IMT-2000
Towards Global Implementation
Fabio Leite, Project Manager, IMT-2000
ITU Sub-Regional Seminaron IMT-2000
(Warsaw, 2-4.10.01)
The Information Society
• High-speed Internet
• M-commerce
• Video-phone & multimedia
Digital Divide = Telecoms Divide
0%
50%
100%
Internetusers
Mobile users
Telephonelines
Popul-ation
High income
Upper-mid income
Lower-mid income
Low income
340 million
725 million
927 million 6 billion
74%65%
57%
15%
Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database (January 2001).
User distribution, by income group
Industrial Challenge of the 21st Century
COMMERCIAL Is there a market?
TECHNOLOGICALAre the standards set and equipment
available?
FINANCIAL Are the investments going to be made?
Operator’s investment: US$ 0.5 trillion (licence + infrastructure + marketing)
Cumulative Revenue: US$ 1 trillion!
Source: UMTS Forum (April 2001)
Mobile Market
“Teenagers are giving up cigarettes in preference to fashionable mobile phones. ... The mobile phone is an effective competitor to cigarettes in the market for products that offer teenagers adultstyle, individuality, sociability, rebellion, peer group bonding and adult aspiration." , British Medical Journal, Nov.2000
Smoking among boysand girls and ownership of mobile phones among those aged 15-24 (UK).
Mobile Internet Dilemmas
ü In a mobile-Internet world:â Which business model takes precedence?
â Who does the billing?
â How are revenues shared between content provider, service provider and portal?
âAccess is generally unmetered, flat-rateâE-mail is perceived to be a “free” applicationâContent providers gain revenue principally through advertising or subscription
âAccess is generally metered, per-minuteâVoice mail and messaging charged by air-timeâ Content providers share airtime revenues
IMT-2000 Licenses
0
20
40
60
80
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4
2000 2001
No. of licenses
3G License Prices
0
10
17
36
88
160
175
562
595 US$
Finland, Sweden
Norway
Switzerland
Portugal
Austria
Netherlands
Italy
Germany
UK
Source: ITU, http://www.itu.int/ti/industryoverview/at_glance/UMTS2001.htm
2.4
Revenue as % GNP:
2.5
1.2
0.7
180France1.1
Average price per pop.:
32Australia
Source: 3gnewsroom (4.01)
13%
11%
10%
9%
8%7%7%
35%
Vodafone
Hutchison
NTT DoCoMo
Deutsche Telekom
MobilComTelefónica
Others
BritishTelecom
IMT-2000: Towards Global Implementation
time2000 20022001 2003 2004
NTT DoCoMo launch
UK / Germany3G auctions
First successfulnetwork launches
in Europe
hype
de-hype
Mobilemultimedia
massmarket
Source: Bosco Fernandes, Siemens AG
Spectrum
Licenses
StandardsAssistance
Terminalcirculationarrangements
IPR access
IMT-2000: ITU’s Role
Field trials
Spectrum: the starting point
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150 2200 2250
Reserve
UMTSGSM 1800 DECT MSS
MSSIMT 2000PHS MSSIMT 2000
IMT 2000
MSSIMT 2000IMT 2000
IMT 2000
MSSUMTS
MSS
A D B E F A B C MSS
MSS MSS
GSM 1800, PCS
D FEB BC
ITU Allocations
Europe
China
Japan,Korea (w/o PHS)
North America
1700 1750 1800950 1000800 850 900
IMT 2000IMT 2000
2500 2550 2600 2650 2700
IMT 2000
UMTS
GSM
Cellular
PDC
Cellular
P C S
MSS
GSM
PDC
Cellular Cell. Cell.IMT
2000IMT2000Brasil, Venezuela
IMTIMT--2000 Frequency 2000 Frequency Spectrum after WRCSpectrum after WRC--20002000
ITU Radio Regulations: 750 MHz of spectrum identified for IMT-2000
Standards-setting will never be the same again
2G ? 3G Evolution & Convergence
IMT DS
GPRS EDGEGSM
cdmaOne 1xRTT
1xEV
cdma2000
IS41 Core NetworkIS41 Core Network
GSM MAPGSM MAPCore NetworkCore Network
IMT MC
W-CDMAC-EDGETDMA
High-Packet Technology
IP Core N
etwork
20042001
Towards a Fully Harmonized 3G System
W-CDMA
IS-41evolved
GSMMAP
evolved
cdma2000 HSDPA
All-IP(3GPP2)
All-IP(3GPP)
1xEV-DV
“Let’s not do ‘2G’ all over again!”
High Packet Access System
All-IP based Core Network
Benefits of Globally Harmonized 3G Networks
l Increased 3G penetration and usage
l Manufacturers’ development costs spread out across a larger installed base
l Ability for customers to roam with their services across regions, countries and systemsl Increased ability of the Information Technology, Internet and Personal Computer industries to provide mobile applications, solutions and subscriber devices l Smooth and compatible evolution path from existing 2G infrastructures
Regulating for implementation
Global Circulationof IMT-2000 Terminals
Actions towards an agreed international framework to facilitate global circulation:• ITU-R WP8F: Recs. IMT.RCIRC & UNWANT (technical basis)• Consultation by ITU-SG: on basic principles of no individual license; no additional terminal certification or type approval; and customs arrangements.• Informal consultation meetings: ITU & EC/CITEL/APT.• IMTEM = IMT “Electronic Mark” (terminal identifier w/ regulatory data to be used only where legally required)
“Right of users to carry their personal terminals into a visited country, and the ability to use them wherever possible”:• without causing unacceptable interference;• considering health and safety requirements.
IMT-2000: ITU’s RoleC
oo
rdin
ato
r Facilitato
r
Guarantor
Imagination Meeting TechnologyFor more information:
Fabio Leite, Project Manager, IMT-2000International Telecommunication Union
E-mail: [email protected]: http://www.itu.int/osg/imt-project