools, eligible transit uses, ability to issue bonds, etc. also differs

§  Tools are subject to changing laws and shifting legal interpretations

Page 12: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

Potential Central Subway Extension San Francisco, CA

EXAMPLE:

Mechanism Revenue Source Voting Requirements Nexus Requirement? Infrastructure Finance District (IFD)

Increases in revenues from the existing property tax rate (tax increment)

2/3 of property owners or registered voters

No

Mello-Roos Community Facilities District (CFD)

Additional property assessment

2/3 of property owners or registered voters

No

Special Assessment District

Additional assessment (usually of property)

50% plus one of property owners (weighted by amount)

Size of assessment must be proportional to “special benefit” received by property owners

Development Impact Fee

One-time fee on new development

None May only be used to mitigate impacts on transit system caused by the new development

Page 13: RV 2014: Value Capture: Myth or Reality? by Nadine Fogarty

Estimating Revenues

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Estimated Value Capture Potential (Illustrative, not actual results)

$0

$200

$400

$600

Infrastructure Financing District

Community Facilities District

Special Assessment District

Mill

ions

Total Estimated Revenues (Current $) Estimated Financing

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Estimated Annual Revenues (Illustrative, not Actual Results)

Ann

ual R

even

ues

(Cur

rent

$)

Infrastructure Finance District

Community Facilities District

Special Assessment District

Source: Strategic Economics, 2014.

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Key Takeaways

§  “Making the case” is key for value capture strategies

§  Start with the value proposition for property owners in the specific context, then consider the tools

§  Be realistic about market strength and development potential – timing of revenues is key for financing up front improvements

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Thank you!