Social survey:June 2005
“Monitoring of electorate’s political activity in the pre-
elections stage in Azerbaijan”
Main parameters of the social survey
Main parameters of the social survey Date of start of social survey: April, 2005 Conducting of social survey at the territory of the Republic: 1-10 June, 2005 Number of respondents, participated at the social survey: 1 500 Number of questionnaires (interviews) used for social survey: 1491 Selection method: random selection on the districts (on the parameters of «ethnic origin»,
«gender», and «age») Method of carrying out of the social survey: interview (at the place of residence, «face-to-
face») Mean statistical error: 2,9% The main purpose of the social survey: Study of the situation, related to the election process on the eve of the parliamentary
elections to Milli Majlis (Parliament) of the Republic of Azerbaijan in 2005 and elaboration of maps reflecting the political activity of voters.
The following main points were especially taken into account in the process of interviewing: social-economic status of voters;attitude of voters to the activity of current parliament and MPs;attitude to political processes;Election process.
The present information reflects the initial statistical parameters of the social survey. Our study continues with the support of more comprehensive statistical data, mathematical models and analytical methods.
Gender composition of the respondents
male; 49,10%
female; 50,90%
31,70%
26,00%
21,80%
9,40% 11,10%
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+
Age composition of respondents
Marital status
70,00%
1,30%
5,00%
21,50%
married divorced widow/er single
Attitude to political parties
8,60%1,90%
7,80%2,50%
13,70%
6,20%3,00%
2,50%3,20%
17,70%
74,60%
0,00% 10,00% 20,00% 30,00% 40,00% 50,00% 60,00% 70,00% 80,00%
ADPCPA
ANIP
ASPPAPFP (r)
APFP (c)АВПACS
AdalatMusavat
NAP
Are you satisfied with the activity of the deputy from your district?
12,90%
20,17%
12,20%
38,80%
15,40%
yes
satisfied to someextent
not satisfied to someextent
not satisfied
difficult to answer
Are you going to participate at the elections?
don't know; 20,30%
no; 11,30%
yes; 62,00%
difficult to answer, 6.40%
Is conducting of "exit-pol" important?
47,30%
22,80%
13,10%16,80%
yes not so much no difficult to answer
61,60%
5,50% 1,00%
28,80%
Yes No Don't remember I was under suffrage age
Did you take part in last Parliamentary Elections (held in 2000)?
If participated whom did you vote for?
35,60%9,90%
7,40%9,00% 0,01
Government representative Opposition representativenon-party don't want to sayif possible, remind his name
How many times has the deputy from your district reported before his electorate?
3,50% 18,80%
23,60%38,40%
9,30%
Once Few times Never Don't know Difficult to answer
Which are the most challenging social and economic problems? \ several answers allowed\
39,0%
38,0%
33,4%
35,4%
27,7%
42,0%
1,3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Other
Corruption
Low education level
Low public health level
Cultural issues
Low salaries
Unemployment
Are you satisfied with current activity of the Parliament?
13,1%41,7%
8,2%
37,0%Yes No Partially satisfied Difficult to answer
Do you believe that this year’s parliamentary elections will have significant impact on your life and your family’s
life?
16,40%
38,80%13,20%
20,40%11,20%
Completely To some extent LittleDon't believe Difficult to answer
How do you think, is it expedient that the representatives of non-governmental organizations propose their canditatures in the forthcoming elections?
33,30%
28,30%14,30%
9,30%14,80%
It's important Partially important Not important
It will change nothing Difficult to answer
To what extent do you trust in following politicians?
3,4%23,9%
0,2% 32,7%
6,7%65,5%
73,1%8,5%
1,8%32,4%8,30%
66,0%9,7%
43,10%2,50% 45,90%
5,60%43,8%
3,6%66,8%
1,2% 43,9%2,0%
57,5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%Eldar Namazov
Ali AliyevAli Karimli
Ilham AliyevIlyas Ismailov
Isa GambarLala Shovkat
Mirmahmud MiralioghluSabir Rustamkhanli
Rasul GuliyevFazail Aghamali
Etibar Mammadov
Completely trust in Don't trust
6,7%
How do you evaluate activity of following political parties?
good
good
good
good
good
good
good
good
good
good
bad
bad
bad
bad
bad
bad
bad
bad
bad
bad
good
bad
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
NAP
Musavat
Adalat
PCS
AVP
APFP (c)
APFP (r)
PSWA
PNIA
ACP
DPA
Activity of which political parties is most remarkable in your district? \ indicate not more that three parties \
72,70%
17,80%
4,60%
2,40%
3,00%
8,20%
16,40%
1,80%
11,20%
2,70%
8,70%
0,00% 25,00% 50,00% 75, 00% 100,00%
NAP
Musavat
Adalat
CSP
AVP
APFP /c/
APFP /r/
APSW
APNI
ACP
ADP
How do you think which party has more reputation among the people? \ Indicate not more that three parties \
74,60%
17,70%
3,20%
2,50%
2,50%
6,20%
13,70%
2,50%
7,80%
1,90%
8,60%
0,00% 25,00% 50, 00% 75,00% 100,00%
NAP
Musavat
Adalat
CSP
AVP
APFP /c/
APFP /r/
APSW
APNI
ACP
ADP
Thank you for your attention